OMX: LUMI
Cautionary Statements
Caution Regarding Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not based on historical facts but rather on current expectations and projections about future events These historical facts, but rather on current expectations and projections about future events. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially from the future results expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Such risks may include without limitation: risks and uncertainties relating to foreign currency fluctuations; Such risks may include, without limitation: risks and uncertainties relating to foreign currency fluctuations; risks inherent in mining including environmental hazards, unusual or unexpected geological formations, ground control problems and flooding; risks associated with the estimation of mineral resources and reserves and the geology, grade and continuity of mineral deposits; the possibility that future exploration, development or mining results will not be consistent with the Company’s expectations; the potential for and de e op e t o g esu ts ot be co s ste t t t e Co pa y s e pectat o s; t e pote t a o a d effects of labor disputes or other unanticipated difficulties with or shortages of labor or interruptions in production; actual ore mined varying from estimates of grade, tonnage, dilution and metallurgical and other characteristics; the inherent uncertainty of production and cost estimates and the potential for unexpected costs and expenses; and commodity price fluctuations.
For further details of other risks and uncertainties see Risk Factors Relating to the Company’s Business in the Company’s Annual Information Form and in each management discussion and analysis.
Presenter
PHIL WRIGHT
PHIL WRIGHT PRESIDENT & CEO
Questions
JOAO CARRELO EXEC. VP & COO
MARIE INKSTER CFO
PAUL CONIBEAR SVP CORP DEVELOPMENT
Q2 Highlights
Metal prices 30% to 70% higher than same quarter last year, Euro 7%
weaker against US dollar, SEK 5% stronger
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Q1 i
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Production recovering well from Q1 issues. Aguablanca still has some
challenges
Net Income $75 6 million or $0 13 p/share improved from last year’s $43 5
Net Income $75.6 million or $0.13 p/share, improved from last year s $43.5
million or $0.08 per share. Net cash improved by $200+ million.
Tenke at copper nameplate capacity. Equity earnings of $8.3 million; EOC
Tenke at copper nameplate capacity. Equity earnings of $8.3 million; EOC
facility reduced to $188.9 million, reduction of $26.8 million during the quarter
Project advances:
j
Neves-Corvo shaft expansion complete Lombador pre-feasibility complete; and
Zinkgruvan copper project successfully started up Zinkgruvan copper project successfully started-up
Normalized Earnings
Q2 '10 Q2 '09 Q1 '10
$ Millions Q2 10 Q2 09 Q1 10
75.6
43.5 74% 38.0
Derivative (gains) losses pre-tax (11.2) 9.2 0.5 AFS iti ( i ) t (32 4) (0 6)
Reported Net Income
AFS securities (gains) pre-tax (32.4) - (0.6) Tax on above 7.7 (2.4) (0.1) Non-recurring tax adjustments 1,2 13 6 (6 2) -Non recurring tax adjustments 13.6 (6.2)
53.3
44.1 21% 37.8
0.09
$ $ 0.08 $ 0.07
Adjusted Net Income
Earnings per share - continuing operations
Q Q ( ) 0.09 $ $ 0.08 $ 0.07 2 Q2 '09 ‐$(6.2) is a partial recovery of valuation allowance on loss carry‐forwards in Spain g p g p 1 Q2 '10 ‐ $13.6 is an increase in future tax liability related to the 2.5% tax rate increase in Portugal
Large negative price adjustments in Q2 2010 vs Q2 2009 (copper and nickel)
Financial Position
Net cash at June 30, 2010 of $107.8 million, an increase of $97.6
million for the quarter
The change in net cash during the quarter is after:
$32.4 million of capital expenditure;
$6.8 million advanced in respect of Tenke; and
includes $59.9 million from the sale of investments and AFS securitiesincludes $59.9 million from the sale of investments and AFS securities
Operating cashflow of $78.8 million during the quarter compared to $63.7
million for the same quarter last year
million for the same quarter last year
2 000 1,960 474
Change in Production: Q2 ‘10 and Q2 ‘09
Tonnes Tonnes 30 000 pper 1 600 1,800 2,000 1,715 121 109 474 ckel 20 000 25,000 30,000 23,992 21,774 1,416 676 4,311 Co p 1 200 1,400 1,600 Ni c Excluding Tenke 7,038t attributable share 10 000 15,000 20,000 1,200
Q2 2009 Throughput Grade Recovery Q2 2010
Tonnes Tonnes
10,000
Q2 2009 Throughput Grade Recovery Q2 2010 40,000 4 147 190 11,678 14,000 12 478 1,958 616 27 2,839 nc 30,000 ead 35,000 31,962 216 4,147 190 12,000 12,478 10,953 616 Zi Le 20,000 25,000 24,458 8,000 10,000
Corporate Operations Projects Exploration Growth
Cash Costs: Q2 2010 and Q2 2009
Cash cost per lb of primar metal
Q2 '10 Q2 '09 Q2 '10 Q2 '09 (US cents) (local currency)
Cash cost per lb of primary metal
Neves-Corvo Gross cost 127 112 101 82
(Local in € cents) By-product* (7) (2) (5) (2)
Copper Net cost 120 110 96 80
Copper Net cost 120 110 96 80
Zinkgruvan Gross cost 69 63 530 498
(Local in SEK) By product* (41) (23) (318) (293)
(Local in SEK) By-product (41) (23) (318) (293) Zinc Net cost 28 40 212 205
Aguablanca Gross cost 777 760 621 557
Aguablanca Gross cost 777 760 621 557
(Local in € cents) By-product* (234) (271) (189) (200) Nickel Net cost 543 489 432 357 * By-product is after related TC/RC
Copper Dominant, Zinc Leverage
Q2 ‘10 Revenue Contribution by Metal Q2 ‘09 Revenue Contribution by Metal
Note: This analysis does not include Tenke. Inclusion of Tenke in the above would substantially increase the contribution of copper
Corporate Operations Projects Exploration Growth would substantially increase the contribution of copper.
Change in Prices: Q2 ‘10 & Q2 ‘09
Q2 '10 Q2 '09 Q1 '10Copper $/lb
3.18
2.12
50%3.29
-3%Average LME
pp
Zinc
$/lb
0.92
0.67
37%1.04
-12%Lead
$/lb
0.88
0.68
29%1.01
-13%Nickel
$/lb
10 15
5 89
72%9 11
11%Nickel
$/lb
10.15
5.89
72%9.11
11%EUR/USD
1 27
1 36
7%1 38
8%EUR/USD
(Qtr Avg)1.27
1.36
-7%1.38
-8%SEK/USD
(Qtr Avg)0.13
0.13
5%0.14
-6% .( g)Financial Results
Q2 '10 Q2 '09 Q1 '10
Selected Financial Information: $ Millions
183.1 194.8 -6% 141.7 (97.1) (94.6) 3% (72.3) (5 2) (9 2) 43% (4 8)
Operating costs including ARO
SG&A and stock based compensation Sales
(5.2)
(9.2) -43% (4.8)
80.8
91.0 -11% 64.6
Add (deduct): Depreciation, Amortization (32.6) (38.5) (36.2)
SG&A and stock-based compensation
Operating Earnings
Selected items only Exploration/project investigation (5.6) (4.1) (4.6)
Other income and expenses 12.4 9.7 7.4 Derivative contracts 11 2 (9 2) (0 5) Derivative contracts 11.2 (9.2) (0.5) Gain on sale of AFS securities 32.4
-Tenke equity investment 8.3 (3.4) 17.2 Income tax(expense)/ recovery (31.3) (2.0) (9.9)
75.6
43.5 38.0 Income from continuing operations
Corporate Operations Projects Exploration Growth
0.13
$ $ 0.08 $ 0.07
Change in Operating Earnings: Q2 ‘10 & Q2 ‘09
105.0 16.5 19.1 95 0 91 0 5.1 6.3 8.8 ions 95.0 91.0 80.8 US$ mill 85.0 75.0Q2 2009 Volume Price & Adj.
Cost FX Closures Q2 2010 Actual
Tenke Production
Q2 '10 Q2 '09 Q1 '10
100% basis: Lundin attributable 24.75% Q Q Q Copper cathode (tonnes)
Production 16,48328,438 28,769
S l 24 997 11 894 29 772
Sales 24,997 11,894 29,772
Average realized price/lb $ 2.96 $ 2.20 $ 3.26
Cobalt (contained tonnes) Cobalt (contained tonnes)
Production 1,651 n/a 2,231
Sales 1,718 n/a 1,476
/ $ $
Average realized price/lb $ 12.72 n/a $ 12.07
Net cash costs/lb of copper:
Gross cost $ 1 27 n/a $ 1 37
Gross cost $ 1.27 n/a $ 1.37
Cobalt credits $ (0.54) n/a $ (0.40)
Royalties $ 0.06 n/a $ 0.07
Corporate Operations Projects Exploration Growth
Tenke Investment
Q2 '10 Q2 '09 Q1 '10
$ Millions Q2 10 Q2 09 Q1 10
Income (loss) from investment 8.3 (3.4) 17.2 Excess Overrun Facility
$ Millions
y
Change during quarter (26.8) 42.3 (11.4) Closing balance 188.9 196.1 215.7
Production issues in April, throughput now consistently above design capacity Freeport continuing to address start-up and quality issues in the cobalt circuit
and implementing corrective actions over the next several quarters
Freeport are expecting copper production to increase from 115,000 tpa in 2010 to over 130 000 in 2011
to over 130,000 in 2011.
Expansion study work, scheduled for completion around mid-year, will continue into the third quarter of 2010.
Q1 ‘11. Technical report will be filed following completion of this study.
Phase I of Lombador:
Lift zinc at Neves-Corvo from a nominal 50 000 tpa to 140 000 tpa
270 L l
50,000 tpa to 140,000 tpa
Capital cost of approximately €140 million. An expected start-up date of 2013
270 Level
Cash costs expected to be in third-quartile on a normal costing basis.
Lombador ramp, commenced in 2009, now at 500 level. Due to reach 300 level (900 metres below surface) by Q1-2012. An exploration drive to be developed at this level to allow underground exploration of the remainder of the orebody
Corporate Operations Projects Exploration Growth
Tonnes C1 Tonnes C1 Comment
Neves-Corvo Cu 77 000 $ 1 25 77 000 $ 1 25 No change
Outlook
Neves Corvo Cu 77,000 $ 1.25 77,000 $ 1.25 No change Zn 6,000 6,000
Zinkgruvan Zn 75,000 $ 0.30 75,000 $ 0.30 No change Pb 36 000 36 000
Pb 36,000 36,000
Cu 1,000 1,000
Aguablancag Ni 7,500, $ 6.25 7,900, $ 6.25 Decreased nickel
Cu 6,500 7,000 and copper Galmoy Zn 14,000 14,000 No change (in ore) Pb 4 000 4 000 (in ore) Pb 4,000 4,000 Total Cu 84,500 85,000 Zn 95,000 95,000 Pb 40,000 40,000 Ni 7,500 7,900 Tenke Cu 28 500 28 500 No change Tenke Cu 28,500 28,500 No change (attributable share)
Outlook
Guidance for 2010, as given at the end of the first quarter, is maintained for all g q operations, except Aguablanca
Aguablanca is still dealing with the effects of heavy rain which has contributed to the zones of instability in the pit Aguablanca also notified of possible rolling
the zones of instability in the pit. Aguablanca also notified of possible rolling
industrial action commencing July 31, 2010. As a precaution, guidance has been reduced.
Zinc at Neves-Corvo to resume in 2011 at rate of 50,000 tpa. Earlier start
at rate of 25ktpa is under evaluation
C
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f th
d
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T k
t
$40
Capex guidance for the year reduced to $190 million: Tenke now at $40
million, the bottom-end of previous guidance. Tenke expansion study work
will continue into the third quarter
q
Exploration/resource evaluation increased to $24 million
Volatility likely to remain high in 2010 with an improving outlook thereafter
Volatility likely to remain high in 2010 with an improving outlook thereafter
Questions
PHIL WRIGHT
PHIL WRIGHT PRESIDENT & CEO
JOAO CARRELO
JOAO CARRELO EXEC. VP & COO
MARIE INKSTER
MARIE INKSTER CFO
PAUL CONIBEAR