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Comparison of data driven methods for downscaling ensemble weather forecasts

Comparison of data driven methods for downscaling ensemble weather forecasts

... numerical weather ensemble forecasts gen- erated by a medium range forecast (MRF) ...the weather forecasts at the local or watershed scale, requires appropriate downscaling tech- ...

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Dissemination of agricultural weather forecasts under weather and climate variability: a case of the smallholder farmers in Moshi rural District, Tanzania

Dissemination of agricultural weather forecasts under weather and climate variability: a case of the smallholder farmers in Moshi rural District, Tanzania

... agricultural weather forecasts among other climate ...these weather forecasts by target end users under changing environment is ...agricultural weather forecasts in Tanzania with ...

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Verification of operational weather forecasts from the POSEIDON system across the Eastern Mediterranean

Verification of operational weather forecasts from the POSEIDON system across the Eastern Mediterranean

... POSEIDON weather forecasting system be- came operational at the Hellenic Centre for Marine Research (HCMR) in October ...72-h forecasts in two different model do- mains, ...previous weather ...

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Value of medium range weather forecasts in the improvement of seasonal hydrologic prediction skill

Value of medium range weather forecasts in the improvement of seasonal hydrologic prediction skill

... range weather forecasts (MRWFs) for the first 14 days of a seasonal forecast pe- ...streamflow forecasts for lead times of up to 2 weeks, using both deterministic and probabilistic ap- proaches ...

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Comparative Skill of Numerical Weather Forecasts in Eastern Amazonia

Comparative Skill of Numerical Weather Forecasts in Eastern Amazonia

... numerical weather forecasts for strategic planning of their activities ...numerical weather forecasting capable of accurate weather predictions, but in Amazonia, the largest tropical forest in ...

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Accessing seasonal weather forecasts and drought prediction information for rural households in Chirumhanzu district, Zimbabwe

Accessing seasonal weather forecasts and drought prediction information for rural households in Chirumhanzu district, Zimbabwe

... about weather forecasts and drought hazard prediction might depend on, among other factors, access to sources of weather information and the interest of individuals to know and learn about local ...

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Deep Comprehension, Generation and Translation of Weather Forecasts (Weathra)

Deep Comprehension, Generation and Translation of Weather Forecasts (Weathra)

... DEEP COMPREHENSION, GENERATION AND TRANSLATION OF WEATHER FORECASTS (WEATHRA) D E E P C O M P R E H E N S I O N , G E N E R A T I O N AND T R A N S L A T I O N O F W E A T H E R F O R E C A S T S ( W[.] ...

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The role of retrospective weather forecasts in developing daily forecasts of nutrient loadings over the southeast US

The role of retrospective weather forecasts in developing daily forecasts of nutrient loadings over the southeast US

... streamflow forecasts in a given season significantly depends on the skill of daily pre- cipitation forecasts over the ...precipitation forecasts and previously observed streamflow as surrogates of ...

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Evaluation of the WRF Weather Forecasts over the Southern Region of Brazil

Evaluation of the WRF Weather Forecasts over the Southern Region of Brazil

... the weather forecasts over the Rio Grande do Sul State in ...The forecasts of the accumulated rainfall model variable, spatially plotted over the model integration domains, have been compared and ...

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Communication of uncertainty in weather forecasts

Communication of uncertainty in weather forecasts

... in weather forecasts and test whether the participants were able to make better decisions using the probabilistic information presented in table or bar graph formats than if they are presented with a ...

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The benefit of high resolution operational weather forecasts for flash flood warning

The benefit of high resolution operational weather forecasts for flash flood warning

... Over the six-month period there are more false alarms (17) than hits (13) and the number of misses (9) is lowest. From Table 4 it is striking that missed events occurred mostly in the winter months. A closer look at the ...

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Encompassing Electricity Market Predictions and Weather Forecasts in Power Plan O&M Strategies

Encompassing Electricity Market Predictions and Weather Forecasts in Power Plan O&M Strategies

... in forecasts and of the non linear and integer nature of the ...the forecasts are characterized by different accuracy for different time horizon ...and weather conditions, we propose to introduce a ...

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Skill prediction of local weather forecasts based on the ECMWF ensemble

Skill prediction of local weather forecasts based on the ECMWF ensemble

... skill forecasts in its original mean- ing in terms of providing a forecast of the second moment of the distribution has been questioned as the forecast prob- lem could be set up completely probabilistically 1 ...

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The Met Office Weather Game: investigating how different methods for presenting probabilistic weather forecasts influence decision-making

The Met Office Weather Game: investigating how different methods for presenting probabilistic weather forecasts influence decision-making

... Experimental economics has been used as one approach to test decision-making ability under uncertainty, by incorporat- ing laboratory-based experiments with financial incentives. Using this approach, Roulston et al. ...

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Impacts of Amazonia biomass burning aerosols assessed from short-range weather forecasts

Impacts of Amazonia biomass burning aerosols assessed from short-range weather forecasts

... The evaluation against observations shows that the model simulations that included aerosols gave a better representa- tion of near-surface air temperature and relative humidity than models without aerosols (mean ...

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Sources of interannual yield variability in JULES-crop and implications for forcing with seasonal weather forecasts

Sources of interannual yield variability in JULES-crop and implications for forcing with seasonal weather forecasts

... Palmer et al. (2004) and Cantelaube and Terres (2005) also found that downscaling seasonal hindcasts improved crop model performance – the r 2 value of simulated biomass for the whole of Europe increased from 0.62 to ...

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Economic analysis of the effect of aviation weather forecasts on fuel expenditures of Qantas Airways Limited

Economic analysis of the effect of aviation weather forecasts on fuel expenditures of Qantas Airways Limited

... T AF fuel policy variable. Similar to Table 1, the upper atmosphere winds forecasts. variable was shown in Table 2 to have had no significant effect on fuel expe[r] ...

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A Case Study: NLG meeting Weather Industry Demand for Quality and Quantity of Textual Weather Forecasts

A Case Study: NLG meeting Weather Industry Demand for Quality and Quantity of Textual Weather Forecasts

... textual weather fore- casts has been the second favorite application for NLG, with 15 entries on Bateman and Zock’s list of NLG application domains (the domain of medicine comes on top with 19 entries) [Bate- man ...

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A comparison of predictors of the error of weather forecasts

A comparison of predictors of the error of weather forecasts

... Figure 1 is a density estimate of absolute forecast errors of the ECMWF control member of 500 hPa geopotential, at a lead time of 96 h, plotted against each of the three predictors described above. The density plot was ...

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Understanding and representing atmospheric convection across scales: Recommendations from the meeting held at Dartington Hall, Devon, UK, 28-30 January 2013

Understanding and representing atmospheric convection across scales: Recommendations from the meeting held at Dartington Hall, Devon, UK, 28-30 January 2013

... for weather and climate will be using atmospheric grid lengths ranging from a few kilometres to around a hundred ...high-resolution weather forecasts and hindcasts will be confronted with ...

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