COMMENTARIES
623
is associated with 80% survival or better, whereas
the other is associated with a survival rate at least
40% less than the better treatment. For example, if
extracorporeal membrane oxygenation treatment is
associated with 100% survival, as it was in this
trial, conventional treatment is associated with no
better than 60% survival. As the authors say,
“Con-clusions can be drawn from this study only if the
selection criteria really detect a group of patients
with high mortality risk.” By constructing a trial
whose results are analyzed in light of experience external to the trial, the authors, in effect, rely on historical controls, a procedure that can easily mis-lead.
How likely is the assumption that patients with
the entry criteria specified in this trial experience 40% mortality or worse on conventional treatment?
Although this is a question that can only be
an-swered definitively through inspection of results
from nonextracorporeal membrane oxygenation
us-ing nurseries, some of Bartlett et al’s data concern-ing the pool from which trial subjects were selected bears on this question.
In the course of the study, 50 infants weighing
more than 2 kg were admitted with respiratory
failure, defined as a requirement for intubation,
mechanical ventilation, and an FiO2 of 100% for 12
hours or more. Of these infants, 47 had also
expe-rienced the stress of transport. Yet, among the 34
of these infants who did not enter the trial and who
were treated conventionally, and who differed from
the trial infants only in not fulfilling the criteria listed in fig 1, there was not a single death.
The reader with experience of severely ill
neo-nates should look at the fig 1 criteria and determine
for him- or herself whether those criteria would be
sufficient, when superimposed on severe respiratory
failure as defined above, to change mortality from
0% to 40% or worse.
Does the result of the trial itself provide evidence
for the superiority of extracorporeal membrane
ox-ygenation? Had the results of Bartlett et al’s study emerged from a randomized clinical trial, a conven-tional analysis would be to use the Fisher-Irwin
test. This yields a one-tailed probability of .083,
which is not statistically significant. More impor-tantly, the inference from this statistical calcula-tion is only valid if the two treatment groups were
identical in all respects except treatment.
Unfor-tunately, the single infant who did not receive
ex-tracorporeal membrane oxygenation appears to
have been one of the sickest infants in the trial. He
or she had the lowest pH, the highest PC02, the
second lowest PaO2, shared the lowest birth weight
with one other patient, and entered the trial at the
most advanced age.
The data presented by Bartlett et al do not,
therefore, perform the function of a randomized
trial, which is to convince practitioners that
extra-corporeal membrane oxygenation is definitely
su-perior to conventional treatment. Simon3 has
pointed out that, despite a voluminous statistical literature on trials with adaptive treatment
assign-ments, they are little used in practice, mainly
be-cause they are generally unconvincing to clinicians.
In Simon’s words, “Any design that does not
pro-vide for a convincing test of the null hypothesis has little chance of being adopted for general use.”
The history of neonatology4 suggests that where
new treatments are concerned we would be wise to
cling to the null hypothesis until a well-conducted
experiment has convinced us otherwise. In the case
of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation, it
ap-pears that such an experiment has yet to be
per-formed.
NIGEL PANETH, MD, MPH
SYLVAN WALLENSTEIN, PhD G.H. Sergievsky Center
Divisions of Epidemiology and Biostatistics Department of Pediatrics
Columbia University and
New York State Department of Mental Hygiene
New York
REFERENCES
1. Zelen M: Play the winner rule and the controlled clinical
trial.J Am Stat Assoc 1969;64:131-146
2. Wei LI, Durham 5: The randomized play the winner rule in medical trials. J Am Stat Assoc 1978;73:840-843
3. Simon R: Adaptive treatment asalgnment methods and din-ical trials. Biometrics 1977;33:743-749
4. Silverman W: Retrolental Fibroplasia: A Modern Parable. New York, Grune & Stratton, Inc, 1980
Attention
Deficit
Disorder
In the article by Eichlseder (Pediatrics 1985;
76:176-184), a practicing pediatrician in West
Ger-many, reviews 1,000 cases of attention deficit
cbs-order seen in his office practice during a 10-year
period. Such a report is intriguing, not only because of the author’s sincerity and diligence in caring for
PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1985 by the American Academy ofPediatrics.
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624
PEDIATRICS
Vol.76
No. 4 October 1985this
population, but also because his involvementmay serve as a potential model for the kind of
clinical studies that practicing pediatricians
else-where might be encouraged to undertake. However,
if other practicing pediatricians are to emulate
Ei-chlseder, they need to pay careful attention to
methodologic details if their observations are to be
meaningful. The following comments we hope will
serve as a gentle reminder of some of the pitfalls in clinical research in attention deficit disorder.
Definition of the disorder represents one of the
most critical issues in the investigation of neuro-psychiatric disorders in children. Eichlseder began
accumulating his series of patients prior to the
publication of Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of
Mental Disorders (DSM III) criteria and, thus, had
to retrieve his clinical records and determine
whether the children satisfied the inclusion and
exclusion criteria of this widely accepted nosology.
The DSM III criteria are currently undergoing
re-vision, but the current terminology considers the
diagnosis of attention deficit disorder if the child has both inattention and impulsivity. Each of these
symptoms is diagnosed if, on the basis of history
from either the parent or teacher, the child exhibits three of five designated criteria for inattention and three of six for impulsivity. Dr Eichlseder does not
follow this convention but, instead, employs as his
diagnostic criteria: “One or more symptoms
indic-ative of the core features of attention deficit and impulsivity were accepted as sufficient for a diag-nosis.”
This definition is at variance with what profes-sionals in the United States are using to diagnose
attention deficit disorder, and all but makes it
impossible to compare Dr Eichlseder’s study with
others. We would strongly encourage others who
are considering clinical studies of attention deficit disorder in their own patients to employ generally
accepted criteria for diagnosis.
Concomitant with the need for rigorous diagnos-tic criteria for attention deficit disorder is the need
to differentiate conduct disorders (or what the
re-vised DSM III criteria will refer to as “ODD,
Op-positional Defiant Disorder”) from attention deficit disorder. Although the terminology is still in flux, operationally, most clinicians and investigators
have used the prevailing DSM III criteria of
“Con-duct Disorder Socialized,” and “Conduct Disorder
Unsocialized,” each with an “Aggressive” and
“Non-aggressive” component. In discussing his
population, Eichlseder notes that: “The primary
presenting symptoms were attention deficit and the
ensuing academic difficulties and/or conduct
prob-lems arising from the impulsive behavior.” In fact,
current evidence suggests that these should be
dif-ferentiated from attention deficit disorder, rather
than as in Eichlseder’s formulation in which the
disorders are synonymous.
The consequences of such a nonstandardized
ap-proach to diagnosis and differentiation of attention
deficit disorder from conduct disorders can be
ob-served in the prevalence of pharmacotherapy.
Ei-chlseder believes that 95% of those children he
reports should be treated with stimulants (although
for a variety of reasons 87% were, in fact, given
stimulants). Most clinicians and investigators
would find this an extraordinarily high percentage
of children with attention deficit disorder who
re-quire pharmacotherapy.
Assessment of pharmacotherapy represents
an-other major issue that anyone engaged in clinical
studies of children with attention deficit disorder
must address. The clinician investigator is
inter-ested in the child’s performance both in school and
at home, with the term “performance” connoting a
number of different facets of the child’s life. Thus, performance in school represents academic achieve-ment (in reading, mathematics, written language),
classroom behavior, behavior in nonacademic areas
(such as recess and lunchroom), acceptance by
peers, and self-concept. Performance at home rep-resents interaction with parents and siblings, rela-tionships with friends, participation in after-school activities, facility with homework, and willingness to participate in family responsibilities (cleaning
own room, chores). The clinician investigator
de-pends upon the reports of others to assess the
effects of pharmacotherapy, primarily reports from
the child’s parents and his or her various teachers, reports that may include the results of standardized
cognitive and achievement tests. It is customary to
use rating scales, the psychometric properties of
which have been well accepted in the assessment of
“performance.”
A
variety of such instruments are available forboth parents and teachers. They include those
de-veloped by Conners (Conners Parent-Teacher
rat-ing scale), Achenbach (Child Behavior Check List),
and ourselves (Yale Children’s Inventory and
Teacher Behavior Rating Scales). The usual
pro-cedure is for the parents or teacher to complete the rating scale after the child has received medication for a specified period and compare the results with the same rating scale filled out for a previous
base-line period. The use of standardized rating scales
allows comparison with the results of other
inves-tigators, which is an important consideration. The
assessment procedure employed by Dr Eichlseder
is subjective, relatively nonspecific, and does not
provide enough details to allow such comparison
with other studies. It would, thus, be considered
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COMMENTARIES 625 inadequate by current investigational standards.
Another pitfall to be avoided is that of being so
enamored of our own favorite theory or therapy
that we fail to consider other approaches,
exempli-fled
in this context by Eichlseder’s belief in theefficacy of stimulant therapy. Clearly, like the ex-cellent clinician he obviously is, he recognized the
importance of other management techniques and:
“used environmental manipulation, social and
to-ken reinforcement, reward, punishment, extinction, and time out.” Yet, despite this and other evidence
that a variety of management procedures were
em-ployed, Eichlseder attributes his success to
phar-macotherapy, when, in reality, his approach
prob-ably more accurately represents a pediatric
equiv-alent of what Satterfield and Satterfield’ have
termed “multimodality therapy.”
Finally, the clinician investigator should inves-tigate only what is reasonable within the context of
his or her own practice. Such a recommendation
seems self-evident but would preclude a great deal
of time and energy being expended on projects that
can only be accomplished within the framework of
a large multidisciplinary study. For example,
long-term follow-up of children with attention deficit
disorder demands resources beyond what an
mdi-vidual practitioner can devote to studies of this
kind. Studies such as those of Weiss and her
associates2 require personnel to locate and then
contact each subject and contrast with the
well-intentioned but apparently inadequate follow-up
described by Dr Eichlseder.
We believe it is possible for the practicing pedia-trician to engage in the kind of clinical research studies described by Dr Eichlseder. However, if he
or she is to make a significant contribution, the
clinician investigator must incorporate into the
study design the methodology of state-of-the-art clinical research.
REFERENCES
SALLY E. SHAYWITZ, MD BENNETT A. SHAYWITZ, MD Departments of Pediatrics, Neurology,
and the Yale Child Study Center
Yale University School of Medicine New Haven, Connecticut
1. Satterfield JH, Satterfield BT, Cantwell DP: Three-year multimodality treatment study of 100 hyperactive boys. J Pediatr 1981;98:650-655
2. Weiss G, Hechtman L, Milroy T, Penman T: Psychiatric status of hyperactives as adults: A controlled prospective 15-year follow-up of 63 hyperactive children. J Child Psy-chiatry 1985;24:211-220
Vitamin
E-How
Much
Is Too
Much?
For many years a treatment in search of a disease,
vitamin E (a-tocopherol) is now being prescribed
widely and in large doses to small premature
in-fants. The possibility of reducing the incidence of
severe retrolental fibroplasia,’ intraventricular
hemorrhage, and even the mortality of these tiny
babies5 has, quite understandably, excited the
in-terest of those responsible for their care.
Although concern about potential toxicity has
been expressed,6’7 Hittner and co-workers4
recom-mend that infants weighing less than 1,500 g at
birth who require oxygen receive intramuscular
in-jections of a water miscible preparation of
d,l-a-tocopherol on days 1, 2, 4, and 6 of life as well as
oral a-tocopherol in a dosage of 100 mg/kg/d.5
Using this regimen, these workers report that they
have not (or have rarely) encountered plasma
to-copherol levels in excess of 3.5 mg/dL.8’9 This has
not been our experience, however, and if plasma
levels are indeed related to vitamin E toxicity, the widespread use of relatively high doses of vitamin
E (in the absence of rigorous control of plasma
levels) could be hazardous.
Our experience with the use of oral vitamin E
indicates that serum levels are frequently elevated to potentially toxic levels on recommended dosages.
At the James Whitcomb Riley Hospital for
Chil-dren 78 infants weighing less than 1,500 g at birth
received 100 mg/kg/d of Aquasol E (divided into
four doses) from day 1 of life and were followed
with weekly or semiweekly plasma determinations
during a 6-month period. In the 78 infants, 557
plasma vitamin E levels were measured. No
intra-venous vitamin E was administered within seven
days of any vitamin E level. Elevated plasma
con-centrations were very common (Table). Of the 557
levels obtained during vitamin E supplementation, 211 (38%) were greater than 3.5 mg/dL, whereas 72
(13%) exceeded 5.5 mg/dL. Although oral
supple-mentation was discontinued when the level
ex-ceeded 3.5 mg/dL, concentrations often remained
above 3.5 mg/dL for several days or exceeded 3.5
mg/dL again when Aquasol E supplementation was
reinstituted at a reduced dosage of 25 or 50 mg/kg/
d. Because of similar experience at the Hershey
Medical Center, the daily dosage was reduced to 50
mg/kg/d.
To discuss the potential adverse effects of
ele-PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1985 by the American Academy of Pediatrics.
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1985;76;623
Pediatrics
SALLY E. SHAYWITZ and BENNETT A. SHAYWITZ
Attention Deficit Disorder
Services
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Pediatrics
SALLY E. SHAYWITZ and BENNETT A. SHAYWITZ
Attention Deficit Disorder
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