AIR QUALITY AND EQUITY
Dr. Gordon Mitchell
The School of Geography and Institute for Transport Studies, The University of Leeds
g.mitchell@leeds.ac.uk
Merseyside Transport, Health and Environment Forum Mersey Travel, Liverpool, 22nd Jan 2003
The Presentation
+
An Introduction to Environmental Equity
+
Environmental (NO
2) Equity Examples:
! #1: Road User Charging in Leeds! #2: Air Quality in Britain
CONTEXT: SUD MODELLING
TRANSP
ORT LANDUSE
POPULA TION CORE MODELS SECTOR MODELS Common property problems ‘Non-nebulous’ DIFFUS E POLLU TION ENERG Y & CO2
WATER DEMAN D AIR QUALIT Y ENV HEALT H APPRAISAL TOOLS: (SEE Indicators, MCA etc)
Scenario Policie
Plans
AN INTRODUCTION
Sustainable Development Trade-Offs
Stagnation Degra dation Ma ldi stribut ion SUST. DEVT. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT SOCIALJUSTICE EQUITY vs. ENVIRONMENT ENVIRONMENTALPROTECTION
Growth vs. Environment Equity vs.
Growth
Environmental Equity in the USA
+ Environmental equity
concerns grew from civil rights movement
+ Concern over siting of
hazardous facilities
+ Very strong protests
over race/poverty bias
+ Inadequate empirical
evidence of bias
The Presidential Order
+
Clinton’s 1994 Executive Order : “Federal
actions to address environmental justice in
minority and low income populations”.
+
Must address “disproportionately high and
Implementing the Order
+
Guidance on implementation of the
Presidential Order emerging via:
! Federal working groups & enforcement actions
(e.g. EPA TWG on EJ assessment of actions proposed re Clean Air Act compliance)
Environmental Equity in Europe
+
UN ECE Aarhus Convention on the
Environment
(adopted 1998, ratified Oct 2001)
! Public access to environmental information
(Directive proposed June 2001)
! Public participation in environmental plans and
programmes (Directive proposed Jan 2001)
! Access to justice in environmental matters
(Directive proposals under discussion)
Environmental Equity in the UK
+
Recent empirical analyses of:
! Landfill sites and health impacts! Exposure to hazardous industrial facilities
! Exposure to air quality (mostly cities by ward)
+
Varied responses (from government,
ENVIRONMENTAL
EQUITY EXAMPLE #1:
AIR QUALITY
RESPONSES TO
ROAD USER CHARGING
The Leeds Study
+
EPSRC-DETR project with Leeds CC
+
Air quality impact of transport strategies:
! Cordon charging (Single and Double)! Distance charging (Charges at 2-20 p/km) ! Network development (Do-All, Do-Min)
! Clean fuel promotion
! Do-nothing, “business as usual” 1993-2015 +
Modelling method
The Env. Equity Analysis
+ Data on a 200m grid:
- modelled annual NO2
- Deprivation index
+ Analysis to assess:
- environmental equity - env equity responses
to transport options
Env. Equity under ‘Do-nothing’
Annua
lm
ea
n
NO
2
ug/
m
3
Disease Burden Assessment
+
All Leeds disease burden from air quality
under 2005 “Do-All” scenario (most likely)
! Deaths BF due to PM10 = 94 ± 5
(2.1% of all deaths)
! RHA’s due to PM10 = 140 ± 1
(2.3% of all RHA’s)
! RHA’s due to NO2 = 62 ±
(1.0% of all RHA’s)
Disease burden from NO
2, 1993
Total NO2 DB in Leeds = 96 RHA / yr
Case Study #1 Findings
+
The ‘poor’ in Leeds suffer significantly greater
NO2
exposure than people of average means
+
Change in inequality is strongly proportional to
change in city-wide air quality
+
All transport options that improve city-wide air
ENVIRONMENTAL
EQUITY EXAMPLE #2:
AIR QUALITY IN
GREAT BRITAIN
Study Objectives
+
To test two common assumptions:
! Disadvantaged groups experience the greatest
pollution exposure
! The poor largely bear the pollution costs of the
affluent
+
To address conflicting results of past ward
Data and Methods
+
Study Area - All 10 444 wards in Britain
+Air quality - Mean annual NO
2per ward
centroid from NETCEN 1999 1 km grid
map
+
Disadvantaged groups:
! Children (1991 census data updated to 1999) ! Non-car owners (1991 data)
! The Poor (1999 Breadline Britain Index)
Age Analysis
1999
annual
mean
NO
2
ug/
m
Age Analysis #2
Rat io NO 2 in upper & lower age decile AgeAbove average NO2
Below average NO2
Children have higher
NO2 exposure….
…..due to parental location choices
Inequality but probably not
injustice
Car Ownership Analysis
1999 annual mean NO 2 ug/ m 31027 wards per no car decile Bars denote 95% CI
‘Many cars’ wards ‘Few cars’ wards
Wards with few cars are most polluted, hence: “Traffic pollution is caused by the better off, but the
Poverty Analysis
1999 annual mean NO 2 ug/ m 3% Households in poverty (BB Index)
1027 wards per poverty decil bars denote 95% CI
‘Affluent’ wards ‘Poor’ wards
Most deprived AND least deprived
experience above average NO2 exposure
Affluent wards pollute most?
+
Annual NOx emission from vehicles
estimated (crudely) for all GB wards:
! DVLA postcoded vehicle data
! 35 vehicle groups (age / cc / fuel type) ! MEET NOx emission factors at 55 kph
(older cars emit more)
! MEET UK age-distance correction
Emission Analysis
+ Less cars and car
use in ‘poor’ wards is balanced by use of older more
polluting vehicles
+ Deprived wards
make significant contributions to vehicle emissions Vehicle NOx emission (tonnes / yr / ward)
% households in poverty
But inequality does occur....
Wards of worst air quality emit least AND are the most deprived
Case Study #2 Findings
+ Children and the poor do experience above average
NO2, but the justice interpretation is not simple
+ The poor do not largely bear the pollution cost of the
affluent, they also contribute significantly to pollution
+ Air quality policy to tackle environmental injustice
should not focus simply on deprived areas, but should focus on a sub-set of deprived areas with poor air quality and few local emissions
ISSUES IN
Measuring Inequality
+
Technical Issues:
! Environmental justice for who?
! What is the appropriate spatial unit of analysis? ! How large should the study area be?
! Env. metrics: exposure or adverse effect? ! Multiple, cumulative and indirect impacts
! Assessing not just facilities, but plans & policies
+
A need for standard assessment methods
Identifying Injustice
+
Understanding causation:
! Inequalities as a product of neighbourhood
transition processes, or discrimination?
+
Is inequality unjust?
! How unequal is unfair?
! Which justice theory (Rawlsian, Utilitarian etc.)
Addressing Injustice
+
Building environmental equity / justice
assessments into policy and plan
evaluation (i.e. all SD trade-offs)
+
Ensure public involvement in equity issues:
! Scoping (e.g. identifying target groups)! Reviewing appraisals
! Agreeing mitigation measures
Publications
Mitchell, G. and Dorling, D. (In press). An Environmental Justice Analysis of British Air Quality, Environment and Planning A
Mitchell, G. (Sub. 10/02). The Response of Urban Air Quality to Strategic Road Transport Initiatives: An Environmental Justice Analysis of Leeds, UK. Transportation Research Part D
Mitchell, G., Namdeo, A., May, A.D. and Milne, D. (Sub. 9/02). Road User Charging and Urban Air Quality: An Empirical Analysis of Leeds, UK.
Transportation Research Part D
Mitchell, G., Namdeo, A., May, A.D. and Milne, D. (2003). The Air Quality Implications of Urban Road User Charging. Transport Engineering and Control, Feb, 352-357.