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The “Value of Solar”

1

Many in the solar industry have come to recognize that retail net metering (RNM) is, 2

in the age of smart grid and more sophisticated pricing, no longer a defensible 3

method for pricing solar PV DG. Having recognized the inevitable demise of a 4

pricing system that bestows excessive dividends on their resource, many solar 5

advocates have shifted to an argument that pricing should be based on consideration 6

of the “value of solar,” arguing that when this is properly considered, a significant 7

premium is justified for solar PV DG, which should be provided through an 8

administrative, highly subjective assessment of value, both internal and external.

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The next section of this report will contain an analysis of the specific elements most 10

commonly proposed as the elements to be considered in assessing the value of solar.

11

To fully assess the value of solar, one would need to look at the resource in all of its 12

dimensions, not simply the costs and environmental effects derived from the energy-13

producing process itself. It is also critical to think of pricing in the context of 14

establishing incentives for technological improvements that would increase its 15

efficiency.

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In considering using the “value of solar” approach, one needs to proceeds cautiously.

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From an economic perspective, the optimal pricing would be by the competitive 18

market. Failing that, the next best option, and the one that is most deeply rooted in 19

American regulatory tradition, would be to derive prices from cost-based regulation.

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Both market and cost based pricing are subjected to external discipline that should 21

lead to reasonably efficient resource decisions devoid of arbitrary or “official”

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preferences. Subjective consideration of the “value” of particular technologies and 1

where they may rank in the merit order of “social desirability,” as proposed by 2

certain “value of solar” advocates, effectively removes the discipline (i.e. that of the 3

market or of cost based regulatory oversight) that is more likely to produce efficient 4

results. Whereas both the marketplace and transparent cost-based regulation are 5

likely to produce coherent pricing that allows us to enjoy a degree of comfort 6

knowing that efficient performance will likely lead to productivity, administrative, 7

highly subjective consideration of soft criteria, like “value of solar,” is far less likely 8

to produce coherent and reasonable predictable price signals and incentives.

9

This does not mean that short-term efficiency is the only factor that should have a 10

role in resource selection. Economics is critical, and efficiency is of vital 11

importance. However, there are other economic values besides efficiency, 12

especially those that go beyond short-term considerations. It is also obvious that 13

many people believe that other, non-economic factors need to be considered.

14

Certainly the fairness of the impact on customers also needs to be factored into any 15

decisions. There has, for many years, been a running debate in electricity regulation 16

as to whether externalities, in the absence of a legislative grant of authority, ought 17

to be factored into regulatory decisions. This report does not join in that debate over 18

the proper scope of regulation, nor does it attempt to assess what is permissible or 19

not permissible under applicable law. The report, however, to be comprehensive 20

and thorough, needs to recognize the nature of the arguments being made and to 21

analyze them. As a result, consideration of the elements to be considered in 22

assessing the “value of solar” seems in order.

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To the extent that a value of solar approach is considered, efforts should be made to 1

do rigorous analysis and avoid subjectivity. Any values provided by solar PV DG 2

that are to be compensated in price should be tangible and enumerated. If 3

externalities are to be considered, then all relevant ones deserve attention, as 4

opposed to “cherry picking” the issues to best protect a particular interest.

5

Additionally, if non-economic objectives are factored into its decision, then it is 6

wise to prescribe the ways of attaining them that are the most efficient from an 7

economic point of view.

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There are a number of criteria that advocates of a value of solar approach to pricing 9

take into consideration. They deserve careful scrutiny. One would begin by looking 10

at the energy produced, and the cost of this production (as we did in the first part of 11

this paper)., Beyond that, the criteria would include an evaluation of environmental 12

benefits, availability/capacity, reliability, impact on system operations and dispatch, 13

transmission costs and effects, distribution costs and effects, hedge value, and any 14

value associated with job creation, price reductions, and enhanced competition.

15

Solar proponents often phrase these issues in terms of avoided costs. In addition to 16

those dimensions, for any plan to provide “value of solar” price advantages, there 17

are also all of the considerations discussed above in the specific context of net 18

metering: degree of subsidization and cross-subsidization, efficiency 19

considerations, impact on alternative technologies, market price impact, reliability, 20

and social effects, including environmental and customer class impacts.

21

In what follows, this report will examine some of the claims about avoided costs 1

and argue that many of the costs identified are not actually avoided. In other cases 2

(in particular, the environmental case), there are true avoided costs—however, 3

singling out solar PV DG for disproportionately high payments (either through 4

RNM or through some other subsidy) causes market distortions that far outweigh 5

the benefits offered.

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