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Descriptive to Predictive to Prescriptive Analytics: Move Up the Value Chain. Suren Nathan CTO

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(1)

Descriptive to Predictive to

Prescriptive Analytics: Move

Up the Value Chain

Suren Nathan

(2)

What We Do

Deliver cloud based predictive analytics

solutions to the communications industry to

help streamline business operations,

(3)

Our Analytics

(4)

Razorsight Analytics Circa 2009-2010

Descriptive Analytics

Multiple Custom ETLs

RDBMS based solution

Long running batch workloads

Contention, Bottlenecks with increased data volume

(5)

Solution Architecture

Nwk

Events

OSS/BSS 3rdParty Referenc e data DW Source Staging Enterprise DW Staging ETL Profitability Analytics Network Analytics Cost Revenue Adhoc Reporting Dashboard Alerts Mapping Web Portal Subscriber Analytics EDW

ETL Process Centric ETL

Meta Data

(6)

Razorsight Analytics Circa 2011-2013

Expanding Descriptive Analytics

Advent of MPP

ETLs closer to data

High performance, but expensive appliances

Batch workloads, with reduced latencies

Some contention, bottlenecks remain

Unable to handle unstructured data

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(8)

Razorsight Goals 2013-2014

Implement Predictive Analytics

Process Big Data

Design new stack for big data analytics

(9)
(10)

Big Data Analytics Needs

Horizontal scalability

At reduced costs

Ability to process all data structures and formats

Redundancy and availability

Processing and Data in one place

Secure

In memory processing

Large ecosystem of development and analytical tools

Search large volumes of data

(11)
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Secure Repository

Data Health | Cleansing | Pruning | Transformation |Univariate Analysis

Descriptive | Predictive | Bivariate | Multivariate

RESTful | SOA

Dashboards | Adhoc Queries | KPIs | Alerts

Data Ingestion

Data Lake

Data Preparation

Data Analytics

Data Services

Data Visualization

Layer 1

Infrastructure

Layer 2

Data Management

Layer 3

Modeling

Layer 4

Integration

Layer 5

Business Insight and

Actions

Logical Layers

Structured | Unstructured | Batch | Streaming

(13)

Application Stack

(14)

Framework Technology Components

MapR FS (M7)

Scoop

Apache Spark

Hadoop

MapR Cluster

Hardware Infrastructure Level

OS/File System Level System Application Level

NFS

UI/Control Cluster

Oozie

Apache

Drill

Tomcat

Active

MQ

Spring

Integration

HUE

ElasticSearch Cluster

NFS

ElasticSearch

Engine

Angular

REST

(15)
(16)
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(18)

• Who is likely to churn?

WHO?

• When is that churn event likely to occur?

WHEN?

• Why is the customer likely to churn?

• Why are they dissatisfied?

WHY?

• What should I spend to save a customer based on their expected

future value?

WHAT?

• How do I most effectively impact the customer’s satisfaction level and

create a successful retention action?

HOW?

• Where should you contact the customer (e.g., Channel)?

WHERE?

1

2

3

4

5

6

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Retention Economics

Number of Subscribers = 2,000,000

Cost per touch point = $2

(20)

Behavioral Segmentation

Standard Segmentation

Micro Segmentation

Customer Universe

Customer Universe

Standard Segmentation spans

a large swath of the customer base

Micro Segmentation covers a more concise portion of the

customer base

Audience targeted by Marketing Campaign reaches 80%

of the actual target audience Campaign only reaches

(21)

Predictive Analytics Service and Platform

Structured &

Unstructured

Source Data

Automated

Micro Clusters

With Statistical Scores

(22)

Razorsight Data Science

Analytic Data

Processing

Predictive

Analytics

Analytic

Visualization

Interface

Measurement &

Monitoring

Data Health

Assessment &

Data Pruning

Variable

Reduction

Data

Transformation

Bivariate

Analysis

Variable

Selection

Predictive

Insights

Cloud-based

Visualizations

Actionable

Outputs to the

Cloud & Mobile

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Design

Campaign

Options

Design &

Execute Tests

on Targets

Measure &

Design

Production

Campaigns

Execute &

Measure

Production

Campaigns

1

2

3

4

Approach

includes:

• Segmentation

• Primary

research

Generate targeted

campaign tests

based on

segmentation &

primary research

through selected

channels

Measure

campaign tests &

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• Data ingestion, Preparation, Processing

• Storage and Data Governance

ANALYTICS FRAMEWORK

Razorsight Analytics Products

Treatment Optimization

• Proactive Customer Retention

• Targeted Customer Acquisition

SALES & MARKETING

Touchpoint Optimization

• Customer Care & Field Service Optimization

• Predictive Maintenance & Repair Forecasting

OPERATIONS & CARE

EXECUTIVE

Executive Insights

• Key Performance Metrics

(26)

Virgin Mobile Latin America uses Razorsight Predictive Analytics

to support its rapid growth by increasing loyalty and targeting

new customers based on data science

The Business Challenge

■ Virgin Mobile Latin America (VMLA) selected Razorsight in 2014 while launching it’s third MVNO operation in Mexico

■ VMLA wanted to build upon its leadership position in Latin America by proactively addressing customer satisfaction and loyalty via analytics ■ VMLA leverages Razorsight’s predictive analytics platform across all

operations including Chile, Colombia and Mexico

■ The marketing team wanted to proactively target customers (prior to non-use) based on data science driven triggers

■ VMLA’s senior executives wanted a centralized view for gathering and reporting KPIs at both the country and corporate levels to ensure consistency in measurement, reporting and strategy

Razorsight Solutions Deliver

■ Razorsight’s Cloud Analytics platform enable VMLA to improve retention efforts by providing a laser-focused marketing strategy, where at-risk subscribers and optimal new customers are scientifically targeted. This results in:

■ 85x increase in probability or likelihood in a top-up

■ Amplified data usage by 19%

■ 52x more minutes of use per subscriber

(27)

Rapid Path to Value

Cloud-based

Analytics Apps

=

Rapid turn up

Lower Risk

Quick ROI

No Hardware

No Software

No IT Overhead

No Data Silos

No Capex

Integration w/ Operational Systems Data Science &

Mathematical Models

(28)

References

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