Chapter 1 Introduction
1.7 Summary
The modelling of volcanic evacuation in Merapi is important in supporting the evaluation of the implementation of potential plans for reducing risk and providing more effective evacuation management. However, evacuation models specifically for volcanic hazards are absent from the literature. This thesis aims to develop an ABM of volcanic evacuation to improve the effectiveness of evacuation management in Merapi. The model is based on
the interaction among the components within the volcanic hazard system, including volcano, people at risk, responsible stakeholders, and the
environment. The development of the model is divided into three steps that are used to structure this thesis, namely: the development of a basic ABM for volcanic evacuation, assigning the model an individual decision-making rule and the individual risk model. Finally, the model was used to compare the effectiveness of a staged evacuation scenario with a simultaneous scenario. Each of these stages make novel contributions that are worthy of publication.
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