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(1)

Leveraging Big Data for Supply Chain Benchmarking

(2)

Agenda

Who is Chainalytics?

Freight Market Intelligence Consortium

Sales & Operations Variability Consortium

(3)

Agenda

Who is Chainalytics?

Freight Market Intelligence Consortium

Sales & Operations Variability Consortium

(4)

Who is Chainalytics?

MILESTONES

Founded in 2001

Established Bangalore office in

2005

Acquired Chainnovations and

Adalis’ Packaging Solutions

Group in 2011

Strategic Investment by GEF

Acquired ROCE Partners in 2013

ACCOLADES

“2013 Cool Vendor in Supply

Chain Services” – Gartner

“Great Supply Chain Partner” for

10 Years –

SupplyChainBrain

8 “Pros to Know” –

Supply &

Demand Chain Executive

One of “10 Coolest Supply Chain

Boutiques

” –

ARC Advisory

BY THE NUMBERS

135 FTEs Worldwide

Serve 300+ Unique Clients

17 of Gartner’s Top 25 Supply

Chains

80 Fortune 500 Companies

Delivered 500+ Engagements

ATLANTA

MINNEAPOLIS

MILAN

STOCKHOLM

HELSINKI

BANGALORE

(5)

Years

Quarters

Months

Weeks

Planning

Horizon

Value-Driven Supply Chain Decisions

At what service

level can we

profitably satisfy

demand?

How should

we transport

product through

the supply

chain?

How much and

where should

inventory be

positioned in the

supply chain?

Can we reduce

our transport and

logistics costs by

improving cube

utilization?

Should our

warehousing

and material

operations be

insourced

or outsourced?

When should

we buy or make

product to make

the best use of

our capacity?

What is the

best flowpath?

How well do

our current

operations

mitigate repair

and warranty

costs?

How can we

increase

visibility to

stakeholders?

Sales &

Operations

Planning

Transportation

Logistics

Operations

Service

Supply Chain

Packaging Optimization

(6)

Some of Our Clients

LSP

Chemical/Process

Automotive & Industrial

Packaging

Healthcare

HIGH TECH

& TELECOM

FOOD &

BEVERAGE

RETAIL

HOME/OFFICE

DURABLES

HOME/OFFICE

NON-DURABLES

OTHER

INDUSTRIES

SERVED

(7)

Widespread

implementation of

ERP and Supply

Chain Planning

Hardware

commoditization

enabled “big data”

era

Analytics

converts

big data into small

data

Content

enables

fact-based

decision-making

Evolution of the “Big Data” Opportunity

Content makes the realization of the full value of big data possible.

Chainalytics empowers fact-based decisions using…

Powerful Technology

:

Advanced tools to assess impacts and predict

outcomes

Specialized Knowledge

:

Superior intellectual capital to bridge the

supply chain “expertise gap”

Proprietary Content

:

Competitive differentiation

Content

Knowledge

(8)

Agenda

Who is Chainalytics?

Freight Market Intelligence Consortium

Sales & Operations Variability Consortium

(9)

Model-Based Benchmarking Advantage

Traditional Benchmarking

Model-Based Benchmarking

Shipper’s freight characteristics are unique

– Lack of “apples to apples” comparison

– Need to have significant volumes represented

across many shippers for exact lane by lane

match

Proprietary rates restrict direct sharing

– Inability to share rate information due to

contractual obligations

Informal “peer network” not a good basis

for comparison

Only total cost is provided

– Inability to separate line haul and accessorial

costs

– Inability to determine implied cost of business

practices that impact operation

Identify/quantify transportation cost drivers

– Origin, destination, distance, loading

conditions, service requirements, regional

imbalances…

Build econometric model for the market

– Includes broad cross-section of shippers &

locations

– Ensure it is robust and statistically valid

– Develop an reliable estimators to predict the

cost per load for TL freight, given unique

characteristics of the freight

Generate results consistent with our

experience

– Actual and observed results are related

– Test all policies and characteristics for

statistical strength

– Amass significant amounts of information

– Corridor volume

(10)

Consortium

What is a “Freight Market Intelligence Consortium”?

Freight

Market

GUIDELINES

No input data shared

Membership remains confidential

Intelligence

MARKET

INTELLIGENCE

External Focus

BUSINESS

INTELLIGENCE

Internal Focus

(11)

FMIC Overview

2004

TL Model for

6 Shippers

TODAY

TL & IM Models: 108 Shippers ($18.2B)

LTL Model: 23 Shippers ($482MM)

Ocean: 16 Shippers ($290MM)

What is my overall cost

position to the market?

In which lanes am I over

market?

(ALL MODES)

Performance

Reports

Rate

Estimators

What are estimated

costs for lanes in which I

am not operating today?

Where are some

opportunities to convert

from collect to prepaid

freight?

(TL & LTL)

Members Gain Access to…

Freight Market

Intelligence

In what direction will rates

trend in the future

(according to the views of

the members)?

What does my carrier

profile look like?

How do my policies and

practices affect my rates?

(12)

Lane Specific Analysis

Firm

BU

FMIC ID

Origin

City

Origin

State

Origin

ZIP

Origin

Country

Destination

City

Dest

State

Dest

ZIP

Dest

Country

Distance

(miles)

Annual

Volume

Avg.

Stopoffs

DEMO

WWD1

10417 Anytown Anystate 18953

HUN

Anytown

Anystate 08123

GER

2922

64

3

DEMO

WWD2

11142 Anytown Anystate 50995

FRA

Anytown

Anystate 21999

GER

2414

134

0

DEMO

WWD1

13682 Anytown Anystate 18394

GER

Anytown

Anystate 68960

POL

2771

157

0

DEMO

WWD2

14131 Anytown Anystate 35199

POL

Anytown

Anystate 77899

HUN

546

352

1

DEMO

WWD2

11452 Anytown Anystate 29979

HUN

Anytown

Anystate 27716

POR

2919

23

0

DEMO

WWD1

13132 Anytown Anystate 13752

POL

Anytown

Anystate 58260

GER

2921

19

1

DEMO

WWD1

13467 Anytown Anystate 13149

FRA

Anytown

Anystate 64882

GER

2914

68

1

DEMO

WWD1

10702 Anytown Anystate 17090

ITA

Anytown

Anystate 13249

GER

2886

20

1

DEMO

WWD3

10541 Anytown Anystate 73508

GER

Anytown

Anystate 10568

POL

2440

99

0

DEMO

WWD2

10041 Anytown Anystate 47489

HUN

Anytown

Anystate 00807

FRA

2791

70

0

DEMO

WWD2

14132 Anytown Anystate 52411

ITA

Anytown

Anystate 77914

FRA

2738

69

2

DEMO

WWD3

14098 Anytown Anystate 60540

GER

Anytown

Anystate 77223

POR

2796

67

0

DEMO

WWD2

12340 Anytown Anystate 27880

ITA

Anytown

Anystate 43424

POR

2912

14

2

DEMO

WWD2

12503 Anytown Anystate 45769

ITA

Anytown

Anystate 46709

ITA

471

236

0

Estimated

CPL

(Including Fuel

Surcharge)

Estimated

CPM

(Including Fuel

Surcharge)

Estimated

Annual Cost

(Including Fuel

Surcharge)

Difference

CPL

(Including Fuel

Surcharge)

Annual Cost

Difference

(Including Fuel

Surcharge)

Difference

Percent

(Including Fuel

Surcharge)

Status

(Including Fuel

Surcharge)

EUR 4,276.43

EUR 1.46

EUR 273,691.39

(EUR 2,821)

(EUR 180,513)

-65.96%

BELOW

EUR 4,308.32

EUR 1.78

EUR 577,314.61

(EUR 581)

(EUR 77,873)

-13.49%

BELOW

EUR 4,085.46

EUR 1.47

EUR 641,416.86

(EUR 495)

(EUR 77,683)

2.19% AT

EUR 1,437.86

EUR 2.63

EUR 506,128.30

(EUR 199)

(EUR 70,205)

2.22% AT

EUR 4,271.54

EUR 1.46

EUR 98,245.45

(EUR 2,835)

(EUR 65,203)

-66.37%

BELOW

EUR 4,274.80

EUR 1.46

EUR 81,221.18

(EUR 2,947)

(EUR 56,001)

7.53%

ABOVE

EUR 4,505.28

EUR 1.55

EUR 306,359.18

(EUR 812)

(EUR 55,193)

4.28%

ABOVE

EUR 4,219.29

EUR 1.46

EUR 84,385.81

(EUR 2,643)

(EUR 52,863)

1.77% AT

EUR 3,808.57

EUR 1.56

EUR 377,048.79

(EUR 529)

(EUR 52,393)

7.47%

ABOVE

EUR 5,274.95

EUR 1.89

EUR 369,246.79

(EUR 684)

(EUR 47,885)

-12.97%

BELOW

EUR 4,481.19

EUR 1.64

EUR 309,202.12

(EUR 684)

(EUR 47,180)

-15.26%

BELOW

EUR 4,978.87

EUR 1.78

EUR 333,584.07

(EUR 610)

(EUR 40,871)

-12.25%

BELOW

EUR 4,257.00

EUR 1.46

EUR 59,598.06

(EUR 2,858)

(EUR 40,016)

-2.87% AT

(13)
(14)

Compan

y

B

Co

mpa

ny

A

Carriers by Spend and Position to Market

Each square represents a carrier in a

shipper’s network

Size is relative to volume with that carrier

Color and percentage represent the

carrier’s relative cost to market across all

lanes they service

The FMIC allows shippers to

see how their carriers are

performing across their total

spend, which prompts such

questions such as “Who

should I grow with?” and

(15)

Industry

Benchmark

Lane

Information

JDA has partnered with Chainalytics to provide access to the

largest transportation benchmarking database in North America

directly within its TMS solution.

Integrated Benchmark Rates

Industry Leading

TMS Solution

Freight Market

Intelligence

Consortium

(16)

Integrated Benchmark Rates

Carrier or Load Comparison

(17)

FMIC Europe Milestones

Charter Member

Identification

Promote to current

multi-national FMIC

members

Prepare data

collection materials

Completion

November 2013

1

Product Design

& Development

Completion

2013 Q4

2

Define Europe

specific deliverables

with charter

members

Completion

2014Q1+2

Modeling,

Analytics &

Reporting

3

Development of

econometric and

reporting constructs

Modification of

existing capabilities

defined specifically

for Europe

Charter Member

Feedback &

Adoption

Completion

2014 Q2

4

Obtaining feedback

Adapting process,

reports and survey

insights for future

rounds

Determination of

ongoing service

parameters

We will analyze 12 months of data (6 months apart),

and produce two sets of deliverables each year.

(18)

Agenda

Who is Chainalytics?

Freight Market Intelligence Consortium

Sales & Operations Variability Consortium

(19)

Demand Planning Market Intelligence

Questionnaire-based

Participants self-report forecast

accuracy as they measure it

Forecasting process checklist

Attempt to define best practices

Limited root-cause and comparative

analysis

Model-based using transaction data

Common metrics

Insights into drivers

Supplemental questionnaire

– Business practices driving forecast

accuracy (FCA)

– Demand and supply planning practices

Conventional

Benchmarks

Variability Consortium

Sales & Operations

SOVC Member Demographics

Industry:

Non-Durable Consumer Product Goods and

Food & Beverage

Geography:

U.S. Customer Demand

Members:

40+ Participants

Item-Locations:

More than 300,000

FOOD & BEVERAGE

49

%

PERSONAL CARE

33

%

HOME CARE

13

%

PET CARE

5

%

(20)

How does Chainalytics’ SOVC work?

Model-Based Analytics

Results for Members

Questionnaire

tabulation &

analysis

Forecast

accuracy

predictive

model

Accuracy

calculations &

benchmarking

Data review,

clean-up and

validation

Member Inputs

Detailed forecast

and actual order/sales

transaction data

Questionnaire responses

on business practices and

forecasting processes

Forecast accuracy

and bias intelligence

on-demand

(21)

62%

76%

90%

89%

87%

83%

55%

53%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Lag 0

Lag 1

Lag 2

Lag 3

Item-Network

63%

81%

79%

77%

83%

54%

43%

40%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Item-Location

A Look at Conventional Benchmarks

Item-Network and Item-Location FCA (Monthly Buckets)

Fore

ca

st

Acc

ur

acy

What does this tell you?

Are all companies equal?

(22)

Demand Patterns Influence FCA and Bias

81%

61%

54%

2.9%

5.6%

18.7%

%

o

f

U

n

it

s

Sh

ip

p

ed

in

P

at

ter

n

Stable

Trending

Seasonal/Uplift

Intermittent

Launch/End

Other

FCA

Bias

Member 2

Member 3

Member 1

More stable and

less seasonal and

intermittent

demand results in

higher FCA and

lower bias

%

of

U

nit

s

Shipped

in

Pat

tern

Stable

Launch/End

Trending

Other

Seasonal/Uplift

Intermittent

FCA

Bias

(23)

S&OVC Demand Segmentation Enables

“Apples-to-Apples” Benchmarking

DEMAND VARIABILITY

LAG

DEMAND PATTERNS

DEMAND VELOCITY

(24)

Company FCA Performance vs. Forecastability

“Apples-to-Apples” Benchmarking

(25)

SOVC Sample Deliverable

FCA Policy Analysis for Monthly Forecasters

Do Frequent Parameter Updates

Use Top Down Process

Begin Top Down at Product Group Level

Involve Finance/SC in Adjustments

Do Not Set Up Separate Promo DFUs

Employ Inventory Optimization Update Inventory Targets

Weekly Use Customized Forecasting

Tool Use Moving Average

Time-Series

Use Regression Trend Time-Series

Policies of Top Performers

Do Frequent Parameter Updates

Use Top Down Process

Begin Top Down at Product Group Level

Involve Finance/SC in Adjustments

Do Not Set Up Separate Promo DFUs

Employ Inventory Optimization Update Inventory Targets

Weekly Use Customized Forecasting

Tool Use Moving Average

Time-Series

Use Regression Trend Time-Series

Policy Profile for Member 1

PRACTICE 2

PRACTICE 3

PRACTICE 4

PRACTICE 5

PRACTICE 6

PRACTICE 7

PRACTICE 8

PRACTICE 9

PRACTICE 10

DO FREQUENT

PARAMETER UPDATES

POLICIES OF TOP PERFORMERS

Do Frequent Parameter Updates

Use Top Down Process

Begin Top Down at Product Group Level

Involve Finance/SC in Adjustments

Do Not Set Up Separate Promo DFUs

Employ Inventory Optimization Update Inventory Targets

Weekly Use Customized Forecasting

Tool Use Moving Average

Time-Series

Use Regression Trend Time-Series

Policies of Top Performers

Do Frequent Parameter Updates

Use Top Down Process

Begin Top Down at Product Group Level

Involve Finance/SC in Adjustments

Do Not Set Up Separate Promo DFUs

Employ Inventory Optimization Update Inventory Targets

Weekly Use Customized Forecasting

Tool Use Moving Average

Time-Series

Use Regression Trend Time-Series

Policy Profile for Member 1

DO FREQUENT

PARAMETER UPDATES

POLICY PROFILE FOR MEMBER 1

PRACTICE 2

PRACTICE 3

PRACTICE 4

PRACTICE 5

PRACTICE 6

PRACTICE 7

PRACTICE 8

PRACTICE 9

PRACTICE 10

CHANGE IN LIKELIHOOD OF OCCURRENCE AS

POLICY/PRACTICE

OVERALL OBSERVATION

PERFORMER

FREQUENCY

OF

OCCURRENCE

(% OF USABLE

SEGMENTS)

RESULT

LAG

INCREASES

(0 TO 3)

VELOCITY

INCREASES

(LOW TO

HIGH)

VARIABILITY

INCREASE

(LOW TO

HIGH)

How frequently do

you typically update

the algorithm

parameters in your

demand planning

tool?

Top performers tend to update

parameters more frequently

Weekly updates had the highest

occurrence among top performers

Annual updates in the bottom

performers

Bottom performers never update

monthly

Top

54%

Weekly/

Monthly

Bottom

38%

Quarterly

/ Annually

(26)

SOVC Member Benefits

The SOVC provides actionable insights into the areas needing

improvement as well as the best practices that can lead to real

performance gains.

Compare forecast accuracy and bias and their respective drivers across

a relevant peer group and industries.

+

Identify the underlying drivers of forecast accuracy, including product

portfolio mix, customer order patterns, seasonality, and new product

launches.

+

Proven analytical framework and tool to estimate anticipated forecast

accuracy and bias for existing and new products.

+

Target demand planning improvement initiatives that can generate the

most business value.

(27)

Agenda

Who is Chainalytics?

Freight Market Intelligence Consortium

Sales & Operations Variability Consortium

(28)

Gary Girotti

Vice President, Transportation Practice

+1 (678) 384-3611

[email protected]

Janne Salmi

Managing Director, Chainalytics Europe

+358 40 556 5771

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