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Application in Bioterrorism

H.T. Banks 1

, David Bortz 2

, Gabriella Pinter 3

and Laura Potter 1;4

1

Center for Research in Scientic Computation, North Carolina State

University, Raleigh, NC 27695-8205; 2

Department of Mathematics,

University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109; 3

Department of

Mathematical Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee,

Milwaukee, WI 53201

1 Introduction

In this paperwe present a survey of several recent and emerging ideas and eorts on

mod-eling and system interrogation in the presence of uncertainty that we feel have signicant

potentialfor applications relatedto bioterrorism. The rst focuses onphysiologically based

pharmacokinetic (PBPK) type models and the eects of drugs, toxins and viruses on

tis-sue, organs,individualsand populations wherein both intra- and inter-individualvariability

are present when one attempts to determine kinetic rates, susceptibility, eÆcacy of toxins,

antitoxins, etc., in aggregate populations. Methods combining deterministic and stochastic

concepts are necessary to formulate and computationally solve the associated estimation

problems. Similar issues arise inthe HIV infectious models wealso present below.

A secondeort concernsthe use ofremoteelectromagnetic interrogationpulseslinkedto

dielectricpropertiesofmaterialstocarryoutmacroscopicstructuralimagingofbulkpackages

(drugs, explosives, etc.) aswell as test for presence and levels of toxic chemical compounds

intissue. Thesetechniquesalsomay beuseful infunctionalimaging(e.g.,of brainandCNS

activitylevels) todeterminelevelsof threatinpotentialadversariesviachanges indielectric

propertiesand conductivity.

The PBPK and cellular level virus infectious models we discuss are special examples

of a much wider class of population models that one might utilize to investigate potential

agents for use in attacks, such as viruses, bacteria, fungi and other chemical, biochemical

or radiologicalagents. These include general epidemiologicalmodels such as SIR infectious

4

Currentaddress: ScienticComputingandMathematicalModeling,GlaxoSmithKline,ResearchT

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private transport; residence times inexposure; subnetworks of populations) as wellas more

general population models with heterogeneities and/or behavioral structures (e.g., social

interaction,age/sizedependency,spatial/temporaldependency,adaptivetransientbehavior,

etc.). Thesemayinvolvegeneraldynamicalsystems,bothdiscreteandcontinuous,including

ordinary and/orpartial dierentialequations and delay dierentialequations. Included are

well known structured population models, such as those of Sinko-Streifer and

McKendrick-VonFoerster. Thesedeterministicmodelsoftenmustbeaugmentedwithprobabilisticand/or

statistical structures such as mixing distributions, random eects, etc. (see [20, 22] for

discussions and references). Such models combine ideas from continuum populationmodels

with aspects of agent based models incorporating individual level eects. The results are

populationmodels encompassingintra-individual and/or inter-individual variabilitythat in

somecasesdescribe(predict) continuouspopulationevolutionthatisdriven bydistributions

of individual level mechanisms and behaviors. The models described in Section 2 below,

where the parameters are viewed asrandom variables, or realizations thereof, are examples

of these.

The use of models such as those outlined above ultimatelylead to estimation or inverse

problems containing both a mathematicalmodeland a statisticalmodel. These are treated

in a t-to-data formulation using either experimental data or synthetic \data" simulating

a desired response. The latter arises, for example, in design of a drug or therapy that will

result in a sought-after response of an individual or a population to a threat. However,

the rationale to support elaborate models with structures does not lie simply in the desire

to better t a data set, but rather to aid in understanding basic mechanisms, pathways,

behavior, etc. and to better frame population as well as individual responses to a

chal-lenge or to a prophylactic. But, it is not just inverse problems that arise in the context of

these models (although that is the focus in this chapter); indeed, ideas from control

the-ory and system optimization are alsoimportant. In almost every instance, including those

discussed inthe examplesbelow, fundamentalmathematics,especiallymodeling,theoretical

and computationalanalysis, probability and statistics,play a signicant role.

TheelectromagneticinterrogationandimagingideasdiscussedinSection3could

conceiv-ablybeapartofasurveillancetechnologyinarstlineofdefenseagainstbioterrorism. More

precisely, physical detection and identicationof hidden substances and agents (whether in

food and water supplies, luggage, mailand packages, etc.) as a part of biodefense depends

not only onthe electromagnetictechniques discussed below, but alsooncharacterization of

dielectric properties of specic molecules and compounds. Although we present only

deter-ministicaspects of theproblems here, itcan beexpectedthat asuccessful methodology will

also involve probabilistic and statistical formulations as well as tools from computational

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Inthesediscussionsweshallconsiderinverseorestimationproblemsinvolvingaggregatedata

for populations which may be described by two dierent types of \parameter dependent"

dynamics; for the lack of better terms we shall refer to these as \individualdynamics" and

\aggregatedynamics". Inboth casesthedata andpopulationsinherentlycontainvariability

of parameters; this variabilitymay beintra-individual, inter-individual orboth.

The problems for individual dynamics can be used to treat many examples of practical

interestincludingphysiologicallybasedpharmacokinetic(PBPK)models,biologicallybased

dose response(BBDR) models, and susceptible-infectious-recovered(SIR) modelsof disease

spread. The aggregate dynamics problems include cellular levelvirus models such as those

for human immunodeciency virus(HIV) growth.

In the rst type of problem we consider below, one has a mathematical model at what

we shall term (in perhaps something of a misnomer) the \individual" level. That is, the

population count or density is described by a parameter dependent system. To facilitate

our discussions here weuse, withoutlossof generality,ordinary dierentialequation(ODE)

models of the form

_

x(t)=f(t;x(t);q); q 2Q; (2.1)

where the parameters q (e.g., growth, mortality, fecundity, etc.) in the model vary from

individual toindividual across the population according tosome probabilitydistribution P

on a set of admissible parameters Q. More precisely, we suppose that the population is

made up of subpopulations distinguishedby common values of the parameters q and whose

time course is described by the solutionx(t;q) of (2.1) for the shared value of q. The total

population count or density is then given by a weighted sum of these solutions over all

possible q2Qsothat the counts ordensitiesone expects toobserve atany timet are given

by

x (t;P) = E[x(t;q)jP]

Z

Q

x(t;q)dP(q): (2.2)

Experimental observations or data f ^

d

i

g corresponding to times ft

i

g are then given by the

expected values x(t

i

;P)of (2.2) plus some error "

i

so that

^

d

i =x (t

i

;P)+"

i :

Assumptions about the error f"

i

g in the observation process constitute the basis of an

associatedstatisticalmodelfor theinverse problems. Fordiscussions in this chapter,we will

simply(andperhapsnaively)assume thatthe errors are independent identicallydistributed

(i.i.d.) Gaussian and will use an ordinary least squares (OLS) formulation for our inverse

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minimize

J(P)= n

X

i=1 jE[x(t

i ;q)jP]

^

d

i j

2

(2.3)

over P in the set P(Q) of probability measures on Q subject to t ! x(t;q) satisfying (2.1)

for agiven q 2Q.

The second type of problem involves aggregate dynamics wherein one has ODEs that

describe the expected values of the population counts or densities. Essentially one has

dy-namics which already have been summed over the variability in parameters resulting in

measure dependent dynamics (as opposed to parameter dependentdynamics) given by

_

x(t)=g(t;x(t); P); P 2 P(Q); (2.4)

where now x (t; P) is the average or expected value of the population count or density at

time t. In this case the OLS formulation takes the formof minimizing

J(P)= n

X

i=1 jx (t

i ;P)

^

d

i j

2

(2.5)

over P 2 P(Q) subject to the aggregate dynamics (2.4). As we shall note in the examples

below, models such as (2.4) occur naturally and may not be readily formulated in terms of

dynamics of the form(2.1) and viceversa.

InSection2.1weoutlineatheoreticalandcomputationalframeworkforproblems

involv-ing(2.1), (2.3)andillustratetheapproachwithaPBPKmodelfortrichloroethylene(TCE).

We follow this by discussing a framework for problems based on (2.4), (2.5) in the context

of aninverse problemfor virusdynamics (HIV in this case).

2.1 Inverse Problems for Individual Dynamics

Our goal is to estimate q 2 Q R m

from solutions of x (t)_ = f(t;x(t);q). To do this

we visualize parameters as realizations of a random variable and attempt to estimate the

probabilitydistributionfunction (PDF)P 2P(Q)whereP(Q)isthe setof allPDFsonthe

Borel subsetsof Q. We then attemptto estimateP fromgiven data ^

d

i

;i=1;:::;n where

^

d

i

E[x(t

i ;q)jP]

= Z

Q x(t

i

;q)dP(q);

whichin the case of a discreteprobability measure can bewritten as

^

d

i

M

X

j=1 x(t

i ;q

j )p

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for P a discretePDF with atoms at fq

j g

j=1

Qand associated probabilitiesfp

j g

j=1 .

We can then, asnoted above, denethe OLS estimation problemof minimizing

J(P)= n

X

i=1 jE[x(t

i ;q)jP]

^

d

i j

2

(2.6)

overP 2P(Q). Toconsider atheoretical and computationalfoundationfor such problems,

one needs the following items:

(i.) A topologyon P(Q);

(ii.) Continuity of P !J(P);

(iii.) Compatible compactnessresults (well-posedness);

(iv.) Computationaltools(approximations, etc.).

Fortunately, probabilitytheory oers agreat starttoward apossible complete, tractable

computationalmethodology[16]. The mostimportanttoolistheProhorovmetric,whichwe

proceed to dene. Suppose (Q;d) is acomplete metricspace. For any closed subset F Q

and ">0; dene

F "

=fq 2Q:d(~q;q)<";q~2Fg:

We thendene the Prohorov metric :P(Q)P(Q)!R +

by

(P

1 ;P

2

) inff">0:P

1

[F]P

2 [F

"

]+"; F closed; F Qg:

This can be shown to be a metric on P(Q) and has a number of well known properties

including

(a.) (P(Q);) isa complete metric space;

(b.) IfQ is compact, then (P(Q);) is acompact metric space.

Wenote thatthedenitionof isnot intuitive. Forexample,whatdoesP

k

!P inmean?

Wehave the followingimportantcharacterizations [16].

Theorem 2.1 Given P

k

;P 2P(Q); the followingconvergence statements are equivalent:

(i.) (P

k

;P)!0;

(ii.) R

Q fdP

k (q)!

R

Q

fdP(q)for all bounded, uniformly continuous f :Q!R 1

;

(iii.) P

k

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Convergence inthe metricis equivalent to convergence indistribution;

Let C

B

(Q) denote the topological dual of C

B

(Q), where C

B

(Q) is the usual space of

bounded continuous functions on Q with the supremum norm. If we view P(Q)

C

B

(Q); convergence inthe topology isequivalent toweak

convergence in P(Q).

More importantly,

(P

k

;P)!0 is equivalent to Z

Q x(t

i ;q)dP

k (q)!

Z

Q x(t

i

;q)dP(q);

and P

k

!P in metric ishence equivalent to

E[x(t

i ;q)jP

k

]!E[x(t

i ;q)jP]

or\convergence in expectation." This yieldsthat

P !J(P)= n

X

i=1 jE[x(t

i ;q)jP]

^

d

i j

2

is continuous in the topology. Continuity of P ! J(P) and compactness of P(Q) (each

with respect to the metric) allows one to assert the existence of a solution to minJ(P)

over P 2P(Q).

2.1.1 Computational issues and approximation ideas

Werstnotethat(P(Q);)isinnite-dimensionalandhenceonemustusenite-dimensional

approximations to obtain tractable computationalalgorithms. To this end, one may prove

(see [5])

Theorem 2.2 Let Q be a complete, separable metric space with metric d;S the class of all

Borel subsets of Q and P(Q) the space of probability measures on (Q;S). Let Q

0 =fq

j g

1

j=1

be a countable, dense subset of Q. Then the set of P 2P(Q) such that P has nite support

in Q

0

and rational masses is dense in P(Q) in the metric. That is,

P

0

(Q)fP 2P(Q):P = k

X

j=1 p

j Æ

q

j

;k 2N +

;q

j 2Q

0 ;p

j

rational; k

X

j=1 p

j =1g

is dense in P(Q) relative to , where Æ

q

j

is the Dirac measure with atom at q

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Given Q d = 1 M=1 Q M with Q M =fq M j g M j=1

chosen so that Q

d

isdense in Q, dene

P M

(Q)=fP 2P(Q):P = M X j=1 p j Æ q M j ;q M j 2Q M ;p j rational; k X j=1 p j =1g:

Then we nd

P M

(Q)is a compact subset of (P(Q););

P M

(Q)6P M+1

(Q);

\P M

(Q)!P(Q)" in the topology;that is,elements inP(Q) may be approximated

arbitrarilyclosely inthe metric by elements inP M

(Q)for M suÆciently large.

These ideas and results can then be used to establish a type of \stability" of the

in-verse problem (see [5, 13]). We rst dene a series of approximate problems consisting of

minimizing J(P M )= n X x=1 jE[x(t i ;q)jP M ] ^ d i j 2 over P M 2P M

(Q). Then we have

Theorem 2.3 Let Q be a compact metric space and assume solutions x(t;q) of x(t)_ =

f(t;x(t);q) are continuous in q on Q. Let P(Q) be the set of all probability measures on Q

andletQ

d

be acountabledensesubsetofQas denedpreviouslywithQ

M =fq M j g M j=1 . Dene P M

(Q) asabove. Suppose P M ( ^ d k

) isthe set of minimizersfor J(P)over P 2P M

(Q)

corre-spondingtothedataf ^

d k

gandP

( ^

d)isthesetof minimizersoverP 2P(Q)correspondingto

^ d, where ^ d k ; ^

d 2R n

are the observed data such that ^

d k

! ^

d. Then dist(P M ( ^ d k );P ( ^

d))!0

as M ! 1 and ^

d k

! ^

d. Thus the solutions depend continuously on the data and the

approximate problems are method stable.

To illustrate the above methodology with a relevant example, we present here a brief

description of aPBPK-hybrid modelfor trichloroethylene (TCE) and indicatehow one

for-mulatesand implementsthe correspondingestimationproblems. TCE isametaldegreasing

agentthatis awidespreadenvironmentalcontaminant,and has been linked toseveral types

of cancer in laboratory animals and humans. This compound is highly soluble in lipids

and is known to accumulate within the fat tissue. Therefore, in order to accurately predict

toxicity-related measures such as the net clearance rate of TCE and the eective dose of

TCE delivered totarget tissues, itisimportantto accurately capture the transportof TCE

within the fat tissue.

Physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) models are used to describe the

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transportofthecompound,aswellascompartmentsfortissuesthataretargetsofthe

chemi-cal'stoxiceects. See[24]foradetaileddescriptionofstandardPBPKmodelingtechniques.

As discussed in [1, 27], the standard perfusion-limited and diusion-limited

compart-mentalmodelsused inPBPKmodelingare notable todescribe thedynamics ofTCE infat

tissueasseeninexperimentaldata,andthe assumptionsfortheseODE-basedmodelsdonot

matchwellwith theheterogeneous physiologyof fattissue. This motivatedthe development

ofaspecializedcompartmentalmodel forthefattissue,whichisthencoupledwith standard

compartments forthe remaining non-fat compartmentsto produce aPBPK-hybrid model.

The resulting compartmental model for the fat tissue is based on an axial dispersion

modeloriginally developed by Roberts and Rowland [28] for the transport of solutes in the

liver. The underlying assumptions for the dispersion model matchwell with the physiology

of fat tissue (see [1, 27] for details), and the geometry for the PDE-based fat model is

based specically onthe known geometry of fat cells and their accompanying capillaries. A

key feature of the dispersion model is its aggregate nature, using a representative \cell" to

capture the transport behaviorof the compoundina collectionofmany similar\cells" that

have varying properties.

In this particular case, the representative \cell" is a unit containing three

subcompart-ments: asingleadipocyte(fatcell)togetherwithanadjoiningcapillary,andthesurrounding

interstitialuid. Inthemodel,theadipocyteisrepresented byasphereandthecapillaryisa

cylindricaltubewithcircularcross-section;the interstitialuidllsinthespacesurrounding

theothertworegions. Themodel geometryandequationsaregiveninsphericalcoordinates.

See [1, 27] for acomplete description of the model.

Itisassumed thatTCEentersthecapillaryregionofthefatcompartmentalongwiththe

arterialblood. Thecapillaryequation(2.7)includesaone-dimensionalconvection-dispersion

termtogether withatermbasedonFick'srst lawofdiusionfortheexchange between the

capillaryandtheothertwosubcompartments. Theaccompanyingboundaryconditions(2.8)

and (2.9) connect the capillary with the arterial and venous blood systems, and are based

on ux balance. The adipocyte and interstitial equations (2.10) and (2.15) each contain

two-dimensional diusion terms together with terms for the exchange of TCE between the

subcompartments. The boundary conditions (2.11){(2.14) and (2.16){(2.19) are based on

standard periodicand niteness conditions that are appropriate for diusionon a spherical

domain.

In addition to the fat compartment, there are perfusion-limited tissue compartments

used inthe PBPK-hybrid modeltorepresent the brain,kidney, liver, muscle and remaining

tissues. Uptake of TCE is via inhalation in the lungs, which is modeled using a standard

steady-state assumption. Metabolism of TCE is described with aMichaelis-Menten termin

the liver with parameters v

max

(mg/hour) and k

M

(mg/liter). The resulting equations for

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V B @C B @t = V B r 2 sin @ @ sin D B r 2 @C B @ vC B + I BI (f I C I ( 0 ) f B C B ) + A BA (f A C A ( 0 ) f B C B ) (2.7) D B r 2 @C B @

(t;)+vC

B (t;) ="1 = Q c 1000A B C a (t) (2.8) D B r 2 @C B @

(t;)+vC

B (t;) = "2 = Q c 1000A B C v (t) (2.9) V I @C I @t = V I D I r 2 1 1 sin 2 @ 2 C I @ 2 + 1 sin @ @ sin @C I @ + Æ 0 () B () I BI (f B C B f I C I )+ IA (f A C A f I C I ) (2.10) C I

(t;;) = C

I

(t;+2;) (2.11)

@C

I

@

(t;;) = @C

I

@

(t;+2;) (2.12)

C

I

(t;;0) < 1 (2.13)

C

I

(t;;) < 1 (2.14)

V A @C A @t = V A D A r 2 0 1 sin 2 @ 2 C A @ 2 + 1 sin @ @ sin @C A @ + Æ 0 () B () A BA (f B C B f A C A )+ IA (f I C I f A C A ) (2.15) C A

(t;;) = C

A

(t;+2;) (2.16)

@C

A

@

(t;;) = @C

A

@

(t;+2;) (2.17)

C

A

(t;;0) < 1 (2.18)

C

A

(t;;) < 1 (2.19)

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V l l dt = Q l (C a C l =P l )

max l l

k M +C l =P l (2.25) V k dC k dt = Q k (C a C k =P k ): (2.26)

The variables in the model are the concentrations of TCE (in mg/liter) in each of the

compartments/subcompartments, and are denoted by C with subscripts corresponding to

the respective tissue/region. Model parameters include tissue volumes V in liters, blood

ow rates Q in liters/hour and partition coeÆcients P, each with the appropriate tissue

subscripts. Parameters specic to the dispersion model include the dispersion coeÆcient

D

B

and the diusion coeÆcients D

I

and D

A in m

2

/hour; unbound fractions f

B , f I , f A ; permeability coeÆcients BA , IA , BI

in liters/hour; blood ow parameters v (m/hour)

and F; and inter-region transport parameters

I

and

A

. A complete discussion of the

modelequations and parameters ispresented in [1,27].

Here weutilizetheTCE model(2.7){(2.26)toillustrateparameterestimationtechniques

for models with individual-leveldynamics that have realization-dependent derivatives. We

present results for both parametric and nonparametric parameter estimation approaches,

wheretheparameterofinterestistheprobabilitydistributionofthefatdispersioncoeÆcient

D

B

inthe capillary. This parameter is animportant measure of the degree of heterogeneity

within anindividual'sfat tissue.

The parametric and nonparametric approaches each t into the general framework

pre-sented earlier inthis chapter formodels with individualdynamics. We assumethat the

pa-rameter q D

B

2Q is distributed across the populationwith distribution P 2 P(Q),

whereisasetofadmissibleprobabilitydistributionfunctions(possiblyallofP(Q)). Then

the general objective function for the standard least squares parameter estimation problem

is given by

J(P)= n X i=1 E[x(t i ;q)jP]

^ d i 2 ; (2.27)

where,inthiscase, ^

d

i

representsameasurementofthespatialmeanconcentrationofTCEin

thefatcellsattimet

i

,andx(t

i

;q)isthe spatialmeanconcentrationofTCEintheadipocyte

region of the fat compartment that isobtained by solving (2.7) {(2.26) with parameter q.

For the parametric approach, we assume that the probability distribution P for q is of

a particular form with parameterization q~2 R Nq

(e.g., a normal distribution N(;) with

parameterization q~ = (;)), so that the set of admissible probability distributions is

dened as the set of alldistributionsP

~ q

of that given form. The estimationproblemis then

reduced to the N

q

-dimensionalproblem of minimizing

J(~q)= n X i=1 E[x(t i ;q)jP ~ q ] ^ d i 2 (2.28) over P ~ q

2 foradmissible parameterizationsq~2 ~

QR Nq

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objectivefunction(2.27) toa moretractable N

q

-dimensionalproblem. Whenthere isahigh

degree of condence about the specic form of the probability distribution P, this method

can be expected to perform reasonably well. In many cases, however, the exact form of

P is unknown, making it diÆcult to choose the proper restriction for the set and the

corresponding parameterization q.~ If an incorrect form and parameterization are chosen

for the distribution function, the parametric approach is likely to provide a poor t to the

data since the \true" underlying distribution may not correspond to a distribution in the

admissible set . Even more alarming are situations where a reasonable t is found even

though an incorrect parameteric form has been assumed (see [15] for examples). In this

situation,a nonparametric approachis oftenmore appropriate.

Instead of using a specic form for the distribution P with a nite-dimensional

param-eterization q,~ the nonparametric parameter estimation approach utilizes a discretization of

the admissible parameter set Q toachieve a nite-dimensional approximation for the

origi-nalobjectivefunction(2.27). Theresultingfamilyof nite-dimensionalestimation problems

can be solved in a straightforward manner using quadratic programming, and theoretical

results established in [5, 15] guarantee that the minimizersconverge toa minimizer for the

innite-dimensionalproblem(e.g., see Theorem 2.3above).

As described earlier in this chapter, we utilize the set Q

d =

S

Q

M

, a dense, countable

subsetofQ,togetherwithconvexcombinationsofDiracdeltadistributionsdened overQ

M ,

todene the following familyof objective functions over P M

(Q):

J(P

M )=

N

X

i=1

E[x(t

i ;q)jP

M ]

^

d

i

2

; (2.29)

where ^

d

i

are observations corresponding to the expected value, and P

M

is a probability

distribution inP M

(Q) asdened inTheorem 2.3 above.

Note that (2.29) can be rewritten as

J(P

M )=

N

X

i=1

M

X

j=1 x(t

i ;q

M

j )p

j ^

d

i

2

; (2.30)

sothat the minimizationof (2.30)is equivalent tosolving aconstrained quadratic

program-ming problemfor fp

1 ;:::;p

M

g with constraintsp

j

0and P

M

j=1 p

j =1.

Example results for the parametric and nonparametric methods are given in Figures 1

and2respectively. Ineachcase,the observationsusedinthe parameterestimationproblems

were generated by solving the TCE model (2.7){(2.26) with a xed parameter set q

. In

this case, the solutionx(t

i

;q)isthe spatial meanadipocyteconcentrationof TCE given the

parameter q = D

B

. The probability distributions obtained by the estimation methods are

presented in Figures 1 and 2. In Figure 1, the solid line represents the true distribution

corresponding to q

, q

0

denotes the initialiterate used inthe optimizationprocedure and q

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0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

Probability distribution 0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1

Normal distributions

q

*

q

q

0

Figure 1: Example solution for the parametric method applied to the TCE PBPK-hybrid

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0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

4

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

q

Probability distribution

Bimodal, qM = 32, tf = 2, Nt = 6, Ns = 50 (Type I)

P

*

P

prob

Figure2: Examplesolutionforthe nonparametricmethodappliedtotheTCEPBPK-hybrid

model.

For the parametric case, the data-generating probability distribution we chose is a

bi-truncatednormaldistributionforq

withmean

=1,standard deviation

=0:0833,and

support over the interval [

3

;+3

]. The objective function (2.28) was minimized

over the set of bitruncated normal distributions with parameterizations (;) and with

nite support in[ 3;+3]. See [27] forcomplete details and additionalexamples.

Forthe nonparametric case, we useda bimodalgaussiandistribution with means

1 =1

and

2

= 3 and standard deviations

1

= 0:1667 and

2

= 0:3333. The objective

func-tion (2.30) was minimized using the quadratic programming routine quadprog in Matlab.

More details and examples for the nonparametric approach applied to the TCE model are

given in[15].

2.2 Aggregate Dynamics

Weturn next tothe problems with aggregate dynamics(2.4) and OLS functional(2.5). For

these problems one can also develop a general theoretical framework. We rst outline the

(14)

reverse transcriptase

RNA

capsid

envelope

single-strand RNA

lentivirus

infection

cell membrane

cytosol

loss of

envelope

loss of

viral capsid

cellular

DNA

viral DNA

altered

cellular DNA

integration

transcription into multiple RNA copies

translation

translation

assembly

viral budding

24 hour

mean delay

Figure3: HIV infection pathway.

Given the system dynamics

dx

dt

=g(t;x(t); P); P 2P(Q); (2.31)

one rst argues that (t;x ; P)!g(t;x; P)is continuous from[0;T]R n

P(Q) toR n

, and

locallyLipschitzinx . Thenbyextensionofstandardcontinuousdependenceon\parameters"

results for ODEs, one obtains that P ! x(t; P) is continuous from P(Q) to R n

for each t.

This again yields P ! J(P) = P

i jx(t

i ;P)

^

d

i j

2

is continuous from P(Q) to R 1

, where

P(Q), with the Prohorov metric,is compact for Q compact.

Then the general theory of Banks-Bihari [5] can be followed to obtain existence and

stability for inverse problems (continuous dependence with respect to data of solutions of

the inverse problem)as inTheorems2.2and 2.3 above. Moreover, anapproximation theory

as abasis for computationalmethodsis obtained.

We illustrate the ideas in the situation where the underlying ODE system (2.31) is

re-placedbya nonlinear functionaldierentialequation(FDE) system. This example arisesin

modelingprogression of HIV forwhicha schematicof the cellular levelinfection pathway is

(15)

_

V(t) = cV(t)+n

A Z

0

r

A(t+)dP

1

()+n

C

C(t) pV(t)T(t) (2.32)

_

A(t) = (r

v Æ

A

ÆX(t))A(t) Z

0

r

A(t+)dP

2

()+pV(t)T(t) (2.33)

_

C(t) = (r

v Æ

C

ÆX(t))C(t)+ Z

0

r

A(t+)dP

2

() (2.34)

_

T(t) = (r

u Æ

u

ÆX(t) pV(t))(t)+S(t); (2.35)

where X = A+C +T and V(t) is the expected value of the population count (number)

of virus cells, A(t) is the number of acutely infected cells, C(t) is the expected value of the

number of chronically infected cells, and T(t) is the total number of target or uninfected

cells,eachattimetrespectively. The probabilitymeasuresP

1 ;P

2

inthemodel arisebecause

there are delays

1 and

1 +

2

fromthe timeof acutecellular infection untila cellbecomes

productively infected and from the time of acute infection until chronic infection,

respec-tively (see Appendix A of [6] or Chapter 2 of [17] for a careful and detailed derivation).

Biologically, these delay times must vary across the population and this variability is

de-scribed by the PDFsP

1

and P

2

inthe system (2.32)-(2.35). More specically,the variables

V(t)and C(t)have substructures (classesV(t;);C(t;)grouped accordingtotheirortheir

\mothers" delay times) which are averaged across the populations using the distributions

P

1 , P

2

,respectively,so that

V(t) = E[V(t;)jP

1 ]=

Z

0

r

V(t;)dP

1 ();

C(t) = E[C(t;)jP

2 ]=

Z

0

r

C(t;)dP

2 ():

Thisyieldsthesystem(2.32)-(2.35)withvectorvaluedmeasuredependent(P =(P

1 ;P

2 ))

dynamics as formulated in (2.31) wherein the \state" variables are expected values of

pop-ulation counts. A careful consideration of the derivation of this system reveals that it does

not arise from aparameter dependent system for

x(t;q)=(V(t;q);A(t;q);C(t;q);T(t;q))

with parameters q = (

1 ;

2

) and thus the associated inverse problems for the estimation of

P

1 ;P

2

are fundamentallydierent fromthose in the PBPK examplesof Section 2.1above.

The dynamicalsystem (2.32)-(2.35)for given P

1 ;P

2

isitselfaninnite-dimensionalstate

system (similar to apartial dierential equation(PDE) system inthis regard). Tosee this,

we note that (2.32)-(2.35)can bewritten (see [6, 17] for details)in the form

_

x(t)=L(x (t);x

t )+f

1

(x(t))+f

2

(16)

0

5

10

15

20

25

0

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

x 10

7

Total Cells vs. Time

Days

A+C+T

AEE Optimized Solution

Experimental Data

(17)

where !x

t

()x(t+0); r 0,isafunctionfrom[ r;0]toR . Thissystemrequires

initialdata (x (0);x

0

) in the state space ~

Z = R 4

C( r;0;R 4

) which is readily recognized

as being innite dimensional. For such systems one needs an approximation theory and

resultingcomputationalmethodology (e.g., nite element methods similarto those popular

inPDEtheoryand implementation)eventocarry outforward simulations(an integralpart,

ofcourse,ofmostinverseproblemmethodologies). Fortunately,suchatheoryexists[4,9,10]

in the contextof abstract evolution equations

_

z(t)=Az(t)+(f

2 (t);0)

in astate space Z =R 4

L

2

( r;0;R 4

) where

D(A)=f((0);)2Z :2H 1

( r;0;R 4

)g

and A:D(A)Z !Z is given by

A((0);)=(L((0);)+f

1

((0)); d

d )

for !() inH 1

( r;0;R 4

).

This theory can be used as a foundation to develop a theoretical and computational

framework for inverse problems similar to that outlined for parameter dependent systems

such as the PBPK example in Section 2.1. While the resulting wellposedness and method

stability (see Chapter 3 of [17]) statements are similar inspirit to the Banks-Bihari results

given in Section 2.1, the technical details are quite dierent and rely heavily on the FDE

theory in [4,9, 10]. Detailsare given in [6,17].

The methodology outlined here (along with an ANOVA type statistical methodology)

was successfully used to analyze in vitro data [29] from the experiments of Dr. Michael

Emerman of the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle. A comparison of the

simulation of the modelwith minimizingP

= (P

1 ;P

2

) obtained fromthe inverse problem

(i.e.,(2.5) withsystem (2.32)-(2.35))toaset ofEmerman'sexperimentaldataisdepictedin

Figure4. Wenote that the measures P

1 ;P

2

used for the simulationdepicted here consisted

of Dirac measures with single atoms at

1

and

1 +

2

, respectively, where

1

=22:8 hours

and

2

=3:2hours.

3 Electromagnetic imaging of hidden substances

Inthissectionwesummarizeoureortsinmodelingtheuseofelectromagneticpulsedsignals

toremotelyextractinformationabout geometricandchemicalpropertiesofsubstances. Our

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in which this theory is currently being extended.

The interactionofveryhighfrequency electromagneticwaves, X-rays,withmaterialshas

longbeenexploitedforimagingpurposesinmedicaldiagnostics. Manynoveltechniqueshave

been developed during the past several years to extend the capabilities of traditionalX-ray

methods. Moreover, waves at dierent frequency ranges of the electromagnetic spectrum

have been utilized. A close inspection of the interaction of materials with electromagnetic

radiation at dierent frequency ranges reveals dierent underlyingmechanisms which need

to be correctly captured in the appropriate models. At the same time, the diversity of this

interaction makes possible a variety of applications from laser surgery to the detection of

environmental contaminants. Some of these techniques have great potentialto play an

im-portantroleinthecurrenteortsinprovidingamoresecureenvironmentfromdierentforms

ofterroristactivities. AsstatedinSection1,interrogationofmaterialswithelectromagnetic

waves couldbeuseful inlook-downsurveillance, imagingof structures, identicationof

con-taminants, airport security devices, detection of hidden substances, explosives, chemicals,

toxins and bioagents.

The successful use of these techniques is wrought with many technical and theoretical

challenges. While portable lasers and X-ray machines are widely available, other ranges of

the EM spectrumare not aswellrepresented. Terahertz signalgenerators and detectors are

currently being developed and exhibit a great promise for providingnovel imaging devices.

Terahertz radiationhasseveraladvantagesovertraditionalX-raymethodsand iswell-suited

for imaging applications. T-rays have low photon energies and are non-ionizing, thus they

are thought to be safer than X-rays. Recently developed devices can generate very short

(sub-ps) burstsofTHzradiationconsisting ofonlyafewcyclesofthe electriceld, yet

span-ning a broad bandwidth. THz waveforms passing through, or reected from an object can

berecordedinthetimedomainwith veryhighsignal-to-noiseratio. Manyorganicmolecules

show strong absorption and dispersion inthis frequency range. These eects constitute the

polarization mechanism of the molecules which has an inuence on the electric eld and

the propagationof the electromagnetic wave insidethe material. Since these transitions are

characteristic to the particular molecules, detection of the temporal distortions produced

thus yieldsinformation about the composition of the material inreal time. For example,it

is known that cancerous and benign tumors have dierent electromagnetic characteristics.

Therefore animagingdevice basedonTHz wavescould not onlygiveinformationabout the

structure of an object (geometrical properties) but could help in determining their

compo-sition and electromagneticproperties aswell ina non-invasiveway. As shown in[25],T-ray

imagingcan beuseful bothby sendinga pulse through the materialand detecting iton the

other side orby sending apulse toward the materialand recording the reections from the

interface(s) (reection imaging). This latter procedure is especially important when

detec-tors cannot be placed on the other side of the object, or when only slices of an object need

tobeevaluated. Potentialapplicationsrangefrommedicalanddentaldiagnosticstoquality

control in food processing, semiconductor and chip manufacturing and to the detection of

(19)

The technicaladvances ingeneratingelectromagnetic radiationindierent rangesof the

spectrumandtheir emergingapplicationsinboth medicaland generalimagingeldscallfor

better theoretical understanding and accurate models of the interaction of electromagnetic

signalsandvarioussubstances. Indevelopingthesemodelsspecialattentionhastobeplaced

onthespecicfrequencyrangeandintensityoftheelectromagneticradiation,thetypeofthe

interrogating signal that is used and the type of materialthat it encounters. For example,

inthe highopticalrangeone generallyassumesanonlinearrelationshipbetween theelectric

eld and the polarization, and uses the slowly-moving envelope assumption to derive the

nonlinear Schrodinger equation for the propagation of wave-packets in a dielectric medium

from Maxwell's equations. While the latter is a reasonable assumption for pulses that are

\long"comparedtoacharacteristicfrequency,itmaybeinadequatetoaccountforultrashort

pulses. Inthat casea dierent,full-wavederivation isnecessary tocapture transient eects.

In the microwave range of the electromagnetic spectrum one can assume that the

rela-tionship between the electric eld and the polarization is linear for most materials. In the

following we will summarize a model developed in [8] for the propagation of windowed

mi-crowave (3-100 GHz)pulses in a dielectric medium. In that work the basic question, which

was answered in the aÆrmative, was whether a variationalformulation of Maxwell's

equa-tions foraspecic 1-Dsituationcouldsuccessfully beused inthe identicationof geometric

and dielectric properties of a material slab that is interrogated by microwave pulses from

antenna sources.

3.1 Variational approach for microwave pulse propagation

In this 1-D model an innite slab of material is placed in the interval = [z

1 ;z

2 ] with

faces parallel to the xy plane. The interrogating signal is assumed to be a short planar

electromagnetic pulse normally incident on the material and the electric eld is polarized

with oscillationsinthe xz plane only.

Thus the electric eld is parallel to the^{ axis atall points in

0

and the magnetic eld

~

H is parallel to the ^| axis. Since the material properties are assumed to be homogeneous

in the x and y variables,it can be shown that the propagatingwaves in are alsoreduced

to one nontrivial component [8]. This makes it possible torepresent the elds in and

0

withthe scalarfunctionsE(t;z)andH(t;z). Undertheseassumptions,Maxwell'sequations

reduce to

@E

@z

=

o @H

@t

(3.37)

@H

@z =

@D

@t

+E+J

s

(3.38)

for the scalar elds E and H. The magnetic eld can be eliminated from the equations by

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z

H(t;z)

E(t;z)

z

1

z

2

y

Figure 5: Geometry of the physicalproblem.

usingtheequationforelectricuxdensityD=E+P where=

0 (1+(

r 1)I

)toobtain

0



E+

0 

P +

0

_

E E

00

=

0 _

J

s

: (3.39)

Ageneralintegralequationmodelcanbeemployedtodescribethebehaviorofthemedia's

macroscopic electricpolarizationP:

P(t;x)= Z

t

0

g(t s;x)E(s;x)ds: (3.40)

This constitutive law is given in terms of a susceptibility kernel g, and expresses the fact

that the materialresponds tothe electriceldin nitetime. This formulationissuÆciently

generaltoincludemicroscopicpolarizationmechanismssuchasdipoleororientational

polar-izationaswellasionic andelectronic polarization(see later)[3,21]. Wenotethat P(0;x)is

assumedtobe0. Toallowforacomponentofthepolarizationwhichdependsinstantaneously

onthe electriceld one can includea term

0

E inD. Hence,

D =

0

(1+)E+P (3.41)

=

0

r

E+P; (3.42)

where

r

=1+1isarelativepermittivitywhichcanbetreatedasaspatiallydependent

(21)

1

locationoftheoriginalbackboundaryatz =z

2

,i.e.,the depthof theslab,isunknown. The

unknown boundarycreates computationaldiÆculties in the inverse problemsince changing

domains would involve changing discretization grids in the usual nite element schemes.

Thus the method of mappings [11, 12, 26] is applied to transform the problem to a known

reference domain. The domain of the computation is dened to be the interval ~

= [0;1].

Anabsorbing boundary conditionis placedatthe z =0boundaryof the intervaltoprevent

the reection of waves. This can beexpressed by

1 c @E @t @E @z z=0

=0 (3.43)

wherec 2 1= 0 0

. Asupraconductivebackingisplacedontheslabatz =z

2

. Theboundary

conditions onthis supraconductive reector (after mappingz

2

to the reference point z =1)

are given by E(t;1)=0. Substituting an expression for 

P derived from equation (3.40) we

obtain the strong formof the equation

~

r 

E(t;z)+ 1

0 I

(z)((z)+g(0;z)) _ E(t;z) + 1 0 I

(z)g(0;_ z)E(t;z)+ Z t 0 I (z) 1 0 

g(t s;z)E(s;z)ds (3.44)

c 2

E 00

(t;z)= 1 0 _ J s (t;z);

where indicator functions I

have been added to explicitly enforce the restriction of

po-larization and conductivity to the interior of the transformed medium = [z

1

;1] and

~

r

==

0

=1+(

r 1)I

1 throughout [0;1].

Due to the form of the interrogatinginputs, the dielectrically discontinuous medium

in-terfaces,andthepossiblelackofsmoothnessinmappingtheoriginaldomain

0 S

=[0;z

2 ]

to the reference domain ~

= [0;1], one should not expect classical solutions to Maxwell's

equationsinstrong form. Thusitisdesirabletowrite the system equationsinweakor

vari-ational form. Using the spaces H =L

2

(0;1) and V = H 1

R

(0;1) =f 2 H 1

(0;1)j(1) =0g

and the boundaryconditions (3.43), the equation (3.44) can be writtenin weak formas

h ~

r 

E;i+h _

E;i+hE;i+h Z

t

0

(t s;)E(s;)ds;i

+hc 2 E 0 ; 0

i+c _

E(t;0)(0)=hJ(t;);i (3.45)

with initialconditions

E(0;z)=(z) _

E(0;z)= (z);

where the coeÆcients are given by

(t;z)= 1

0 I

(z)g(t;z); (z)= 1

0 I

(z)g(0;_ z);

(z)= 1 0 I

(22)

and h;i is the L inner product. The functions ; and are dependent on parameters

which must be identied. These functions are assumed to be in L 1

but may lack any

additionalregularity.

Existence,uniquenessandregularityofsolutionsisestablishedin[8],andacomprehensive

approximation framework is developed for the forward as well as the inverse problems. It

is shown computationally that it is possible to simulate and identify Debye and Lorentz

polarization mechanisms in media using rst reected pulses. The thickness of a layered

slab using reected signals from a supraconductive back boundary can also be accurately

estimated. Itisdemonstratedcomputationallythatthismodelcapturestransienteectsand

shows the formationof Brillouinprecursors inside the material[8].

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

−150

−100

−50

0

50

100

150

z

electric field

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

−15

−10

−5

0

5

10

z

electric field

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

−10

−5

0

5

z

electric field

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

−6

−4

−2

0

2

4

z

electric field

Formation of Brillouin precursors in the material [0.33,1]

Time=0.6 ns

Time=3.7 ns

Time= 5 ns

Time=6.8 ns

Figure6: Formationof Brillouinprecursors using alinear Debye model.

Insummary,thisapproachisamenabletoultrashortinputpulsesandprovidesacomplete

theoreticaland computationalframeworkfor the directand the inverse probleminthis

one-dimensional model.

This work has been extended in dierent directions. A corresponding analysis with

acousticreectorsatthebackoftheslabofmaterialandpressuredependentMaxwellsystem

coeÆcientsis developedin [2]. Itisshown that insteadofa supraconductive backing(which

is not practical in many medical or remote imaging applications), an acoustic wave can be

employed toreectthe electromagneticsignal. Moreover, thesereectionscan againbeused

toidentify geometric and dielectric properties of the material.

To develop and use a similar methodology for terahertz signals we must capture the

response of materials to higher frequencies. Thus, we need to represent the absorption and

dispersion properties of the material by accurately modeling the underlying polarization

mechanisms. As interrogating frequencies increase, it is not unreasonable to expect that

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Polarization, the general macroscopic response of a material to an electric eld, is an

im-portant dielectric characteristic specic to a given material and hence is important to any

interrogation methodology. It depends heavily on the molecularstructure of the material.

Dielectricmaterialscontainboundnegativeandpositivechargesthatarenotfreetomove

aschargesdoinconductors. Thesechargesare kept inplaceby atomicand molecularforces.

When subjected to anexternal electric eld, dipole moments are induced inthe atoms and

molecules. Theelectricpolarizationvector isdened asthedipolemomentperunitvolume.

Themechanismbywhichthesedipolemomentsarecreatedisdierentindierentmaterials,

whethergases,liquids,orsolids. Moleculesofcertaingases(e.g.,oxygen)containasymmetric

pair of atoms in each moleculeand thus have no inherent dipolemoments. Such molecules

arecallednonpolar. Inothers,(e.g.,water vapor)the center ofgravityofthe positivecharge

(inthiscase onthehydrogenatom)andthenegativecharge(onthe oxygen)donotcoincide,

andthe total chargedistributiononthe moleculehas adipolemoment. Thesemolecules are

called polar.

First we consider nonpolar molecules. When an electric eld is applied to the atoms of

such molecules the electrons are forced in one direction, while the nucleus is forced in the

opposite direction by the eld. Thus there is a net displacement of the centers of charge,

and a dipole moment is created. This displacement of the electron distribution is called

electronic polarization. In a changing electric eld the displacementof the center of charge

oftheelectrons isusuallymodeledbyaharmonicoscillatorandthisgivesrise tothe Lorentz

modelfor electronic polarization:



~

P + 1

_

~

P +! 2

0 ~

P =

0 !

2

p ~

E;

where

0

is the dielectric constant, and !

p

is the so called plasma frequency given by !

p =

p

s

1

; with

s and

1

being the relativepermittivitiesof the materialinthe limitof the

static and very high frequencies,respectively.

The same mechanism can be observed in polar molecules. However, in additionto this

eect, the electric eld forces a portion of the originally randomly oriented internal dipoles

to line up with the applied eld, producing a net moment per unit volume. This is called

dipoleororientationalpolarization,and isdescribedby theDebyemodelwhichcaptures the

relaxationof the molecules once the electric eld isturned o:

_

~

P + ~

P =

0 (

s

1 )

~

E: (3.46)

It takes timefor the molecules tolineup becauseof their momentof inertia,so this

mecha-nism becomes less pronouncedif the materialis subjected tovery high frequencies. In that

case the molecules simply cannot follow the changing electric eld suÆciently fast and at

some level appear to\freeze."

Polarizationin denser materials, liquidsand solids, is even more complicated. Here the

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tronic polarization). In solids that are made up of ionic crystals, e.g., NaCl, the positive

and negative ions are displaced as a result of an applied eld, which is called ionic

polar-ization. In certain crystals thereis apermanentinternal polarizationinthe sense that each

unit cell of the lattice has a permanent dipole moment. If the relative position of the

lat-tice points change, e.g., by heating orstressing the material,external eldsappear creating

pyroelectricity and piezoelectricity, respectively. For anideal dielectric, orientational

polar-izationdominates forlowerfrequencies givingway tovibrationalandelectronic polarization

as the frequency increases. At very high frequencies (X-rays, gamma rays) there is almost

nopolarizationsince the materialsimplycannot \followthe wave" due to inertialeects.

Inallofthesemodelssofarweassumedthattherelationshipbetweentheappliedelectric

eld and the polarization is linear, given by, in general, an integral convolution. However,

it is known that in the optical range this relationship becomes nonlinear (more so for non

innitesimal elds), as evidenced by nonlinear optical eects like solitons, second harmonic

generation and self-focusing [31]. For some materials this transition starts to take place in

the IR range. For example, while for microwaves a linear model is appropriate (indeed a

Debyemodelprovidesagoodtforwater), nonlineareects, especiallyfornon-innitesimal

amplitudes,needtobetakenintoaccountforhigherfrequencyranges. Thereisexperimental

evidenceforsmallbutsignicantdeparturefromstrictlinearity athighvaluesoftheelectric

eld [30] (p. 245). An example is the Kerr eect, in which insulating liquids, containing

anisotropic molecules, become doubly refracting when subjected to very strong elds. As

suggested in [30], this could be modeled by the constitutive relation ~

P = ~

E + sj ~

Ej 2

~

E:

However, we have already seen that inertial eects, i.e., the nite time response of the

material may be important, so instead we will consider a Debye model where the electric

eld providesnonlinear forcing. For acentrosymmetric medium wemight assume

_

~

P + ~

P = ~

f( ~

E);

where ~

f( ~

E) = c

1 ~

E +c

2 j

~

Ej 2

~

E; for j ~

Ej < M and 0 otherwise, i.e., ~

f is a saturated cubic

nonlinearity. In integral formwe obtain the relationship

~

P(t;~x)= Z

t

0

g(t s;~x) ~

f( ~

E(s;~x))ds; (3.47)

where g(t;~x)=e t

:We note that anonlinearlydriven Lorentzmodel,



~

P + 1

_

~

P +! 2

0 ~

P =

0 !

2

p ~

f( ~

E);

leads to a similar integral representation with kernel function g(t;~x) =

0 !

2

p

0 e

1

2 t

sin(

0 t);

where

0 =

q

! 2

0 1

4 2

:As a rst step, we considered ageneral modelwith nonlinear

(25)

tion

We consider a polarization mechanism of the form (3.47) with ~

f = E + f(E) together

with the one-dimensional model outlined above. As before, an innite slab of material

with supraconductive backing is interrogated by a normally incident polarized plane wave

windowed pulse originatingat an antenna source z =0 in free space

0

=[0;z

1

]: The slab

of material in = [z

1 ;z

2

] is assumed to be homogeneous in the directions orthogonal to

the direction z of propagation of the plane wave. As we have already noted, under these

assumptions it is possible torepresent the strength of the electric and magnetic elds in

and

0

by the scalar functions E(t;z) and H(t;z), respectively. One can readily eliminate

the magnetic eld fromthe full Maxwellequations and substitute the assumed constitutive

lawforthe polarizationtoarriveatthestrongformulationoftheproblemwithsimilarinitial

and boundary conditions as inSection 3.1:

^ "

r 

E(t;z) + 1

"

0 I

(z)((z)+g(0;z)) _ E(t;z) + 1 " 0 I

(z)g(0;_ z)E(t;z)+ Z t 0 1 " 0 I

(z)g(t s;z)E(s;z)ds

+ 1 " 0 I

(z)g(0;_ z)f(E(t;z))+ Z t 0 1 " 0 I

(z)g(t s;z)f(E(s;z))ds

+ 1 " 0 I (z)g(0;z) d dt

f(E(t;z)) c 2 E 00 (t;z) = 1 " 0 _ J s

(t;z); t >0; 0<z <z

2 ; (3.48) 1 c @E @t @E @z z=0

=0 t>0; (3.49)

E(t;z

2

)=0 t >0; (3.50)

E(0;z)=(z); _

E(0;z)= (z) 0<z <z

2

: (3.51)

Inthe physicalproblemz

2

isassumed tobeunknown, andit isdesirabletoestimateitfrom

given data. Since the theoretical analysis is constructive in the sense that the numerical

method we use to solve this problem (for both forward and inverse problems) follows the

theoretical arguments,it is desirabletoconvert the problemto axed spatialdomain, e.g.,

[0;1]; as explained above and in [8]. Thus we use the method of maps and subsequently

formulate the variationalproblemasfollows.

We let H = L 2

(0;1); V = H 1

R

(0;1) = f 2 H 1

(0;1)j(1)= 0g leading to the Gelfand

triple ([23, 33]) V ,! H ,! V

: We say that E 2 L 1

(0;T;V) with _

E 2 L 2

(0;T;H); 

E 2

L 2

(0;T;V

); is aweak solutionif itsatises for every '2V

h" r  E;'i V ;V +h _

E;'i+hE;'i+h Z

t

0

(26)

+hf(E);'i+h t

0

(t s;)f(E(s;))ds;'i+h^ d

dt

f(E);'i

+hc 2

h 0

E 0

;' 0

i+c _

E(t;0)'(0)=hJ(t;);'i

V

;V

(3.52)

and

E(0;z)=(z); _

E(0;z)= (z): (3.53)

Using a Galerkin type approach and special considerations for the nonlinear terms we

were abletoshow[14]that,underfairlygeneralassumptionsonthenonlinearityf,aunique

global weak solutionexists and itdepends continuously oninitialdata.

Thusthe one dimensionalproblemwithnonlinearlyforced dynamicsforthe polarization

iswell-posed. Thissystemcanalsobethoughtofasatypeofapproximation(usingtruncated

Taylor expansions) to the nonlinear polarizationdynamics:

_

~

P +f( ~

P)=k ~

E (3.54)

and



~

P + _

~

P +f( ~

P)=k ~

E; (3.55)

which represent nonlinear Debye and Lorentz mechanisms and are suggested in [18].

Cur-rently a study is underway to compare these dierent systems theoretically and

computa-tionally.

3.4 Extension to higher dimensions

To extend the above methodology to more realistic situations one needs to formulate the

problems in higher(two or three)dimensions and demonstrate the applicabilityof the

vari-ational framework in that setting. The work on microwave interrogating signals has been

extended totwodimensionscomputationally[7]foradiagonallyanisotropicslabofmaterial.

The extensions to higher dimensions and higher frequencies are closely related and several

new challenges arise.

Theoretically, the one-dimensional model formulated above depends on the tacit

as-sumption that the polarization eld ~

P in the dielectric remains parallel to the electric

eld ~

E: Even then, the usual Maxwell equation r ~

D = 0 along with the constitutive

law ~

D =

0

r ~

E+f

1 (

~

P) ~

P need not result in r ~

E = 0: This is important in deriving the

second orderform of Maxwell'sequation where the identity rr ~

E =r(r ~

E) r

2

~

E

results in the simple Laplacian only if r ~

E = 0 or if one assumes this term is negligible

as often done in nonlinear optics ([18], p. 54-60). We believe that it may be important to

consider the fullsystem to capture the dynamics of the propagated electromagnetic signal.

Experimentally it is known that birefringence occurs in anisotropic dielectrics as a

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eldare couplednonlinearly. It ispresent inlivingorganismseven atmicrowavefrequencies,

but its eect is small at 1-3 GHz. At frequencies higher than 10 GHz the eect cannot

be neglected and anisotropy needs to be taken into account even if linear polarization

dy-namics are assumed. Anisotropic eects and the tensor nature of the dielectric constant is

especiallyimportantforthe detection ofaerosols,suspended particlesinuids,and bacteria

(e.g., anthrax) with membranes of complex geometries. At even higher frequencies where

nonlinearitiesinthe polarizationdynamicsbecomepronounced, itisexpectedthat thereare

strong interactions between the nonlinear and anisotropic eects, so their correct modeling

is crucialfor the accurate representation of the propagation and reection dynamics.

In the computational treatment of the two- or three-dimensional interrogation problem

oneencounters severaldiÆculties. Naturally,thehigherspatialdimensioninvolvesincreased

computationalcomplexities,especiallywithnonlinearpolarizationdynamics. However,there

are additionalinherentchallenges. Asdescribed in[7], theinterrogatingsignalsfromanite

antenna produce oblique incident waves on a planar medium, and they must be treated in

reectionsaswell. Thusonecannotusetheuniformityassumptionasintheone-dimensional

modeltoreducetheproblemtoanitecomputationaldomain. Inthiscasetheinnitespatial

domainmust be approximatedby a nitecomputational domainwith articial boundaries.

Attheseboundariessometypeofboundarydampingmustbeemployed toremoveunwanted

numerical reections. In [7] perfectly matched layers (PML-s) along with Enquist-Majda

absorbing boundary conditions are used to successfully control these reections. Another

possibility that is currently being explored is to enlarge the computational domain so that

reections from the sampleand fromthe articialboundaries mightbe separated in time.

In summary, we believe that the variationalframework for the interrogation problem is

suitable for capturing important dynamic eects associated with the propagation of

elec-tromagnetic pulses in dierent materials. Although it is challenging both theoretically and

computationally, it has a great potential for providing a rm foundation for novel imaging

methods which can contribute to the current eorts for greater security against terrorist

activities.

4 Concluding Remarks

The atmosphere of the real threat of terrorismathome and abroadhas unfortunately

initi-ated a new environment and urgency for scientic and technological research. While some

inour communitysuggest[19] \forthe mostpart wedonot neednew methods," ourviewis

somewhat dierent. While it istrue that we in the mathematicalsciences community have

techniques andapproaches that maybeextremelyimportantinthe newproblems arisingin

the war on bioterrorism,as we enjoin this ght we willnd muchwork to doto pursue our

ideas in a relevant manner. It is not true that we have all the tools we need nor are those

we do have in the needed form for immediate application. Our strong belief is that more

willbe requiredof mathematics and statisticsthan collectingof existing toolsand applying

(28)

multidisciplinaryaswellasinterdisciplinaryapproachbeyondthatofthisvolumeandbeyond

thatwhichthe community has embracedto date. Thereis avirtualcatalogue offarranging

topics from the engineering, physical, mathematical and biological sciences: data mining,

networkanalysis,biomathematics,genomics,operationsresearch(gametheory,riskanalysis,

logistics),etc.,whichmustbecombinedwiththesocialandpsychologicalsciences(individual

andgroupbehavior,e.g.,fanaticism,cognition,etc.) inwaysandonascaleunprecedentedin

the historyofscience. Andthis mustbedonewithanewsense ofurgency. Forexample,the

developmentofagent-specicbiosensors,sometimes inthe contextof \smart"materials,has

forsometime been apriorityatseveral ofour nationallabs;the needshavebeen heightened

by events of the past several years.

Lest our viewappear toopessimistic,we hastentoadd thatwhile we donot have ready

\solutions"toquestionsandproblems thatperhapsareonlynowbeingpreciselyformulated,

the mathematical and statisticalsciences do havea rich history of modeldevelopment with

associated toolsand techniques. This willundoubtedly provide a solid foundationthat will

prove extremely valuable in the pursuit of many specic problems related to terrorism in

general and bioterrorism in particular. We are optimistic about the value we can bring to

society in this essential eort.

Acknowledgments

Research reported here was supported in part by the U.S.Air Force OÆce of Scientic

Re-search undergrantAFOSR F49620-01-1-0026and inpartbythe JointDMS/NIGMS

Initia-tivetoSupportReserachintheAreaofMathematicalBiologyundergrant1R01GM67299-01.

The authors are grateful to Dr. Richard Albanese, Dr. Carlos Castillo-Chavez and Dr.

MarieDavidianforseveral informativediscussions. Partofthischapterwascompletedwhile

H.T.B.wasavisitortotheMittagLeerInstituteoftheRoyalSwedishAcademyofSciences,

Djursholm,Sweden. Collaborationwas alsofacilitatedwhile allauthorswere visitors to the

Statisticaland Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute (SAMSI), Research Triangle Park,

NC.

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[13] H. T. Banks and K. Kunisch, Estimation Techniques for Distributed Parameter

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[17] D. M. Bortz, Modeling, analysis and estimation of an in vitro HIV infection using

functional dierential equations, PhD thesis,North CarolinaState University,Raleigh,

NC, August 2002.

[18] R. W. Boyd, Nonlinear Optics, Academic Press, San Diego,1992.

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Bio-logical Agents and theirConsequences, PreliminaryDraft, April2002.

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Chapman and Hall, London,1998.

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