7 August 2014
Solid development of new business, solvency and IFRS result
2014 Half year results – analyst presentation
Niek Hoek (CEO)
Emiel Roozen (CFO)
Table of contents
I. Key highlights and business overview
3
II. Financial review
13
III. Concluding remarks
28
Appendix:
A. Information by segment
33
B. Embedded value
49
C. Investment portfolio
58
D. Financial and capital information
68
Solid development of new business, solvency and IFRS result
Capital
Commercial
&
operational
results
• Growing market shares with improving margins in Life
―
new business market leadership extended with NAPI of
€
229m
―
IRR increased to 10%; New Business Margin increased to 2.3%
• Sustainable operational strategy drives cost reduction and performance
―
operational cost base at
€
369m ahead of target
• Net operational result decreased to
€
191m, impacted by lower LTIR yield
• IGD Group solvency ratio increased 23pp to 207%
―
issue of perpetual subordinated loan of
€
750m
―
IGD Group solvency well above 200% ambition
―
regulatory solvency insurance entities at 240%;
Delta Lloyd Levensverzekering NV at 261%
• Stable interim dividend of
€
0.42 per ordinary share
Business
performance
Cost savings
Profitability
Capital
•
Life new business value (EEV-based)
€
37m
•
Life new business internal rate of return
≥
9%
10%
•
Combined ratio of 98% or better across the cycle
97.2%
1•
Operational return on equity in range of 8-12%
14.6%
•
Annual growth of net operational result
≥
3%
(7)%
•
IGD Group solvency at least 160-175%
207%
•
Management cost base FY 2014 <
€
750m
2€
369m
—
FY 2015: <
€
720m
2Performance on business objectives
H1 2014
1. Excluding terminated and run-off activities and market interest movements 2. Full year cost target, including ZA Insurance (€20m per year)
2pp
8%
10%
IRR
23.35
18.59
13.76
(0.50)
1.13
per share
523.38
19.74
14.51
1.44
0.98
per share
5(3)%
379
369
Operational expenses
2% / pp
FY 2013
H1 2014
0.8pp
1.5%
2.3%
New business margin
23pp
184%
207%
IGD Group solvency
8%
2,621
2,826
Shareholders’ funds
35%
27
37
New business value
1.1pp
96.1%
97.2%
COR General insurance
1€
m
H1 2014
H1 2013
% / pp
GWP (commercial)
12,196
2,388
(8)%
NAPI
229
191
20%
Net operational result
2191
206
(7)%
Net IFRS result
2,3280
(92)
n.m.
Shareholders’ funds (trad. accounting)
3,846
3,540
9%
Group EEV
44,555
4,447
2%
1. Excluding terminated and run-off activities. COR also excluding market interest movements
2. H1 2013 figures restated for IFRS10. H1 2013 reported figures included in Appendix E / H1 2013 reported net IFRS result per share€(0.56) 3. Total business (incl. discontinued operations)
4. Net of minorities
5. Based on 194,819,526 shares per H1 2014; 190,421,962 per FY 2013; and 183,137,303 per H1 2013
Interest rates decreased, but equity markets positive
2,849 2,265 3,228 3,109 2,573 2,893 2,603 2,636 2,317 2,965 2,793Dec 09 Jun 10 Dec 10 Jun 11 Dec 11 Jun 12 Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14
1.45% 2.68% 2.34% 1.74% 2.16% 3.42% 3.05% 3.83% 3.47% 2.27% 1.65% 1.99% 2.84% 2.38% 4.51% 4.50% 5.10%4.50% 3.98% 2.44%
Dec 09 Jun 10 Dec 10 Jun 11 Dec 11 Jun 12 Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14
ECB AAA Coll. AAA
118 71 46 48
Dec 09 Jun 10 Dec 10 Jun 11 Dec 11 Jun 12 Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14
BBB A AA AAA
DJ Euro Stoxx 50
Interest rate curves (10yr point)
Corporate credit spreads (bps)
Spread coll. AAA vs ECB AAA (10yr point)
Unemployment rate in the Netherlands decreased to 6.8% (June 2014), Euro countries 11.5% (June 2014). Source: Eurostat
21 130 106 50 168 68 138 25 22 17
Dec 09 Jun 10 Dec 10 Jun 11 Dec 11 Jun 12 Dec 12 Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14
Running yield comfortably exceeds unwind of liabilities
Assets
• Equities
• Fixed income
• Property
• Mortgages
1
Liabilities
• Shareholders’ funds
• Technical reserves
2
Simplified marked-to-market balance sheet
Running yield: 3.14%
Coll. AAA (10yr point): 1.65%
•
Delta Lloyd uses market values for
assets as well as for liabilities
—
liability valuation based on
Coll. AAA curve
—
peers use tariff rates
(and LAT test)
•
Capital build up if running yield
exceeds required interest
•
Running yield spread increased:
1. Partly valued at amortised cost
2. Technical reserves Germany on tariff rates
2.44%
1.65%
Coll. AAA (10yr)
131 bps
149 bps
Spread
H1 2014 FY 2013
Consistent performance on ‘Future secured’ strategy
• Strong capital position
—
shareholders’ funds increased to
€
2.8bn
—
IGD Group solvency at 207%; insurance entities at 240%
Certainty
• Expanding market share through flexible and profitable distribution
—
new business market share of 60% in Dutch annual premiums Group Life
—
new mortgage origination in The Netherlands almost doubled
Distribution
• Increasing efficiency in processes, organisation and products
—
successful cost saving programme continues to deliver
—
exclusivity granted in sale process of Belgian bank
Simplicity
• Strong position in PPI market further enhanced by full ownership of BeFrank
• 3pp outperformance on own risk assets versus benchmark
• Running yield (3.14%) comfortably exceeds unwind of liabilities (1.65%)
Expertise
• Honourable, approachable, working together
—
improved score in AFM’s customer centricity dashboard, ranking above
market average
Strenghtening position for sustainable profitability
Sustainable profitability (
€
m)
Operational technical result in€and as % of operational result
H1 2014 2013
2012 2011
2010
Growing customer satisfaction
Customer satisfaction score2012
2013
7.6
OHRA
7.7
7.4
Delta Lloyd
ABN AMRO
Insurance
7.4
7.7
7.6
Expanding market share
2012
2011
2010
Group Life annual premium new business market share
60.4% 48.8%
17.7% 22.3%
31.5%
Management cost base
Greater cost efficiency (
€
m)
Q1 2014
720 1,122 782 772 369 840 924 976 750 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014E 2015E2013
2009 254 217 194 97 58 109 28% 15% 11% 40% 41% 37%0.42
Stable interim dividend of
€
0.42
H1 2014
Interim dividend
Final dividend
4% stock dividend premium
0.42
0.42
FY 2013
4% stock dividend premium
0.42
1.03
0.61
• Interim dividend for 2014 of
€
0.42 per
ordinary share
—
default option for stock dividend
—
4% premium in case of stock
dividend
• Dividend well covered by operational
result and operational capital
generation
• IGD Group solvency at 207%
—
4% premium on stock dividend
gradually reduced if IGD Group
solvency exceeds 200% for two
consecutive quarters
Delivering on our promises
Growing market share with improving margins
Reaffirmed market leadership in new business
Strong capital position: IGD Group solvency well above 200% ambition
Table of contents
I. Key highlights and business overview
3
II. Financial review
13
III. Concluding remarks
28
Appendix:
A. Information by segment
33
B. Embedded value
49
C. Investment portfolio
58
D. Financial and capital information
68
207%
+13%
H1 2014
184%
FY 2013
+23pp
Strong capital position
IFRS shareholders’ funds (
€
m)
IGD Group solvency ratio
Net operational result (
€
m)
Gross written premiums
1
(
€
m)
191
-7%
206
H1 2014
H1 2013
2-8%
2,388
H1 2014
2,196
H1 2013
+8%
2,826
H1 2014
FY 2013
2,621
1. Excluding run-off and terminated activities
Operational result impacted by decrease in yield curve
GI
(3)
-7%
(14)
H1
2013
1206
H1
2014
191
Tax &
Minority
8
LTIR
(15)
Other
7
Bank
5
AM
(4)
Life
Technical result:€(9)mOperational result after tax & minority
•
Technical result decreased
€
9m
—
Life:
€
14m decrease. H1 2013 positively
impacted by higher technical profit sharing
results
—
GI:
€
3m decrease, due to more large claims,
COR increased 1.1pp
—
AM:
€
4m decrease, due to lower treasury
result
—
Bank:
€
5m increase, due to higher interest
margin at Bank NL and lower operational
expenses at Bank Belgium
—
Other:
€
7m increase, mainly due to lower
operational expenses
•
LTIR decreased
€
15m due to substantial decline
in yield curve
Operational result
(before tax & minority)
Technical result
LTIR
Insurance
Non-insurance
LTIR on shareholder assets
LTIR on policyholder assets
+
+
+
+
+
+
109 118 H1 2013 H1 2014 163 177 H1 2014 H1 2013 97 31 66 H1 2014 80 28 52 H1 2013 GI Life H1 2014 29 -7 24 13 H1 2013 21 -14 28 8 Other AM Bank 17 117 H1 2014 19 58 24 28 H1 2013 127 15 17 67 Mortgages Property Equity Shareholders’ funds H1 2014 46 15 31 H1 2013 50 20 30 GI Life 272 295 H1 2014 H1 2013Operational result development
73 bps decrease in coll. AAA curve (10-yr): H1 2014: 1.65%
H1 2013: 2.38%
Successful cost-saving programme continues to deliver
Management cost base (
€
m)
1. Before transfer of acquisition expenses and claim handling expenses, hence not equal to expense ratio 2. Including ZA Insurance (€20m per year)
3. As per H1 2014
• 3% decrease of operational expenses to
€
369m,
ahead of target
• Sustainable operational strategy drives cost
reduction and performance
• Cost reduction along four lines:
—
Straight Through Processing
—
digitalisation
—
legacy reduction
—
digital servicing
Segmental split (
€
m)
772m <790m2013
369m3 <750m22014
2009 2010
2011 2012
2015
Target <1,000m <950m <900m <820m <720m2 Actual 976m 924m 840m 782m 772 782 840 924 976 H1 2014 750² 3693 0.6% 17.7% 2013 1.0% 17.8% 2009 1.3% 19.5% 0.7% 17.3% 2012 0.7% 18.4% 2011 0.8% 16.1% 2010Life: Expenses / Insurance liabilities GI: Expenses / Net earned premium
379 37 20 71 118 133 369 31 22 69 111 136 Total
Life GI Bank AM Group/Other
1
IFRS result drives increase in shareholders’ funds
Shareholders’ funds development (
€
m)
(41)
0
(163)
96
2,621
H1 20142,826
Participation & other reserves (incl. share capital)34
OCI pension reserve AFS equity securities280
Cash dividend paid AFS debtsecurities Net result
FY 2013
Strong underlying IFRS capital generation
IFRS capital generation (H1 2014,
€
m)
Pensions/ Other 109 Required interest2, 3 29 Movement assets5 2,588 Movement liabilities4 (2,744) 781 Operational technical result Insurance (460) Running yield1 IFRS capital generated OCI6 Operational technical result Non-insurance (33) Net IFRS result Tax & Minority (104) Capital build up Insurance Capital build up Non-Insurance Market volatility Insurance
1. Running yield: accrued interest, rental and dividend income (insurance segment only)
2. Required interest: amount needed to compensate for unwinding of (discounted) liabilities (including Germany) to present value. Excludes PHI/PA 3. Based on 13y coll. AAA spot rate at end December 2013 (2.85%)
4. Movement liabilities: impact of change in yield curve used to discount liabilities, including guarantee and inflation provisions 5. Movement assets: market volatility impact on assets (including derivatives)
6. OCI: mainly consists of movement of revaluation reserves and actuarial losses (dividend outflow excluded)
€401m €(156)m €29m
247 280
Note: numbers are net of tax
Final 2013 cash dividend
€
41m
GI, Bank, AM: 73
Life: 257
Operating profits use an assumed long term investment return
Operational capital generated H1 2014 (
€
m)
Dividend H1 2014 underpinned by capital generation
330
244
(86)
Capital generated from
Life and non-life
Investment in
new business
Operational capital
generated
• Capital generation covers
investment in new business and
final 2013 (cash) dividend payout
(
€
41m)
•
€
1.8bn undiscounted cash flows
to emerge over the next 5 years
from the existing life book
(FY 2013:
€
1.8bn)
•
€
8.0bn to emerge over the entire
life of the book (FY 2013:
€
7.9bn)
—
DNB swap (10 yr point): 1.47%
(FY 2013: 2.21%)
—
real world spread: 98 bps
(FY 2013: 105 bps)
181% 194% 187% 174% 184% 177% 193% 163% 221% 206% 193% 234% 219% 226% 212% 219% 213% 240% 184% 175% 165% 207% 120% 140% 160% 180% 200% 220% 240%
Sep 11 Dec 11 Mar 12 Jun 12 Sep 12 Dec 12 Mar 13 Jun 13 Sep 13 Dec 13 Jun 14
IGD Group solvency
Solvency insurance entities
• IGD Group solvency increased 23pp mainly driven by
+
issue of perpetual subordinated loan
+
operational capital generation
+
performance of assets versus liabilities
-/- final 2013 cash dividend payment
-/- increase in required capital due to decreased
interest rate curve
• Regulatory (IGD) solvency insurance entities at 240%
—
regulatory solvency of Delta Lloyd
Levensverzekering NV: 261%
• Ratios Bank (phase-in, incl. H1 2014 profit):
—
Bank NL: Basel III Total Capital ratio at 20.6%,
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio 17.9%
—
Bank BE: Basel III Total Capital ratio at 13.0%,
Common Equity Tier 1 ratio 10.8%
2,047
207%
H1 2014
Required capital Surplus capital
IGD Group solvency (
€
m)
1,949
1,630
FY 2013
184%
IGD Group solvency well above 200% ambition
2,197
Solvency ratio’s (%)
160-175% target
1
Real estate 5% FI securitized assets 5% FI corporates 15% Loans 3% Sovereigns 27% Mortgages 20%
Cash and deposits 1% Equity 7% FI covered 4% Sub Sovereigns 13%
1. Mortgages and loans partly at amortised cost
2. Includes private equity, preference shares, equity derivatives and others
3. Includes corporate credit, fixed income derivatives and fixed income investment funds 4. Includes covered bonds with state/government guarantee
5. Total return includes derivates; excluding Bank (NL and Be) and Amstelhuys
Own risk assets H1 2014 =
€
51.6 bn
1
Diversified marked-to-market asset portfolio
4 2
3
• Performance own risk assets 8.4%
⁵
outperforms benchmark (5.4%)
• High quality of mortgage portfolio
with low loss amount (
≤
0.022 %
(YTD) in The Netherlands, 0 % (YTD)
in Belgium)
• No material change in composition
of asset portfolio during H1 2014:
7%
7%
Equities
5%
5%
Real estate
21%
20%
Mortgages
1%
1%
Cash & deposits
H1 2014
FY 2013
Total return on own risk assets outperforms benchmark
1. Based on own risk AuM of approximately€42bn (excl. mortgages Bank (NL and Be) and Amstelhuys) 2. Performance including derivates
3. Performance including ‘Alternatives’ and including derivatives
3.0pp
0.5pp
(0.9)pp
3.6pp
Performance
5.4%
0.0%
4.9%
6.1%
Benchmark
8.4%
0.5%
4.0%
9.7%
Delta Lloyd
Benchmark
Portfolio
1Fixed income
2Iboxx
€
overall
Equity
336% AEX, 24% AMX, 40% MSCI Europe
Property
ROZ/IPD Netherlands all property
Total
• Fixed income portfolio outperforms benchmark, in line with higher duration of portfolio
• Equity performance negatively impacted by basis risk of hedging on Eurostoxx 50 and AEX
3.14%
4.33%
5.17%
2.99%
2.48%
H1 2014
3.75%
4.19%
5.30%
3.29%
3.47%
FY 2013
Asset class
Fixed income
Equity
Property
Mortgages
2Total
Running yield exceeds unwind of liabilities
1. Market value as at H1 2014 of own risk portfolio 2. Excluding German mortgages
3. 10-year point as at H1 2014
• Actual regular annualised income
1
:
—
fixed income: yield-to-maturity
—
equity: annual rate of return based
on the last year’s dividends
—
property: annual rental income
—
mortgages: mortgage coupon rate
divided by residual amount
• Running yield decreased compared to
the last reported yield due to
decreased interest rates
• Running yield exceeds unwind of
liabilities
—
Coll. AAA curve
3
: 1.65%
• Life EEV based on real-world expected cash flows for covered business
—
cost of financial options and guarantees incorporated in discount rate
—
underlying discount rate of 7.0% (FY 2013: 7.0%)
• Germany, GI, Bank, Asset Management and Holding valued at net IFRS equity
• Holding includes impact of (cash) dividend 2013 and capital injections into operating companies
Group EEV of
€
23.38 per ordinary share
Group EEV (
€
m)
41
483
74
553
233
Life EEV (incl.
100% AAV)
H1 2014
4,539
Bank
Group EEV
H1 2014
4,555
Non-controlling
interests
Holding
(958)
AM
GI prudence
margin
GI
Non- covered
Life business
(410)
• Improvement for both individual and group business
• Effects of active pricing policy become visible in The Netherlands especially for
group business
• Further improvement necessary for individual business in Belgium
Improvement in new business value and profitability
8%
10%
Internal rate of return (IRR)
1
H1 2014
H1 2013
New business margin (NBM)
2
H1 2013
H1 2014
1.5%
2.3%
New business value (
€
m)
1
37
27
H1 2014
H1 2013
1. EEV-based 2. MCEV-basedStrong capital position
Actual running yield sustainable above unwind of liabilities
Operational excellence provides competitive advantages
Successful cost-saving programme
Table of contents
I. Key highlights and business overview
3
II. Financial review
13
III. Concluding remarks
28
Appendix:
A. Information by segment
33
B. Embedded value
49
C. Investment portfolio
58
D. Financial and capital information
68
Strenghtening position for sustainable profitability
Dutch market leader in Life new business and client performance
Operational excellence provides competitive advantages
Strong capital position: IGD Group solvency well above 200% ambition
Ex-dividend date final dividend 2014
25 May 2015
Q1 2015 Interim Management Statement
19 May 2015
Annual General Meeting
21 May 2015
Date
Event
11 August 2014
Ex-dividend date interim dividend 2014
6 November 2014
Q3 2014 Interim Management Statement
21 November 2014
Investor Day
24 February 2015
Preliminary announcement FY 2014 results
23 March 2015
Publication of annual report 2014
• Roeland Haanen,
Manager Investor Relations
—
Hans Duine,
IRO
—
Marscha Corzilius,
IRO
—
Ineke Beets,
assistant
• Contact details:
—
+31 (0)20 594 96 93
—
•
This presentation is being supplied to you solely for your information and used at the presentation held in August 2014.
•
Certain statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are "forward-looking statements". These
forward-looking statements are based on management’s beliefs and projections and on information currently available to
them. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond
Delta Lloyd Group's control and all of which are based on management's current beliefs and expectations about future
events.
•
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties and speak only as of the date they are made. Delta
Lloyd Group undertakes no duty to and will not update any of the forward-looking statements in light of new information
or future events, except to the extent required by applicable law. A number of important factors could cause actual results
or outcomes to differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statement as a result of risks and
uncertainties facing Delta Lloyd Group and its subsidiaries. Such risks, uncertainties and other important factors include,
among others: (i) changes in the financial markets and general economic conditions, (ii) changes in competition from local,
national and international companies, new entrants in the market and self-insurance and changes to the competitive
landscape in which Delta Lloyd Group operates, (iii) the adoption of new, or changes to existing, laws and regulations such
as Solvency II, (iv) catastrophes and terrorist-related events, (v) default by third parties owing money, securities or other
assets on their financial obligations, (vi) equity market losses, (vii) long- and/or short-term interest rate volatility, (viii)
illiquidity of certain investment assets, (ix) flaws in underwriting assumptions, pricing and/or claims reserves, (x) the
termination of or changes to relationships with principal intermediaries or partnerships, (xi) the unavailability and
unaffordability of reinsurance, (xii) flaws in Delta Lloyd Group’s underwriting, operating controls or IT systems, or a failure
to prevent fraud, (xiii) a downgrade (or potential downgrade) of Delta Lloyd Group’s credit ratings, and (xiv) the outcome of
pending, threatened or future litigation or investigations. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or
should any underlying assumptions prove to be incorrect, Delta Lloyd Group's actual financial condition or results of
operations could differ materially from those described in this herein as anticipated, believed, estimated or expected.
•
Please refer to the Annual Report for the year ended December 31, 2013 for a description of certain important factors,
risks and uncertainties that may affect Delta Lloyd Group’s businesses.
•
The figures in this presentation have not been audited. They have been partly taken from the half year 2014 financial
supplement to the press release and partly from internal management information reports.
Table of contents
I. Key highlights and business overview
3
II. Financial review
13
III. Concluding remarks
28
Appendix:
A. Information by segment
33
B. Embedded value
49
C. Investment portfolio
58
D. Financial and capital information
68
Life net operational result decreased
Life net operational result development (
€
m)
7
-11%
Operational result H1 2014
137
Tax & Minority
Operational
result H1 2013 Technicalresult LTIR 153
• Life net operational result
decreased 11%
• Technical result decreased
€
14m
—
H1 2013 positively impacted by
higher technical profit sharing
results
—
lower disability result and lower
lapse result, only partly offset by
higher mortality result
• LTIR down
€
10m primarily due to
decrease of Collateralised AAA
curve
(14)
KPIs (
€
m)
Net operational result (
€
m)
1. Excluding Germany
2. To reflect IFRS10 impact, H1 2013 figures are restated. H1 2013 reported figures: Result before tax€(142)m LTIR€155m, Tax and minority €(65)m
(129) 1.5% 8% 191 126 652 1,576 H1 2013 333 2.3% 10% 229 183 464 1,432 H1 2014 (1,625) 0.7% 8% 401 225 1,762 3,266 FY 2012 178 2.1% 10% 431 257 1,742 3,330 FY 2013
New Business Margin GWP1
Single premium1
Annual premium1
NAPI1
IRR
Result before tax2
Comments
Comments
Life Insurance
H1 2014 H1 2013 Operational result on mortality, disability and
lapses 62 71
Normalised expense margins (10) (5)
Technical result 52 66
LTIR2 140 151
Tax and minority2 (56) (64)
Net operational result2 137 153
•
GWP decreased mainly due to declining Individual Life market in The Netherlands•
NAPI increased due to higher annual premium production at Group Life•
Positive result before tax: positive fixed income result more than offsets increase of insurance liabilities (due to decrease of Coll. AAA curve)•
Technical result below H1 2013—
lower technical profit sharing results, lower disability result and lower lapse result, only partly offset by higher mortality resultGI net operational result decreased
•
Commercial GWP decreased 6%
—
gradual exit WGA ER market and strict
underwriting
•
Net operational result decreased
€
7m
—
technical result
€
3m lower mainly due to
large claims at Motor and Fire
—
LTIR decreased
€
7m due to lower yield
curve
GI net operational result development (
€
m)
34
41
4
H1 2014
Tax &
minority
LTIR
(7)
Technical
result
(3)
H1 2013
Income protection, 150 Transport, 38 Other, 93 Motor, 200 Liability, 64 Fire, 218H1 2014 GWP (
€
m)
GI combined ratio increased in first half of 2014
65.4% 66.6% 13.2% 14.8% 17.5% 15.8% 96.1% 97.2% H1 2013 H1 2014Claims ratio Expense ratio Commission ratio
Combined ratio
1
1. Excluding terminated and run-off activities and market interest movements
Combined ratio
1
per business line
•
COR increased 1.1pp:
—
H1 2013 positively impacted by release of
unearned premium reserve (Motor, Fire)
—
Motor increased due to higher (bodily injury and
theft) claims and prior year reserve
strengthening
—
increase at Fire due to high number of large
claims and prior year reserve strengthening
—
strong improvement of Liability business
—
large improvement at Income Protection due to
release of prior year claims reserve, no further
negative impact of WGA ER
—
Increase at Other caused by high number of
large claims at Agriculture
•
COR management programme will continue:
—
selective and sharper underwriting policy
—
improved pricing policy
—
International Marine Business fully reinsured
—
termination of all WGA ER contracts as of 1
January 2016
—
further cost and FTE reduction
—
further increase Straight Through Processing
—
improve claim management processing
including claim control
96% 62% 81% 111% 113% 92% 96% 97% 85% 79% 73% 97% 105% 116%
Motor Fire Liability Income Protection
Transport Other Total
•
Commercial GWP decreased 6%—
gradual exit WGA ER market and strict underwriting•
Result before tax negatively impacted by€32m penalty interest for early redemption of€100m 30nc10 loan and curve effect (€30m)•
Net operational result decreased€7m—
technical result€3m lower mainly due to large claims at Motor and Fire—
LTIR decreased€7m due to lower yield curveKPIs (
€
m)
Net operational result (
€
m)
Comments
Comments
General Insurance
1. Excluding terminated and run-off activities. COR also excluding market interest movements
H1 20141 H1 20131
Net earned premium 628 722
Benefits and claims (419) (472)
Expenses / commissions (182) (219)
Technical result 28 31
LTIR 24 32
Tax and minority (18) (22)
Operational result 34 41
H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012
Total New business1 93 85 146 204
Total decreases (104) (84) (159) (202)
Commercial GWP1 764 812 1,380 1,385
COR1 97.2% 96.1% 97.7% 97.9%
Bank
•
Net operational result increased
€
8m, mainly due to lower operational
expenses (lower staff expenses) and LTIR effect
Asset
Management
Other
Performance Asset Management, Bank and Other
•
Net operational result decreased
€
3m, mainly due to lower treasury result
•
Net outflow of retail funds and institutional mandates of
€
350m (H1 2013:
net inflow of
€
474m), due to withdrawal of retail funds and one large
institutional mandate
•
Net operational result improved
€
3m, as a result of higher net interest margin
and lower expenses
—
net interest margin improved mainly due to decreasing tariff rates of
savings and banking annuities
KPIs (
€
m)
Net operational result (
€
m)
Comments
Comments
Asset Management
H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012 - Institutional mandates1 (192) 151 340 (706) - 3rd Party funds (158) 322 418 718 3rd Party Distribution (350) 474 757 12 DL Group Companies1 249 188 84 (356)Net inflow new money (101) 662 842 (344)
Assets under Management 80,164 78,007 77,817 79,113
Result before tax 23 26 54 59
H1 2014 H1 2013
Net fee and commission income 39 37
Result DL Treasury 6 11
Operational expenses (22) (20)
Technical result 24 28
LTIR 0 1
Tax and minority (6) (7)
Operational result 18 21
•
Lower result before tax mainly caused by lower treasury results•
Net outflow of retail funds and institutional mandates of€350m, due to withdrawal of retail funds and one large institutional mandate1. As from H1 2014 onwards, Cyrte figures are no longer shown as a separate line item
•
Net operational result decreased€3m, mainly due to lower treasury result—
lower treasury result due to lower volume combined with decreasing spreadsBank (Netherlands and Belgium)
•
Operational result improved, mainly due to improved net interest income and lower operational expenses—
net interest income improved largely due to decreasing interest rates of savings and banking annuities•
Lower operational expenses due to focus on cost reduction and lower FTEs at Bank BelgiumKPIs (
€
m)
Net operational result (
€
m)
•
Innovative Loan-to-Value based tariff system (introduced in 2013) resulted in 53% higher inflow of new mortgages and improved quality of portfolio•
‘Banksparen’ balances (banking annuities and mortgage related savings) stabilising at€2.0bn (up 2%), inflow decreases due to focus on margin•
Result before tax positively impacted by intercompany transactions eliminated at Group levelComments
Comments
H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012
Inflow new mortages 564 370 1.295 683
Net inflow savings 199 (363) (468) (720) Net inflow banking annuities (excl. ZPH) 12 107 125 511 Net inflow savings mortgage related (ZPH) 27 35 64 51
Result before tax 57 (26) (11) (75)
H1 2014 H1 2013
Net interest income 51 48
Net commission income & Other 31 31
Operational expenses (69) (71)
Technical Result 13 8
LTIR 4 5
Tax & minority (4) (3)
Bank Netherlands
•
Operational result improved, mainly due to improved net interest income—
net interest income improved largely due to decreasing interest rates of savings and banking annuitiesKPIs (
€
m)
Net operational result (
€
m)
•
Innovative Loan-to-Value based tariff system (introduced in 2013) resulted in higher inflow of new mortgages and improved quality of portfolio•
‘Banksparen’ balances (banking annuities and mortgage related savings) stabilising at€2.0bn (up 2%), inflow decreases due to focus on margin•
Result before tax positively impacted by intercompany transactions eliminated at Group level•
Basel III Total Capital ratio at 20.6%; Common Equity Tier 1 ratio at 17.9% (phase-in, including H1 profit)Comments
Comments
€m H1 2014 H1 2013
Net Interest Income 20 17
Net Fee & Commission Income 12 12
Operational expenses (28) (26)
Technical result 5 3
LTIR 1 1
Tax and minority (2) (1)
Operational result 5 3
€m H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012
Inflow New Mortgages 426 222 952 514
Net inflow Savings 8 (185) (288) (601)
Net inflow banking annuities (excl. ZPH) 12 107 125 511 Net inflow savings mortgage related (ZPH) 27 35 64 51
Bank Belgium
KPIs (
€
m)
Net operational result (
€
m)
Comments
Comments
•
Lower inflow of new mortgages due to focus on margin over volume and competitive banking market in Belgium•
Growth in short and long term deposits portfolio. Short term mainly by institutional clients, long term by retail clients. Savings portfolio remains stable•
Result before tax is lower than H1 2013, mainly due to lower realised gains on AFS portfolio and lower fair value result on interest rate swaps (not in hedge)•
Basel III Total Capital ratio at 13.0%; Common Equity Tier 1 ratio 10.8% (phase-in, including H1 profit)•
Net Interest Income stable•
Net Fee & Commission Income slightly lower as a result of decreased portfolio fees due to less entrance fees and lower portfolios•
Lower operational expenses, mainly due to decreased number of FTEs€m H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012
Inflow New Mortgages 139 147 343 169
Net inflow Savings 191 (179) (180) (119)
Result before tax before HFS-classification 8 19 27 (13) Impairments HFS-classification (1) - (23) -Result before tax after HFS-classification 7 19 4 (13)
€m H1 2014 H1 2013
Net Interest Income 31 31
Net Fee & Commission Income 18 19
Operational expenses (42) (45)
Technical result 8 5
LTIR 3 4
Tax and minority (3) (2)
• Result of Delta Lloyd NV increased in 2014, mainly due to higher impairments and intercompany transactions in 2013 (sale of own personnel mortgage portfolio)
• Improved result of Business unit Holdings mainly due to sale of non-life in Belgium to Fidea in H1 2013
• Decreased result of Amstelhuys due to lower result from financial transactions
•
Development of operational result driven by:—
lower operational expenses due to lower staff expenses—
less negative LTIR, due to decreased coll. AAA curve and increased shareholders’ equityKPIs (
€
m)
Net operational result (
€
m)
Comments
Comments
Other
H1 2014 H1 2013
Operational technical result (7) (14)
LTIR (6) (11)
Tax and minority 3 6
Net operational result (10) (19) H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012
Delta Lloyd NV (73) (95) (187) (156)
Business Unit Holdings (1) (15) (14) (41)
Label activities Health 14 13 28 16
Run-off companies 0 1 2 16
Amstelhuys 32 72 112 (60)
Result before tax (28) (24) (60) (225)
•
Amstelhuys is a subsidiary of Delta Lloyd NV and is
consolidated in segment Other
•
A funding vehicle mainly used for Dutch mortgage
origination
•
Wholesale funding predominantly through
securitisations
•
Decrease of mortgage portfolio as a result of sale of
existing and new mortgages to Life, Bank, General
Insurance and AA Insurance. The volume of related
interest rate swaps decreased accordingly, lowering
other financial assets
•
Long term liabilities decreased because of the
redemption of Darts 2004-notes
•
Short-term and other liabilities decreased due to lower
funding needs as a result of the sale of the mortgages
Balance Sheet (
€
m)
Key highlights
Amstelhuys
H1 2014
FY 2013
Mortgages
5,190
5,794
Other investments
246
281
Other financial assets
617
644
Prepayments and accrued income
0
0
Cash and cash equivalents
3
12
Total assets
6,056
6,730
Equity
(18)
(42)
Deferred and current taxes
1
(7)
Long-term liabilities
4,435
4,648
Short-term liabilities
440
606
Subordinated loans
1
6
Acc. payables & other fin. liabilities
9
22
Other
1,188
1,496
• Interest income increased, due to lower funding costs
• Result from financial transactions decreased, due to fewer
internal sales of mortgages, and increased value of the Fair
Value mortgages mainly due to the lower spreads on the
RMBS market
• Pre 1-1-2009 origination:
—
mortgages: marked-to-model
—
liabilities: marked-to-market
—
derivatives: marked-to-market
• Post 1-1-2009 origination:
—
mortgages: amortised cost
—
liabilities: amortised cost
—
derivatives: marked-to-market
Profit and loss statement (
€
m)
Key highlights
Amstelhuys
H1 2014 H1 2013 FY 2013 FY 2012
Net Interest Income 15 11 33 22
Net Commission & Fee Income (8) (9) (20) (19) Result from Financial transactions 27 73 103 (54)
Expenses (2) (2) (5) (9)
Result before tax 32 72 112 (60)
Technical result
made on operating businesses
•
Technical result drivers
―
Life: mortality / disability / expense margins
―
GI: expense / commission / claims margins
―
non insurance: operating margins
Long term investment return
attributable to shareholders
•
Long term investment return on shareholder assets
―
risk free return
1on total equity
―
equity risk premium +3.5%, property risk premium +2.0%,
and mortgages (Life segment) +0.8%
•
Long term investment return on policyholder assets
―
Life: spread of 0.2% on policyholder assets attributable to shareholders
―
GI: risk free return
1on liabilities
+
Incidentals / one-offs
•
Exclusion of incidentals / one-offs
+
/
-1. Collateralised AAA curve
Key building blocks
Detail
Calculation of long term investment return
Long term investment return calculation methodology
• Risk free return on total equity
―
reference rate (10y coll. AAA return) * average total equity
• Risk margins earned on own risk portfolio
―
3.5% on average own risk equities
―
2.0% on average own risk property
―
0.8% on average own risk mortgages (Life segment)
• Excess return earned on policyholders’ funds
―
0.2% on average assets backing traditional life insurance liabilities
―
reference rate (10y coll. AAA return) * average assets backing GI reserves
Actual long term investment return H1 2014
1
• Risk free return on total equity
―
(1.65% /2) * 3,038 -
€
1m =
€
24m
• Risk margins earned on own risk portfolio
―
(3.50% / 2) * 3,362 -
€
1m =
€
58m
―
(2.00% / 2) * 2,159 -
€
5m =
€
17m
―
(0.80% / 2 ) * 5,035 -
€
1m =
€
19m
• Excess return earned on policyholders’ funds
―
(0.2% / 2) * 34,998 -
€
4m =
€
31m
―
(1.65% / 2) * 1,768 =
€
15m
• Total Long Term Investment Return of
€
163m (H1 2013:
€
177m
2)
1. LTIR corrected for profit sharing at Delta Lloyd Germany and excluding Amstelhuys 2. To reflect IFRS10 impact, H1 2013 figures are restated. Reported H1 2013 LTIR:€181m
Table of contents
I. Key highlights and business overview
3
II. Financial review
13
III. Concluding remarks
28
Appendix:
A. Information by segment
33
B. Embedded value
49
C. Investment portfolio
58
D. Financial and capital information
68
1. Change in net worth due to investing in new business
Capital and surplus generation
€
m
H1 2013
Operational surplus generation:
229
Life in-force profits
214
New business strain
1(42)
General Insurance profits
46
Bank & Asset Management
31
Other
(19)
Movement in capital requirement
(43)
Life In-force
0
New business strain
(51)
General insurance
(13)
Bank & Asset Management
20
Operational capital generated
186
Operational capital generation
H1 2014
239
237
(43)
30
26
(10)
5
20
(42)
16
11
244
1. Includes non-controlling interests from ABN AMRO NV
•
Slightly higher operational earnings compared to H1 2013 (
€
137m)
•
Economic variance enhanced by improved investment returns
Life EEV
1
(
€
m)
Life European embedded value increased to
€
4.5bn
Operational earnings
€
139m
19
8
0
111
37
EEV H1 20144,539
Capital adjustments(21)
Economic variance (incl. exceptional items) Other operating variances Operating assumption changes Experience variance(17)
Expected return NBV EEV FY 20134,403
Update on yield curves
Historical Evolution of Curves
1,2,3Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14
Coll. AAA
ECB AAA
Swap
1. 10-year point
2. A UFR was introduced in the Swap and ECB curves per H1 2012 3. A UFR was introduced in the Coll AAA curve per H1 2013
Duration (in years) 1 2 3 4 5 10 15 20 30
End of June 2014 Coll. AAA 0.29 0.31 0.45 0.59 0.76 1.65 2.24 2.53 2.93 ECB AAA (0.01) 0.02 0.12 0.28 0.47 1.45 2.08 2.35 2.71 Swap 0.29 0.31 0.38 0.50 0.66 1.47 1.96 2.19 2.60 End of December 2013 Coll. AAA 0.38 0.53 0.83 1.10 1.38 2.44 3.03 3.25 3.51 ECB AAA 0.09 0.25 0.49 0.78 1.08 2.27 2.81 2.97 3.19 Swap 0.38 0.53 0.76 1.01 1.26 2.21 2.69 2.83 3.10
Yield curve development
Curves: H1 2014 versus FY 2013
-0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year31-12-2013* Coll AAA UFR 31-12-2 013* Swap UFR 31-12-2013* ECB AAA UFR 31-12-2013* SOLV2 LP100 30-06-2014* Coll AAA UFR 30-06-2 014* Swap UFR 30-06-2014* ECB AAA UFR 30-06-2014* SOLV2 LP100
Spread between coll. AAA and ECB AAA slightly widened
Curves: H1 2014 versus FY 2013
-0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Year31-12-2013* Coll AAA UFR 31-12-2013* ECB AAA UFR 30-06-2014* Coll AAA UFR 30-06-2014* ECB AAA UFR
spread 21 bps spread 17 bps
No material change in key risk exposures
145
(145)
146
(146)
133
(133)
151
(151)
148
(148)
140
(140)
+10%
-10%
Property
(55)
58
131
(118)
(201)
212
(28)
35
IGD
3FY 2013
121
(141)
159
(148)
21
(18)
3
14
EEV
4(12)
14
146
(138)
(373)
400
(7)
(1)
Shareholders’
funds
133
(131)
99
(90)
10
0
(9)
11
EEV
4(20)
21
150
(136)
(302)
322
(19)
22
Shareholders’
funds
(56)
60
124
(118)
(269)
286
(20)
25
IGD
3H1 2014
Key sensitivities (
€
m)
1Sensitivity
2Interest
rate risk
+25 bps
-25 bps
Credit risk
+50 bps
-50 bps
Equity
+10%
-10%
Funding spread risk
5+50 bps
-50 bps
1. IGD, EEV and Shareholders’ Funds sensitivities after tax
2. Credit sensitivity shown as increase/decrease in credit spreads; equity and property market value sensitivities shown 3. IGD sensitivities are based on local GAAP
4. These sensitivities have not been applied to the non-covered business assets and include VIF sensitivities 5. FY 2013 funding spread sensitivities have been restated (NHG guaranteed mortgages not taken into account)
1. IGD sensitivities after tax, based on local GAAP
2. Credit sensitivity shown as increase/decrease in credit spreads; equity and property market value sensitivities shown 3. Only interest rate movements have a material impact on required capital
4. FY 2013 funding spread sensitivities have been restated (NHG guaranteed mortgages not taken into account)
n.a
n.a
(3%)
3%
n.a
n.a
(55)
58
(3%)
3%
(56)
60
+50 bps
-50 bps
Funding spread risk
4n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
(19)
20
IGD Required
capital effect
37%
(7%)
7%
(6%)
(10%)
11%
0%
0%
IGD ratio
effect
133
(133)
131
(118)
(201)
212
(28)
35
IGD Available
capital effect
FY 2013
7%
(7%)
6%
(6%)
(13%)
14%
1%
(1%)
IGD ratio
effect
n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
n.a
(22)
24
IGD Required
capital effect
3140
(140)
124
(118)
(269)
286
(20)
25
IGD Available
capital effect
H1 2014
IGD sensitivities (
€
m/%)
1Sensitivity
2Interest
rate risk
+25 bps
-25 bps
Credit risk
+50 bps
-50 bps
Equity
+10%
-10%
Property
+10%
-10%
Summary of key risk exposures
Differences between FY 2013 and H1 2014
•
Impact of interest rate sensitivity changed
—
asset and liability impact increased due to decreased interest rate curves (convexity impact)
—
increase in liability impact is larger than increase in asset impact, resulting in decreased sensitivity of
IGD available capital and shareholders’ funds to interest rate increases
—
for EEV this is compensated by a changed VIF impact for contracts with profit sharing and guarantees
•
Impact of credit spread sensitivities changed
—
increased credit risk exposure (due to selling Sovereign AAA bonds with low credit risk) increased impact
on IGD and shareholders’ funds
•
Impact of equity sensitivity changed
—
limited change for IGD and shareholders’ funds
—
decrease in impact for EEV due to changed VIF impact for contracts with profit sharing and guarantees
•
Limited change in property sensitivities
•
Funding spread sensitivity changed
—
sensitivity for FY2013 restated; NHG guaranteed mortgages not taken into account in sensitivity, in line
with Basel methodology
Table of contents
I. Key highlights and business overview
3
II. Financial review
13
III. Concluding remarks
28
Appendix:
A. Information by segment
33
B. Embedded value
49
C. Investment portfolio
58
D. Financial and capital information
68
Other own risk assets:39.6
Mortgages (excl. securitised): 10.3
Loans: 1.7
In
€
bn, as at H1 2014
Securitised mortgages: 6.3Overview of investments
80.2
28.5
51.6
Total AuM
Securitised mortgages: 5.1Third Party
11. Includes€4.3bn off-balance sheet assets,€3.2bn separate accounts,€14.1bn unit-linked portfolio and other items 2. Own risk assets are based on management views on risk and differs from IFRS classification of own risk assets
1. Excluding preference shares, private equity and others, including equity derivatives
2,233
Austria
2,347
Netherlands
4,401
Germany
Bond portfolio, 10 largest issuers
€
m
France
2,179
Belgium
1,701
Group Securitisations
1,497
Rabobank
807
European Investment Bank
732
Italy
720
European Commission
709
Total top ten
17,327
Equity concentrations
€
m
Van Lanschot
223
BinckBank
69
Arcadis
58
TKH Group
49
BAM
40
Galapagos
37
Exact holding
32
Ten Cate
27
Telegraaf Media Group
23
Kendrion
22
Total top ten
581
Equities (H1 2014) =
€
2.2bn
1
Fixed income (H1 2014) =
€
34.2bn
Overview of equities & fixed income
NR
1%
21%
<=BBB
15%
A
AA
22%
AAA
41%
30%
5% Stakes
shares
10%
Ordinary
Equity
investments
60%
Mortgage-backed and asset-backed securities H1 2014
€
m
Nominal value
Market value
% Market value to
nominal value
RMBS (mainly own originated mortgages)
2,144
2,136
100%
German Postal Pensions
150
182
121%
ABS CDO
18
2
13%
CDO / CLO
44
31
70%
US life settlement bond
71
14
20%
Transport
41
43
103%
Student Loans
16
15
93%
SME Loans
14
14
98%
Other
85
85
101%
Total
2,584
2,521
98%
Exposure to southern Europe & Ireland increased
484 240 6 181 50 6 Corporate 215 215 -Loans 943 457 47 314 124 -Collateralised(€m)1 (Sub) Sovereign Financials Total
Greece - - 6 Ireland 343 72 590 Italy 755 56 1,306 Portugal 43 62 158 Spain 524 142 1,578 Total 1,665 332 3,639
Exposure (sub) sovereign bonds at fair value
1
(
€
m)
178
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013
1. Exposures includes accrued interest and are based on ‘country at risk’. Loans at amortised cost. Market value of loans amounts to€234m as per H1 2014 59 H1 2014 503 1,665
•
CDS on sovereigns Spain
(
€
260m nominal) to cover
default risk
•
Exposures increased given
relatively favorable risk
return trade off
—
strict monitoring of
H1 2014 split by asset class (
€
m)
Retail
Institutional
Fixed income
2,028
11%
5,214
27%
Equity
4,076
21%
2,540
13%
Mix
3,832
20%
669
4%
Real estate
295
2%
357
2%
Subtotal
10,232
54%
8,781
1
46%
Total FuM
19,013
Third party funds breakdown by asset class
H1 2014
(
€
m)
Real Estate Investments
Delta Lloyd Life Belgium 146
Delta Lloyd Germany1 650
Delta Lloyd Life 1,662
Real Estate Investment Funds2
DL Life 153 DL Other 50 Total 2,661 47.8 Retail Ridderkerk Ridderhof 40.9 Res. Amsterdam Westerdoksdijk 55.8 Office Amsterdam Mondriaantoren
Location Type Market value
Brusselse Poort Maastricht Retail 56.0
C. v. Maarssenplein Diemen Retail 53.0
Piazza Centre Gorinchem Retail 36.1
Aan de Kant Uithoorn Res. 29.3
Mondriaantoren (own use) Amsterdam Office 29.2
Marslaan Krommenie Res. 28.2
Boeierlaan Zaandam Res. 28.1
Residential
38%
Commercial
26%
Offices
36%
1. Includes€69m indirect property, which is included under ‘Equity’ in own risk assets at slide 21, and of which€11m is classified as ‘Ordinary shares’ in Equities at slide 59.€58m is private equity
2. Included under ‘Equity’ in own risk assets at slide 21 and under ‘Equity investments’ in Equities at slide 59
Key highlights
Split by use H1 2014
Top 10 largest Dutch exposures (
€
m)
Overview of real estate portfolio
• €2.7bn real estate portfolio
—
of which€2.5bn is direct real estate and€0.2bn is through real estate funds
• High quality investment of which mainly upmarket rented houses/apartments, stores and small offices
• Occupancy rate of Dutch direct real estate portfolio is very high for Residential
—
Residential (€941m) 97%—
Offices (€299m) 77%1. Nominal value
2. Based on gross exposure
3. Indexation by external party (Stater)
H1 2014 FY 2013 FY 2012 FY 2011
Delta Lloyd portfolio (€bn)1 12.5 12.4 12.0 12.1
No. of loans 64,245 63,752 61,706 61,481 No. of private sales, YtD 109 269 224 132
No. of foreclosures, YtD 19 29 23 43
No. of losses, YtD 99 199 151 107
Loss amount (€m), YtD 2.8 6.6 4.8 3.8 Loss ratio (bps of portfolio) 2.2 5.3 4.0 3.1
<70% 10%
Total:
€
12.5bn
1 70-90% 10% 90-100% 6% 100-110% 6% 110-120% 7% >120% 15% NHG 46%•
Traditionally low losses•
Fiscal environment –main part of interest payments are tax deductable. The combination of tax deductibility and tax sufficient capital build-up schemes are the main reasons for high LTFVs•
Reasons for high recoveries on defaulted mortgages— strict underwriting policy and strong arrears management
— strong social support system
— very strict bankruptcy laws
— savings schemes (capital) are attached to the mortgage i.e. investment accounts and savings policies
— the mortgage deed is senior to tax
Key highlights
Highlights mortgage portfolio
1
Loan to market value split
3
Overview of Dutch mortgages
Arrears (% of loans)
2
2.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 1.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% <2M 2-3M 3-6M 6M+ Total FY 2013 H1 2014Total:
€
3.1bn
1H1 2014 FY 2013 FY 2012 FY 2011
Delta Lloyd portfolio (€bn) 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.6 No. of loans 32,131 32,190 32,714 34,428
No. of foreclosures (YTD) 15 22 28 18
Loss ratio (bps of portfolio) 0 0 0 0
< 70% 30% 100-110% 6% 90 - 100% 32% 70 – 90% 29% > 110% 3% 1. Nominal value
2. Based on gross exposure
3. Indexation by external party (Stadim)
Key highlights
Highlights mortgage portfolio
1
Original loan to indexed market value
3
Overview of Bank Belgium mortgages
3.6% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 2.8% 2.5% 0.1% 0.3% 1.6% 0.6% <2M 2-3M 3-6M 6M+ Total FY 2013 H1 2014
Arrears (% of loans)
2
•
Strict and punctual follow up on default•
Low arrears and very low losses•
Stable portfolio is the combination of significant new production for affluent customers, compensated by many pre payments (due to low interest rates)•
Stable house prices— slightly positive evolution in house segment <500k
1.86% 0.80% 0.94% 0.12% 3.72% <2M 2-3M 3-6M 6M+ Total 0.15% 0.31% H1 2014 FY 2013 FY 2012 FY 2011 0.12% 0.15% Total: €1.4bn Interest only 25% Linear 12% Annuity 63% Service 12% Leisure & tourism 3%
Capital goods 2%
Banks & financial
intermediation 4% Healthcare11% Food, beverage &tobacco 3% Other 20% Private individuals 9% Real estate 20% Retail 10% Total:€1.4bn Construction & infrastructure 6%
1. Based on gross exposure instead of absolute amount
Key highlights
Sector split
Loss ratio (% of portfolio commercial credits)
Product split (H1 2014)
Arrears at H1 2014 (% of loans)
1
Overview of Bank Belgium loans
•
High annuity/linear redemption•
Highly collateralised•
Strict lending policy leads to low loss & decreasing loss ratio•
Decrease of portfolio as a result of:― new strategy to focus on affluent customers
― many prepayments (due to low interest rates)
Table of contents
I. Key highlights and business overview
3
II. Financial review
13
III. Concluding remarks
28
Appendix:
A. Information by segment
33
B. Embedded value
49
C. Investment portfolio
58
D. Financial and capital information
68
Preparing for future capital regimes
Solvency II
Theoretical
Solvency Criterion
(‘Solvency 1.5’)
•
Solvency 1.5 ratio for Dutch life insurance subsidiaries significantly
exceeds 100%
•
Theoretical Solvency Criterion to be replaced in 2015 with Solvency II
criteria for all Dutch insurance entities
•
Introduction of Solvency II per 1 January 2016
•
Final Solvency II specifications and framework still uncertain
—
matching adjustment
—
volatility adjuster
—
calibration/approval of internal model
—
taxation
Movement in shareholders’ funds explained
• Other results GI relates to
non-operational activities
(International Marine Business,
WGA ER)
• Decrease of collatera