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(1)

WORLD BANK GROUP

November 14 2012 ISEL

Douane

Jean-François ARVIS INTERNATIONAL TRADE DEPARTMENT

LOGISTICS PERFORMANCE INDEX

CONNECTING TO COMPETE 2012

(2)

How does the World Bank help?

Border management

Improvement in border management in a broad sense:

integration of customs, product standards, tax, rules of origin, etc.

Trade Infrastructure

Improvement in the management of key trade related infrastructure, especially gateways and multimodal facilities

Logistics services

Improvement of the quality/professionalism of private logistics services, through technical/economic regulation and capacity building

Regional Regional trade facilitation including transit systems

Indicators Performance monitoring and indicators: e.g., data on time, cost, and reliability along corridors

Action plan Development and implementation of comprehensive action plan addressing all of the above

Advise governments on reforms

(3)

3

FIATA

World Bank

Governments

Countries

Indicators essential for

reforms

Become more competitive Logistics providers increase level of

services as they will operate in better, faster and more reliable environments

Where does the World Bank come in?

Carry private sector voice to governments!

Advice on

reforms

(4)

4

The Logistics Performance Index

www.worldbank.org/lpi

(5)

The Logistics Performance Index

5

Measures the trade

logistics efficiency of a country

Fundamental premise:

Efficient logistics drives

economic performance

and competitiveness

(6)

The Logistics Performance Index

6

• First report 2007, every 2 years

• Source of data: online survey of logistics service firms (freight forwarders, express carriers)

• Rate logistics performance for up to 8 markets on a 1-5 scale

• LPI a weighted average of scores (using principal

component analysis)

• Domestic LPI data reported by

firms for own country

(7)

Built on more than 6,000 country

assessments by over 1000 logistics professionals worldwide

Primary data gathered for 155 countries (143 for domestic LPI indicators)

69% of respondents based in developing countries;

82% have less than 250 employees

Partnership with the private sector

The Logistics Performance Index

(8)

LPI Questionnaire Structure

General module

International

Qualitative

Performance

Domestic

Qualitative

Performance

Domestic

Quantitative

Performance

International LPI

Evaluate 8 overseas markets

Domestic LPI

Evaluate Country of work

Country A

Country 8 Country 1 Country 2

Country 4 Country 3

Country 5

Country 6

Country 7

(9)

LPI Questionnaire Structure

General module

International

Qualitative

Performance

International LPI

Evaluate 8 overseas markets

Country A

Country 8 Country 1 Country 2

Country 4 Country 3

Country 5 Country 6 Country 7

Efficiency of the clearance process

Quality of trade and transport infrastructure Ease of arranging competitively priced shipments Logistics competence and quality of logistics services Ability to track and trace consignments

Timeliness of shipment delivery

Six dimensions of country performance:

(10)

LPI Results

10

(11)

Good News:

All countries performing better

11

With the right investment and policies, lower income countries can also be high performers

LPI score as percentage of highest LPI score by LPI quintile, 2007, 2010, and 2012

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Bottom quintile

Fourth quintile

Third quintile

Second quintile

Top quintile

Percent

2007 2010 2012

(12)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Low income Lower middle income

Upper middle income

High income non-OECD

High income OECD

Percentage change

Customs Infrastructure Quality of logistics services

Percentage change in LPI scores over 2007–2012,

by LPI component and income group

(13)

LPI 2012

Countries are improving around the world

Logistics friendly

Logistics unfriendly Partial performers Consistent performers

(14)

More than income: the “logistics gap”

14

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Low income

Lower middle income

Upper middle income

High income non-OECD

High income

OECD

Percent Top quintile

Second quintile Third quintile Fourth quintile Bottom quintile

20% of LICs are in the 3

rd

quintile

15% of LMICs are in the 2

nd

10% of UMICs are in the 1st tier, but

another 10% are in

the bottom tier

(15)

Country LPI Rank South Africa 23

China 26

Turkey 27

Malaysia 29

Bulgaria 36

Thailand 38

Chile 39

Tunisia 41

Brazil 45

Mexico 47

TOP 10 COUNTRIES

LOWER MIDDLE INCOME

Country LPI Rank

India 46

Morocco 50

Philippines 52

Vietnam 53

Egypt, Arab Rep. 57

Indonesia 59

Yemen, Rep. 63

Ukraine 66

Pakistan 71

Guatemala 74

TOP 10 COUNTRIES LOW INCOME

Country LPI Rank

Benin 67

Malawi 73

Madagascar 84

Niger 87

Tanzania 88

Guinea-Bissau 94

Togo 97

Central African Republic 98

Cambodia 101

Zimbabwe 103

TOP 10 COUNTRIES UPPER MIDDLE INCOME

LPI Ranks

(16)

Improvements can be obtained with the right investment and engagement

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

Turkey Bulgaria Tunisia Morocco Vietnam Egypt Indonesia Pakistan Malawi Tanzania

% of Highest Performer 2012

% of Highest Performer 2010

% of Highest Performer 2007

(17)

LPI Questionnaire Structure

Domestic

Qualitative

Performance

Domestic

Quantitative

Performance

Domestic LPI

Evaluate Country of work

Country A

(18)

Logistics environment, Core logistics processes, Institutions and Performance time and cost data:

Quality data for infrastructure, Service providers and processes Customs administration, Border procedures and time

Time/cost data for import and export transactions

Environment, Processes, Institutions, Time and Cost

Domestic logistics environement

Domestic LPI

(19)

Customs ahead of other border agencies

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Logistics friendly Consistent

performers Partial performers Logistics unfriendly Customs Other border agencies

Percentage of respondents indicating the quality and competence of customs and other border agencies is high or very high

19

(20)

Median import lead time and average clearance time (days), by LPI quintile

0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4

0 2 4 6 8 10 12

Bottom quintile (lowest performance)

Fourth quintile (low performance)

Third quintile (average performance)

Second quintile (high performance)

Top quintile (highest performance)

Lead time (port/airport) - import Lead time (land) - import

Clearance time without physical inspection Clearance time with physical inspection

(21)

Doing Business

Important initiative by the IFC (10 years)

Measure “red tape” is several areas:

starting a business, payments… one section “trading across border”

Three dimensions for each areas “number of days, cost, and number of documents”

Tries to focus on information that is

objective and not too variable (ideally

single respondent)

(22)

LPI and DB – separate but complementary

LPI DB

Source of data 3

rd

country providers of logistics services

In-country entities with knowledge of business regulations

Concept Performance outcomes Analytic breakdown in component procedures Frequency Every 2 years, since 2007 Yearly, since 2003

Significance Several indices of performance

Metric of broader business regulatory environment Questionnaire Short online Detailed

Countries 155 183

22

Both indices provide basic input for policy makers.

Neither are in-depth analysis.

(23)

Red tape affecting import and export transactions, by LPI quintile

0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3 3,5 4 4,5 5

Bottom quintile (lowest performance)

Fourth quintile (low performance)

Third quintile (average performance)

Second quintile (high performance)

Top quintile (highest performance)

No. of import agencies No. of export agencies No. of import documents No. of export documents

(24)

The Logistics Performance Index

www.worldbank.org/lpi

24

 MERCI

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