Observed Change and Projections
Uncertainty in climate change projections
... Similarly, global warming can potentially affect the stability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS, Pollard and DeConto (2009)), with ice volume equivalent to 5m of sea level. Protective ice shelves could shrink or ...
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Observed and Projected Temperature Change
... pathway, annual average temperatures are projected to most likely exceed historical record levels by the middle of the century. However, a large range of temperature increases is projected under both pathways, and under ...
5
Multivariate Spatial Analysis of Climate Change Projections
... GCMs generally have grid boxes on the order of a 100–200 kilometers, and the large computational demands of GCMs make it infeasible to run them at higher resolutions. Unfortunately, many impacts studies require climate ...
15
Long Run Projections for Climate Change Scenarios
... Bank’s World Development Indicators (http://www.worldbank.org). There are, however, a number of problems that arise with the use of exchange rates as conversion factors. Exchange rates reflect the relative purchasing ...
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Identifying uncertainties in Arctic climate change projections
... 1.3 Model parameterization Many important climate processes are not modelled explicitly in current climate models. Such processes occur on a spatial scale (e.g. convection) or timescale (e.g. cloud microphysics) that is ...
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Elusive drought: uncertainty in observed trends and short and long term CMIP5 projections
... Fig. 1. Exposure to drought, land uses and future changes of drought in CMIP5 projections. (a) Physical exposure to drought measured by the number of persons exposed to drought per year over 1980–2001. (b) ...
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Observed Relationships Between Economic And Technical Receipts Revisions In Federal Budget Projections
... and CBO to include them in their updated mid-year budget and receipts projections. 2,3 This problem highlights the general uncertainty at any given time about the ultimate source of the receipts technicals. What ...
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Probabilistic climate change projections using neural networks
... the observed surface warming over the industrial period and estimates of global ocean heat uptake as constraints for the ensemble, this method estimates ranges for climate sensitivity and radiative forcing that ...
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Climate change projections for winter streamflow in Douro river
... the observed decrease in water availability has intensified the situation of water stress in ...climate change, and, as men- tioned before, adapting to the coming water stress conditions will demand ...
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Climate Change Projections and the Associated Potential Impacts for Somalia
... Climate Change (IPCC) has shown that climate change is real and requires sound knowledge of local future climate change ...temperature change scenarios over Lower Jub- ba, ...being ...
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Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change
... the observed variability of Sahel rainfall could be because of errors in (i) the sim- ulation of forced variability ...future projections of the Sahel and, ultimately, to make more accurate predictions, ...
13
Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
... a change in sign (mostly towards drying) compared to the changes from the driving ...of change in temperature ...precipitation change, all RCMs driven by the CCSM change sign (compared to the ...
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Uncertainty in climate change projections of discharge for the Mekong River Basin
... climate change signal into that attributable to temperature and precipitation (by holding temperature con- stant and varying precipitation, and vice versa) ...
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Avian distributions under climate change: towards improved projections
... The latter includes the addition of a broader array of taxa outside the commonly studied ectotherms. Birds are a well-studied group and would appear to be an excellent candidate, in particular to extending mechanistic, ...
9
Intra-seasonal NDVI change projections in semi-arid Africa
... NDVI change as a function of NDVI state and environmental forcing This model seeks reasonable predictions of NDVI values over relatively short time scales (1 to 4 months), based on environmental forcing ...of ...
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Detection and Projections of Climate Change in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
... values observed at the stations ...ues observed in Alto da Boa Vista and in Santa Cruz, in- creasing the confidence in the usefulness of their future ...
9
Comparison of various climate change projections of eastern Australian rainfall
... monthly observed SSTs based on the optimal interpolated SST data- set version 2 ...of observed and modelled SST variance, then the climatological bias was ...rainfall change over Australia and ...
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CiteSeerX — The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Regional Climate Projections fo...
... This phase is often associated with death of the animal, because of extreme reduction in fitness. The observed changes in seasonal energy budgets indicate that Bristol Bay sockeye salmon may be in phase 2 during ...
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Coupling agricultural plant growth and hydrological models for climate change projections
... was observed (Morison, ...40% change in the stomatal resistance of plants (Stöckle, ...the change in rue CO2 under eCO 2, was reported to be ...
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Utility of Tree Rings and Future Climate Change Projections in Reservoir Sizing.
... the observed flow, SST-TR (sel) model outperforms the TR-PCA model in all the sites except sites 7 and 8 and also had higher skill than SST-TR (all) in every site except Site ...
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