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Four-year Graduation Rates of First-time, Full-time Students with Loans

Cohort 2010

Note: Each quintile is one-fifth of the total range of loan amounts taken out by students in this study. The higher the quintile, the higher the amount of loans that were taken out.

Source: Maryland Higher Education Commission

MHEC also looked at quintiles of unmet need versus quintiles of family income for student loans. The results were not surprising. Over 70% of students with the highest level of unmet need ($4,700 or more) were in the bottom two quintiles of income, while over 85% of students with overmet need ($12,900 or more) were in the highest two quintiles of income. Overmet need means the student is receiving more financial aid, generally merit based, than is necessary to cover costs of attendance as calculated by the FAFSA. MHEC’s work also highlights some unusual outcomes. For example, no more than 45% of students with overmet need graduate on time at any quintile of

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%

First Quintile Second Quintile Third Quintile Fourth Quintile Fifth Quintile

F our -year G raduati on R at e

Total Student Loans

family income, and none graduated from the lowest quintile, suggesting financial aid leading to overmet need is ineffective for increasing on-time graduation.

Retention of low-income students is an ongoing problem for many institutions, as these students are more sensitive to annual price increases at institutions. Most institutions focus aid on enrolling students, rather than retaining students. This raises the issue of whether institutions should focus more resources on retaining students who are already enrolled, rather than on first-time, full-time students. In many cases, the average unmet need may be small, especially for the low- to middle-income students, and given limited institutional resources, it may make more sense to focus aid on students who have already accumulated credits toward a degree.

USM’s own research findings from October 2013 discuss the quest to find the financial aid “levels sufficient to incentivize greater student retention and graduation.” As mentioned earlier, the State and institutions strive to find the perfect award size to cause a student to enroll. MHEC currently has $250,000 in funding called Complete College Maryland, which is part of a One Step Away program to re-enroll near completers. These grants are generally quite small, but enough to get a student to pursue education again. USM notes that 12% of seniors, roughly 4,000 students with at least 90 credits, fail to graduate each year. Institutional and State funding should look to those students to realize the best bang for the buck.

Conclusion

Most students rely on financial aid to afford postsecondary education and most financial aid is federally funded. However, Maryland still plays an important role in influencing college affordability while also prioritizing completion. These can be broken down into the time in a student’s career:

Before College: With the simplification and wider application window of the FAFSA due

to the acceptance of prior prior-year tax information, more students should be encouraged to fill out a FAFSA during the final year of high school since the student is only submitting a form to determine EFC, which does not commit a student to enrolling at a particular institution, or at all. Implementation and funding of the College Readiness Outreach Program would incentivize the most financially needy students to become college and career ready and pursue higher education.

During College: First, continue supporting tuition moderation. This provides some

predictability to students and allows universities some flexibility in responding to rising higher education costs. Second, support 15 credits as full-time to get students to on-time graduation. Third, support near completer programs to get students who need extra time or assistance over the finish line. Fourth, the State and institutions should consider incorporating progression metrics into scholarship renewal eligibility for State and institutional aid. For example, providing financial aid incentives for full-time students to

take at least 15 credits, instead of the current minimum of 12 credits. This will increase on-time graduation and get the students (and the State) more “bang for the buck.”

After College: Encourage graduates with large federal loans to enroll in income-based

repayment programs.

Demographics indicate that future higher education enrollment will include more students who will need greater financial assistance to enroll. While Maryland has provided considerable support for higher education institutions and has held tuition at public four-year institutions down, the amount of financial aid has not kept pace with the financial need of Maryland students. Increasingly, students are turning to loans to fulfill financial need that is not met by grants and scholarships. Ongoing dialogue between MHEC, institutions, and the General Assembly will be critical for improving affordable, on-time student outcomes at Maryland’s higher education institutions.

Recommendations

Institutions should establish best practices for reducing student loan burdens and set benchmarks for appropriate average loan debt and debt for lower-income students.

The State and public institutions should continue to prioritize the moderating of tuition increases and also closely consider how rapid increases in mandatory fees, especially for activities not crucial to academics, such as intercollegiate athletics, impact students. Institutions should also consider the impact of nonmandatory fees, such as those specific to academic fields of study.

The State should pursue the most effective use of financial aid dollars and outreach efforts that have the greatest impact on student completion, including additional funding for need-based aid and LARPs (as well as expanding LARPs) and additional advising and outreach efforts both in high school and college.

The Financial Aid Advisory Committee should continue to meet in the 2016 interim to review OSFA awards and other topics it finds appropriate.

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