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Parametric Test for Significant Difference in

In document 1144.pdf (Page 62-67)

4. STATISTICAL METHODS

4.6 Parametric Test for Significant Difference in

Reproduction: Dunnett's Test Procedure

Dunnett's Test Procedure is used to compare the mean number

of young produced in the test sample with the mean number of

young produced in the control sample to determine if the test

sample significantly differs from the control. It is based on

the assumptions that the observations are independent and

normally distributed, and that the variance of the observations

are homogeneous across all concentrations (i.e., both the control

and test samples). Dunnett's Procedure uses a pooled estimate of

the variance which is equal to the error (within mean sum of

squares) value calculated in an analysis of variance (ANOVA).

One way to obtain an estimate of the pooled variance is to

construct an ANOVA table including all sums of squares and mean

sums of squares (Horning and Weber, 1985).

ANOVA is a technique for assessing how several nominal

independent variables affect a continuous dependent variable.

ANOVA is concerned with comparisons involving several population

means (Kleinbaum, Kupper, and Muller, 1988). However,

comparisons are made using estimates of variance. Hence, the

name ANOVA.

This study involves determining the effects of treated

wastewater effluent on the reproduction of Ceriodaohnia. Here,

the dependent (continuous) variable is the number of neonates

produced, and the independent (nominal) variable is the percent

wastewater effluent concentration.

The basic nominal variable is called a factor with different

categories of the factor referred to as levels. There are two

types of factors, fixed and random. A fixed factor is one whose

levels are the only levels of interest, as opposed to a random

factor whose levels may be regarded as a sample from some large

population of levels (Kleinbaum, Kupper, and Muller, 1988). In

this study, percent wastewater effluent concentration is a fixed

factor with two levels:

1. Control sample concentration (0% effluent)

2. Test sample concentration (percent effluent based

on instream waste concentration)

One-way ANOVA deals with the effect of a single factor

(percent wastewater effluent concentration) on a single response

variable (number of neonates produced). When the factor is

fixed, as in this case. One-way ANOVA involves a comparison of

The ANOVA table is constructed by computing the sum of

squares between sample populations (SSB), sum of squares within

sample populations (SSW), and total sum of squares (TSS). The

variability between samples (i.e., control and test sample) is

measured by SSB. It involves components of the general form

"Yi - Y" which is the difference between the "ith" sample

population mean and the overall mean. The variability within

sample populations is measured by SSW and gives no information

regarding variability between sample populations. It includes

components of the general form "Yij - Yi", which is the

difference between the "jth" observation in the "ith" sample

population. The sum of the SSB and SSW is TSS. If SSB is quite

large as compared to SSW, the majority of the total variability

is due to the differences between sample populations rather than

within sample populations.

The following formulae (Kleinbaum, Kupper, and Muller, 1988;

Horning and Weber, 1985) are used to construct an ANOVA table

and, hence, obtain an estimate of the pooled variance:

2 2

Total Sum of Squares (TSS) = summation(Yij ) - G /N

2 2

Between Sum of Squares (SSB) = summation(Ti /ni) - G /N

Within Sum of Squares (SSW) = TSS - SSB

where G = Grand total number of observations (i.e.,

neonates) for all sample populations

N = Grand total number of replicates

ni = Number of replicates in sample population "i"

Ti = Total number of neonates produced in

sample population "i"

Yij = The "jth" observation for sample population "i

The ANOVA table is constructed as follows;

Source df Sum of Squares Mean Square

Between Within K-1 N-K SSB SSW MST = SSB/K-1 MSE = SSW/N-K Total N-1 TSS

where df = degrees of freedom

K = Number of sample populations MST = Between mean square

MSE = Estimate of the pooled variance

Dunnett's test statistic can now be calculated from the

following equation (Horning and Weber, 1985):

0.5

t = DMR/[MSE*(1/n1+1/n2)]

where DMR = Difference in mean reproduction between the

sample populations

Using the data from Table 4.2, OWASA #1 Statistical

Spreadsheet Example Calculations, an example of calculating

Dunnett's test statistic is performed:

2

TSS = 4573 - (317) /24 = 385.96

2 -

SSB = 30976/12 + 19881/12 - (317) /24 = 51.04

SSW = 385.96 - 51.04 = 334.92

Completed ANOVA table for Dunnett's Procedure is shown below:

Source df Sum of Squares Mean Squares

Between 2-1=1 51.04 51.04/1=51.04

Within 24-2=22 334.92 334.92/22=15.22

Total 24-1=23 385.96

The mean number of neonates produced in the control sample

population is 14.67, whereas the mean number of neonates

produced in the 97.69^ effluent test sample population is 11.75.

Therefore, the difference in mean reproduction (DMR) is 2.92.

The Dunnett's test statistic can now be calculated as shown:

0.5

t = 2.92/[15.22*(1/12+1/12)]

t = 1.83

Because the purpose of the Dunnett's Test is only to detect a significant reduction in reproduction from the control, a one¬

sided test is appropriate. In this special case (i.e.,

comparison of a control group with only one sample group), the Dunnett's test is equivalent to the Student T Test. The critical value for the one-sided comparison, with a significance level of

0.01 (99X confidence level), 22 degrees of freedom, and 1 sample

population (excluding the control), is 2.51 (Appendix C, Table

C.4). The difference in reproduction is concluded to be non¬

significant because the calculated Dunnett's test statistic (1.83) is less than the critical value (2.51).

To quantify the sensitivity of the Dunnett's test, the

Minimum Significant Difference in Mean Reproduction (MSDMR) may

be calculated. The formula for the MSDMR (Horning and Weber, 1985) is as follows:

0.5

MSDMR = [CrT3*[MSE(1/n1+1/n2)]

where CrT = Critical test statistic in Table C.4 in Appendix C The absolute value of the difference between the MSDMR and

DMR (Difference in Mean Reproduction), multiplied by 12, will

#

yield either the number of neonates in excess of the minimum

number of neonates required to pass the test or the number of

neonates short of the minimum number of neonates to pass the

test. Continuing along with the example:

0.5

MSD = [2.51]*[15.22*(1/12+1/12)] = 4.00 and

abs[4.00 - 2.92]*12 = 13

Therefore, the reproduction data passed the Dunnett's test by 13

neonates.

In document 1144.pdf (Page 62-67)

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