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Asymmetry Index on Marginal Homogeneity for Square

Contingency Tables with Ordered Categories

Kouji Tahata, Kanau Kawasaki, Sadao Tomizawa

Department of Information Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, Tokyo University of Science, Chiba, Japan

Email: {kouji_tahata, tomizawa}@is.noda.tus.ac.jp, [email protected]

Received December 27, 2011; revised January 25, 2012; accepted February 10, 2012

ABSTRACT

For square contingency tables with ordered categories, the present paper considers two kinds of weak marginal homo- geneity and gives measures to represent the degree of departure from weak marginal homogeneity. The proposed meas- ures lie between –1 to 1. When the marginal cumulative logistic model or the extended marginal homogeneity model holds, the proposed measures represent the degree of departure from marginal homogeneity. Using these measures, three kinds of unaided distance vision data are analyzed.

Keywords: Marginal Homogeneity; Marginal Cumulative Logistic Model; Measure; Square Contingency Table

1. Introduction

Consider an square contingency table with or- dered categories. Let ij denote the probability that an observation will fall in the ith row and jth column of the

table ( ; ). Also let

R R

p

1, ,

i  R j1, , R X and denote the row and column variables, respectively. The marginal homogeneity (MH) model ([1]) is defined by

Y

X Y

i i

FF for i1, , R1

1

i k

k

where

i X

F

p

 1

i Y

i k

k

, F p

1

k kt

t

 1

R

k sk

s

p p

1 1

1

R

X Y

i i

i

with

R

p

p , .

When the MH model does not hold, we are interested in applying the model that has weaker restriction than the MH model. As such a model, for example, there are the marginal cumulative logistic (ML) model ([2]) and the extended marginal homogeneity (EMH) model ([3-5]). We are also interested in considering the other structure of weak MH. The measures to represent the degree of departure from MH are given by, for example, [6,7]. When the structure of weak MH does not hold, we are interested in measuring what degree the departure from weak MH is.

The present paper considers two kinds of structures of weak MH and proposes the measures to represent the

degree of departure from weak MH.

2. Weak Marginal Homogeneity I and

Measure

2.1. Submeasure I

Let

F F

 

 

,

and

* 1

1

X i i

F

F

 ,  

* 2

1

Y i i

F

F  , for .

i1, , R1

   

1 * *

1 2

1 1

R

i i

i F F

 

Note that

  . Assuming that

X Y 0

i i

FF  , consider the submeasure defined by

   

 

1

1

* *

1 1 2

1

4 π

π 4

R

i

i i

i

F F

 

  

 

 

   

,

where

1 1

2 2

sin

Y i i

X Y

i i

F

F F

 

 

 

  

 

 

.

Noting that 01 π 2 1  1

1 1

i , we see that 1)   1 ,

2)    Y 0

i

FFX 0

1, ,R 1

if and only if and i

(i   ), and 3) 11 if and only if FX 0 i

  

and Y 0 (i i

F  1, , R1 1

(2)

2.2. Submeasure II

Let

1

i i

SX  FX SY  1 FY 1, , 1

X Y

SS 1, , 1

, i i for i R . The MH model may be expressed as

i i for i  R

1 1 R X Y i i i S S   

   

. Let 2  

1, , 1

i  R

,

and for ,

 2 sin1

i  2 2 X i X Y i i S S S            ,   * 1 2 i i S   X S   , * 2 2 Y i i S S      

1 * *

1 2 1

R i i S S    2 .

Note that

i1 . Assuming that

X Y 0

i i

SS  , we shall define the submeasure  as

follows;    

  1 2 4 π 4 R i

i i

       * *

2 1 2

1

πi

S S

 

 .

Noting that 0i2 π 2

2 1

   X 0

S , we see that 1)

2 ; 2) if and only if i

1 1

     and

( ); and 3) if and only if

and (i ). When the MH

model holds, equals zero.

0

Y i

Si1,

0

Y i

SSi

,R1 1

X 1,

X Y 0

FFX Y 0

i i

SS

2

  ,R 1  

0

2

2.3. Complete Measure

Assume that i i and

. Con-sider a measure defined by

1 2

2    1  1   1

X

F SX FY0 SY 1

1

 

 

.

We see that 1) , 2) if and only if

i 1 (then i 0) and i (then i  ) for

all i1, , R1, and 3)  1 if and only if X 0 i

F

(then ) and (then ) for all . Thus, indicates that 1R

1

X i

S

1, , 1

i  R

1

Y i

F

  0

Y i S

1

p 1

and the other cell probabilities are zero (say, upper-right- marginal inhomogeneity), and indicates that

1

R and the other cell probabilities are zero (say, lower-left-marginal inhomogeneity). When , we shall refer to this structure as the weak marginal homo- geneity I (WMH-I). We note that if the MH model holds then the structure of WMH-I holds, but the converse does not hold. 1   1  p 0    

Therefore, using the measure , we can see whether

the structure of WMH-I departs toward the upper-right- marginal inhomogeneity or toward the lower-left-margi- nal inhomogeneity. As the measure approaches –1, the departure from WMH-I becomes greater toward the upper-right-marginal inhomogeneity. While as the  approaches 1, it becomes greater toward the lower-left- marginal inhomogeneity.

3. Weak Marginal Homogeneity II and

Measure

Let

1 Pr i X c i k k

T X i X Y p

    

,

1 Pr i Y c i k k

T Y i X Y p

   

1, , 1

i R

,

 , where for 

1 c

k k kk

p p p

  ,

1 c

k k kk

p p p

    , st

s t p   



X Y i i

TT i1, , R1

1

1

.

The MH model may be expressed by

for .

We shall consider the submeasure which is de-  replaced

 

X

i

F and

fined by the submeasure

 

Y

i

F by

 

TiX and

 

Y i T 1 X X i i

U  T UiY  1 TiY i1, , R1

X Y

i i

UU i1, , R1

2

2

, respectively. Let

, for .

The MH model may be expressed by

for .

We shall consider the submeasure which is de-  replaced

X

and

i

S

fined by the submeasure

 

Y

i

S by

 

UiX and

 

Y i

U , respectively.

X Y 0

Ti Ti

0

X Y

i i

U U

and

Assume that    .

Consider a measure defined by

1 2

1

2     

1 1

.

We see that     . Let c

pijpij  (ij). In a similar way to ,  1 c 1

p indicates that 1R

  and

the other pijc are zero (ij) (say, conditional upper- right-marginal inhomogeneity), and indicates that

1 R 1   1 c

p  and the other ij are zero ( ) (say, condi- tional lower-left-marginal inhomogeneity). When

c

p ij

(3)

 

X Y

LL   1, , 1

4. Relationships between Measures and

Models

We shall consider the relationship between the measure (or ) and the ML model. The ML model is given by

i i for i R ,

where log 1 X i X i F F        X i

L  , log

1 Y Y i i Y i F L F         0  

 

.

A special case of this model obtained by putting is the MH model. The ML model may also be expressed as

 

exp 1 exp i X i F i    

, exp

1 exp i Y i i F         1 R 0

 

X Y

i i

,

for i1, , . Therefore, when the ML model holds, 1) if and only if FF , 2)  0 if and

only if

X Y

i i

FF

Y i

, and 3)  0 if and only if

X

i

F F

0

   0 0

0

   0 0

0   0

  0

 

   

1i 2i

G G

 . We obtain the following theorem.

Theorem 1. When the ML model holds,

1) if and only if (  ), 2) if and only if (  ),

3) (i.e., the MH model holds) if and only if

(  ).

Next, we shall consider the relationship between the measure (or ) and the EMH model, defined by

i1, , R1

 

1

1 1

i R

for ,

where i st

s t i

G p

  

2 

1 1

R i

,

i st

s i t

G p    

 

1 .  A special case of this model obtained by putting  is the MH model. Noting that 1  2  X Y

i i

i i

GGFF 1, ,R 1

(i  

1

), we obtain the following theorem. 

Theorem 2. When the EMH model holds,

 if and only if 0

1)    0

1

(  ),  if and only if

2)   0 0

1

(  ),

 (i.e., the MH model holds) if and only if

3)  0

 ( 0). 

Thus, when the ML (EMH) model holds, the measures  and  are adequate to represent the degree of departure from MH.

5. Approximate Confidence Interval for

Measures

Let ij denote the observed frequency in the ith row and

jth column of the table ( ; ). As-

suming that a multinomial distribution applies to the

n

1, ,

i  R j1, , R

R R table, we shall consider an approximate standard error and large-sample confidence interval for the meas- ure , using the delta method, as described by [8]. The sample version of , i.e., ˆ , is given by  with

 

pˆij , where

 

pij replaced by pˆijnij n

nn

and

ij . Using the delta method, we obtain the fol-

lowing theorem.

Theorem 3. n   ˆ

n 

2 ˆ

has asymptotically (as ) a normal distribution with mean zero and vari-ance   , where

2

2 1 1 1 ˆ 4 R R

ij ij ij i j

a b p

 

   

 



,

with

 

 

   

1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1

4 R X Y

Y X

k k

ij k k k

X Y

k k

R i j

F F

a I j k I i k F I j k F

F F               1 1 π k

I i k

   

,

 

 

   

1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 1 4 π X Y R Y X k k

ij k k k

X Y

k

k k

i j

S S

b I i k I j k I i k S I j k S

S S                  

 

2    ,

and II

 

 1

 ˆ

p

is the indicator function, if true, 0 if not.

Also, the sample version of , i.e., , is given by

with

ij replaced by

 

pˆij . We obtain the fol-lowing theorem.

Theorem 4. n

  ˆ

n 

2 ˆ

has asymptotically (as

) a normal distribution with mean zero and vari-  , where

ance

2

2 1 1 1 ˆ 4 R R

ij ij ij i j

j i

c d p

         



, with

 

   

1 3 2 2 1 3 1 1 3 4 π π 4 1 , X Y R

X Y k k X Y Y X

ij k k k k k k k

X Y k k k R X Y k k k T T

c I i k T I j k T I i k T T I j k T T

T T

I i k T I j k T

(4)

 

   

1

4

2 2

1 4

1

2 1

4

4 π

π 4

1

,

X Y

R

X Y k k X Y

ij k k k k k

X Y

k

k k

R

X Y

k k

k

U U

d I i k U I j k U I i k U U I j

U U

I i k U I j k U

 

 

         

  

 

    

Y X

k k

k U U

 



i

1

1

X Y

i i

U U

,

 

1

1

R

X Y

i i

T T

, 4 R

i

 

 

 

3

 

3 sin 1

Y i i

T

2 2

X Y

i i

T T

 

 

 

  

 

,

   

 4 sin1

i 2 2

X i

X Y

i i

U

U U

 

 

 

  

 

.

Let ˆ2 denote

ˆ

 

  2  ˆ with

 

pij replaced by

 

pˆij . Then   ˆ n is estimated approximate

ˆ

, and

ˆ

ror for

standard er  ˆ zp2ˆ  ˆ n is ap-

e 100 1

p

percent confidence interval for proximat

, where zp2 from

ibution co o p. We a

les

m

7477 women aged 30 to 39 employed in Royal Ordnance factories in Britain from 1943 to 1946.

ble 2 that for the data in Table 1(a), the

e measure  is –0.0130 and all is the percentage point the stan- dard mal distr rresponding to a two-tail prob y equal t lso obtain the similar result for measure .

nor abilit

6. Examp

Example 1: Consider the unaided distance vision data in

Table 1(a) taken fro [1]. There are data on unaided

distance vision of

We see from Ta

estimated value of th

values in confidence interval for  are negative. There- fore, the structure of WMH-I for a woman’s right and left eyes departs toward the upper-right-marginal inhomoge- neity. Also we see from Table 3 that for the data in Ta-

ble 1(a), the estimated value of the measure  is

–0.0436 and all values in confiden e interval for c  are negative. Therefore, the structure of WMH-II for a woman’s right and left eyes departs toward the condi- tional upper-right-marginal inhomogeneity.

Table 4 gives the values of likelihood ratio chi-squared

statistic for testing goodness-of-fit of each of MH, L, and EMH models. We see from Table 4 that each of ML

and EMH models fits these data well. Thus the measures  and  would indicate the degree of departure from MH. We can see from these measures that the de

M

gree of de

inhomogeneity which indicates that the grade of right eye for arbitrary woman is “Best” and the grade of her left eye is “Worst”.

Example 2: Consider the unaided vision data in Table

1(b), taken from [9]. We see from Table 2 that for the

Br m

parture from MH for the vision data in Table 1(a) is

estimated to be 1.30 (4.36) percent of the maximum departure toward the (conditional) upper-right-marginal

Table 1. Unaided distance vision data of (a) 7477 women in itain fro [1]; (b) 3242 men in Britain from [9] and (c) 4746 students in Japan from [3].

(a) Women in Britain

Right eye Left eye grade

grade (1) (2) (3) (4) Total

Best (1) 1520 266 124 66 1976

Second (2) 234 1512 432 78 2256

Third (3) 117 362 1772 205 2456

Worst (4) 36 82 179 492 789

Total 1907 2222 2507 841 7477

(b) Men in Britain Right eye Left eye grade

grade (1 1)

) (4) Total

Best ( 821 35 1053

(2) (3)

112 85

Second ( 116 494 145 27

T 72 151 583 87

W 43 106 331

791 919 480 3242

2) 782

hird (3) 893

orst (4)

Total 1052

34 514

(c) Stude apa Right eye

nts in J n Left eye grade

grade (1) (2 (4) Total

Be 1291 130 4

) (3)

st (1) 0 22 1483

Second ( 149 221 114

T 64 124 660

W 20 25 249 1429

1524 500 1063

2) 23 507

hird (3) 185 1033

orst (4) 1723

Total 1659 4746

Table 2. Estimates of , estimated approximate standard errors for ˆ , and

for

approximate 95% confidence intervals , applied to Table

ˆ

1.

Table S. E. C. I.

1(a) –0.0130 0037 0. (–0.0203,–0.0056)

1(b) 0.0055 0.0064 (–0.0071, 0.01

0040 (0.0 0.020

81)

(5)

Table 3. Estim p

ates of timate prox standard

erro ˆ

for lie

, es d ap imate

rs fo, ap

r , and approximate 95% d to Table

confidence intervals 1.

Table ˆ S. E. C. I.

1(a) –0.0436 0.0126 (–0.0683, –0.0190)

1( 0.0201 (–0.0222, 0.0566)

0.0 7 3 (0.0198, .0836)

b) 0.0172

1(c) 51 0.016 0

Table 4. Values of likelihood i-sq

the M L, an mod lied t

ratio ch els app

uared statistic for o Table 1.

H, M d EMH

Applied Degrees of Table

models freedom 1(a) 1(b) 1(c) H 3

M 11.99* 3.68 11.18*

ML 2 0.39 3.16 .41

E 0 2

1

MH 2 .005 .94 0.56

*Mean ant at t vel.

data in Table 1(b) the estimated value of measure

s signific he 0.05 le

 is

H-I in the data in Table 1(b) se Table 3 that for

th Table 1(b), estima of measure

 72 a o r  includes

zero. So this m indicat there structure of WMH-II in the data in Tabl ).

E e 3: C nsider t ta in le 1( en

om [3,10]. We see from that for the data in value of measure 0.0055 and the confidence interval for  includes zero. So this may indicate that there is a structure of WM

. Also we the nfide

e from ted value terval fo e data in

is 0.01 nd the c nce in

ay e that is a

e 1(b

xampl o he da

Table 2

Tab c) tak

fr

Table 1(c), the estimated the  is

0.0125 and all values in confidence interval for 

f

are positive. Therefore, the structure of WMH-I for a stu- dent’s right and left eyes departs toward the lower-left- marginal inhomogeneity. Also we see from Table 3 that

for the data in Table 1(c), the estimated value of the

measure  is 0.0517 and all values in con idence in- terval for  are positive. Therefore, the structure of WMH-II for a student’s right and left eyes departs to- ward the conditional lower-left-marginal inhomogeneity. We see from Table 4 that each of ML and EMH

mod-els fits these data well. Thus the measures  and  would indicate the degree of departure from MH. We can see from these measures that the degree of departure from MH for the vision data in Table 1(c) is estimated to

be 1.25 (5.17) percent of the maximum departure toward the (conditional) lower-left-marginal inhomogeneity which indicates t at the grade of right eye for arbitrary student is “Worst” a d the grade of his/her left eye is “Best”.

7. Concluding Remarks

h

n

Fo

t H

r the analysis of square contingency tables with or- dered categories, when the ML model, or he EM model, or other asymmetry models, for example, [11]’s

conditional symmetry model (defined by pij pji  for ij) holds, the proposed measures  and  are adequate to represent the degree of departure from the MH model toward two maximum departures, i.e., toward

the (conditional) lower-left-marginal inhomogeneity or toward the (conditional) upper-right-marginal inhomoge- neity.

ity (i.e., the

r-lef he -r

8. Discussion

[6,7] considered the measures to represent the degree of departure from MH. The present paper has considered two types of maximum marginal inhomogene

lowe t-marginal inhomogeneity and t upper ight- marginal inhomogeneity). The measures in [6,7] take the value 1 in two types of maximum marginal inhomoge- neity. The measures  and  in the present paper can distinguish these two kinds of maximum marginal inhomogeneity by the values –1 or 1 although the meas- ures in [6,7] cannot distinguish them. Also the proposed esent the degree of departure from MH

to ss measures can repr

when the ML or the EMH models, or the other asym- metry models hold. Therefore for the ordinal data, the proposed measures rather than those in [6,7] may be useful to represent the degree of departure from MH.

9. Acknowledgements

The authors would like expre their sincere thanks to the editor and a referee for their helpful comments.

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[2] A. Agresti, “Analysis of Ordinal Categorical Data,” John

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