This Week
•
Arithmetic Gradient
•
Geometric Gradient
Compound Interest Factors
COMPOUND AMOUNT FACTOR
(F/P, i, N) = (1+ i)N
PRESENT WORTH FACTOR
(P/F, i, N) =1/ (1+ i)N
UNIFORM SERIES COMPOUND AMOUNT
FACTOR
(F/A, i, N) = [(1+ i)N –1]/i
SINKING FUND FACTOR
(A/F, i, N) = i/[(1+ i)N –1]
SERIES PRESENT WORTH FACTOR
(P/A, i, N) = [(1+ i)N –1]
i . (1+ i)N
CAPITAL RECOVERY
FACTOR
(A/P, i, N) = i . (1+ i)N
Arithmetic Gradient Series
•
A series of receipts or disbursements that
may start at zero, or may have a base value at
the end of the first period, but then increase
by a constant amount [G] from period to
period.
•
Composed of two components
–
The gradient component [G]
ARITHMETIC GRADIENT SERIES
. .
-1 0 1 2 3 4 (N-1) N (N+1)
G 2G
3G 4G
(N-1)G
(N-2)G
0
RECEIPTS
ARITHMETIC GRADIENT SERIES
G 2G
3G 4G
(N-1)G (N-2)G
0
RECEIPTS
P
ARITHMETIC GRADIANT TO ANNUITY CONVERSION FACTOR
(A/G, i, N)= 1
-
N
i [(1+ i)
N
–1]
(A/G, i, N)= (P/G, i, N) x (A/P, i, N)
A
ARITHMETIC GRADIENT SERIES
ARITHMETIC GRADIENT TO ANNUITY CONVERSION FACTOR
(A/G, i, N)= 1 - N
i [(1+ i)
N
–1]
Arithmetic Gradient with a base
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
$500 $700
$900
$1100
$1300
$1500
Arithmetic Gradient with a base
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1000
$1200
Declining Linear Gradient
$1200
$1000
$800
$600
0 1 2 3 4 5
$1200
$1000
$800
$600
0 1 2 3 4 5
$400
$1200
0 1 2 3 4 5
$200 $400
$600
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arithmetic Gradient to Annuity Conversion
Factor
Your company has just opened and must dispose of its biomedical
waste. The base cost that was quoted to you was $6000 but as
business increases you expect the cost to grow by $100 per month.
If the interest rate is 10% compounded monthly what is the future
cost of the disposal at the end of the first year?
Solution: A’ = $6000, G = $100, i = (10/12)%, N=1 x 12
Atot = $6540.11 F = $82,180.20
%C_XSXa ! % + % + M 2
M ! V Q
+
% + ! M 2 M B2 * ! % * % M 2
! * %
Shifted Gradient Example: i = 10%
•
Consider the following Cash Flow
“Shifted” negative gradient, on a negative cash flow.
The PW point in time is at t = 3 (not t = 0)
Arithmetic Gradient Series to Annuity
Conversion Factor
CASES
MEANING
A>0 and G>0
Positive Annuity and increasing cash flowA>0 and G<0
Positive Annuity and decreasing cash flow.A<0 and G>0
Negative cash flow but becoming less so.Winning the Lottery
4 1MPPMSR
O O
O O
O
%C_XSXa ! % + !
!
8MQI TIVMSH ! 4 %
Option 2: POpt2 =$3,818,363
Winning the Lottery
Option 1: P = $3.44 million
Atot = 189,000 + 7000(A/G, 0.045,25) = 189,000 + 7000(9.7560955) = 257,292.67
Now move this to time 1 A' = 189,000
Time 1: [175,000 + 257 292.67 (P/A, 0.045,25)] Today: [ ] * (P/F, 4.5%, 1)
= $3 818 363
GEOMETRIC GRADIENT SERIES
“A set of receipts or disbursements that change
by a constant proportion from one period to the
next in a sequence of periods”
RECEIPTS
A(1+g)(N-2)
A
A(1+g)(N-1)
A(1+g)
A(1+g)A(1+g)2
g is positive
g is negative
GEOMETRIC GRADIENT SERIES
A(1+g)
A(1+g)(N-2)
A
RECEIPTS
A(1+g)2
A(1+g)3
A(1+g)(N-1)
GEOMETRIC GRADIENT SERIES TO PRESENT WORTH
CONVERSION FACTOR
Where,
1+
i
0
= [1+ i]
[1+g]
i0 – growth adjusted interest rate
(P/A, g, i, N)= (P/A, i
0
, N) /(1+g)
GEOMETRIC GRADIENT SERIES TO PRESENT WORTH
CASES
MEANING
PROCEDURE
i>g>0
Growth Positive, but less than rate of interest,thus,
i
0 is positiveUse tables or
formula
g>i>0
Growth Positive, but more than rate of interest,thus,
i
0 is negativeUse formula
ONLY
g=i>0
Growth equals rate of interest,thus,
i
0 is zeroSpecial Case:
P = N [A/(1+g)]
GEOMETRIC GRADIENT SERIES TO PRESENT WORTH
CONVERSION FACTOR: Application
Time to Retire
• Your retirement benefits are worth $50,000 per year which should cover your cost of living immediately upon retirement
• However cost of living is expected to increase by 5%/yr
• Your investments can make 7%/yr
• How much more should you invest when you retire to cover you for 25 years
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 23 24 25
$50,000
-$50,000
-$50,000(1.05)
Time to Retire
Total Benefits:
•
P
= $582,679
= 50 000(P/A, 7%,25) <--positive
Cost of Living:
P= $940,696
=
Required Additional Savings:
When N Approaches Infinity
•
Long-lived projects may be modelled as
Geometric Gradient to Present
Worth Conversion Factor
Your company has just opened and must dispose of its biomedical waste. The base cost that was quoted to you was $6000 but as business increases you expect the cost to grow by 1% per month. If the interest rate is 10% compounded monthly what is the future cost of the disposal at the end of the first year?
Solution: A = $6000, g = 1%, i = (10/12)%=0.8333%, N=1 x 12, since g>i, use formula
P=$72057.70
F = $79,603.08
Since 1% growth, the g is positive
Mortgages….
•
Would be one of the financial situation most of us
would face
•
Amortization
is the number of years it would take
to repay a mortgage loan in full for a given interest
rate and payment schedule.
•
The
term
of the mortgage refers to the number of
Mortgages
Bobby has just bought a house for $200 000. He paid $50 000 down, and the rest of the cost has been obtained from a mortgage. The mortgage has a nominal interest rate of 10%, compounded monthly with a 10-year
amortization period. The term of the mortgage is 5 years. What are
Bobby’s current monthly payments? How much does he owe in 5 years?
Solution:
A = $1982.26
P = 200 000 - 50 000 = $150 000 N = 10 * 12 = 120
A = P(A/P, i,N)
=150 000 (A/P, 0.0083, 120)
i = r/m = 10%/12 = 0.00833
F = P (F/P, i, N) - A (F/A, i, N)
= 150 000 (F/P, 0.0083, 60) - 1 982.26 (F/A, 0.0083, 60) = 150 000 (1.645309) - 1 982.26 (77.437072)
Mortgages
How much does he owe in 5 years?
Solution:
After 5 years, Bobby still owes $93 295.94.
F = $93 295.94
Payment Breakdown
N
A
I
PP
pP
RemainingMortgages (Cash Flow)
After 5 years, Bobby will need to renegotiate his
mortgage, where Bobby can choose a new TERM.
Usually, the annuity payment amount will not
change, however, by changing the interest rate, the
actual Amortization Period would have changed.
Buying Into Perfection
If the purchase price is $1,900,000 and the
interest rate is 6% compounded monthly,
how long will it take you to pay off the
mortgage if you make monthly payments of
3
bedrooms
2
bathrooms
Car Payments
• Determine the monthly payments required if you want to borrow $30,000 from a bank to buy a car, at 6%, interest (compounded monthly) for 6 years.
• For the previous car loan, when you hand the bank your cheque for the 24th monthly payment, how much of that cheque is
interest, and how much is going toward principal reduction?
• How much total interest will you end up paying for the car loan?
i = r/m = 6%/12 = 0.005
N =72
A = P(A/P,i,N)
Car Payments
• Determine the monthly payments required if you want to borrow $30,000 from a bank to buy a car, at 6% interest (compounded monthly) for 6 years.
Car Payments
• For the 24th monthly payment, how much of that cheque is interest, and how much is going toward principal reduction?
• The interest then is = 107.80, and the rest is principal reduction, 497.19-107.8 = 389.39
30 000 = 497.19(P/A, 0.005, 23) + F(P/F, 0.005, 23)
F_23 = $21 560 OR
F_23 = $21 560
30 000 = 497.15(P/A, 0.005, 24) + F_24(P/F, 0.005, 24) F_24 = $21 169.92
F_23 - F_24 = $389.08
F_23 --> F_24 = 21 560(F/P, 0.005, 1) = 21 560 (1 + 0.005)^1 = 107.80
Car Payments
•
Total Interest = 5797.68
How much total interest will you end up paying fo the car loan?
= (A * N) - P