Potential and implementation
plans for offshore wind
energy
Hamburg, 21 October
Wojciech P. Cetnarski
is a non-governmental organisation active since 1999,
having more than 100 member companies
a member of:
European Wind Energy Association
Global Wind Energy Council
PWEA
Polish Wind Energy Association
Wind energy development in Poland
Source: Ministry of Economy
Small turbines [MW] Onshore [MW]
Offshore [MW]
Current development status of offshore wind energy in
Europe
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Total – as of 31 12 2012:
• Installed capacity in the EU in 2012: 4 995 MW.
• Such capacity may produce 18 TWh of electricity per year, i.e. 0.5% of total EU electricity demand.
• Offshore wind farms in Europe are located in 10 countries (UK – 2 947.9 MW – 58.9% of Europe's capacity; Denmark - 921 MW – 18.4%).
2012 only:
• Total capacity connected to the grid: 1 166 MW, i.e. 33% more than in 2011 • Investments in excess of – €4 billion.
www.dongenergy.com
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• Growth of the shipyard and naval industry, which is already significantly involved in offshore energy projects on North See.
• Development of the offshore supply chain industries.
• Development of coastal areas – mainly ports and logistic services.
• Greater energy self-reliance.
• Substantial contribution to the achievement of the EU targets and strategies concerning counteracting climate change after 2020.
Offshore wind energy in Poland
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• 65 location applications filed • 25 permits issued
• 8 permits paid for (approximately € 25 million) • 9 permits have expired
• 8 permits awaiting payment (approximately € 10 million) • 23 permits refused łódzkie dolnośląskie kujawsko-pomorskie opolskie ślaskie małopolskie lubelskie święt okrzyskie podkarpackie Szczecin Gdynia/ Gdańsk
Istniejąca infrastruktura portowa
Potencjalne lokalizacje dodatkowej infrastruktury logistycznej dla MEW
Główne lokalizacje potencjalnych MFW (do 6 GW) Granica strefy ekonomicznej
Granica morza terytorialnego
Producenci sprzętu lub komponentów dla MEW w UE Potencjalne lokalizacje infrastruktury technicznej dla MEW w Polsce Kołobrzeg Darłowo Ustka/Słupsk Władysławowo Świnoujście
Existing and potential infrastructural and technological base for offshore wind energy in Poland, E&Y own work
The „Offshore wind energy – analysis of benefits for the
Polish economy and development determinants” report
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• Report developed by Ernst &Young for PWEA
• First report estimating the impact of offshore wind energy
development in Poland on the economy
• Analysis of the current and future offshore wind energy
development until 2025 in 3 installed capacity scenarios and an analysis of investment impact on the Polish economy
www.renewableenergyfocus.com
6,0 3,5 1,0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 GW
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Development of the first investments
(costless operation of the support scheme)
Development scenarios
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The report analyses three offshore wind energy development scenarios for Poland until 2025:
• 6.0 GW – rapid development scenario (base scenario). • 3.5 GW – moderate development scenario.
• 1.0 GW – slow development scenario.
Expected Economic Benefits
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Avoided CO2 Emissions
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Avoided CO2 emissions in the three offshore wind development scenarios until 2025, E&Y own estmates
40 million tCO2 27 million tCO2 2 million tCO2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 GW
Avoided CO2 emission costs – PLN billion Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
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1. Although Poland has very high potential for offshore wind energy development as well as for the development of offshore industry and auxiliary services no clear regulatory framework for offshore has been proposed by the government so far.
2. Works on the draft RES Act, transposing the RES Directive and redefining the RES support system (RES Act) is currently being finalized by the government, bot no details regarding offshore wind support mechanism were published up to date.
3. Without such a clear and supporting RES Act, defining the support for offshore wind, Poland is going to play only a secondary role in development of this industry.
Regulatory Environment
Summary
1. Offshore wind energy is a great opportunity for the national shipbuilding and port industry, where Poland has substantial experience and competence.
2. Ensuring relevant logistical base for offshore projects in Poland will not only boost development of coastal areas, but also contribute to the decrease of actual costs of the projects, i.e. the decrease of support and logistics costs.
3. For several years Polish entrepreneurs have been demonstrating their strength and determination, winning contracts in the offshore sector, building ships, towers, foundations, platforms and equipment for offshore wind farms.
4. The use of the Poland’s potential and the support for the Polish
economy by offshore wind energy investments will be possible only if clear and stable regulatory solutions for the sector are implemented.
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