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GIRO 2015

20-23 October

ACC, Liverpool

Developments in the Regulatory

Framework and Technical Actuarial

Standards

Chair: David Hindley

(2)

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What we will cover today

Overview of the FRC

FRC’s review of TASs

TAS 100

Specific TASs

Timescale

Case study: GI reserving

Joint Forum on Actuarial Regulation (JFAR) reviews

Specific TAS principles discussion

Questions

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Financial Reporting Council

Codes and Standards

Conduct

UK Corporate Governance Code

Stewardship Code

Accounting standards

Audit and assurance standards

Technical actuarial standards

Audit quality review

Corporate reporting review

Discipline

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Scope & Authority

TAS D

TAS M

TAS R

Specific TASs

(Pensions, Insurance, Funeral

Plans, Transformations)

Other material

Answers to FAQs

Significant Considerations

Apply to Reserved Work

and specified work

Apply to specified work

Current Framework

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TAS 100

TASs 200, 300 etc

(Pensions, Insurance, Funeral

Plans, Other)

Guidance

Applies to all

actuarial work

Apply to specified work

Framework for FRC Actuarial

Standards

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Framework for FRC Actuarial Standards

Replaces Scope & Authority

Includes:

FRC principles for development of codes, standards and guidance

Historical context

Reliability Objective

Authority

Scope and Application

Overview of FRC actuarial documents

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TAS 100

Six high-level principles with supporting provisions

Based on Generic TASs and assumptions principles in Specific TASs

No guidance

Definitions in separate glossary

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Scope of TAS 100

Actuarial work

is work:

which involves the exercise of judgement and where the use of

principles and/or techniques of actuarial science is central; or

which the

user

is entitled to treat as actuarial work because it is

presented as actuarial, whether expressly or by implication.

Actuarial work

is not limited to work undertaken by an actuary.

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Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

The Principles

Judgement

shall be exercised in a reasoned and justifiable manner;

material judgements shall be communicated to users so that they are

able to make informed decisions understanding the matters relevant to

the actuarial information

Data

used in actuarial work shall be sufficient and reliable for the

purpose of that work and subject to sufficient scrutiny and checking so

that users can rely on the resulting actuarial information

(6)

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Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

The Principles (2)

Assumptions

used, or proposed for use, in actuarial work shall be

appropriate for the purpose of that work so that users can rely on the

resulting actuarial information

Models

used in actuarial work shall be fit for purpose and be subject to

sufficient controls and testing so that users can rely on the resulting

actuarial information

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet Dark grey R63 G69 B72

The Principles (3)

Communications

shall be clear, comprehensive and comprehensible

so that users are able to make informed decisions understanding the

matters relevant to the actuarial information

Documentation

shall contain enough detail for a technically

competent person with no previous knowledge of the

actuarial work to

understand the matters involved and assess the judgements made

(7)

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Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Other key aspects of TAS 100

Materiality

:

Each of the principles and provisions in TAS 100 shall be

followed unless compliance with it can have no material effect on the

decisions of users

Proportionality

:

Nothing in TAS 100 should be interpreted as requiring

work to be performed that is not proportionate to the nature, scale and

complexity of the risks inherent in the decision or assignment to which

the work relates and the benefit that

users

would be expected to obtain

from the work

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Other key aspects of TAS 100

Aggregation

:

The requirements of TAS 100 on

communications

apply to the communications in aggregate for a piece of work and not to

each individual communication

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Secondary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Specific TASs

Will review structure and content

Focused on higher risk areas

Scope and principles influenced by JFAR,

JFAR:

A risk

perspective

discussion paper and associated outreach

Will consult on TASs for insurance, pensions and funeral

plans

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Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Feedback to consultation

Supportive of TAS 100

Concern about timescale

Some concern about scope extension

(9)

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Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Timescale – proposed in consultation

Consult on Specific TASs and issue review of draft of

TAS 100 early 2016

Issue new TASs in autumn 2016

New regime fully effective spring 2017

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

(10)

R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Joint Forum on Actuarial Regulation

Members: FRC, IFoA, PRA, FCA, tPR

Co-ordinates identification of risks and responses

where actuarial work is relevant

Published ‘

JFAR: A risk perspective’

(October 2014)

and Feedback Statement (July 2015)

www.frc.org.uk/jfar

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet Dark grey R63 G69 B72

JFAR: A risk perspective

Modelling

Group think

Understanding risk and return

Product design and distribution

Financial reporting

General insurance claims

provisions

Changes in the external

environment

Competitive pressure on insurers

Rapid change in pensions market

Economic outlook – pensions

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Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

A risk perspective: feedback

Valuable exercise

Support co-ordinated regulation

Regulation not always best response

Agreed risks

Some new risks and hotspots suggested

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

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Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Joint Forum on Actuarial Regulation: next steps

JFAR reviews

Pensions: DB to DC transfers

General insurance claims provisions

Group think

Input to TASs

Guidance and educational material

(12)

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Secondary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

GI reserving thematic review - objectives

Three objectives

1.

Increase our understanding of the scale of public interest risk and of

the quality of actuarial work being undertaken;

2.

Test the effectiveness of audit as a control on the quality of actuarial

reserving work and the quality of actuarial work in audit;

3.

Test the effectiveness of TASs as a control on the quality of

actuarial work in reserving

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet Dark grey R63 G69 B72

GI reserving thematic review – scale of risk

Review of a sample of reserve reports to look for themes;

Review includes: Treatment of PPOs; use of external research; clarity

of conclusions; reporting of risks and uncertainty

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Secondary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

GI reserving thematic review – audit

Roundtable discussions with audit partners and actuaries who work in

audit;

Actuarial input into FRC’s Audit Quality Review (AQR) work;

Output: Themes on actuarial work in audit.

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

GI reserving thematic review – TASs

View of risks based on risk perspective feedback and a number of

brainstorms and roundtable discussions;

Gap analysis of the risks against TAS principles and other mitigants;

Output: Suggestions for review of Insurance TAS principles and other

coordinated mitigations.

(14)

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Secondary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Context – Specific TAS principles discussion

Deregulatory environment and fatigue with regulatory change

External regulatory developments:

Introduction of new pensions freedoms

Solvency II

International regulation

Economic pressures on both insurers and pension schemes

Risks to the public interest

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet Dark grey R63 G69 B72

GI reserving – Specific TAS principles discussion

Theme 1: Tight timescales

Increased reporting required in shorter timescales

Increased automation / robust processes required – less time for judgements?

May be harder to re-evaluate or change models

Assumptions may not be updated, or possible anchoring to last time’s results

Potential mitigations

(15)

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Secondary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Red R200 G30 B69 Orange R238 G116 29 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

GI reserving – Specific TAS principles discussion

Theme 2: Management pressures

Bias in challenge may lead to bias in actuarial judgements (up or down)

The actuary may not be sufficiently sceptical

Over-reliance on benchmarks (“Group Think” risk)

There may be lack of clarity around the role or scope of actuarial work

Potential mitigations

Framework around expert judgements

Training on standing up to pressure / managing conflicts

Colour palette for PowerPoint presentations

Dark blue R17 G52 B88 Gold R217 G171 B22 Mid blue R64 G150 B184

Secondary colour palette Primary colour palette

Light grey R220 G221 B217 Pea green R121 G163 B42 Forest green R0 G132 B82 Bottle green R17 G179 B162 Cyan R0 G156 B200 Light blue R124 G179 B225 Violet R128 G118 B207 Purple R143 G70 B147 Fuscia R233 G69 B140 Dark grey R63 G69 B72

Expressions of individual views by members of the Institute and Faculty of

Actuaries and its staff are encouraged.

The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter.

References

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