Financial update
May 2010
Rating update
Financial overview
Corporate reorganization
Brisa rated Baa1 by Moody’s
Brisa’s long-term credit rating: from BBB Credit Watch Negative to BBB- with Stable Outlook
Standard & Poor’s Rating Services announced that it has revised Brisa’s long-term credit rating from BBB Credit Watch Negative to BBB- with Stable Outlook
This is the result of the recently revised economic prospects for GDP growth in Portugal and its impact in Brisa’s operational and financial performance
The short-term credit rating was unchanged at A-3 with Stable Outlook
The outlook on the debt ratings is positive, reflecting the rating upside that will result from Brisa´s reorganization
Press release
Brisa standpoint
BBB- does not reflect the credit strength of Brisa
S&P is justifying its decision on a prospective scenario that considers revised economic prospects for Portugal with weakening credit metrics in the future.
S&P is not considering the proven ability and commitment of the company to maintain or even improve those credit metrics
Brisa is being penalized in terms of liquidity assessment:
− S&P is applying more demanding criteria for liquidity risk evaluation without allowing Brisa time to adapt
− the outstanding amount of short-term debt is being negatively highlighted, without giving credit to the fact that access to long term funding has only been delayed because of the Corporate Reorganization process
− S&P gives no credit for either Brisa’s 1-year committed credit facilities or its Treasury shares
Credit metrics
Liquidity
S&P has toughened its guidance for credit metrics
S&P guidance for FFO/Debt FFO/Debt 2009
EBITDA Int.
Coverage 2009
Current S&P rating Brisa (Aug 2008/Downgrade to BBB): “…expect
FFO/Debt to deteriorate in 2008 and 2009 but to recover to about 10% by 2010”
10.5%
3.31 BBB- Stable
Spanish peer
(Update May 2008/A- Neg Out): “…should maintain FFO/debt above 12%. We expect this ratio to improve to about 13% by
2010.”
11.6%
3.30 BBB+ Stable
Italian peer
(Update Sep 2008/A Stable): “We expect the company to achieve a financial profile commensurate with A rating, with FFO/Debt
of about 12%-13% minimum…”
10.7%
3.13 A- Stable
The guidance now disclosed by S&P is: “…we could upgrade the current
ratings if BRISA's FFO-to-debt ratio were to reach and remain above 12%...”
S&P metrics for 2009: Peer comparison
Brisa has reacted to unforeseen adverse macroeconomic conditions by:
Decreasing OPEX
Paring back CAPEX
Making no significant financial investments
Seeking, where appropriate, to reduce the shareholding position in assets (e.g. Douro Litoral)
Increasing level of committed and the amount of undrawn facilities, thus strengthening its liquidity position
Credit metrics are above the thresholds previously made public by S&P as adequate for the BBB rating
Brisa is pursuing the Corporate Reorganization
Brisa reaffirms its commitment to a strong BBB rating
Over time Brisa has expressed to S&P its commitment to maintain a strong BBB credit rating and has performed accordingly:
Conclusion
Rating update
Financial overview
Corporate reorganization
Very low cost of debt (3.5%) … with a 72% fixed rate component!
Corporate Debt / Main Concession
2009 i 2008 i
Brisa 3.50%
Bonds
Securitization
2 577 1 168 239 2 586
1 104 317
4.41%
Other 270 333
EIB 895 837
Cash 72 115
Net debt 2 514 2 462
1Q10 i
3.49%
2 551 1 181 239 297 834
115 2 436
Adequate and diversified funding mix
Weighted Average Cost of Debt (WACD) decreased significantly
Net debt is below YE08 levels
€ millions
Debt structure
Significant decrease of interest rate risk in 2009 Interest rate debt structure
1Q10
Corporate Debt / Main Concession
During 2009, Brisa entered into floating-to-fixed Interest Rate Swaps, with a total notional of €440m, seizing the opportunity to hedge interest rate risk at historically low interest rate levels
YE08
Fixed 46%
Floating 47%
Inflation linked w/ cap 4%
Euribor w/ cap 3%
Fixed 72%
Floating 28%
Liquidity 1Q10
5 relationship banks Total Used Available
Cash and cash equivalents 115
Treasury stock 147
Committed EIB loan 200 150 50
Committed CPs 400 93 307
Uncommitted CPs 600 177 423
Other ST bank lines 335 - 335
EMTN Programme 2 000 1 100 900
5 relationship banks
More than €600m in cash, treasury stock and undrawn committed bank lines
Conservative approach to liquidity
6 relationship banks
Corporate Debt / Main Concession
Strong increase in liquidity position during 2009 and 2010
Fully funded concessions
Other Concessions
Debt structure 1Q10
Fixed 85%
Floating 15%
Debt is non-recourse to Brisa
Consolidated project finance debt decreased with the reduction of the stake in Douro
Concessions Consolidated
Debt WACD Cash
Brisal 525 5.87% €19m
Atlântico (50%) 189 4.02% €29m
NWP 244 5.47% €14m
Project Finance 958 5.50% €62m
Net debt decreased more than 12%
Net debt / EBITDA ratio returned to pre YE07 levels
Consolidated overview
Improvement in consolidated key ratios
1Q09 1Q10 Change
Consolidated Net Debt 3 795 3 332 -12.2%
Main Concession 2 605 2 436 -6.5%
Other Concessions 1 190 896 -24.7%
Gearing 293% 287% -6 p.p.
Debt Average Maturity 6.6 6.1 -0.5yrs
Net Debt / EBITDA 7.7x 7.0x -0.7x
Change in consolidation scope of Douro had a positive
impact in key credit ratios
Rating update
Financial overview
Corporate reorganization
Corporate reorganization
Main financial objectives
Separate holding and developing activities from the Main Concession business
Achieving greater ratings stability – solid investment grade credit ratings will be sought for Brisa Concession on stand-alone basis through the ring fencing from the rest of the group
Favors financial flexibility and dynamic portfolio management approach
Alternative sources of funding through active portfolio management
Greater efficiency and flexibility
Holding
Brisal
506 Atlântico
160 NWP
230 Total
debt 3 332 Brisa
Concession 2 436
Corporate Reorganization Current debt distribution 1Q10
(Million Euro)
Most of project finance non-recourse debt is consolidated by the agencies for rating analysis purposes
Brisa concession cash flow presents a very low risk, given that it is mature and stable
Brisa concession’s debt and cash flow are not ring-fenced
Current structure has become sub-optimal
Corporate reorganization
Holding No debt
Brisa concession
2 436
Brisal
506 Atlântico
160 NWP
230 Bonds + EIB +
Bank Debt
Corporate Reorganization Future debt distribution 1Q10
(Million Euro)
The Hold Co. will continue to be the public traded company
Each asset will be accountable only for its own debt
Debt rating will be assigned directly to the Brisa concession
Increases financial flexibility and allows dynamic portfolio management approach
Brisa concession will be ring-fenced
Corporate reorganization
Concluding remarks
Current portfolio – streamlined
New concessions and recent portfolio adjustments reflect stated policies
Main Concession – generating cash
Generating positive free cash flow
Low capex requirements
Very comfortable liquidity headroom
Low interest rate risk and low cost of debt
New projects – only to be considered after the Reorganization
Low equity needs and fully financed through non-recourse project finance
Continued selectiveness
BBB- does not reflect credit metrics and asset quality
Concluding remarks
Downgrade – impacts
Some of the EIB facilities require a minimum BBB rating. In the current situation Brisa would have to provide bank guarantees for those EIB loans. Brisa will negotiate a waiver with the EIB, to last until the reorganization is completed
No additional impacts in all other credit facilities
Downgrade applies to the current corporate structure
In the future the ring-fenced Brisa concession will be the only rated entity
Other credit rating agencies – impacts
Brisa continues to maintain Baa1 from Moody’s
Reorganization will strengthen Brisa’s financial position
Concluding remarks
Reorganization is well underway
Completed Ongoing
Grantor’s consent
Negotiation with the EIB Creation of Brisa O&M
Ratings assessment Bridge financing
Drafting of Documentation
Due diligence process Completed Ongoing
Grantor’s consent
Negotiation with the EIB Creation of Brisa O&M
Ratings assessment Bridge financing
Drafting of Documentation Due diligence process
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