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SPSS scripts and output for stepwise regression analysis

In document What does a college degree cost? (Page 33-42)

SPSS scripts and output for stepwise regression analysis

USE ALL.

COMPUTE filter_$=(AcademicYear=2006 and IsGrouped=0 and sector=1).

VARIABLE LABEL filter_$’AcademicYear=2006 and IsGrouped=0 and sector=1 (FILTER)’. VALUE LABELS filter_$ 0 ‘Not Selected’ 1 ‘Selected’.

FORMAT filter_$(f1.0). FILTER BY filter_$. EXECUTE . REGRESSION /MISSING LISTWISE

/STATISTICS COEFF OUTS R ANOVA /CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10) /NOORIGIN

/DEPENDENT fulledcost

/METHOD=STEPWISE associatedegrees bachelordegrees masterdegrees doctordegrees firstprofdegrees awardslessthan1yr awards1yrto2yr awards2yrto4yr postbacccertificates postmastcertificates

firstprofcertificates .

Regression notes

Output created 30-AUG-2008 23:59:58

Comments

Input Data C:\Documents and Settings

ate.johnson\Desktop\Delta Project Materials\delta truncated database.sav

Active dataset DataSet1

Filter IsGrouped = 0 and sector=1 and AcademicYear = 2006 (FILTER)

Weight <none>

Split file <none>

N of rows in working data file 504

Missing value handling Definition of missing User-defined missing values are treated as missing.

Cases used Statistics are based on cases with no missing values for any variable used.

Syntax REGRESSION

/MISSING LISTWISE

/STATISTICS COEFF OUTS R ANOVA /CRITERIA=PIN(.05) POUT(.10) /NOORIGIN

/DEPENDENT fulledcost

/METHOD=STEPWISE associatedegrees bachelordegrees masterdegrees doctordegrees firstprofdegrees awardslessthan1yr awards1yrto2yr awards2yrto4yr postbacccertificates postmastcertificates firstprofcertificates .

Variables entered/removed* Model Variables entered Number of degrees, certificates Variables removed Method

1 Doctoral degrees . Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-to-enter <= .050,

Probability-of-F-to-remove >= .100).

2 Bachelor’s degrees . Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-to-enter <= .050, Probability-of-F-to-remove >= .100).

3 First professional degrees . Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-to-enter <= .050, Probability-of-F-to-remove >= .100).

4 Associate degrees . Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-to-enter <= .050, Probability-of-F-to-remove >= .100).

5 Post-master’s certificates . Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-to-enter <= .050, Probability-of-F-to-remove >= .100).

6 Master’s degrees . Stepwise (Criteria: Probability-of-F-to-enter <= .050, Probability-of-F-to-remove >= .100).

*Dependent variable: Full educational costs

Model summary

Model R R square Adjusted R square Std. error of estimate

1 .892(a) .795 .795 64105487.56140 2 .918(b) .842 .842 56302677.88338 3 .932(c) .869 .868 51316111.34112 4 .937(d) .878 .877 49664525.03071 5 .940(e) .883 .882 48672339.67941 6 .940(f) .884 .882 48514380.78693

Predictors: (Constant), Number of a. Doctoral degrees

b. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees

c. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees

d. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees

e. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees, post-mas- ter’s certificates

f . Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees, post-mas- ter’s certificates, master’s degrees

ANOVA (Dependent variable: Full educational costs)

Model Sum of squares df Mean square F Sig. 1 Regression 7985754003247210000.000 1 7985754003247210000.000 1943.236 .000(a) Residual 2058866281278201000.000 501 4109513535485432.000 Total 10044620284525410000.000 502 2 Regression 8459624516105530000.000 2 4229812258052767000.000 1334.329 .000(b) Residual 1584995768419877000.000 500 3169991536839755.000 Total 10044620284525410000.000 502 3 Regression 8730581986221300000.000 3 2910193995407103000.000 1105.133 .000(c) Residual 1314038298304103000.000 499 2633343283174557.000 Total 10044620284525410000.000 502 4 Regression 8816270891355540000.000 4 2204067722838885000.000 893.578 .000(d) Residual 1228349393169871000.000 498 2466565046525846.000 Total 10044620284525410000.000 502 5 Regression 8867228949541110000.000 5 1773445789908223000.000 748.606 .000(e) Residual 1177391334984295000.000 497 2368996649867798.000 Total 10044620284525410000.000 502 6 Regression 8877212293528310000.000 6 1479535382254719000.000 628.614 .000(f) Residual 1167407990997098000.000 496 2353645143139310.000 Total 10044620284525410000.000 502

Predictors: (Constant), Number of: a. Doctoral degrees

b. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees

c. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees

d. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees

e. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees, post-mas- ter’s certificates

f. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees, post-mas- ter’s certificates, master’s degrees

Coefficients (Dependent variable: Full educational costs)

Model Degrees, certificates

Unstandardized coefficients

Standardized

coefficients t Sig. B Std. error Beta B Std. error 1 (Constant) 66569398.743 3071440.741 21.674 .000 Doctoral degrees 1057010.200 23978.191 .892 44.082 .000 2 (Constant) 37834836.688 3577765.646 10.575 .000 Doctoral degrees 755180.619 32448.952 .637 23.273 .000 Bachelor’s degrees 29062.025 2376.978 .335 12.226 .000 3 (Constant) 30239817.791 3345749.351 9.038 .000 Doctoral degrees 494528.080 39178.646 .417 12.622 .000 Bachelor’s degrees 33244.303 2205.340 .383 15.074 .000

First professional degrees 261945.691 25823.460 .248 10.144 .000

4 (Constant) 24659664.814 3373632.713 7.310 .000

Doctoral degrees 480982.512 37987.280 .406 12.662 .000

Bachelor’s degrees 34792.379 2150.461 .401 16.179 .000

First professional degrees 267150.936 25007.942 .253 10.683 .000

Associate degrees 32037.665 5435.567 .093 5.894 .000

5 (Constant) 22552862.265 3337295.050 6.758 .000

Doctoral degrees 452687.577 37724.947 .382 12.000 .000

Bachelor’s degrees 34817.924 2107.507 .401 16.521 .000

First professional degrees 267454.328 24508.427 .253 10.913 .000

Associate degrees 33173.459 5332.603 .097 6.221 .000

Post-master’s certificates 282691.150 60952.006 .075 4.638 .000

6 (Constant) 22374687.826 3327589.136 6.724 .000

Doctoral degrees 451781.030 37605.093 .381 12.014 .000

Bachelor’s degrees 30779.584 2873.600 .354 10.711 .000

First professional degrees 250505.028 25777.871 .237 9.718 .000

Associate degrees 33817.832 5324.497 .098 6.351 .000

Post-master’s certificates 257166.164 62005.434 .068 4.147 .000

Excluded variables (Dependent variable: Full educational costs)

Tolerance Model Degrees, awards Beta in t Sig.

Partial correlation

Collinearity statistics 1 Associate degrees .060(a) 3.008 .003 .133 .996

Bachelor’s degrees .335(a) 12.226 .000 .480 .421

Master’s degrees .313(a) 11.513 .000 .458 .437

First professional degrees .179(a) 6.187 .000 .267 .454

Awards less than 1 year .056(a) 2.773 .006 .123 .999

Awards of 1-2 years .048(a) 2.371 .018 .105 .999

Awards of 2-4 years .029(a) 1.412 .159 .063 1.000

Post-baccalaureate certificates .028(a) 1.365 .173 .061 .984

Post-master’s certificates .071(a) 3.369 .001 .149 .901

First professional certificates .006(a) .283 .778 .013 .922

2 Associate degrees .087(b) 4.984 .000 .218 .982

Master’s degrees .175(b) 5.108 .000 .223 .257

First professional degrees .248(b) 10.144 .000 .413 .438

Awards less than 1 year .078(b) 4.423 .000 .194 .989

Awards of 1-2 years .074(b) 4.188 .000 .184 .986

Awards of 2-4 years .025(b) 1.436 .152 .064 .999

Post-baccalaureate certificates .001(b) .081 .936 .004 .970

Post-master’s certificates .070(b) 3.807 .000 .168 .901

First professional certificates .040(b) 2.167 .031 .097 .902

3 Associate degrees .093(c) 5.894 .000 .255 .981

Master’s degrees .081(c) 2.411 .016 .107 .232

Awards less than 1 year .081(c) 5.126 .000 .224 .989

Awards of 1-2 years .072(c) 4.469 .000 .196 .985

Awards of 2-4 years .033(c) 2.022 .044 .090 .998

Post-baccalaureate certificates .000(c) -.004 .997 .000 .970

Post-master’s certificates .070(c) 4.201 .000 .185 .901

First professional certificates .017(c) 1.009 .314 .045 .885

4 Master’s degrees .094(d) 2.901 .004 .129 .231

Awards less than 1 year .030(d) 1.328 .185 .059 .475

Awards of 1-2 years .024(d) 1.225 .221 .055 .627

Awards of 2-4 years .028(d) 1.772 .077 .079 .995

Post-baccalaureate certificates .003(d) .200 .842 .009 .969

Post-master’s certificates .075(d) 4.638 .000 .204 .899

First professional certificates .018(d) 1.088 .277 .049 .885

5 Master’s degrees .067(e) 2.060 .040 .092 .222

Awards less than 1 year .029(e) 1.295 .196 .058 .475

Awards of 1-2 years .024(e) 1.263 .207 .057 .627

Awards of 2-4 years .030(e) 1.944 .052 .087 .994

Post-baccalaureate certificates .007(e) .455 .650 .020 .966

First professional certificates .028(e) 1.695 .091 .076 .872

6 Awards less than 1 year .026(f) 1.166 .244 .052 .473

Awards of 1-2 years .024(f) 1.263 .207 .057 .627

Awards of 2-4 years .026(f) 1.654 .099 .074 .971

Post-baccalaureate certificates -.002(f) -.146 .884 -.007 .885

Predictors in the model: (Constant) Number of: a. Doctoral degrees

b. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees

c. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees

d. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees

e. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees, post-mas- ter’s certificates

f. Doctoral degrees, bachelor’s degrees, first professional degrees, associate degrees, post-mas- ter’s certificates, master’s degrees

Summary of alternative regression results using different dependent variables with and without constant for degrees and certificates

Dependent variable Independent variables remaining in stepwise regression Unstandardized coefficients Standardized coefficients t Sig. Relative derived “cost” (bachelor’s =1)

Full educational costs with constant

R-squared = .884 B Std. error Beta (Constant) $22,374,688 $3,327,589 6.72 0.000 Doctoral degrees $451,781 $37,605 0.38 12.01 0.000 14.7 Bachelor’s degrees $30,780 $2,874 0.35 10.71 0.000 1.0

First professional degrees $250,505 $25,778 0.24 9.72 0.000 8.1

Associate degrees $33,818 $5,324 0.10 6.35 0.000 1.1

Post-master’s certificates $257,166 $62,005 0.07 4.15 0.000 8.4

Master’s degrees $16,673 $8,096 0.07 2.06 0.040 0.5 Full educational costs without constant

B Std. error Beta

Bachelor’s degrees $44,408 $1,642 0.53 27.04 0.000 1.0

First professional degrees $298,381 $25,063 0.23 11.91 0.000 6.7

Doctoral degrees $340,423 $36,291 0.24 9.38 0.000 7.7 Associate degrees $42,476 $5,314 0.10 7.99 0.000 1.0 Post-master’s certificates $355,988 $63,015 0.08 5.65 0.000 8.0 Awards of 2-4 years $257,613 $113,556 0.03 2.27 0.024 5.8 First professional certificates $582,189 $294,176 0.03 1.98 0.048 13.1

Direct instruction expenditures with constant

R-squared = .898

B Std. error Beta

(Constant) $10,365,008 $2,144,905 4.83 0.000

Doctoral degrees $387,200 $24,250 0.47 15.97 0.000 20.7

First professional degrees $182,279 $15,750 0.25 11.57 0.000 9.7

Bachelor’s degrees $18,713 $1,355 0.31 13.81 0.000 1.0

Associate degrees $16,795 $3,428 0.07 4.90 0.000 0.9

Post-master’s certificates $178,855 $39,172 0.07 4.57 0.000 9.6 Direct instructional expenditures without constant

B Std. error Beta

Doctoral degrees $342,860 $22,676 0.37 15.12 0.000 14.9

Bachelor’s degrees $22,998 $1,028 0.42 22.36 0.000 1.0

First professional degrees $196,769 $15,664 0.24 12.56 0.000 8.6

Associate degrees $15,183 $4,315 0.05 3.52 0.000 0.7

Post-master’s certificates $203,589 $39,500 0.07 5.15 0.000 8.9

Dependent variable Independent variables remaining in stepwise regression Unstandardized coefficients Standardized coefficients t Sig. Relative derived “cost” (bachelor’s =1)

Gross tuition, state, federal, and local appropriations with constant

R-squared = .918 B Std. error Beta (Constant) $20,060,541 $3,312,929 6.06 0.000 Doctoral degrees $578,806 $37,714 0.41 15.35 0.000 13.7 Bachelor’s degrees $42,221 $2,844 0.41 14.85 0.000 1.0

First professional degrees $212,306 $25,630 0.17 8.28 0.000 5.0

Associate degrees $22,829 $6,606 0.06 3.46 0.001 0.5 Master’s degrees $16,597 $7,921 0.06 2.10 0.037 0.4 First professional certificates $779,347 $281,628 0.04 2.77 0.006 18.5 Awards of 1-2 years $122,687 $55,285 0.04 2.22 0.027 2.9 Post-master’s certificates $131,671 $61,939 0.03 2.13 0.034 3.1 Gross tuition, state, federal, and local appropriations without constant

B Std. error Beta

Bachelor’s degrees $50,316 $2,598 0.52 19.36 0.000 1.0

Doctoral degrees $487,874 $35,817 0.29 13.62 0.000 9.7

First professional degrees $241,138 $26,074 0.16 9.25 0.000 4.8

Associate degrees $29,328 $6,748 0.06 4.35 0.000 0.6 Post-master’s certificates $181,221 $63,565 0.03 2.85 0.005 3.6 First professional certificates $879,537 $291,074 0.03 3.02 0.003 17.5 Awards of 1-2 years $158,121 $56,917 0.04 2.78 0.006 3.1 Master’s degrees $18,171 $8,196 0.06 2.22 0.027 0.4

In document What does a college degree cost? (Page 33-42)

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