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Financial

Benchmarks

How to be a best-in-class retailer

Presented by:

Anne-Marie Roerink | Principal | 210 Analytics

Panel:

Dennis Lindsay | Chief Financial Officer | Nugget Market, Inc.

Bob Graybill | President and CEO | FMS

(2)

Today’s Agenda

Review key findings

Independent Grocers Financial Study

Collaboration between NGA and FMS

Part I: Top issues for independent grocers

Part II: Financial performance independent grocers

Grocery Retailing Payments Study

Collaboration between NGA and Balance Innovations

Reactor panel of

industry experts

(3)

Independent Grocers

Financial Survey

Part 1

Top issues

(4)

Annual study on

financial performance

among

independent grocers

Overview of business environment

Financial performance

Comparison to the profit leaders

Fielding in March-April

150+ respondents representing

independent grocers of all

sizes and regions

Participate in this year’s study!

(5)

Competition, healthcare and the economy remain

top issues

Retailing concerns

Issue

Competition

Healthcare costs

Economy

Swipe fees

Energy costs

Impact in 2012

7.5

6.5

6.4

5.7

5.5

Issue

Competition

Healthcare costs

Economy

Regulations

Technology $

Expected impact

in 2013-14

8.0

8.0

7.0

7.0

6.8

#1

#2

#3

New

New

(6)

Competitive landscape

Supercenters continue to be largest

competitive threat

Strong regional differences for “third”

South: limited assortment stores

Northeast: drug stores

West: gourmet

Midwest: supercenters

72.3%

of stores in the sample currently

have a Walmart Supercenter in their

market areas

Walmart posted financial results on par with the

rest of the industry in 2012-2013

Continued market and format innovation

Competition

1

• Supercenters

2

• Conventional

supermarkets

3

• Limited

assortment

4

• Gourmet

stores

5

• Other

#1

(7)

Responding to Walmart or another conventional

store entering your market

Competition

2.4%

4.8%

4.8%

7.1%

9.5%

21.4%

23.8%

26.2%

Cleanliness

Better private brands

Better specialty items

Remodels

Community relations

More marketing, promotions and sales

Better customer service

Focus on perishables

Most prevalent strategies when responding to new

competition

(8)

Healthcare has been a top issue, but concern still rising

Average impact score of

6.5

on 10-point scale in 2012

to

8.0

in 2013-2014

Costs range from 0.6% of sales to 2.2%

Average 1.4%

Over 2012, healthcare costs among

independents

increased by 7.6%

Up from 7.0% in 2011

Only 12.5% reported a reduction in expenses

75% noted an increase

Average costs per employee

2010: $5,931 to

2012: $6,218

Healthcare costs

#2

Over 2012

All independents:

+7.6%

Single-store

+5.7%

2-10 Stores:

+8.2%

11-30 Stores:

+9.6%

31+ Stores:

+6.7%

(9)

Among independents who experienced cost increases in 2012:

32%

fully absorbed the cost increases

68%

pass on a portion of the increases to employees

10%

passed along all the increases to employees

Additionally…

12% reduced benefits

6% increased eligibility requirements

64% plan to adjust or have adjusted part-time associate hours

due to the

Affordable Care Act

For 2013, 81.8% expect healthcare cost increases

6.1% anticipate decreases

Average expected increase: 13.6%, up from 7.6% last year

Healthcare costs

(10)

Still awaiting true economic recovery

1.

Lower & middle-income shoppers remain value focused

Continued high usage of coupons, private brands, and other money-saving

strategies

Increasing focus on “spending less by buying less”

2.

Operationally

Increases in theft-related loss

Employee theft: Increased among 24.2% of companies

Shoplifting: Increased among 31.3%

Difficult staffing decisions

75.8% are limiting overtime availability at the store level

37.5% are limiting bonus eligibility and payouts

25.0% are reducing travel and conference attendance budgets

National & local economy

(11)

Macro trends ever-increasing impact on local

market conditions

Return to higher percentage on employee percentage of SS tax

Unemployment

Housing market

Food stamps

Inflation

Government's latest jobs reports still shows a

muddled picture

of the economy

Latest consumer confidence numbers show continued

concern among

lower and middle income

National & local economy

(12)

While some recovery has taken place, it’s been

uneven and slow-going

National and local economy

#3

0.9 3.2 2.3 2.9 -0.7 0.6 -3.7 -8.9 -5.3 -0.3 1.4 4.0 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.4 0.1 2.5 1.3 4.1 2.0 1.7 1.6 0.4 2.5 1.7 4.1 3.2 2007 q1 2008q1 2009q1 2010q1 2011q1 2012q1 2013q1

Real GDP shows improvement, but no true recovery

(13)

Income and unemployment have great influence on grocery

spending

Mix of easing up on spending and continued focus on value

National and local economy

#3

5.5%

5.1%

4.6%

4.6%

5.8%

9.3%

9.6%

8.9%

8.1%

7.2%

20.2%

11.9%

8.7%

10.8%

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Dec 2013 Teenagers African Americans

Hispanics Less than high school

Bureau of Labor Statistics, Unemployment figures, seasonally adjusted

(14)

Participation in food stamps has risen tremendously

Even greater differences regionally

SNAP benefits are being cut by $5 billion

Greatly affecting retailers catering to lower-income households

National and local economy

#3

25,628,000 26,549,000 26,316,000 28,223,000 33,490,000 40,302,000 44,709,000 46,909,000 47,600,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Participation in SNAP program

(Source: USDA)

(15)

CPI food-at-home is very mild compared with the last few

years

National & local economy

#3

-3.00% -2.00% -1.00% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 5.00% 6.00% 7.00% 8.00% J a n -1 0 Feb -1 0 Mar -1 0 A p r-1 0 Ma y -1 0 J u n -1 0 J u l-1 0 A u g -1 0 S e p -1 0 Oc t-1 0 N o v -1 0 D e c -1 0 J a n -1 1 Feb -1 1 Mar -1 1 A p r-1 1 May -1 1 J u n -1 1 J u l-1 1 A u g -1 1 S e p -1 1 O c t-1 1 N o v -1 1 D e c -1 1 J a n -1 2 Feb -1 2 Mar -1 2 A p r-1 2 May -1 2 J u n -1 2 J u l-1 2 A u g -1 2 S e p -1 2 Oc t-1 2 N o v -1 2 D e c -1 2 J a n -1 3 Feb -1 3 Mar -1 3 A p r-1 3 May -1 3 J u n -1 3 J u l-1 3 A u g -1 3 S e p -1 3 Oc t-1 3 N o v -1 3 D e c -1 3

Food-at-home inflation 2010-December 2013

(Source: BLS)

(16)

Great level of concern over

financial impact of healthcare

reform

Swipe fee regulation continues to

rank high

Other political concerns include:

Tax increases

Government gridlock

Too many new laws and regulations

Minimum wage increase

Local, state and national

government regulations

5.0

• Healthcare reform

3.8

• Swipe fee regulation

3.3

• Job creation/unemployment policy

3.2

• Budget deficit and deficit spending

3.2

• Energy policy

1.8

• Repeal “death” tax

1.5

• Immigration reform

(17)
(18)

Independents must

harness the power of technology to remain

competitive, improve efficiency and connect with shoppers

Mobile payment

Apps

E-commerce

Social media

Loyalty programs

Big data

Data security and PCI compliance

Front-end and back-office automation

Hardware upgrades from faster servers to faster Wide Area Networks

(WAN)

But may not have the IT resources and in-house expertise

Investments are considerable and ROI is hard to track

Many companies look at whether technology investments will reduce

costs

Technology investments

(19)

Grocery Retailing Payments

Study

For a free copy, please see Shelley or Balance Innovations Representative

after the session

(20)

Grocery Retailing Payments Study

Designed to understand costs and industry practices

relative to payment processing and automation

Payment types, front-end technology, cash and check

Optimize

payment mechanisms to reduce shrink and inefficiencies

Meet the

next generation

payment processing needs

Establish payment policies and strategies

Company and store level

Methodology

January-March fielding

Cross-section of independents and regional chains

Report: Details by company size, weekly sales volume, weekly

(21)

Sales, transactions and transaction

size

Weekly sales per store

• Average: $305,105

• Ranges from $30,600 to $1,641,000

Weekly transactions per store

• Average: 11,211

• Ranges from 2,147 to 29,477

Average transaction size

• Average: $27.65

• Ranges from $14 to $58

Sales and transactions by checkout

• Weekly store sales by checkout $29,194

• Weekly transactions by checkout 1,241

(22)

Payment types

The usage of various payment types has seen tremendous

change since 2000

As a percentage

of dollar sales

2000

As a percentage

of dollar sales

2013

As a percentage

of transactions

2000

As a percentage

of transactions

2013

Credit

14.6%

11.5%

Debit

15.4%

12.2%

Cash

17.4%

39.0%

Check

50.6%

33.0%

EBT

0.8%

1.3%

WIC checks

0.7%

1.3%

eWIC

N/A

N/A

Proprietary charge

cards

0.0%

0.0%

Other

0.5%

1.7%

(23)

Payment types 13 years later

Credit and debit doubled, checks dropped to less than 10%

and cash remained relatively unchanged

As a

percentage of

dollar sales

2000

As a

percentage of

dollar sales

2013

As a

percentage of

transactions

2000

As a

percentage of

transactions

2013

Credit

14.6%

31.5%

11.5%

25.2%

Debit

15.4%

29.4%

12.2%

23.2%

Cash

17.4%

23.1%

39.0%

38.2%

Check

50.6%

8.4%

33.0%

5.5%

EBT

0.8%

5.1%

1.3%

5.6%

WIC checks

0.7%

0.4%

1.3%

1.0%

eWIC

N/A

0.3%

N/A

0.2%

Proprietary charge

cards

(24)

Payment types also differ by store

High volume versus low (in transactions or sales)

Average transaction sizes

As a percentage of

dollar sales

All

companies

High volume

Stores

(weekly sales)

Low volume

stores

(weekly sales)

Average

transaction

<$20

Average

transaction

>$35

Credit

31.5%

37.1%

26.9%

22.2%

42.1%

Debit

29.4%

28.5%

30.1%

26.4%

29.1%

Cash

23.1%

20.7%

25.1%

34.6%

16.7%

Check

8.4%

5.6%

10.9%

6.7%

4.6%

EBT

5.1%

4.4%

5.8%

8.6%

2.1%

Other

1.6%

2.4%

1.1%

0.5%

3.9%

(25)

Average transaction amount by

payment type

While grocers average $27.65 per transaction, the

average amount varies widely by type

High-volume stores have higher-than-average

amounts in all categories but cash

$16.55

Cash

$63.21

Check

$34.17

Debit

$37.15

Credit

$25.82

EBT

$22.31

WIC

(26)

Debit and credit

Swipe fees have taken much time and focus

Enormous cost to retailers and increasing given growth of

credit/debit

For some companies, fees exceed the net profit on a typical grocery

purchase

No retailers in the survey use incentives for using cash

In addition to swipe fees, retailers pay processing costs, dues

and assessment

Debit

Credit

Processing fees

0.5%

0.9%

Network fees

0.6%

0.8%

Bank fees

0.2%

0.2%

Total

1.3%

1.9%

(27)

Front-end technology

Front-end optimization is key

Customer experience:

Checkout speed and friendliness

key to overall trip experience

Operations:

consumer privacy, data security, theft-related

shrink, etc.

Checkouts

Finding the

right balance

of lane types

Experimentation with mobile checkout using

smartphones or hand-held scanners

66% of stores have self-checkout, average of 4

64% have express lanes, with an average of 2

8

Regular

1

Express

10

Total

1

Self
(28)

Self-checkout

Low-volume stores typically don’t have self-checkout at

all

Industry passionately debates

cost savings versus human

factor

90% of companies do not plan

to make any changes to their

current self-checkout set-up

10% plan to add more

Payment processing practices

Counting

Replenishing

Pick-ups

4.44 4.29 4.42

Used cashier-assisted

lanes

Used self-checkout

Average

Impact of checkout lane on trip

satisfaction

Average satisfaction on a scale 1-5, where 5 is the

highest satisfaction

Graph courtesy of : The Retail Feedback Group

(29)

Self-checkout (cont’d)

Daily, 50%

Multiple

days per

week, 9%

Once a

week, 42%

Frequency of counting the self-checkout

lanes

More than

once a day,

0%

Daily, 64%

Every 2-3

days, 36%

Every 4+

days, 0%

Frequency of replenishing the self-checkout

lanes

More than

once a day,

0%

Daily, 82%

Every 2-3

days, 18%

Every 4+

days, 0%

Frequency of self-checkout lane pick-ups

Type of self-checkout units used by survey

respondents

IBM: 33.3%

UScan: 41.7%

NCR: 25.0%

Note: these numbers are not reflective of market

shares

(30)

Front-end technology choices

Currently

have

Are

considering

Neither have,

nor

considering

POS at service desk

76%

4%

20%

Check cashing

63%

4%

33%

Western Union

56%

4%

40%

Bill payments

48%

8%

44%

Self checkout POS

44%

4%

52%

Coin dispensers

24%

4%

72%

Electronic check conversion

(return check to customer)

24%

24%

52%

Check imaging in back office

16%

16%

68%

Mobile payments in lane

8%

32%

60%

Smart safes

8%

34%

58%

Check imaging in lane (Point of

purchase)

(31)

Coupon handling

Coupon redemption increased 6.1% in 2012

to 3.5 billion

Continuing habits formed during recession and despite decline in distribution

Freestanding inserts account for 88% of coupon distribution

Redemption rate FSIs 0.5% vs. 7.7% for online coupons

Internet print-at-home coupons account for 5% of coupon redemption

Coupon handling:

Digital coupons

Check out the guidelines designed to

promote model practices in digital

couponing and reduce the incidence

of coupon fraud. Available at:

http://bit.ly/X4TUQb

63%

Reconcile

coupons at

the store

60%

Manually count

7%

Scanning

20%

Adding ind.

coupon

amounts

(32)

E-commerce

Online-only grocers

The “giants” are beefing up

food SKUs and adding fresh

Growing number of players in

niche segments, such as

gluten-free or organic

Online presence of

brick-and-mortar grocers

Renewed interest in exploring

online purchases or list

making

Of the 75 largest food retailers

in the U.S. and Canada

20 offer “click and collect”

23 provide grocery delivery

15 have both services

Online

ordering

established,

33%

Planning

online

ordering in

next two

years, 8%

No planned

online

ordering,

59%

E-commerce presence among grocery

retailers

Payment method

Accepted for online grocery orders

Discover

100%

VISA

100%

MasterCard

100%

American Express

89%

Gift cards

67%

Signature debit

33%

Prepaid credit

33%

PayPal

22%

PIN debit

11%

(33)

Cash operations

Number three form of payment

More important for lower-volume stores

Running efficient cash operations can:

Reduce shrink

Improve accuracy

Reduce labor costs

(34)

Example, counting registers

9%

8%

54%

29%

Do cashiers...

Count their drawers before they open

Count their drawers after they sign off for their shift

Count their drawers both before they open and after they

sign off

(35)

Drawer practices

An example of potential savings: counting drawers

At 71% of companies cashiers are involved with counting tills

Among those, 94% has a second layer of checks and balances built in

Bookkeeper

Front-end manager

Most don’t track

the time this takes

Monetizing

Average hourly salary for cashiers: $9.40

$1.09 to $2.19 per drawer

Average hourly salary for front-end managers: $16

$1.86 to $3.73

Times the number of drawers per day

Track/bench

mark the

number of

minutes it

takes to

count the

drawer?

48%

Yes

7 min

Average

6 min

Median

52%

No

(36)

Over-short reporting

60% of grocers have automated

over-short reporting

100% of companies >50 stores

Most distribute these reports to

at least one department

Store operations

Loss prevention

Annual cashier over/shorts

losses

$632 per store

$900 in high-volume stores

If yes, are

they

distributed

to?

Do you

have

automated

over-short

reports?

60%

Yes

53%

Loss

Prevention

13%

Sales audit

33%

Sr.

Management

47%

Internal audit

80%

Store

operations

(37)

Store cash audits

Frequency of store cash

audits

All

companies

Daily

8%

Weekly

20%

Quarterly

28%

Twice a year

4%

Annually

12%

As needed

16%

Never

12%

Scheduled

, 29%

Surprise,

38%

Both, 33%

Nature of store cash audits

(38)

Cash management at the store level

Safe management

Morning,

29%

Night, 4%

Morning

and night,

25%

Three

times a

day, 21%

After every

shift, 21%

Frequency of counting the safe

Maximum

safe

amount

allowed

per store

74%

Have set

maximums

$27,021

Average

$15,000

Median

$38,395 Avg

high volume

$21,335 Avg

low volume

12%

Don't have

policy at all

14%

Differs by

store

(39)

Cash management at the store level

(cont’d)

Reconciliation

Average of 4 bookkeeper hours for daily close,

reconciliation and deposit

Reconciliation of non-integrated POS transactions

52%: manual entry into the store POS

33%: Entered into program that feeds the general ledger

(40)

Checks

While decreasing as a form of payment, still an

opportunity to drive traffic

WIC, payroll checks, Traveler’s checks, etc

Check volume varies greatly by store volume

950 personal checks; 258 WIC and 94 payroll

22% of companies do not process payroll checks at all

+ 72% ACH (personal checks) and 28% WIC, payroll and other

checks

48% handle check collection in house

57% of larger companies (>50 stores)

Returned checks per store, per week: 1-2

Collection percentage: 70%

Returned check fee: $22

40 NGA 2014 — How to be a best-in-class retailer

(41)

Check imaging and encoding

67% of grocers do not

yet image checks

Reduced risk

Improved response time

and accuracy

Back-office imaging

slightly more popular

than in-lane

In-lane does not process

payroll, WIC or money

orders

Added time at checkout

We image the

checks in the

back office:

20%

We image the

checks in lane:

13%

We don't

image checks:

67%

Check

imaging

We encode and

manually

deposit checks:

39%

We don't

encode and

manually

deposit: 61%

Encode

and

manually

deposit

(42)

Independent Grocers

Financial Survey

Part 2

Financial Benchmarks

(43)

Same-store sales growth increased by 1.5%

Down from 2.6% in 2011

Inflation-adjusted growth stood at 0.2%

Improved performance against 2011’s -2.2%

Sales

-1.5% 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1.0% -1.1% 0.20% 1.44% -0.55% All companies Single-store operators Multi-store operators

Inflation-adjusted same-store sales gains

(44)

Sales by department

Dry grocery share

bounces back slightly

Sales leakage to

supercenters, limited

assortment and dollar

stores

Higher-than-average

inflation in fresh

departments, especially

meat

Sales

distribution by

department

All

companies

2010

All

companies

2011

All

Companies

2012

Grocery

42.37%

38.61%

39.67%

Meat

16.56%

18.45%

18.26%

Produce

8.96%

9.87%

9.78%

Dairy

9.70%

10.63%

9.51%

Pharmacy

6.37%

11.40%

8.81%

Deli

6.24%

6.53%

6.90%

Frozen

5.74%

5.57%

5.70%

Beer/wine

N/A

N/A

3.10%

Bakery

2.77%

2.59%

2.79%

HBC

2.38%

3.18%

2.51%

Seafood

2.37%

2.05%

2.19%

GM

1.94%

2.60%

2.16%

Tobacco

2.27%

2.45%

1.94%

Floral

0.82%

0.96%

0.82%

(45)

Expenses

leveled out

in 2012

With the

exception of

the largest cost

component,

labor and

benefits at

13.85%

of sales

Expenses

Interest Repair & maintenance Depreciation Advertising Supplies Utilities Rent/CAM Labor & benefits

Interest Repair &

maintenance Depreciation Advertising Supplies Utilities Rent/CAM

Labor & benefits 2012 0.32% 0.84% 0.90% 1.24% 1.32% 1.48% 1.87% 13.85% 2011 0.22% 0.93% 0.85% 1.25% 1.31% 1.75% 1.93% 13.53% 2010 0.34% 0.73% 0.87% 1.25% 1.26% 1.52% 1.69% 13.96% 2009 0.29% 0.82% 0.98% 1.15% 1.23% 1.68% 1.79% 13.03%

Historical expenses 2008-2012

(46)

Single-store operators have higher-than-average

labor and benefits costs

Store labor and benefits

11.01%

2.59%

13.85%

11.31%

2.71%

14.08%

10.89%

2.52%

13.60%

Labor

Benefits

Labor & Benefits as a

Percentage of Sales

Store labor and benefits 2010-2012

(47)

Total store gross margin virtually flat at 26.48 percent

Multi-store companies are catching up in gross margin performance

Gross margin

20% 21% 22% 23% 24% 25% 26% 27% 28% 29% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Total store gross margin, 2002-2012

Single-store companies Multi-store companies

26.48%

25.86%

26.78%

All companies Single-store companies Multi-store companies

(48)

Net profits showed significant improvement

over the

past few years at 1.65%

Returning to 2008 levels

Up from 1.08% in 2010 and 1.12% in 2011

Single-store operators averaged 1.64% (from 1.29%) and were

outperformed by multi-store operators (1.68%)

Net profits

0.50% 1.00% 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Average net profits before taxes 2006-2012

(49)

Higher volume stores show both higher margins

and higher profits

Results by store sales volume

1.65%

1.46%

1.68%

1.76%

$100,000 or

less

$100,001-$200,000

$200,001-$300,000

$300,001 or

more

Net profit by store volume

24.99%

25.52%

27.27%

26.66%

$100,000 or

less

$100,001-$200,000

$200,001-$300,000

$300,001 or

more

(50)

Profit performance ranges widely with the profit

leaders doubling the average profit

Results by profit leaders

Lowest

profit

reported

-6.06%

| -11.01%

25

th

percentile

0.44%

| -0.02%

Median or

50

th

percentile

1.51%

| 1.12%

75

th

percentile

2.72%

| 2.78%

Profit leaders (Top 25%)

3.44%

| 3.45%

Highest

profit

reported

8.41%

| 9.90%

The pack

1.08%

| 0.60%

(51)

Gap between the profit leaders and the overall industry narrowed as the pack

significantly improved their performance

But, profit leaders continue to have much lower expenses

Total expenses as percentage of sales

All respondents: 25.38%

Pack: 26.36%

The pack fights back

1.68% 1.08% 1.12% 1.65% 4.10% 4.07% 4.67% 4.01% 2009 2010 2011 2012

Net profit all respondents and profit leaders

All respondents Profit leaders
(52)

Independents close in on the publicly-traded

grocery companies

Independents vs. publicly-traded

1.68%

1.08%

1.12%

1.65%

4.10%

4.07%

4.67%

4.01%

1.31%

1.98%

1.81%

1.72%

2009

2010

2011

2012

Net profit all independents, profit leaders and publicly-traded

companies

(53)

Conclusions

Customer preference drives payment choice

Driving the need for the retailer to optimize processing

across payment options

Financial, operational and payments benchmarks

Help identify and quantify areas for more streamlined

operations and cost cutting

Gathering accurate data is the first step in

(54)

Questions and copy of the

presentation or report

Shelley

[email protected]

Bob

[email protected]

Anne-Marie

[email protected]

Participate in the

2014 editions!

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