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Fleet Plan Review and Update

In document 2010 METROBUS FLEET MANAGEMENT PLAN (Page 81-92)

SECTION SEVEN: SUMMARY

7.4. Fleet Plan Review and Update

This fleet plan is a planning document that provides a fifteen-year outlook for fleet growth and garage development, consistent with other Metro capital programs—FY2011-FY2016 CIP and FY2011-FY2020 CNI—and garage development proposals. This plan should generally be updated every five years and reviewed on a frequent basis to reflect changes in regional transit system, fleet management, vehicle technology and facility expansion. At the time of this plan development, local jurisdictions have initiated plans for the expansion of local bus systems (such as DC Circulator, Fairfax Connector and others) and the construction of new surface streetcar and light rail systems, all of which could impact demand for Metrobus service in a number of corridors. However, for the time being, none of these service expansion projects, or the associated transit operations plans, are finalized or fully funded so the impacts are uncertain.

In conclusion, this fleet plan identifies the anticipated needs and gaps of the Metrobus fleet and facilities in the next 10 to 15 years. In anticipating economic recovery in the short term and transit ridership growth in the coming decade, Metro will need to seek additional funding

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 75 sources to put the bus expansion schedule back on track, support garage renovation and

capacity expansion, and enhance operating maintenance and overhaul capabilities.

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 76 Table 7-1. Vehicle Demand and Supply Balance

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 77

APPENDICES

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 78 Appendix 1. Metrobus Fleet by Type (June 2009)

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 79 Appendix 2. Peak Vehicle Requirement (June 2009)

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 80 Appendix 3. Allocation of Expansion Buses for Revenue Service

Net Change from Existing in 2020

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 81 Appendix 4. Total Expansion Buses by Type

Net Change from Existing in 2020

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 82 Appendix 5. Network Driven Fleet Demand Projection

Fiscal Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Peak Vehicles Scheduled for Service (Beginning of Year) 1,242 1,242 1,242 1,276 1,310 1,340 1,379 1,418 1,449 1,480 1,513

Additional Buses for Service (During the Year) 28 24 34 34 30 39 39 30 31 33 41

Priority Corridor Network(1) 8 4 12 12 9 15 15 15 15 15 15

Service Adjustment(2) 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 16

Artic Conversion Adjustment 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 (7) (7) (6) 0

Seat Loss 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 4

Additional Spares (3) 4 3 5 5 4 5 5 4 4 4 5

Buses Redeployed from Service Reduction (4) (28) (24)

Peak Vehicles Scheduled for Service (End of Year) 1,242 1,242 1,276 1,310 1,340 1,379 1,418 1,449 1,480 1,513 1,554

Total Fleet Demand (Beginning of Year) 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,516 1,550 1,580 1,619 1,659 1,689 1,720 1,753

Strategic Buses 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25

Total Expansion Buses Required (5) 0 0 34 34 30 39 39 30 31 33 41

Total Fleet Demand (End of Year) 1,482 1,482 1,516 1,550 1,580 1,619 1,659 1,689 1,720 1,753 1,794 Notes:

Total New Buses Required (5) = Additional Buses Scheduled During the Year + Additional Supporting Spares PEAK VEHICLES IN SERVICE

SYSTEM VEHICLE REQUIREMENTS

Priority Corridor Network(1): Starting 2016, Metro plans to implement emerging corridors on a schedule of three corridors each year Service Adjustment(2): Service Adjustment includes buses required for alleviating crowding and improving service reliability

Buses Redeployed From Service Reduction (4): These are buses redeployed from discontinued services in FY10 and FY11

Additional Spares(3): These additional spare buses are to support additional buses scheduled during the year. Metro uses 15.6% as operating spare ratio This table is referenced in Section Three Table 3-8

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 83 Appendix 6. Supply of Revenue Vehicles

Fiscal Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Fleet at the Beginning of Year 1,482 1,482 1,482 1482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,505 1,530 1,556

Total Projected Fleet Purchase 148 52 100 80 80 95 96 131 133 137 169

Projected Purchase for Fleet Expansion(1) 30 31 33 41

Projected Fleet Purchase for Fleet Replacement(2) 148 52 100 80 80 95 96 101 102 104 128

Projected Purchase for Mini/Small/Standard buses 148 52 100 80 80 73 96 78 79 80 106

Projected Purchase of Articulated Buses(3) 22 23 23 24 22

Total Projected Fleet Retirement(4) (148) (52) (100) (80) (80) (95) (96) (108) (109) (110) (128) Standard/Mini Buses Retired from Replacement (148) (52) (100) (80) (80) (73) (96) (78) (79) (80) (106)

Standard Buses Retired from Artic Bus Conversion (30) (30) (30)

Articulated Buses Retired (22) (22)

Total Fleet Supply at the End of Year 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,482 1,505 1,530 1,556 1,597

Projected Retirement (4): Metro retires buses on a 1 to 1 ratio as replacement buses of the same size are purchased. When Metro replaces standard buses with articulated buses, a higher number of standard buses can be retired as a result of the higher seating capacity from the replacement articulated buses.

Projected Purchase for Fleet Replacement (2): Metro performs a mid-life rehab on buses at 7.5 years. This extends the lifespan of each bus to 15 years. Metro replaces about 100 buses a year based on CIP budget and schedule. Starting in 2016, Metro will begin to replace 1/15th of its fleet each year, with an additional 44 articulated buses in FY15 and FY20.

Project purchase of Articulated Buses(3): This plan assumes a total of 114 artic buses purchased under the fleet replacement program. This includes 44 artic buses in 2015 and 2020 to replace the 2003 Neoplans and the 2008 NABIs and another 70 articulated buses to replace standard buses in high ridership corridors.

Projected Purchase for Fleet Expansion(1): Due to the current economic conditions and fiscal constraint, Metro assumes significant reduction in the purchase of expansion fleet, consistent with the proposed six-year CIP. However, Metro anticipates that funding for expansion will be return to recommended levels starting in FY2017.

Notes:

Total Projected Fleet Purchase

Total Projected Fleet Retirement

This table is referenced in Section Four Table 4-4

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 84 Appendix 7. Metrobus Garage Capacity, June 2009

Division Location Capacity(1) Functions Performed

Bladensburg District of Columbia 257 Heavy Repair, Overhaul, Storage Service and Inspection, Running Repair Northern District of Columbia 175 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair

Western District of Columbia 138 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair Montgomery Montgomery County, MD 240 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair Landover Prince George's County, MD 210 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair Southern Avenue Prince George's County, MD 103 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair Four Mile Run Arlington County, VA 218 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair West Ox Fairfax County, VA 100 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair Royal Street City of Alexandria, VA 83 Storage, Service and Inspection, Running Repair

Total 1,524

Notes:

This table is referenced in Section Six Table 6-1

Capacity(1): Does not include storage for contingency fleet which is stored non-operations facility

Final Report, July 22, 2010 Page 85 Appendix 8. Maintenance Demand for Revenue Vehicles

Fiscal Year 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

1,242 1,242 1,242 1,276 1,310 1,340 1,380 1,419 1,449 1,480 1,513

Net Increase in Expansion Buses 0 0 34 34 30 39 39 30 31 33 41

1,242 1,242 1,276 1,310 1,340 1,380 1,419 1,449 1,480 1,513 1,554

Buses under Operating Maintenance 194 194 194 199 204 209 215 221 226 231 236

Buses under Mid-Life Overhaul(2) 20 20 20 20 23 23 23 23 23 23 23

214 214 214 219 227 232 238 244 249 254 259

Total Operating Fleet(2) 1,436 1,436 1,470 1,509 1,545 1,589 1,634 1,670 1,706 1,744 1,790 Total Operating Fleet(3) 1,456 1,456 1,490 1,529 1,568 1,612 1,657 1,693 1,729 1,767 1,813 Notes:

Total Operating Fleet(3): It is an estimate of buses on scheduled service and going through maintenance on a daily basis. Because of the dynamic nature of fleet rotating through maintenance on a daily basis, this measure does not represent the actual total Metrobus fleet.

Peak Vehicles Scheduled - End of Year Peak Vehicle Scheduled - Beginning of Year

In document 2010 METROBUS FLEET MANAGEMENT PLAN (Page 81-92)

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