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Hodrick–Prescott filter

Managing the Uncertainty in the Hodrick Prescott Filter

Managing the Uncertainty in the Hodrick Prescott Filter

... the Hodrick Prescott filter, this alternative has the advantage of symmetric non-negative weights for the estimation of the ...HP filter allows to reduce the uncertainty related with end of ...

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A novel hybrid model based on Hodrick–Prescott filter and support vector regression algorithm for optimizing stock market price prediction

A novel hybrid model based on Hodrick–Prescott filter and support vector regression algorithm for optimizing stock market price prediction

... Predicting stock market price is considered as a challenging task of financial time series analysis, which is of great interest to stock investors, stock traders and applied research- ers. Many machine learning ...

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A three pole filter understanding of the average value of a Fourier series and comparison with Hodrick Prescott filter

A three pole filter understanding of the average value of a Fourier series and comparison with Hodrick Prescott filter

... This paper develops a method of analyzing average value of a complex- valued function that can be represented as a Fourier series satisfying a few realistic restrictions. This method may be useful when Discrete Fourier ...

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Estimation of the Business Cycles   Selected Methodological Problems of the Hodrick Prescott Filter Application

Estimation of the Business Cycles Selected Methodological Problems of the Hodrick Prescott Filter Application

... „mechanical“ filter techniques for the identification of cyclical fluctuation in macroeconomic time ...the Hodrick- Prescott Filter (HP ...

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Investigating potential output using the Hodrick Prescott filter: an application for Malta

Investigating potential output using the Hodrick Prescott filter: an application for Malta

... HP filter on the GDP series of a small open economy gives the impression that the output gap is very ...HP filter yielded a output gap series that ranged between – ...

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The Hodrick Prescott filter with priors: linear restrictions on HP filters

The Hodrick Prescott filter with priors: linear restrictions on HP filters

... HP filter is meant to solve to two important drawbacks of the HP ...HP filter is a single tail approximation to a symmetric two tail filter at both ends of the ...HP filter estimate at both ...

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On adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott Filter for the frequency of observations

On adjusting the Hodrick-Prescott Filter for the frequency of observations

... HP filter should be adjusted for the frequency of observations, and this question is the focus of this ...HP filter is desirable per se or aim at a comparison to some optimal bandpass filter as in ...

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The Explicit Formula for the Hodrick-Prescott Filter in Finite Sample

The Explicit Formula for the Hodrick-Prescott Filter in Finite Sample

... the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter in finite sample without making any assumptions about the statistical properties of the time ...HP filter and to build a fast algorithm with computational ...

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Countercyclical capital buffers and real time credit to GDP gap estimates: A South African perspective

Countercyclical capital buffers and real time credit to GDP gap estimates: A South African perspective

... the Hodrick-Prescott filter in an attempt to ad- dress the end-point problem was found to result in much larger revisions than when the one-sided filter was ...one-sided ...

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Modeling the relationship between GDP and unemployment for Okun’s law specific to Jordan

Modeling the relationship between GDP and unemployment for Okun’s law specific to Jordan

... Arshad 2010 used The gap equation and technique of Hodrick-Prescott filter HP for short run analysis to investigate the presence of Okun’s 1962 relationship in the Swedish economy, where[r] ...

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The computation of the output gap in Polish economy in the light of the secular stagnation scenario (sustainability antithesis)

The computation of the output gap in Polish economy in the light of the secular stagnation scenario (sustainability antithesis)

... Abstract: The research problem was formulated as a question: are demand-supply shocks affecting the opening up of a negative or positive output gap? The hypothesis was formulated: demand- supply shocks have a significant ...

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Empirical evidence on inflation and unemployment in the long run

Empirical evidence on inflation and unemployment in the long run

... the Hodrick-Prescott filter to extract the stochastic long-run trend of the ...the Hodrick-Prescott filter is likely not covariance-stationary for inflation and unemployment, and ...

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Estimation des changements des cours du café et du cacao: Filtre de Kalman, filtre de Hodrick Prescott et modélisation à partir de processus markovien

Estimation des changements des cours du café et du cacao: Filtre de Kalman, filtre de Hodrick Prescott et modélisation à partir de processus markovien

... on Hodrick-Prescott filter, Kalman filter and a Markov Switching Model which, unlike linear models, allows the parameters to vary depending on the economic situation, the transitions between ...

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Nonlinear Trend and Purchasing Power Parity

Nonlinear Trend and Purchasing Power Parity

... - Prescott) filter (see HP series in ...and Prescott, 1981). The HP filter is a linear transformation of the original time series {S(i)} into a smooth time series {G(i)} by minimizing the ...

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Is the NAIRU More Useful in Forecasting Inflation than the Natural Rate of Unemployment?

Is the NAIRU More Useful in Forecasting Inflation than the Natural Rate of Unemployment?

... the Hodrick-Prescott filter would produce one period into the future, I simply run the Hodrick-Prescott filter over the series consisting of the observed unemployment rates up to ...

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Too good to be true : asset pricing implications of pessimism

Too good to be true : asset pricing implications of pessimism

... and Prescott [20], and the more recent anomalies that suggest that asset returns can be predicted using public information, like short-term momentum or positive autocorrelation of asset returns in the short to ...

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Information Constrained Optima with Retrading: An Externality and Its Market Based Solution

Information Constrained Optima with Retrading: An Externality and Its Market Based Solution

... time. Prescott and Townsend (1984a,b) show that the competitive markets work efficiently despite the moral hazard problems, and certain other information problems, if we can prevent agents from retrading in the ...

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Essays on the Western Labor Markets

Essays on the Western Labor Markets

... The economic literature has proposed several potential explanations for the observed cross-country differences in aggregate labor supply. Taxes have been suggested as a major contributor to the differences in labor ...

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The Methods of Selecting and Assessing Potential Consumers Used of by Competitive Intelligence

The Methods of Selecting and Assessing Potential Consumers Used of by Competitive Intelligence

... Dar visai nesenai konkurencinė žvalgyba kaip tokia nebuvo žinoma. Labiau pasaulyje žinomi tokie procesai, kaip „pramoninis ar komercinis šnipinėjimas“. O veiksmai, kuriais bandoma apsiginti nuo minėtų įtakų, komercinių ...

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Prediction of global solar radiation using meteorological parameters on empirical model at mountain Region Jumla, Nepal

Prediction of global solar radiation using meteorological parameters on empirical model at mountain Region Jumla, Nepal

... Prescott model along with multiple linear regression model based on three meteorological parameter (relative sunshine hours, maximum and minimum temperature, minimum relative humidity) were nthly average global ...

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