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Malaria, malnutrition, and birthweight:

A meta-analysis using individual participant

data

Jordan E. Cates1*, Holger W. Unger2,3, Valerie Briand4, Nadine Fievet4, Innocent Valea5,6, Halidou Tinto5,6, Umberto D’Alessandro7, Sarah H. Landis8, Seth Adu-Afarwuah9, Kathryn G. Dewey10, Feiko O. ter Kuile11, Meghna Desai12, Stephanie Dellicour11, Peter Ouma13, Julie Gutman12, Martina Oneko13,

Laurence Slutsker14, Dianne J. Terlouw11,15, Simon Kariuki13, John Ayisi13, Mwayiwawo Madanitsa11,16, Victor Mwapasa16, Per Ashorn17, Kenneth Maleta16, Ivo Mueller18, Danielle Stanisic19, Christentze Schmiegelow20, John P. A. Lusingu20,21, Anna Maria van Eijk11, Melissa Bauserman22,23, Linda Adair23, Stephen R. Cole1, Daniel Westreich1‡, Steven Meshnick1‡, Stephen Rogerson3‡

1 Department of Epidemiology, UNC-Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America, 2 Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Edinburgh Royal Infirmary, Edinburgh, United Kingdom, 3 Department of Medicine at the Doherty Institute, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia, 4 UMR216-MERIT, French National Research Institute for Sustainable Development (IRD), Paris Descartes University, Paris, France, 5 Unite de Recherche Clinique de Nanoro, Institut de Recherche en Sciences de la Sante´-DRO, Dioulasso, Burkina Faso, 6 Departement de Recherche Clinique, Centre Muraz, Bobo-Dioulasso, Burkina Faso, 7 Medical Research Council Unit, The Gambia; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom, 8 Worldwide Epidemiology, GlaxoSmithKline, Uxbridge, United Kingdom, 9 Department of Nutrition and Food Science, University of Ghana, Legon, Accra, Ghana, 10 Department of Nutrition, University of California, Davis, California, United States of America, 11 Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, United Kingdom, 12 Malaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases and Malaria, Center for Global Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America, 13 Kenya Medical Research Institute (KEMRI)/ Centre for Global Health Research, Kisumu, Kenya, 14 Malaria and Neglected Tropical Diseases, Center for Malaria Control and Elimination, PATH, Seattle, Washington, United States of America,

15 Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi, 16 School of Public Health and Family Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Malawi, Blantyre, Malawi, 17 Center for Child Health Research University of Tampere School of Medicine and Tampere University Hospital, Tampere, Finland, 18 Walter and Eliza Hall Institute, Parkville, Victoria, Australia, 19 Institute for Glycomics, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia, 20 Centre for Medical Parasitology, Depart. Of Immunology and Microbiology, Faculty of Health Science, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark, 21 National Institute for Medical Research, Tanga Centre, Tanga, Tanzania, 22 Department of Pediatrics, Division of Neonatal-Perinatal Medicine, School of Medicine, UNC-Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America, 23 Department of Nutrition, UNC-Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America

‡These authors are joint senior authors on this work.

*[email protected]

Abstract

Background

Four studies previously indicated that the effect of malaria infection during pregnancy on the risk of low birthweight (LBW;<2,500 g) may depend upon maternal nutritional status. We investigated this dependence further using a large, diverse study population.

a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 a1111111111 OPEN ACCESS

Citation: Cates JE, Unger HW, Briand V, Fievet N,

Valea I, Tinto H, et al. (2017) Malaria, malnutrition, and birthweight: A meta-analysis using individual participant data. PLoS Med 14(8): e1002373.

https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002373

Academic Editor: Lorenz von Seidlein,

Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, THAILAND

Received: March 6, 2017

Accepted: July 11, 2017

Published: August 8, 2017

Copyright: This is an open access article, free of all

copyright, and may be freely reproduced, distributed, transmitted, modified, built upon, or otherwise used by anyone for any lawful purpose. The work is made available under theCreative Commons CC0public domain dedication.

Data Availability Statement: Data are available

from the WWARN data repository (http://www. wwarn.org/working-together/sharing-data/ accessing-data) for researchers who meet the criteria for access to confidential data.

Funding: JC was funded by the National Institute of

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Methods and findings

We evaluated the interaction between maternal malaria infection and maternal anthropo-metric status on the risk of LBW using pooled data from 14,633 pregnancies from 13 studies (6 cohort studies and 7 randomized controlled trials) conducted in Africa and the Western Pacific from 1996–2015. Studies were identified by the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative using a convenience sampling approach and were eligible for pooling given adequate ethical approval and availability of essential variables. Study-specific adjusted effect estimates were calculated using inverse probability of treatment-weighted linear and log-binomial regression models and pooled using a random-effects model. The adjusted risk of delivering a baby with LBW was 8.8% among women with malaria infection at antena-tal enrollment compared to 7.7% among uninfected women (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 1.14 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.91, 1.42]; N = 13,613), 10.5% among women with malaria infection at delivery compared to 7.9% among uninfected women (aRR 1.32 [95% CI: 1.08, 1.62]; N = 11,826), and 15.3% among women with low mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC<23 cm) at enrollment compared to 9.5% among women with MUAC23 cm (aRR 1.60 [95% CI: 1.36, 1.87]; N = 9,008). The risk of delivering a baby with LBW was 17.8% among women with both malaria infection and low MUAC at enrollment compared to 8.4% among uninfected women with MUAC23 cm (joint aRR 2.13 [95% CI: 1.21, 3.73]; N = 8,152). There was no evidence of synergism (i.e., excess risk due to interaction) between malaria infection and MUAC on the multiplicative (p = 0.5) or additive scale (p = 0.9). Results were similar using body mass index (BMI) as an anthropometric indicator of nutritional status. Meta-regression results indicated that there may be multiplicative inter-action between malaria infection at enrollment and low MUAC within studies conducted in Africa; however, this finding was not consistent on the additive scale, when accounting for multiple comparisons, or when using other definitions of malaria and malnutrition. The major limitations of the study included availability of only 2 cross-sectional measurements of malaria and the limited availability of ultrasound-based pregnancy dating to assess impacts on preterm birth and fetal growth in all studies.

Conclusions

Pregnant women with malnutrition and malaria infection are at increased risk of LBW com-pared to women with only 1 risk factor or none, but malaria and malnutrition do not act synergistically.

Author summary

Why was this study done?

• More than 125 million pregnant women are at risk of malaria in pregnancy annually, producing detrimental effects on maternal, newborn, and infant health.

• Maternal undernutrition is estimated to be responsible for 800,000 newborn deaths annually.

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• Prior evidence from 4 small studies indicated that the harmful impact of malaria on fetal growth and birthweight (BW) may depend upon the macronutrient nutritional sta-tus of the mother.

• If malaria and maternal undernutrition have synergistic negative impacts on pregnancy outcomes, interventions targeted to high-risk women might provide substantial public benefit.

• The present study provides a robust assessment of potential malaria–nutrition interac-tions in pregnancy and overcomes size and methodological limitainterac-tions of earlier explor-atory studies.

What did the researchers do and find?

• We present a large, pooled analysis of individual participant data from 13 studies con-ducted in sub-Saharan Africa and the Western Pacific investigating the interaction between maternal malaria infection and malnutrition on the risk of low birthweight (LBW) and reduced mean BW.

• The findings suggest that women who are both infected with malaria and malnourished are at greater risk of LBW than their uninfected, well-nourished counterparts.

• However, the study found no conclusive evidence of interaction between the 2, i.e., the impact of malaria on BW was independent of the macronutrient nutritional status of the mother.

• Subgroup analyses did find that studies conducted just in Africa had slight evidence of interaction, but this was not consistent throughout all analyses.

What do these findings mean?

• Although there was no overall evidence of malaria–nutrition interactions, more than 1 in 3 pregnant women suffered from malaria and/or undernutrition, emphasizing the importance of joint approaches to decrease maternal malaria and improve nutrition to minimize adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Introduction

Annually, over 20 million infants are born low birthweight (LBW;<2,500 g), predominantly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) [1]. LBW can have negative impacts on neona-tal morneona-tality and childhood neurological, metabolic, and physical development [2]. The World Health Organization (WHO) has set a Global Nutrition Target of 30% reduction in LBW by 2025 [1].

One preventable cause of LBW in LMICs is maternal malaria infection [2,3]. Its prevalence remains high, despite targeted malaria prevention programs [2]. Annually, 125 million preg-nant women are at risk for malaria [4]. The predominant species,Plasmodium falciparum,

the polymerase chain reaction testing of the sexually transmitted infections. The IPTp study (Papua New Guinea [PNG]) was funded by the MiP Consortium, through a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (46099); the Pregvax Consortium, through a grant from the EU FP7-2007-HEALTH (PREGVAX 201588) and the Spanish Government (EUROSALUD 2008 Programme); and Pfizer Inc., through an investigator-initiated research grant (WS394663). The Sek study (PNG) was supported by AusAID (grant to PNG Institute of Medical Research [IMR]), the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia; Australian Research Council; Wellcome Trust; and Veterans Affairs Research Service. The Walter and Eliza Hall Institute is supported by the NHMRC Infrastructure for Research Institutes Support Scheme and Victorian State Government Operational Infrastructure Support. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

Competing interests: The authors of this

manuscript have the following competing interests: SHL is is a full-time employee of GlaxoSmithKline and holds shares in GlaxoSmithKline. SR is a member of the Editorial Board of PLOS Medicine.

Abbreviations: aRR, adjusted risk ratio; BMI, body

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sequesters in the placenta, causing LBW through fetal growth restriction (FGR) and preterm delivery [2]. Prior estimates from Africa suggest that malaria infection doubles the risk of LBW [2,4]. The prevention of malaria infection during pregnancy remains a public health priority.

Another modifiable risk factor for impaired fetal growth is maternal malnutrition, specifi-cally undernutrition [5]. Up to 20% of African women of reproductive age are undernourished [5–7]. Maternal protein-energy-fat (macronutrient) and micronutrient reserves and dietary consumption influence fetal growth. Micronutrient deficiencies are difficult and costly to assess; therefore, anthropometrics are commonly used as sensitive but nonspecific indicators of protein reserves, fat stores, and malnutrition more broadly [7].

Recent evidence indicates that the relationship between malaria infection and LBW may depend upon the mother’s nutritional status [8]. Studies in Papua New Guinea (PNG) and Benin found inconsistent evidence of modification of the malaria infection–LBW relationship by maternal anthropometric status, but studies from Kenya and the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) reported significant modification [9–12]. Notably, in the DRC, the risk of FGR associated with malaria infection was 2 to 8 times higher among malnourished women [11]. Malaria infection and malnutrition may act along similar physiological pathways by affecting placental development and nutrient transfer [2,4,5].

To date, work on this potential interaction has been limited to 4 studies, with only 1,318 pregnant women from Africa and 1,369 pregnant women from PNG. Not only were these studies somewhat inconsistent in their findings, but their interpretation is hindered by rela-tively small sample sizes, and their findings may not be generalizable to other malaria-endemic countries. The objective of this study was to investigate the putative interaction between maternal malaria infection and malnutrition in relation to birthweight (BW) using a large, pooled dataset of 14,633 live birth pregnancies from women participating in 13 studies con-ducted in multiple LMICs. We hypothesized that there would be a synergistic interaction, such that the observed joint effect of being both infected with malaria and malnourished would be greater than expected if considering each exposure independently.

Methods

Study population

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was shared by each individual study using a standardized data transfer file. Participating stud-ies had been undertaken for a range of objectives, including investigation of the mechanisms leading to LBW as a result of malaria, evaluation of antimalarial interventions during preg-nancy such as intermittent preventive therapy during pregpreg-nancy (IPTp) or insecticide-treated bed nets (ITN), or the assessment of the potential of nutritional supplementation during preg-nancy to improve birth outcomes (S1 Table). All studies received approval by their local ethics board and obtained informed consent from all participants. The prospective protocol for the IPD analysis is included in the supplemental text (S2 Text).

Outcomes and exposures

The main outcome measure was BW, analyzed both continuously and dichotomized at 2,500 grams (LBW) [1]. Ten studies used digital scales to weigh newborns, 2 studies used spring or digital scales, and 1 study used a hanging weighing scale (S2 Table). Weights measured after 24 hours (13% of weights) were adjusted using a cubic regression model to account for weight changes in the first week of life [26]. Among 9 studies with ultrasound-dated gestational age, we considered 2 secondary outcomes: small for gestational age (SGA; a BW less than the 10th percentile of the INTERGROWTH-21streference) and preterm birth (PTB; gestational age less than 37 weeks) [27].

Diagnostics for malaria were collected at study enrollment and at delivery. For the interac-tion analyses, we chose to focus on malaria infecinterac-tion at enrollment instead of at delivery for 2 reasons. First, from a public health perspective, if there was interaction at the time of study enrollment, this might help inform future interventions that could be implemented during antenatal care. Second, it has been hypothesized that malaria infection and malnutrition may act along similar physiological pathways to alter fetal growth by decreasing maternal–fetal oxy-gen transfer and reducing uteroplacental blood flow; 2 mechanisms that would be altered ear-lier in pregnancy versus at delivery. At study enrollment, we defined malaria based on LM examination of a Giemsa-stained peripheral blood smear or a RDT for malaria antigen [28]. At delivery, we defined malaria based on peripheral or placental LM or placental histology (active or past infection). Given the uncertain impact of submicroscopic infections on LBW and the variation in the availability of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) diagnostics across studies, we excluded PCR results [29]. In sensitivity analyses, we explored alternative defini-tions of malaria, including any PCR results and “any malaria,” defined as a positive LM, RDT, or PCR at enrollment, delivery, or during pregnancy (in 5 studies with repeat malaria diagnos-tics throughout pregnancy).

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Risk of bias assessment

We developed a checklist of study characteristics for each of the included individual studies to assess the risk of bias for the main evaluation of the interaction between malaria infection and maternal malnutrition on BW. Criteria were specific to the research question and were informed by the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, Downs and Black instrument, and the Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology checklist [32–34]. For each included study, we eval-uated the individual study publications or contacted individual study collaborators to identify the following items to categorize studies as being either at lower or higher risk of bias: partici-pant retention rate (<75% versus75%), measurement of important confounders (maternal age, gravidity, rural versus urban residence, HIV infection, and anemia at enrollment), clearly described measurement of malaria parasitemia, measurement of MUAC and/or BMI,>80% of BWs measured using electronic scale with known precision20 g, and>80% BWs mea-sured within 24 hours. Studies were defined as at lower risk of bias if every item was deter-mined to be at a lower risk of bias.

Statistical analysis

We analyzed maternal malaria infection and malnutrition as coprimary exposures and assessed malnutrition as a modifier of the malaria–LBW relationship. While effect measure modification (EMM) assesses how the effect of 1 exposure varies across strata of another vari-able, interaction analyses assess the joint effects of 2 exposures [35]. We performed both inter-action and EMM analyses; however, in the context of this work, interinter-action is preferable to EMM because interventions for both malaria infection and malnutrition might prevent LBW.

There are 2 commonly employed approaches for handling individual pooled data, a 1-stage and a 2-stage approach, although there is no consensus as to which approach is preferable [36–38]. We employed a 2-stage approach, as it is generally considered more easily interpret-able and allows the investigator to visually present forest plots and quantify statistical heteroge-neity [36]. We examined the consistency of results with a 1-stage approach, fitting a

generalized mixed model with random intercepts and slopes. Study-specific risk ratios (RRs) and mean BW differences were calculated using linear and log-binomial regression models controlling for confounding using inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW) truncated at the 1st and 99th percentiles. A minimally sufficient set of confounders was identified using a directed acyclic graph based upon background knowledge of covariate relationships [39]. We identified confounders for both malaria infection and malnutrition relative to LBW since we were analyzing them as coprimary exposures. Confounders for the relationship between malaria infection at enrollment and LBW included maternal age, gravidity, rural versus urban residence, malnutrition (MUAC when available, otherwise BMI), and HIV infection. Because malaria infection is a cause of anemia, the latter was considered a mediator and not a con-founder. We explored modification of the effect of malaria infection at enrollment on LBW by maternal gravidity and doses of intermittent preventive therapy (IPTp) received. When assess-ing malaria infection at delivery, anemia at enrollment and the number of IPTp doses were considered additional confounders. Confounders for the malnutrition–LBW relationship included maternal age, gravidity, rural versus urban residence, anemia at enrollment, and HIV infection. Partially missing data were imputed using multivariate normal multiple imputation

(S1 Text) [40]. We calculated interaction estimates using a product term in the multiplicative

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term greater than 1 on the multiplicative scale or greater than 0 on the additive scale is indica-tive of synergistic interaction between malaria infection and malnutrition.

Study-specific estimates were pooled using DerSimonian and Laird restricted maximum likelihood method random-effects models [41]. Whenτ2

, the estimated variance of the ran-dom-effects distribution, was greater than 0, we calculated 95% population effects intervals (PEI), which incorporate the estimated variance between studies [41]. Ifτ2equaled 0, the ran-dom-effects model was interpreted as a fixed-effects model. We decided a priori to evaluate the modification of the results by time period (before versus after 2008) due to changes in anti-malarial recommendations, study type (trial/cohort), location (Africa/Western Pacific), and the study-level prevalence of malaria infection at study enrollment and delivery based on the individual study data, using meta-regression. We further decided post hoc to conduct a sensi-tivity analysis for the interaction analyses restricted to adolescent women.

Results

Using a convenience sample approach, a total of 18 studies were considered for inclusion by the time of our inclusion cutoff date (1 January 2016), of which 13 were included in the pooled analysis (Fig 1). We excluded 5 studies: 2 studies did not assess malaria at antenatal enrollment [42,43], 1 study had data that were not yet available for inclusion [44], 1 recruited women com-paratively late in pregnancy [10], and 1 had not directly measured the number of sulfadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP) doses given for IPTp [45]. Following the cutoff date, 5 further studies were identified, of which 4 could be eligible with a collective sample size of 3,528 pregnant women (S3 Table) [46–50].

Study population characteristics

Twenty-five percent of the pooled dataset comprised adolescent women aged 19 or younger. The trimester at enrollment, anemia prevalence, gravidity distribution, area of residence, and HIV prevalence varied across studies (Tables1and2). The prevalence of malaria infection at enrollment, malaria infection at delivery, low MUAC, and joint malaria infection at enroll-ment and low MUAC also varied by study (Fig 2andS5 Fig). Among 8,152 women with both measurements, only 2% had both low MUAC and malaria infection at enrollment. The preva-lence of malaria infection among women with low MUAC was 16%, compared to 12% among well-nourished women (p= 0.0005). The prevalence of low BMI varied across studies and was different from, although correlated with, the prevalence of low MUAC (χ2p<0.0001;S1 Fig). The joint prevalence of malaria infection at enrollment and low BMI was also 2%. Of all 14,633 women, 35% were infected with malaria at either enrollment or delivery or had low MUAC or BMI. The prevalence of LBW was 9% (range 5% to 15% among studies). Among 9 studies with ultrasound-dated gestational age, the prevalence of SGA was 19% (range 13% to 25%), and the prevalence of PTB was 11% (range 3% to 20%).

Five of the thirteen included studies were judged to be at a lower risk of bias for the assess-ment of interaction between malaria infection and maternal malnutrition on BW (S4 Table). Among the 8 other studies, 3 had a<75% retention rate for the primary outcome, 5 did not measure at least 80% of BWs with an electronic scale with known precision20 g, and 3 did not measure at least 80% of BWs within 24 hours.

Independent effects of malaria infection and malnutrition

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effect of malaria infection at delivery was more pronounced: aRR, 1.32 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.62;

τ2= 0.04 [95% CI: 0.00, 0.39]; 95% PEI: 0.91, 1.91) (Fig 3b). When considering SGA and PTB as secondary outcomes, results were similar for malaria infection at enrollment and attenuated for malaria infection at delivery (S5 Table). The effect of malaria infection at enrollment was attenuated among those with more than 1 IPTp dose versus 1 or 0 doses (aRR 0.98 versus 1.22) and was slightly stronger among primi/secundigravid versus multigravida women (aRR 1.19 versus 1.14). A slightly stronger effect of malaria infection was seen among women enrolled in studies conducted prior to 2008, in Africa, or with malaria infection prevalence at or above the median (S2 Fig).

The aRR for the effect of low MUAC on LBW was 1.60 (95% CI: 1.36, 1.87;τ2= 0 [95% CI: 0.00, 0.05]); the mean BW difference was−142 g (95% CI:−171,−113;τ2= 0 [95% CI: 0, 100] (Fig 4a). Results were similar for low BMI: aRR, 1.49 (95% CI: 1.26, 1.76;τ2= 0 [95% CI: 0.00, 0.16]); mean BW difference−133 g (95% CI:−158,−108;τ2= 0 [95% CI: 0.00, 0.00]) (Fig 4b). There was no modification by study characteristics on the malnutrition–LBW relationship

(S3 Fig). Similar but weaker trends were observed when SGA was used as the outcome among

Fig 1. Flow diagram of studies included in the individual participant meta-analysis of the interaction between malaria infection and maternal malnutrition on birthweight. M3, Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition Initiative.

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the studies with ultrasound data, but low MUAC or low BMI were significantly associated with an increased risk of PTB (S5 Table).

Interaction and EMM

The joint aRR for both malaria infection at enrollment and low MUAC was 2.13 (95% CI: 1.21, 3.73;τ2= 0.25 [95% CI: 0.00, 1.82]; 95% PEI: 0.80, 5.67), and the mean BW difference was Table 1. The characteristics of women included in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative from the following 6 out of 13 M3 studies: Kisumu-Kenya, IPTp-PNG, ISTp-Malawi, STOPMIP-Kenya, LAIS-Malawi, and iLiNS-Ghana.

Kisumu-Kenya (N = 3,388)

IPTp-PNG (N = 1,943)

ISTp-Malawi (N = 1,602)

STOPMIP-Kenya (N = 1,203)

LAIS-Malawi (N = 1,190)

iLiNS-Ghana (N = 1,068) Study enrollment (years) 1996–2001 2009–2013 2011–2013 2012–2015 2003–2006 2009–2012

Maternal age 20 (18–24) 24 (20–28) 21 (18–26) 22 (19–27) 24 (20–29) 26 (22–30)

Gravidity

1 (Primi-) 1,656 (49) 966 (50) 542 (34) 403 (34) 267 (22) 349 (33)

2 (Secundi-) 748 (22) 494 (21) 448 (28) 237 (20) 213 (18) 351 (33)

3+ (Multi-) 984 (29) 573 (29) 612 (38) 563 (47) 710 (60) 368 (34)

Trimester*

1 0 (0) 72 (4) 0 (0) 21 (2) 0 (0) 103 (10)

2 0 (0) 1,780 (92) 1,585 (99) 991 (82) 1,190 (100) 881 (82)

3 3,388 (100) 91 (5) 17 (1) 191 (16) 0 (0) 81 (8)

Missing GA 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 3 (0)

Anemic†

Yes 2,548 (75) 1,348 (69) 533 (33) 591 (49) 459 (39) 305 (29)

No 808 (24) 512 (26) 1,069 (67) 612 (51) 731 (61) 763 (71)

Missing 32 (1) 83 (4) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0)

HIV

Yes 810 (24) – 0 (0) 0 (0) 144 (12) 0 (0)

No 2,560 (76) – 1,602 (100) 1,203 (100) 931 (78) 1,059 (99)

Missing 18 (1) 1,943 (100) 0 (0) 0 (0) 115 (10) 9 (1)

Area of Residence

Rural 722 (21) 1,185 (61) 1,590 (99) 1027 (85) 1,190 (100) 0 (0)

Urban 2,666 (77) 758 (39) 10 (1) 169 (14) 0 (0) 1,068 (100)

Missing 0 (0) 0 (0) 2 (0) 7 (1) 0 (0) 0 (0)

IPTp doses 0 (0–0) 1 (1–3) 4 (3–4)‡ 2 (1–3)4 (2–4)

Bed net ownership

Yes – 1,798 (93) 327 (20) 681 (57) 877 (74) –

No – 145 (7) 1,275 (80) 522 (43) 313 (26) –

Missing 3,388 (100) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 1,068 (100)

Categorical variables are expressed as N (%) and continuous variables are expressed as median (IQR). A dash indicates information on particular factor was not assessed in parent study.

*Based on ultrasound if measured, otherwise based on Ballard’s score or symphysis-pubis fundal height (SFH). When using SFH, to adjust for misclassification in the first trimester, a fundal height<7 cm was defined as first trimester, while SFH<28 cm was defined as second trimester, and SFH28 cm was defined as third trimester.

Anemic = hemoglobin<11 g/dL of venous blood, if available, or hematocrit<33% in the first and third trimesters and less than 10.5 g/dL and 32%, respectively, for the second trimester.

Excluding women randomized to the intermittent screening and treatment group.

GA, gestational age; iLiNS, International Lipid-Based Nutrient Supplements; IPTp, intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy; ISTp, intermittent screening for malaria infection during pregnancy; LAIS, Lungwena Antenatal Intervention Study; M3, Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition; PNG, Papua New Guinea; STOPMIP, strategies to prevent malaria infection during pregnancy.

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−163 g (95% CI:−253,−75;τ2= 6,995 [95% CI: 0, 58,414]; 95% PEI:−328, 0). The multiplica-tive interaction term for LBW was 1.30 (95% CI: 0.62, 2.72;τ2= 0.37 [95% CI: 0.00, 3.97]; 95% PEI: 0.39, 4.31), the additive interaction term for LBW was−0.01 (95% CI:−0.09, 0.08;

τ2= 0.003 [95% CI: 0.00, 0.04]; 95% PEI:−0.11, 0.09), and the additive interaction term for Table 2. The characteristics of women included in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative from the following 7 out of 13 M3 studies: FSP/MISAME-BF, STOPPAM-Benin, STOPPAM-Tanzania, ITN-Kenya, EMEP/IPTp-MON-Kenya, Sek-PNG, ECHO-DRC.

FSP/ MISAME-BF (N = 1020)

STOPPAM-Benin (N = 791)

STOPPAM-Tanzania (N = 789)

ITN- Kenya (N = 711)

EMEP/IPTp-MON-Kenya (N = 471)

Sek-PNG (N = 293)

ECHO- DRC (N = 164)

Study enrollment (years)

2006–2008 2008–2010 2008–2010 1996–1999 2011–2013 2005–2007 2005–2006

Maternal age 23 (19.5–28) 25 (22–30) 26 (22–31) 24 (20–30) 24 (20–30) 24 (21–28) 27 (23.5–31) Gravidity

1 (Primi-) 205 (20) 147 (19) 162 (21) 127 (18) 94 (20) 115 (39) 43 (26)

2 (Secundi-) 216 (21) 173 (22) 201 (25) 118 (17) 77 (16) 54 (18) 22 (13)

3+ (Multi-) 599 (59) 471 (59) 426 (54) 466 (66) 300 (64) 124 (42) 99 (60)

Trimester*

1 385 (38) 174 (22) 88 (11) 3 (0) 67 (14) 0 (0) 6 (4)

2 595 (58) 616 (78) 701 (89) 376 (53) 247 (52) 214 (73) 158 (96)

3 40 (4) 1 (0) 0 (0) 292 (41) 140 (30) 75 (26) 0 (0)

Missing GA 0 (0) 0 (0) 0 (0) 40 (6) 17 (4) 4 (1) 0 (0)

Anemic†

Yes 372 (36) 354 (45) 289 (37) 416 (59) 169 (36) 272 (93) 43 (26)

No 630 (62) 433 (55) 497 (63) 293 (41) 297 (63) 21 (7) 107 (65)

Missing 18 (2) 4 (1) 3 (0) 2 (0) 5 (1) 0 (0) 14 (9)

HIV

Yes – 13 (2) 39 (4) 51 (7) 0 (0) – 4 (2)

No – 699 (88) 693 (88) 234 (33) 468 (99) – 160 (98)

Missing 1,020 (100) 79 (10) 57 (7) 426 (60) 3 (1) 293 (100) 0 (0)

Area of Residence

Rural 1,020 (100) 791 (100) 430 (55) 711 (100) 471 (100) 282 (96) 0 (0)

Urban 0 (0) 0 (0) 354 (45) 0 (0) 0 (0) 8 (3) 164 (100)

Missing 0 (0) 0 (0) 5 (1) 0 (0) 0 (0) 3 (1) 0 (0)

IPTp dosage 2 (1–2) 2 (2–2) 2 (2–2) 0 (0–0) 3 (2–3) – 2 (2–2)

Bed net ownership

Yes – 254 (32) 571 (72) 348 (49) – 240 (82) 164 (100)

No – 537 (68) 52 (7) 363 (51) – 49 (17) 0 (0)

Missing 1,020 (100) 0 (0) 166 (21) 0 (0) 471 (100) 4 (1) 0 (0)

Categorical variables are expressed as N (%) and continuous variables are expressed as median (IQR). A dash indicates information on particular factor was not assessed in parent study.

*Based on ultrasound if measured, otherwise based on Ballard’s score or symphysis-pubis fundal height (SFH). When using SFH, to adjust for misclassification in the first trimester, a fundal height<7 cm was defined as first trimester, while SFH<28 cm was defined as second trimester, and SFH28 cm was defined as third trimester.

Anemic = hemoglobin<11 g/dL of venous blood, if available, or hematocrit<33% in the first and third trimesters and less than 10.5 g/dL and 32%, respectively, for the second trimester.

BF, Burkina Faso; DRC, Democratic Republic of the Congo; EMEP, Evaluation of Medications used in Early Pregnancy; GA, gestational age; IPTp, intermittent preventive treatment in pregnancy; ITN, insecticide-treated bed nets; M3, Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition; PNG, Papua New Guinea; STOPPAM, Strategies to Prevent Pregnancy-Associated Malaria.

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mean BW difference was 38 g (95% CI:−90, 166;τ2= 17,198 [95% CI: 0, 120,165]; 95% PEI:−219, 295). Sensitivity analyses that varied the definitions of malaria, malnutrition, out-come, and analytic approach largely did not qualitatively alter the results; however, restriction to adolescent women did suggest potential multiplicative and additive interaction between low MUAC and malaria infection at enrollment among this subgroup (product term 2.49 [95% CI: 0.88, 7.02]; additive interaction term 0.08 [95% CI:−0.07, 0.22]) (S6 Table). Additionally, meta-regression indicated apparent multiplicative interaction and slight additive interaction between MUAC and malaria infection at enrollment among studies conducted in Africa (mul-tiplicative interaction term, 2.47 [95% CI: 1.12, 5.42]; additive interaction contrast, 0.06 [95% CI:−0.05, 0.17]S4 Fig), but this interaction was not seen when assessing malaria infection at delivery or BMI or when accounting for multiple comparisons with a Bonferroni correction (99% CI: 0.88, 6.95). In EMM analyses, the aRR for the effect of malaria infection at enrollment on LBW among low MUAC women was 1.32 (95% CI: 0.66, 2.63;τ2= 0.43 [95% CI: 0.00, 3.40]; 95% PEI: 0.36, 4.79), compared to 0.98 (95% CI: 0.74, 1.29;τ2= 0 [95% CI: 0.00, 0.32]) among well-nourished women.

The joint aRR for both malaria infection at delivery and low MUAC was 2.16 (95% CI: 1.25, 3.74;τ2= 0.23 [95% CI: 0.00, 1.61]; 95% PEI: 0.84, 5.55), and the mean BW difference was

−196 g (95% CI:−301,−92;τ2= 10,904 [95% CI: 0, 86,721]; 95% PEI:−401, 8). The multiplica-tive interaction term for LBW was 0.82 (95% CI: 0.50, 1.33;τ2= 0 [95% CI: 0.00, 3.79]), the additive interaction term for LBW was−0.01 (95% CI:−0.10, 0.07;τ2= 0 [95% CI: 0.00, 0.06]), Fig 2. Prevalence of malaria infection at enrollment, malnutrition (mid-upper arm circumference [MUAC]<23 cm or body mass index [BMI]<18.5 kg/m2), and joint malaria infection and malnutrition among 14,633 live birth pregnancies from women

participating in studies (years 1996–2015) included in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative.

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and the additive interaction term for mean BW difference was−49 g (95% CI:−190, 93;τ2= 20,087 [95% CI: 0, 154,675]; 95% PEI:−326, 229).

Discussion

Using the large M3 initiative dataset, we found that pregnant women who were both infected with malaria and malnourished were at greater risk of LBW and reduced mean BW compared to their uninfected, well-nourished counterparts, but there was overall no convincing evidence of synergism, i.e., excess risk due to interaction. This finding was consistent for both time points of malaria diagnosis (at enrollment and delivery) and both definitions of malnutrition (MUAC and BMI). This suggests that malaria infection and malnutrition largely act indepen-dently to influence fetal growth and gestational length.

A 2004 review estimated that women infected with placental malaria were twice as likely to have a LBW infant [51]. Our findings are broadly consistent with this review, although with Fig 3. The independent effects of (a) malaria infection at enrollment and (b) malaria infection at delivery on risk of low birthweight and mean birthweight among women enrolled in 1 of 13 studies from the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative. The inverse probability of treatment weighted (IPTW) estimates controlled for confounding between malaria at enrollment and low birthweight (LBW) by maternal age, gravidity, area of residence, mid-upper arm circumference at enrollment, and HIV infection. IPTW estimates controlled for confounding between malaria at delivery and LBW and additionally controlled for anemia and number of doses of antimalarial intermittent preventive therapy received during pregnancy. aRR, adjusted risk ratio; BF, Burkina Faso; BW, Birthweight; CI, Confidence interval; DRC, Democratic Republic of the Congo; LBW, Low birthweight; N/A, not available; N/C, no model convergence; PNG, Papua New Guinea.

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weaker effects on LBW (overall aRR for malaria infection at delivery: 1.32 [95% CI: 1.08, 1.62], aRR restricted to African studies: 1.55 [95% CI: 1.29, 1.85]), possibly reflecting increased access to preventive strategies and fewer chronic infections [3,4]. In support of this hypothesis, the effect of malaria infection on LBW appears lower in women who received more doses of IPTp. The effects of malaria infection at enrollment on LBW were weaker than at delivery, contra-dicting the theory that malaria infection earlier in pregnancy is more disruptive to placental function [2]. This weaker effect at enrollment could either suggest that antimalarial treatment, provided in most studies, cleared infection and allowed catch-up growth or that infection at delivery represents more severe infections that were not cleared despite medications. Both malaria infection at enrollment and delivery were associated with a reduction in BW of around 55 grams, which has been found in other studies [52].

Our data are consistent with a 2011 meta-analysis, which estimated that underweight women had increased risk of LBW (aRR: 1.64 [95% CI: 1.38, 1.94]), although studies included in that meta-analysis used different definitions for underweight [53]. In our study, using con-sistent cutoffs of malnutrition across studies, both low MUAC (aRR 1.60 [95% CI: 1.36, 1.87]) Fig 4. The independent effect of malnutrition at enrollment, (a) mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC)<23 cm and (b) Body Mass Index (BMI)* <18.5 kg/m2, on risk of low birthweight (LBW) and mean birthweight among 14,633 women enrolled in 1 of 13 studies from the Maternal Malaria

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and low BMI (aRR 1.49 [95% CI: 1.26, 1.76]) increased the risk of LBW. This information is consistent with other evidence that adequate maternal nutrition is integral for fetal growth [5].

Prior literature on the interaction between malaria infection and malnutrition is sparse. Two studies in the DRC and Kenya showed that the association between malaria infection and reduced fetal growth was greatest among malnourished women [10,11]. In a third study in Benin, the effect of malaria infection on fetal growth velocity was greatest among women with low anthropometric status, but there was no modification by maternal nutrition on the effect of malaria infection on BW z-scores. A fourth study in PNG found that the effect of histology-defined placental malaria infection on LBW was higher among women with a low BMI, but that study found that malnutrition did not modify the association between peripheral blood malaria infection parasitemia and SGA [9]. The Benin, Congo, and PNG studies were included in the present analysis, but our analytic approach differed from the original publications in the assessment of both interaction and modification. Unlike these prior studies, our pooled results suggest that there is a negligible impact of maternal anthropometry on the relationship between malaria infection and LBW and further indicate that there is no evidence of excess risk of LBW due to interaction (i.e., synergism). There was some indication of multiplicative and additive interaction between low MUAC and malaria infection at enrollment among ado-lescent women; however, these estimates were very imprecise and were only pooled across 4 studies that enrolled enough adolescent women to assess this subgroup. Adolescent women are recognized to be at high risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes [54], and tailored antenatal care programs addressing malaria, nutrition, and other health issues should be considered for this group. In an a priori sensitivity analysis restricted to African studies, there was apparent interaction between malaria infection at enrollment and MUAC, which is consistent with the prior publications. Regional differences could be due to genetics, low MUAC, or anemia prev-alence; however, these subregion effects were not statistically significant when properly accounting for multiple comparisons and were absent when using other definitions of malaria (i.e., at delivery) or malnutrition (i.e., BMI). Additionally, the additive interaction, which has been argued to be the more relevant measure for public health impact [55], was only slightly elevated among the African studies. Notably, only 183 women (2%) were jointly infected and malnourished (low MUAC). Thus, even if there is a multiplicative interaction between malaria infection and MUAC among African women or among adolescent women, the proportion of women implicated is small, and does not indicate a large public health burden. However, even in the absence of strong interaction between malaria infection and malnutrition on LBW, we emphasize that interventions on both malaria infection and malnutrition are warranted given their independent effects.

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variable LBW), simulation studies have shown that multivariate normal multiple imputation provides less biased estimates than complete-case analysis even when imputing binary or ordi-nal variables [56]. We were obliged to pool malaria diagnostics of varying sensitivity and speci-ficity, and we were limited to 2 cross-sectional assessments of malaria infection. Nevertheless, sensitivity analyses that evaluated alternative definitions of malaria, or incorporated repeat diagnostics during pregnancy, were consistent with the main results. Additionally, there may be selection bias due to excluding pregnancy losses. There were only 116 (3%) pregnancy losses in 4 studies (N= 4,571) in the M3 initiative that collected these data, but this is almost certainly an underestimate, since many studies enrolled women after the first trimester. We were obliged to extrapolate prepregnancy BMI using gestational age and BMI at enrollment. Addi-tionally, the M3 initiative represents a convenience sample of available and eligible studies identified through the MiPc and not an exhaustive aggregation of all existing studies available to assess interactions between malaria and malnutrition on LBW. This could potentially lead to selection bias if selection of studies were associated with the effect estimates in that study; however, we did not observe any qualitative differences between studies providing individual participant data and those studies not included in the meta-analysis (S3 Table). Furthermore, women enrolled in studies were likely healthier and received better antenatal care than the general population; the effects of malaria and malnutrition in reality might well be greater than were observed within these research settings. The risk of bias assessment identified 10 studies as being at a higher risk of bias, primarily due to BW not being measured with an elec-tronic scale within 24 hours of delivery. Finally, we cannot discount possible unmeasured con-founding, particularly by helminth infections, sexually transmitted infections, environmental pollutants, or micronutrient deficiencies; however, it is important to note that because neither malnutrition nor malaria could be randomized, large-scale, multisite cohort analyses such as this one are necessarily the gold standard for addressing these scientific questions. Future stud-ies may wish to assess joint effects of malaria with other nutritional indicators (e.g., height, obesity, anemia, other micronutrients). Additionally, future studies may wish to further inves-tigate possible interactions between malaria infection and malnutrition on risk of LBW in ado-lescent mothers.

In summary, our findings suggest that women who are both infected with malaria and mal-nourished are at greater risk of LBW than their uninfected, well-mal-nourished counterparts but that there is no conclusive evidence of synergistic interaction between the 2. Rather, we pro-pose that malaria infection and malnutrition act independently to disrupt fetal growth and that malnutrition in particular has a strong effect on LBW. Of all 14,633 pregnancies, 35% were affected by malaria infection and/or malnutrition, illustrating the high burden of at-risk pregnancies in LMICs. Malaria infection and malnutrition represent 2 established and modifiable causes of LBW that should both be addressed to optimize pregnancy outcomes in LMIC.

Supporting information

S1 Table. Characteristics of the 13 individual studies included in the Maternal Malnutri-tion and Malaria (M3) initiative.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Descriptions of the scales used to measure birthweight, how gestational age was assessed, and the median gestational age for each of the 13 studies in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative.

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S3 Table. Characteristics of studies not included in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative cohort.

(DOCX)

S4 Table. Assessment of risk of bias for the 13 studies included in the individual partici-pant data meta-analysis.

(DOCX)

S5 Table. The independent and joint effects of malaria infection at enrollment, malaria infection at delivery, low mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC), and low body mass index (BMI) on the risk of small for gestational age (SGA) and risk of preterm birth among a subset of 9 studies from the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative. (DOCX)

S6 Table. Select sensitivity analysis results for the multiplicative interaction effects for malaria and malnutrition on risk of adverse birth outcomes among the 13 studies in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative. Sensitivity analyses varied the defini-tions of malaria, malnutrition, the outcome of interest, and the approach taken in pooling study results.

(DOCX)

S7 Table. PRISMA 2009 checklist. (DOC)

S8 Table. Individual participant data checklist. (DOCX)

S1 Text. Multiple imputation. (DOCX)

S2 Text. Protocol for the individual participant data project. Written 17 November 2014. (DOCX)

S1 Fig. Prevalence of low mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC<23cm) compared to prevalence of low body mass index (BMI<18.5 kg/m2) among the 13 studies in the Mater-nal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative.

(DOCX)

S2 Fig. Meta-regression results for the effects of malaria infection at enrollment and deliv-ery on risk of low birthweight (LBW) and mean birthweight (BW) by time period, study type, location, and malaria prevalence. Median malaria prevalence across studies was 17% at enrollment and 15% at delivery. RCT = randomized control trial.

(DOCX)

S3 Fig. Meta-regression results for the effects of malnutrition at enrollment, (a) low mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC<23 cm) and (b) low BMI (BMI<18.5 kg/m2), on risk of low birthweight (LBW) and mean birthweight (BW) by time period, study type, loca-tion, and malaria prevalence. Median malaria prevalence across studies was 17% at enroll-ment and 15% at delivery. RCT = randomized control trial.

(DOCX)

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type, location, and malaria prevalence. Median malaria prevalence across studies was 17% at enrollment and 15% at delivery.

(DOCX)

S5 Fig. Prevalence of malaria infection at delivery among the 13 studies in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative.

(DOCX)

Acknowledgments

The findings and conclusions presented in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official position of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or the National Institutes of Health.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization: Jordan E. Cates, Holger W. Unger, Steven Meshnick, Stephen Rogerson.

Data curation: Holger W. Unger, Valerie Briand, Nadine Fievet, Innocent Valea, Halidou Tinto, Umberto D’Alessandro, Sarah H. Landis, Seth Adu-Afarwuah, Kathryn G. Dewey, Feiko O. ter Kuile, Meghna Desai, Stephanie Dellicour, Peter Ouma, Julie Gutman, Martina Oneko, Laurence Slutsker, Dianne J. Terlouw, Simon Kariuki, John Ayisi, Mwayiwawo Madanitsa, Victor Mwapasa, Per Ashorn, Kenneth Maleta, Ivo Mueller, Danielle Stanisic, Christentze Schmiegelow, John P. A. Lusingu, Anna Maria van Eijk, Steven Meshnick, Ste-phen Rogerson.

Formal analysis: Jordan E. Cates.

Investigation: Jordan E. Cates.

Methodology: Jordan E. Cates, Holger W. Unger, Melissa Bauserman, Linda Adair, Stephen R. Cole, Daniel Westreich, Steven Meshnick, Stephen Rogerson.

Project administration: Holger W. Unger, Valerie Briand, Nadine Fievet, Innocent Valea, Halidou Tinto, Umberto D’Alessandro, Sarah H. Landis, Seth Adu-Afarwuah, Kathryn G. Dewey, Feiko O. ter Kuile, Meghna Desai, Stephanie Dellicour, Peter Ouma, Julie Gutman, Martina Oneko, Laurence Slutsker, Dianne J. Terlouw, Simon Kariuki, John Ayisi, Mwayi-wawo Madanitsa, Victor Mwapasa, Per Ashorn, Kenneth Maleta, Ivo Mueller, Danielle Sta-nisic, Christentze Schmiegelow, John P. A. Lusingu, Anna Maria van Eijk, Steven

Meshnick, Stephen Rogerson.

Supervision: Holger W. Unger, Daniel Westreich, Steven Meshnick.

Visualization: Jordan E. Cates.

Writing – original draft: Jordan E. Cates.

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Figure

Fig 1. Flow diagram of studies included in the individual participant meta-analysis of the interaction between malaria infection and maternal malnutrition on birthweight
Table 1. The characteristics of women included in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative from the following 6 out of 13 M3 studies:
Table 2. The characteristics of women included in the Maternal Malaria and Malnutrition (M3) initiative from the following 7 out of 13 M3 studies:
Fig 2. Prevalence of malaria infection at enrollment, malnutrition (mid-upper arm circumference [MUAC] &lt; 23 cm or body mass index [BMI] &lt; 18.5 kg/m 2 ), and joint malaria infection and malnutrition among 14,633 live birth pregnancies from women parti
+3

References

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