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GOKARAJU RANGARAJU INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING AND TECHNOLOGY DEPARTMENT OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES

MBA III SEMESTER

STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT MANUAL-3 (for private circulation only)

Chapter 3: Evaluating a Company’s External Environment 1. Learning Objectives

a. To gain command of the basic concepts and analytical tools widely used to diagnose a company’s industry and competitive conditions.

b. To become adept in recognizing the factors that cause competition in an industry to be fierce, more or less normal, or relatively weak.

c. To learn how to determine whether an industry’s outlook presents a company with sufficiently attractive opportunities for growth and profitability.

d. To understand why in-depth evaluation of specific industry and competitive conditions is a prerequisite to crafting a strategy well matched to a company’s situation.

2. Roadmap

a. The Strategically Relevant Components of a Company’s External Environment b. Thinking Strategically About a Company’s Industry and Competitive

Environment

Question 1: What Are the Industry’s Dominant Economic Features? Question 2: How Strong Are Competitive Forces?

Question 3: What Forces Are Driving Industry Change and What Impacts Will They Have?

Question 4: What Market Positions Do Rivals Occupy—Who Is Strongly Positioned and Who Is Not?

Question 5: What Strategic Moves Are Rivals Likely to Make Next?

Question 6: What Are the Key Factors for Future Competitive Success?

Question 7: Does the Outlook for the Industry Offer the Company a Good Opportunity to Earn Attractive Profits?

3. Understanding the Factors that Determine a Company’s Situation a. Diagnosing a company’s situation has two facets

i. Assessing the company’s external or macro-environment 1. Industry and competitive conditions

2. Forces acting to reshape this environment

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2. Competencies, capabilities, resource strengths and weaknesses, and competitiveness

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Figure 3.2: The Components of a Company’s Macro-environment

6. Thinking Strategically About a Company’s Macro-environment

 A company’s macro-environment includes all relevant factors and influences outside its boundaries

 Diagnosing a company’s external situation involves assessing strategically important factors that have a bearingon the decisions a company’s makes about its

o Direction o Objectives o Strategy

o Business model

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o Adapt a company’s direction and strategy as needed

7. Key Questions Regarding the Industry and Competitive Environment

8. Question 1: What are the Industry’s Dominant Economic Traits?  Market size and growth rate

 Number of rivals

 Scope of competitive rivalry  Buyer needs and requirements  Degree of product differentiation  Product innovation

 Supply/demand conditions  Pace of technological change  Vertical integration

 Economies of scale

 Learning and experience curve effects

9. Table 3.1: What to Consider in Identifying an Industry’s Dominant Economic Features

Economic Feature Questions to Answer

Market size and

growth rate How big is the industry and how fast is it growing?What does the industry’s position in the product life cycle (early development, rapid growth and takeoff, early maturity and slowing growth, saturation and stagnation, decline) reveal about the industry’s growth prospects?

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Number of rivals  Is the industry fragmented into many small companies or concentrated and dominated by a few large companies?

 Is the industry consolidating to a smaller number consolidating to a smaller number of competitors?

Scope of

competitive rivalry  Is the geographic area over which most companies competelocal, regional, national multinational, or global?  Is having a presence in foreign markets becoming more

important to a company’s long-term competitive success?

Number of buyers  Is market demand fragmented among many buyers?

 Do some buyers have bargaining power because they purchase in large volume?

Degree of product

differentiation  Are the products of rivals becoming more differentiated or lessdifferentiated?  Are the products of rivals becoming increasingly similar and

causing heightened price competition?

Product innovation  Is the industry characterized by rapid product innovation and short product life cycles?

 How important is R&D and product innovation?

 Are there opportunities to overtake key rivals by being first-to-market with next-generation products?

Demand-supply

conditions  Is a surplus of capacity pushing prices and profit marginsdown?  Is the industry overcrowded with competitors?

Pace of

technological change

 What role does advancing technology play in this industry?  Are ongoing upgrades of facilities/equipment essential because

of rapidly advancing production process technologies?

 Do most industry members have or need strong technological capabilities? Why?

Vertical integration  Do most competitors operate in only one stage of the industry (parts and components production, manufacturing and assembly, distribution, retailing), or do some competitors operate in multiple stages?

 Is there any cost or competitive advantage or disadvantage associated with being fully or partially integrated?

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 Do companies with large-scale operations have an important cost advantage over small-scale firms?

Learning/

experience curve effects

 Are certain industry activities characterized by strong learning and experience effects (“learning by doing”) such that unit costs decline as company’s experience in performing the activity builds?

 Do any companies have significant cost advantages because of their learning/experience in performing particular activities?

10. Learning/Experience Effects

Learning/experience effects exist when a company’s unit costs decline as its cumulative production volume increases because of

o Accumulating production know-how o Growing mastery of the technology

 The bigger the learning or experience curve effect, the bigger the cost advantage of the firm with the largest cumulative production volume

11. Question 2: How Strong Are Competitive Forces?  Objectives are to identify

o Main sources of competitive forces o Strength of these forces

 Key analytical tool

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12. Analyzing the Five Competitive Forces: How to Do It

Step 1: Identify the specific competitive pressures associated with each of the five forces Step 2: Evaluate the strength of each competitive force – fierce, strong, moderate to normal, or weak?

Step 3: Determine whether the collective strength of the five competitive forces is conducive to earning attractive profits

13. Competitive Pressures Among Rival Sellers  Usually the strongest of the five forces  Key factor in determining strength of rivalry

o How aggressively are rivals using various weapons of competition to improve their market positions and performance?

Competitive rivalry is a combative contest involving o Offensive actions

o Defensive countermoves

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14. Competitive Pressures Associated With Potential Entry  Seriousness of threat depends on

o Size of pool of entry candidates and available resources o Barriers to entry

o Reaction of existing firms

 Evaluating threat of entry involves assessing

o How formidable entry barriers are for each type of potential entrant and o Attractiveness of growth and profit prospects

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15. Common Barriers to Entry  Sizable economies of scale

 Cost and resource disadvantages independent of size  Brand preferences and customer loyalty

 Capital requirements and/or other specialized resource requirements  Access to distribution channels

 Regulatory policies

 Tariffs and international trade restrictions

 Ability of industry incumbents to launch vigorous initiatives to block a newcomer’s entry 16. Competitive Pressures from Substitute Products

Concept: Substitutes matter when customers are attracted to the products of firms in other industries

Examples: Sugar vs. artificial sweeteners; Eyeglasses and contact lens vs. laser surgery; Newspapers vs. TV vs. Internet

17. How to Tell Whether Substitute Products Are a Strong Force  Whether substitutes are readily available and attractively priced  Whether buyers view substitutes as being comparable or better  How much it costs end users to switch to substitutes

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18. Competitive Pressures From Suppliers and Supplier-Seller Collaboration

 Whether supplier-seller relationships represent a weak or strong competitive force depends on

o Whether suppliers can exercise sufficient bargaining leverage to influence terms of supply in their favor

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19. Competitive Pressures: Collaboration Between Sellers and Suppliers  Industry members often forge strategic partnerships with select suppliers to

o Reduce inventory and logistics costs

o Speed availability of next-generation components o Enhance quality of parts being supplied

o Squeeze out cost savings for both parties

Competitive advantage potential may accrue to those industry members (sellers) doing the best job of managing supply-chain relationships

20. Competitive Pressures From Buyers and Seller-Buyer Collaboration

 Whether the relationships between industry members and buyers represent a weak or strong competitive force depends on

o Whether buyers have sufficient bargaining leverage to influence terms of sale in their favor

o Extent and competitive importance of strategic partnerships between certain industry members and the buyers

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21. Competitive Pressures: Collaboration Between Sellers and Buyers

Partnerships between industry members and some/many of their customers can impact competitive pressures

Collaboration may result in mutual benefits regarding o Just-in-time deliveries

o Order processing

o Electronic invoice payments o Data sharing

Competitive advantage may accrue to those industry members doing the best job of partnering with their customers

22. Strategic Implications of the Five Competitive Forces

 Competitive environment is unattractive from the standpoint of earning good profits when

o Rivalry is vigorous

o Entry barriers are low and entry is likely o Competition from substitutes is strong

o Suppliers and customers have considerable bargaining power 23. Strategic Implications of the Five Competitive Forces

 Competitive environment is ideal from a profit-making standpoint when  Rivalry is moderate

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 Suppliers and customers are in a weak bargaining position

24. Coping With the Five Competitive ForcesObjective is to craft a strategy to

o Insulate firm from competitive pressures

o Initiate actions to produce sustainable competitive advantage

o Allow firm to be the industry’s “mover and shaker” with the “most powerful” strategy that defines the business model for the industry

Question 3: What Forces Are Driving Industry Change and What Impacts Will They Have?

 Industries change because forces are driving industry participants to alter their actionsDriving forces are the major underlying causes of changing industry and competitive

conditions

 Where do driving forces originate? o Outer ring of macroenvironment o Inner ring of macroenvironment 25. Analyzing Driving Forces: Three Key Steps

STEP 1: Identify forces likely to exert greatest influence over next 1 - 3 years o Usually no more than 3 - 4 factors qualify as real drivers of change STEP 2: Assess impact

o Are driving forces acting to cause market demand for product to increase or decrease?

o Are driving forces acting to make competition more or less intense? o Will driving forces lead to higher or lower industry profitability?

STEP 3: Determine what strategy changes are needed to prepare for impacts of driving forces

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26. Question 4: What Market Positions Do Rivals Occupy?

 One technique to reveal different competitive positions of industry rivals is strategic group mapping

 A strategic group is a cluster of firms in an industry with similar competitive approaches and market positions

27. Strategic Group Mapping

 Firms in same strategic group have two or more competitive characteristics in common o Have comparable product line breadth

o Sell in same price/quality range o Emphasize same distribution channels

o Use same product attributes to appeal to similar types of buyers o Use identical technological approaches

o Offer buyers similar services o Cover same geographic areas

28. Procedure for Constructing a Strategic Group Map

STEP 1: Identify competitive characteristics that differentiate firms in an industry from one another

STEP 2: Plot firms on a two-variable map using pairs of these differentiating characteristics

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Example: Strategic Group Map of Selected Automobile Manufacturers

29. Guidelines: Strategic Group Maps

 Variables selected as axes should not be highly correlated

 Variables chosen as axes should expose big differences in how rivals compete  Variables do not have to be either quantitative or continuous

 Drawing sizes of circles proportional to combined sales of firms in each strategic group allows map to reflect relative sizes of each strategic group

 If more than two good competitive variables can be used, several maps can be drawn 30. Interpreting Strategic Group Maps

 The closer strategic groups are on the map, the stronger the cross-group competitive rivalry tends to be

 Not all positions on the map are equally attractive

o Driving forces and competitive pressures often favor some strategic groups and hurt others

o Profit potential of different strategic groups varies due to strengths and weaknesses in each group’s market position

31. Question 5: What Strategic Moves Are Rivals Likely to Make Next?  A firm’s best strategic moves are affected by

o Current strategies of competitors o Future actions of competitors

 Profiling key rivals involves gathering competitive intelligence about o Current strategies

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o Resource strengths and weaknesses

o Efforts being made to improve their situation o Thinking and leadership styles of top executives 32. Competitor Analysis

Sizing up strategies and competitive strengths and weaknesses of rivals involves assessing

o Which rival has the best strategy? Which rivals appear to have weak strategies? o Which firms are poised to gain market share, and which ones seen destined to lose

ground?

o Which rivals are likely to rank among the industry leaders five years from now? Do any up-and-coming rivals have strategies and the resources to overtake the current industry leader?

33. Things to Consider in Predicting Moves of Rivals

 Which rivals need to increase their unit sales and market share? What strategies are rivals most likely to pursue?

 Which rivals have a strong incentive, along with resources, to make major strategic changes?

 Which rivals are good candidates to be acquired? Which rivals have the resources to acquire others?

 Which rivals are likely to enter new geographic markets?

 Which rivals are likely to expand their product offerings and enter new product segments?

34. Question 6: What Are the Key Factors for Competitive Success?

Key Success Factors (KSFs) are competitive factors and attributes that affect every industry member’s ability to be competitively and financially successful

KSFs are those particular attributes that are so important that they spell the difference between

o Profit and loss

o Competitive success or failure  KSFs can relate to

o Specific strategy elements o Product attributes

o Resources o Competencies

o Competitive capabilities o Market achievements

35. Identifying Industry Key Success Factors

 The answers to 3 questions often help pinpoint an industry’s KSFs

o On what basis do customers choose between competing brands of sellers?

o What resources and competitive capabilities does a company need to have to be competitively successful?

o What shortcomings are likely to place a company at a significant competitive disadvantage?

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Table 3.3: Common Types of Industry Key Success Factors

36. Question 7: Does the Outlook for the Industry Offer an Attractive Opportunity?

 Involves assessing whether the industry and competitive environment presents a company with an attractive or unattractive opportunity for earning good profits

 Factors to consider:

o Industry growth potential

o Whether competitive forces are growing stronger/weaker

o Whether driving forces will favorable/unfavorably impact industry profitability o Degree of risk and uncertainty in industry’s future

o Whether the industry confronts severe problems o Firm’s competitive position in industry vis-à-vis rivals

o Firm’s potential to capitalize on industry opportunities or the vulnerabilities of weaker rivals

o Whether a firm has sufficient competitive strength to defend against unattractive industry factors

37. Factors to Consider in Assessing Industry Attractiveness  As a general proposition

o If an industry’s overall profit prospects are above average, the industry environment is basically attractive

o If an industry’s overall profit prospects are below average, the industry environment is basically unattractive

However

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o Conclusions about attractiveness have to be drawn from the perspective of a particular company

38. Factors to Consider in Assessing Industry Attractiveness

An industry is unlikely to be equally attractive or unattractive to all industry members o Industry environments attractive to strong competitors may be unattractive to

weak competitors

 A favorably positioned company may survey an industry environment and see opportunities that weak competitors have little or no ability to capture o Industry environments attractive to insiders may be unattractive to potential

entrants

o Under certain circumstances, a firm uniquely well-situated in an otherwise unattractive industry can still earn good profits by taking sales and market share away from weaker competitors

39. Core Concept: Assessing Industry Attractiveness reasonable, logical and objective.

The degree to which an industry is attractive or unattractive is not the same for all industry participants or potential entrants.

Figure

Figure 3.1: From Thinking Strategically About the Company’s Situation to Choosing a Strategy
Figure 3.2: The Components of a Company’s Macro-environment
Figure 3.4: Weapons for Competing and Factors Affecting Strength of Rivalry
Figure 3.5: Factors Affecting Threat of Entry
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References

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