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Common Alerting Protocol (CAP) Implementation Workshop 29 – 30 September 2020 Mssr. Joel Myhre

Senior Disaster Services Specialist,

Geneva Pacific Disaster Center http://www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC - 2016-2020#CAPWORKSHOP

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PDC - Fostering Resilience and Global Alerting Innovations for 25 years

We use science and

technology to help … executives and disaster managers worldwide make informed decisions to …

reduce disaster risk and prepare for and respond to disasters

#FRONTIERTECH

(3)

www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

Nations

Indonesia

Thailand

Vietnam

Philippines

Bahamas

Peru

El Salvador

Cambodia

Myanmar

Honduras

Nicaragua

Guatemala

Dominican Republic

Australia

China

Ecuador

Brazil

Fiji

Palau

Nepal

Paraguay

Japan

Jamaica

Bangladesh

Haiti

More…

International

United Nations (IAEA, OCHA…)

ASEAN (AHA Centre)

CDEMA

CEPREDENAC

American Red Cross

World Food Programme

Salvation Army

More…

Public

International community

Friends, family, etc.

1.7 million mobile users

We’re working hand-in-hand with partners around the

globe to reduce disaster risk, prevent losses, and protect the lives and livelihoods of millions of people.

A glance at our partners

Who is using our systems?

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www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

PDC has been proud to promote CAP globally via our many national partners in SE Asia, LatAm and the Pacific

MYANMAR INDONESIA

Ph il pi pi ne s Th

ai al nd

Myanmar- Department of Meterology and Hydrology (DMH)

Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)

Indonesia - Yayasan Peta Bencana, BNPB, Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) – InaTews

Thailand

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www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

Building Disaster Monitoring and Early Warning Capacity

Better solutions.

Fewer disasters.

Safer world.

Within the Government of Myanmar by leveraging AHA Centre’s DMRS System

An example

from Myanmar

DMH

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www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

Sit amet consectetur elit. Praesent sodales odio sit amet odio

tristique quis tempus

Increase access to automated hazard information and

infrastructure data

Disseminate timely alerts and warnings to at-risk communities

Product Benefit

s

6

Improve risk assessment, early-warning, and

disaster-management decision making outcomes by enhancing capacity within Myanmar’s disaster

management community.

Project Overview

www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

Goals

Effectively share

information between GoUM agencies and external

agencies

Funding Duration 24 months

Beneficiaries

DMH, DDM, and supporting GoUM and NGO Staff

(84 training participants) Indirect: 53 Million (Population of Myanmar)

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www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

DATA DEVELOPMENT

Mission

Demographic

Population and Housing Census

Myanmar

Population Map

ADB Economic

Hydrological

Surface Water

ADPC/SERVIR Hydrography

Sentinel Flooding

Infrastructure/

Environmental

Airports/Seaports

Dams

Transportation

DDM Shelters &

Warehouses

Mangrove/

Conservation

CAP Development

Automated Hazard Alerting

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www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

Audience

Comfort with uncertainty

Vocabulary

Associations Peer review

Low

Complex

Technical groups

General public

High

Simple

Elected officials

Science community Decision Makers

Building a bridge

#FRONTIERTECH

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www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

PDC’s integrated approach

Improved

decision support capabilities

Informed decision making

Observational and collection

systems GIS and visualization systems

Advanced modeling and risk analysis

Computing and communication technologies

#FRONTIERTECH

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www.pdc.org

© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

Modeling, Analysis, &

Assessments

Infrastructure Remotely sensed

SitReps Social media

Near-real-time alerts Observations and forecasts

Hazard advisories

Historical data

GIS data

Video feeds Satellite imagery

Policymakers and elected officials

Disaster managers

Executives

DECISION MAKERS

DisasterAWARE® data integration, visualization and

mashups

Unparalleled access to data

Statistical exposure

Information and Insight Actionable Risk Intelligence

Making Information Meaningful

#COMMONALERTINGPROTOCOL

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Disaster

Management Headaches

Risk & Spatial Intelligence

• What, where, how bad? (Prepare)

• What to do? (Event horizon)

Logistics & Temporal Intelligence!

• Mobilization! (Response)

• Transparency & tracking! (Recovery)

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Technology Revolutions

Data(fact bits)

Big data (& smart devices) IoT (& nanotech sensors) UAV (drones)

Information (related data)

Social media (collection) Artificial Intel (reasoning) Block-chain

Connectivity (wireless/ mobile) Artificial Intel (V/A) reality

Social media (peer-to-peer)

3-D printing

Artificial Intel (neural nets) Automation

Communication Robotics

Powered by the fast computing & fast Internet ;-)

#FRONTIERTECH

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Disaster Management

What’s Here Already?

Case #1 – Exposure Analytics Addressing “what, where, and

how bad?” before an event occurs, or within seconds of

occurrence.

* This is now possible with development of global exposure database (Big Data),

and the exposure modeling (Expert).

#FRONTIERTECH

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Disaster Management

Close

Possibilities?

Case #2: News Media Analytics Extract reliable data (e.g., killed, injured, etc.) from credible news

coverage.

* This is possible with digital news (Big Data), and Natural Lang

Process (Expert).

© Copyright PDC - 2016-2019

#AI4EARTH

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Data Revolution &

Spatial Awareness

Crowd sourcing

Open Street Mapping, GFDRR, PetaBencana (id)

• Smart devices

• Drones

• Apps Mapping

• Population

• Assets

• Hazard risks

• Resilience

#FRONTIERTECH

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AI is being leveraged across the UN and NGO community

UN Pulse Labs use social media and AI/ML to analyze logistics after

disaster strikes &

UNOCHA’s Humanitarian Data

Exchange visualizes risks of El Nino to nations

© Copyright PDC - 2016-2019

#FRONTIERTECH

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PDC Pulse Lab Jakarta and UN Global Pulse use #AI4EARTH for Disaster Risk Reduction

#FRONTIERTECH

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What, where, &

how bad?

© Copyright PDC - 2016-2019 Severity /

Exposure

Affected population

Capital exposure

Machine’s Description

Early assessment on demand

What used to take a team of analysts and

experts hours/days is now produced instantly

Technology

• Realtime data (IoT &

sensors)

• Big data + exposure analysis

• Asset inventory (IoT)

• AI (expert system) analytics

#FRONTIERTECH

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Social Media and Big Data can be processed using AI algorithms

Facebook Disaster Maps

• Where people are moving from/to

• Where they check in safe

• Where are the power outages

https://research.fb.com/facebook-disaster-maps-methodology/

#FRONTIERTECH

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© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

www.facebook.com/PDCGlobal

@PDC_Global

www.pdc.org

[email protected] PDC Headquarters

1305 N Holopono, Suite 2 Kihei, HI 96753

(808) 891-0525

From 2011, an

S&T example from California …

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Now in 2020, an S&T example from California …

• Chat-bots

• Augmented / Virtual Reality

• AI + Expert Systems to

• Perform Hazard modeling + Exposure analytics

• Match needs

• Track delivery

• Smart devices for delivery

• IoT for tracking &

transparency

This is Beacon. It looks like you may be experiencing flooding in your area.

Yes! Water in the house & rising

Okay! 3 ft. of flooding is expected over the next 6 hrs. We’re working on an evacuation plan for you now. Stand by!

#FRONTIERTECH

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© Copyright PDC 2006-2018

www.facebook.com/PDCGlobal

@PDC_Global

www.pdc.org

[email protected] PDC Headquarters

1305 N Holopono, Suite 2 Kihei, HI 96753

(808) 891-0525

Safer, more

resilient world.

Better solutions.

#FRONTIERTECH

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Mahalo! (Thank You)

Questions?

Mssr. Joel Myhre

Geneva Switz

Pacific Disaster Center

http://www.pdc.org

[email protected]

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