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D 8.2

DELIVERABLE

PROJECT INFORMATION

Project Title: Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Analysis for

Buildings, Lifeline Networks and Infrastructures Safety Gain Acronym: SYNER-G

Project N°: 244061

Call N°: FP7-ENV-2009-1

Project start: 01 November 2009

Duration: 36 months

DELIVERABLE INFORMATION

Deliverable Title: D8.2 - Project newsletter issue 2

Date of issue: 31 January 2011

Work Package: WP8 – Guidelines, recommendations and dissemination

Deliverable/Task Leader: Aristotle University of Thessaloniki

REVISION: Final Project Coordinator: Institution: e-mail: fax: telephone:

Prof. Kyriazis Pitilakis

Aristotle University of Thessaloniki

[email protected]

+ 30 2310 995619 + 30 2310 995693

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N E W S L E T T E R

“Systemic seismic vulnerability and risk analysis for buildings, lifeline networks

and infrastructures safety gain”

Issue 2, February 2011 The SYNER-G consortium: Aristotle University of Thessaloniki (coordinator)

Vienna Consulting Engineers Bureau de Recherches Geologiques et Minieres

Commission of the EC - Joint Research Centre

Norwegian Geotechnical Institute University of Pavia

University of Roma “La Sapienza” Middle East Technical University AMRA, University of Naples Federico II

University of Karlsruhe University of Patras Willis Group Holdings

Mid-America Earthquake Center, University of Illinois

Kobe University SYNER-G is a European Collaborative Research Project

focusing on the systemic seismic vulnerability and risk analysis of buildings, lifelines and infrastructures. The research consortium relies on the active participation of twelve partners from Europe, one from USA and one from Japan. The consortium includes a partner from the industry (VCE) and one from the insurance (Willis) area.

Project Workflow

SYNER-G is designed with eight work packages:

WP5.SYSTEMIC VULNERABILITY & LOSSES

WP1.Coordination Project Management

Executive Committee

Seismic Hazard Scenarios

WP3.PHYSICAL

VULNERABILITY & LOSSES Fragility functions

for elements and systems

WP4.SOCIO ECONOMIC VULNERABILITY & LOSSES

for elements and systems

Buildings & aggregates Utility systems Transportation infrastructures Critical facilities Interdependencies between systems

WP6.APPLICATION & VALIDATION

Urban scale Thessaloniki city Vienna city Utility-Transportation Pipeline network Motorway in Italy Electric network in Italy Harbor of Thessaloniki Critical facilities Hospital facility in Italy WP8.GUIDELINES -DISSEMINATION WP7.SOFTWARE TOOLS WP2.GENERAL METHODOLOGY

Information about the progress of WPs 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 is given in the following.

Recent News

• The new web portal has been set up: http://www.syner-g.eu/

• SYNER-G has been presented during the 5th International

Conference on Recent Advances in Geotechnical Earthquake

Engineering and Soil Dynamics @ San Diego, CA, 24-29 May 2010 and the 5th International

Conference of Earthquake

Geotechnical Engineering @ Santiago, Chile, 10 - 13 January 2011

General Assembly Meetings

The following meetings were held in 2010: • Plenary meeting @ Rome on 18-19 March • WP4 kick-off meeting @ Karlsruhe on 17-18 June • 1st Annual meeting @ Vienna on 16-17 September with the participation of the International Advisory Committee (Prof. D. Giardini, Prof. M. Dolce) Upcoming: Mid-term Meeting @ Oslo on 28-29 April 2011

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WP2: Development of a methodology to evaluate systemic vulnerability

• A general methodological framework to assess vulnerability at a system level considering

interdependencies between elements at risk (physical and non-physical), belonging to different systems and between different systems as a whole, at city and regional scale, has been defined.

• A consensus taxonomy of the systems (i.e. the detailed list of all components making up the systems) to be dealt within SYNER-G was prepared, together with the description of ontology (i.e. the internal logic and functioning of the components and systems) and the establishment of a consensus terminology. (components’) Intra-relations Systems Components (systems’) Inter-relations Infrastructure (components’) Intra-relations Systems Components (systems’) Inter-relations Infrastructure

Abstract representation of the Infrastructure

• An object-oriented framework for the simulation of an infrastructure in a seismic environment and the implementation of a prototype infrastructure for testing the framework has been set up.

• A conceptual framework for the selection of optimal Intensity Measure (IM) for the analysis of lifelines was prepared, together with the framework and criteria of seismic inputs and scenarios, adequate to every system vulnerability analysis.

WP3: Fragility functions of elements at risk

• Fragility curves have been proposed for all the systems’ elements and will be finalized soon, based on the taxonomy/typology of WP2 framework. The fragility functions are based on methods and results that are available in literature and past projects, which have been collected and reviewed. In some cases the selection of the fragility functions is based on validation studies using damage data from past and recent earthquakes mainly in Europe. Appropriate adaptations and

modifications have been made to the selected fragility functions in order to satisfy the distinctive features of the present taxonomy.

• In case of buildings, focus is given in compiling, harmonising and archiving (in a query-able database) the existing fragility functions that have been developed for European buildings.

• In other cases (e.g. bridges, embankments) new fragility curves are being developed based on numerical approaches. For certain elements (e.g. compression gas stations) fragility curves have been proposed based on fault tree analysis. Validation of proposed fragility functions using data from L’Aquila earthquake will be performed.

Fault-tree analysis of a Re.Mi gas cabin

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N E W S L E T T E R

“Systemic seismic vulnerability and risk analysis for buildings, lifeline networks

and infrastructures safety gain”

Issue 2, February 2011

WP4: Socio-economic vulnerability and losses

• The sectors for the assessment of socio-economic impacts in the context of short-term emergency relief and recovery (2-3 weeks) were defined, along with the features for the development of the socio-economic framework. Temporary shelter and healthcare capacity are considered as the main sectors; transportation accessibility mode and utility serviceability model come to give inputs to the former and complete the framework.

• The interaction of socio-economic models with physical vulnerability/ loss estimation models will be included in the framework of a comprehensive methodology. Socio-economic and structural factors will be used for the definition of output indicator values for all sectors criteria.

• The benchmarking of socio-economic indicators will be based on the L’Aquila case study based on data that will be provided by the Italian Civil Protection.

Building Structural Damage WP3 WP2-5 WP4 Hospital Structural Damage Hospital Non-Structural Damage Transport Network Damage Bridge Damage Electric Utility Network Damage Water Utility Network

Damage Gas Utility Network

Damage Utility Network Interactions Analysis Transport Network Interactions Analysis Physical Hospital Treatment Capacity Building Usability/ Building Lifesafety Compute ”Shelter Seeking Population” Compute ”Indoor Death” Compute ”Indoor Injuries” Socio-economic Model

(e.g., building codes impacting the fragility of buildings, or preparedness impacting

direct and indirect casualties) Shelter Supply Capacity (Short-terrm Needs, Supply Requirements) Healthcare Treatment Capacity

Systems Interaction Model

Socio-economic Interaction Model

Socio-economic Framework Development

WP5: Systemic vulnerability specification

The activities performed within WP5 are in parallel and in very close collaboration with WP2. The parameters governing the general methodology presented in WP2 are specified for each system in terms of performance measures. Performance(s) (physical vulnerability, serviceability/

functionality) definition at the components, systems and system of systems levels has been

performed and is linked with WP4 work. The definition of performances for systems and for system of systems will be the key points of WP5 outputs. The main objectives of WP5, having as a starting point the simulation framework from WP2, have been identified, while the need to establish an interface with socio-economic consequence models was highlighted. For the specific types of systems examined (buildings, utility networks, transportation infrastructures, critical facilities), desired inputs, specificities of analysis, following developments to be made and interactions with other WPs and tasks are identified.

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WP6: Validation studies

The test area for Vienna will be the 20th district. A detailed identification of each building within the study area is under development, together with measurements of building eigen-frequencies.

For the city of Thessaloniki a detailed database for buildings, lifelines, infrastructure and urban indicators is available and a comprehensive seismic hazard study has been performed in the recent past period. The update or validation of existing information will be performed based on the satellite images that will be acquired and the information from the “Urban Audit” database (EUROSTAT) in correlation to WP2 and WP4. The present seismic hazard and site effect data will be updated applying the methodology for seismic input to be developed in SYNER-G.

L’Aquila constitutes the case study for the fragility and network analysis of gas system and

benchmarking socio-economic indicators based on the experience of the recent earthquake (WP4). The gas system database is completed, while the hazard and fragility analysis is in progress. The incorporation of damage and repair data will be examined based on the available resources. The collection of information about shelters, possibly debris, emergency actions and availability of utilities after the L’Aquila earthquake has been started, in cooperation with the Italian Civil Protection.

Thessaloniki case study: Harbor database Vienna case study: buildings database

L’Aquila case study: building benchmarking-Pettino area

SYNER-G is supported by EC/DG Research (Grant agreement no: 244061)

Project Coordinator: Prof. Kyriazis Pitilakis y Aristotle University of Thessaloniki y [email protected]

Project Officer: Dr Denis Peter y European Commission, Research Directorate-General y [email protected]

Electric Power Lines Electric Power Substation Power Gen. Fuel Tanks Fuel Pump. St. Port Boundaries Water Pipes Water Manholes Tanks Water Netw. Conn. Fire Faucets Waste-water Pipes Waste-water Pump. St.

References

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