PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1987 by the American Academy of Pediatrics.
PEDIATRICS Vol. 79 No. 4 April 1987 567
COMMENTARIES
Opinions expressed in these commentaries are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the American Academy of Pediatrics or its Committees.
Pediatrics
and Poverty
Pediatrics is the branch of medicine whose
pri-mary concern is the protection of our nation’s chil-dren. The guiding principle is to set a course of action that will facilitate their growth and
devel-opment. However, despite our best efforts the
well-being of our pediatric population is at risk. We are
witnessing the reemergence of poverty among
chil-dren and its consequences on life’s basic necessities. This transformation is creating a large and growing number of children who are hungry, homeless, and
uninsured. The data and information that follow
are a composite of material generated by federal and state policymakers. It is information not
typi-cally accessed by the medical community. However,
these adverse changes dictate that we familiarize ourselves with the broader issues facing American children and participate in the policy debate.
POVERTY AND CHILDREN
The Congressional Budget Office has recently
calculated that the poverty rate among children is
at its highest level in 18 years, with 14 million
(22%)
of all children now in poverty. Hispanic children (38%) and black children (47%) now findthemselves living in the environment of
impover-ishment.1 Family composition is a major
determi-nant of poverty in childhood. If the population of poor children is examined, 50% reside in households headed by single women. A black and poor child
has a 75% chance ofcoming from this type of family
arrangement.2 In addition, the poverty rate is
sig-nificantly higher for children than either the elderly
(those older than 65 years) or the nonaged adults
(18 to 64 years) in this country. Can it be that
children who represent only 27% of the population now account for 40% of all Americans living in poverty?
Children in poverty is a reality that must be addressed, and its impact is greater than just the
numbers alone. It is reflected in the health and
well-being of our children and the future of our
nation as a whole.
HUNGER AND MALNUTRITION
Hunger in America has once again become a
cause df concern. It may not be as ubiquitous as in
the Great Depression or even as severe as the early
1960s. However, the US Conference of Mayors
re-cently reported that a majority of cities surveyed
identified food as the “emergency service” most in
demand.3 The Physician Task Force on Hunger
from Harvard University recently released a report
entitled, “Hunger in America: The Growing Epi-demic.” The report estimates that the problem of hunger in the United States is now more widespread and serious than in any time in the last 15 years. Malnutrition was estimated to impact on more than half a million American children.4 The sequelae of
hunger and malnutrition are evident by the increase
of iron deficiency anemia, weakness, fatigue, and
growth failure as problems faced by pediatricians
in the care of children from low-income families.
HOMELESSNESS
The population of people without permanent
homes who are living in cars, tents, and on the streets is on the increase once again. The profile is again changing. Unlike the “skid row” individual of the 1950s and 1960s, the homeless today are a
heterogenous group, including not only the
men-tally ill and substance abusers but families, abused
spouses, and runaway children. The US
Depart-ment of Housing and Urban Development recently completed a study of the homeless. Although
criti-cized for its underestimation of the problem, it did
demonstrate that 14% of the homeless were single women and 21% were family members.5 The
di-lemma of increasing homelessness and the
decreas-ing availability of affordable low-income housing
can only impact in a deleterious manner on the
health and development of children.
UNINSUREDNESS
There are now more than 35 million individuals
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568 PEDIATRICS Vol. 79 No. 4 April 1987 in America who lack any form of health care
insur-ance.6 It seems inconsistent that a nation that
spends more than a billion dollars a day on health
care would have so many families that lack
ade-quate access to care. However, the most shocking
statistic is that 1 1 million of the uninsured are
children. Medicaid, the jointly funded federal-state
program designed to secure the financial access to
health care for low-income persons, now serves less
than 50% of those living in or near poverty. In
addition, in 1983, only 10% of all Medicaid
expend-itures actually went to children from families with
dependent children.
The consequences of this interplay of poverty,
hunger, homelessness, and inadequate health care
are reflected in the health of our children. The
Senate Committee on Labor and Human Resources
held hearings in December 1983 and heard
testi-mony from health professionals from various areas
of the country. These experts reported an
increas-ing incidence of low birth weight and preterm in-fants, failure to thrive, and an increase in infant
mortality.7 A recent report from the US
Depart-ment of Health and Human Services on Black and
Minority Health cited concern about the lack of
progress made in reducing infant mortality for
mi-nority children. In 1983, the mortality rate for black
infants was 20.0 deaths per 1,000 live births as
compared to 10.5 for white infants, a twofold
dif-ference between these ethnic groups.8 In addition,
an analysis requested from US Department of
Health and Human Services by the US House
Committee on Energy and Commerce reported
sig-nificant adverse trends in infant deaths, especially
for minorities, in nine states and the District of
Columbia in 1984.#{176}The Children’s Defense Fund,
long an advocate for children, has estimated that
more children die each year of poverty-related
causes than traffic fatalities and suicides combined,
which is twice the rate of death from heart disease
and cancer.
TRANSFORMATION
OF PUBLIC POLICY
The reason for this grim situation is clearly not
due to a single cause. Rather, it is an interaction of
multiple factors. A significant proportion of the
problem is secondary to the severe recession of the
early 1980s. In the wake of a prolonged recovery,
improvement has not come equally to all sectors of
this society. However, we must also implicate the
recent budgetary reductions which we have
wit-nessed during the last 4 to 5 years. Low-income
benefit programs have been reduced substantially
since 1981. Food stamps have been reduced by 13.8%, child nutrition programs reduced by 28%,
Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC)
reduced by 14%, and housing assistance reduced by
11.4%.b0 In addition, the discretionary health
pro-grams that make up a major portion of the Health
Care Safety Net have been reduced by 36%.’ These
programs include the Maternal-Child Health
Serv-ices Block Grant, the Preventive Health Services
Block Grant, the National Health Service Corps,
the Community and Migrant Health Centers, and
the Indian Health Services. They also include the
National Institutes of Health, the Public Health Services, and the Centers for Disease Control.
Budgetary concerns are now driving and dictat-ing the public policy debate. We are faced with a
national debt that exceeds $2 trillion, and the
fast-est growing segment of our national budget is the interest we must pay on this enormous debt. In
response to this escalating debt, the 99th Congress
passed and the President signed the
Gramm-Rud-man Balanced Budget and Emergency Deficit
Con-trol Act of 1985. This law will again attempt to
balance the budget with additional reductions in
domestic programs.
However, in the effort to address our fiscal
diffi-culties, let us not forget that services for children
are relatively inexpensive and have repeatedly been
shown to be cost-effective. A recent report from the
House of Representatives’ Select Committee on
Children Youth and Families described the
cost-effectiveness of eight federal programs serving
chil-dren from low-income families. The programs
in-cluded the special supplemental food program for
women, infants, and children, prenatal care,
Medi-caid, childhood immunization, preschool education,
compensatory education, education of handicapped
children, and youth employment and training.
These programs not only improved the overall
health and development of children but saved sig-nificant future federal expenditures.’2 As an
exam-ple, it has been estimated that $1 invested in
pre-natal care can generate $3 of savings in the reduced
cost of care for low birth weight infants and as
much as $6 in neonatal intensive care unit
expend-itures.
Investment today in our children will have ben-efits for the future. Continued budgetary reductions will only be counterproductive and entail greater costs for future generations. We, as pediatricians, must continue to advocate and demonstrate for the
needs of this nation’s children. We must not allow
the fiscal difficulties of this country to be alleviated
by the continued impoverishment of our children.
CHARLES N. OBERG, MD, MPH
Department of Pediatrics
Hennepin County Medical Center Minneapolis
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PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1987 by the American Academy of Pediatrics.
COMMENTARIES 569
REFERENCES
1. Reducing Poverty Among Children. Washington, DC, Congressional Budget Office, May 1985, p 1
2. Children in Poverty, Committee on Ways and Means, US House of Representatives, No. 46-869 0. Government Print-ing Office, May 1985, p 625
3. Hunger in American Cities: Eight Case Studies. Washington, DC, US Conference of Mayors, June 1983
4. Hunger in America: The Growing Epidemic. Physician Task Force on Hunger in America, Harvard University School of Public Health. Middleton, CT, Wesleyan and University
Press, 1985
5. A Report to the Secretary on Homeless and Emergency Shel-ter. US Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research, No. 35-941. Government Printing Office, 1983
6. Current Population Reports, P-70-83-4, Economic Charac-teristics of Households in the United States: Fourth Quarter 1983, Table E. Washington, DC, US Bureau of the Census,
1985
7. Going Hungry in America. Report to the Committee on Labor and Human Resources, US Senate, Dec 22, 1983
8. Report of the Secretary’s Task Force on Black and Minority Health, US Department of Health and Human Services. Government Printing Office, August 1985, p 171
9. Report from the Department of Health and Human Services on Infant Mortality for the Committee on Energy and Com-merce, US House of Representatives. Government Printing
Office, April 1985
10. End Results: The Impact of Federal Policies Since 1980 on Low Income Americans. Washington, DC, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, September 1984
11. Alternatives for the 1980s, No. 17: Health Care: How to Improve It and Pay For It. Washington, DC, Center for National Policy, April 1985, p 59
12. Opportunities for Success: Cost-Effective Programs for Chil-dren. Staff Report of the House Select Committee on Chil-dren, Youth, and Families. Government Printing Office, Aug
14, 1985
Need
for Large
Sample
Sizes
in Randomized
Trials
Prevention is an area of relevance and concern
to all health professionals, in particular,
pediatri-cians. This concept encompasses primary
preven-tion of disease (such as diphtheria, pertussis, teta-nus, and poliomyelitis) among healthy individuals
as well as secondary prevention or the reduction in
risks of complications, recurrences, or mortality
among those already affected. It is unlikely that a
new measure will have as dramatic an effect as did the poliomyelitis vaccine, a prevention measure, which reduced the incidence of paralytic disease in
the vaccinated group more than 50% compared with
children given placebo. Analogously, virtually none
of the new therapeutic measures of promise is likely
to have as clear-cut an effect as did penicillin, which decreased mortality from pneumococcal pneumonia
approximately sixfold (from about 95% to 15%).
For the vast majority of interventions, the most plausible effects will be small to moderate in size, on the order of a 10% to 30% difference.1
Despite the relatively small size of the likely effects, for common outcomes or diseases such re-ductions in risk of development or recurrence would have a major impact upon the health of the general public. The problem is that such small but clinically worthwhile effects are difficult to detect reliably.2 Simple clinical observation is often useful to gen-erate research questions, but because it is usually based on the experience of a series of cases without
an appropriate comparison group, it is not possible
to test hypotheses with such data. Observational
analytic studies can be used to test hypotheses but
are limited by the fact that the magnitude of their
inherent biases, as well as uncontrolled baseline differences in patient or disease characteristics (confounding), may easily be as large as the postu-lated effect of any agent or procedure. Thus, an
intervention study or clinical trial is the most
pow-erful tool available to detect reliably such small to
moderate effects and can provide the strongest and
most direct evidence to judge whether an associa-tion is one of cause and effect. If, first, the
treat-ments are allocated at random and, second, the
sample size is sufficiently large, a clinical trial can provide a degree of assurance about the validity of findings that is simply not possible with any other
epidemiologic design option.3
With respect to the first of these, randomization
is the preferred method of treatment allocation in
any clinical trial because it has the unique
advan-tage that the study groups that are formed will be,
on average, comparable with respect to all variables
except for the intervention being tested. This is
especially important because baseline characteris-tics that differ between the treatment groups and also affect the risk of developing the outcome would confound the relationship between exposure and
outcome. With randomization, not only will all
recognized confounding variables be equally
distrib-uted but so will all potential confounders that are
unknown or unsuspected by the investigator be-cause of limitations of biologic knowledge at the
time the trial is initiated. The known confounders
could be controlled for in the design or analysis of
studies, whether observational or intervention. In
contrast, the only possible way to achieve control of the influence of unknown confounders is through randomization. The fact that randomization works
“on average” implies that the larger the sample size,
the more successful the randomization process will
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1987;79;567
Pediatrics
CHARLES N. OBERG
Pediatrics and Poverty
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1987;79;567
Pediatrics
CHARLES N. OBERG
Pediatrics and Poverty
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