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In this chapter we have presented a new fitting algorithm (

PHI

) to perform 2D photometric decom- positions of galaxy images from a Bayesian perspective. The algorithm is implemented to run an adaptive MCMC for a prescribed amount of time, diagnose when adaptation is sufficient, and then run a conventional MCMC with an estimated covariance matrix to better explore the parameter space. Convergence diagnostics are also used to ensure a robust estimation of the target posterior probability distribution.

Our approach offers a number of significant advantages for estimating surface brightness profile pa- rameters. Algorithms that use standard downhill optimisation techniques can have five commonly occurring factors which lead to failings in the fitting process: i) Local minima trapping, ii) unreal- istic solutions, iii) reversal of components, iv) indecisiveness to which model to use , and v) bad representation of the final errors.

PHI

addresses each problem as follows:

I.

PHI

incorporates a triple layer approach. The first layer uses a blocked adaptive Metropolis algorithm to obtain an estimate of the scale for each parameter in the chain. The second layer uses an adaptive Metropolis algorithm with the purpose of estimating the target covariance matrix. We assume the proposed distribution can be described as multivariate normal distri- bution. The final level uses this calculated covariance matrix to quickly and effectively explore the parameter space reducing the chances of a local minima trap.

II. We have implemented a number of priors that aim to allow the parameters to stay realistic and physical (i.e. positive in the case of the dimensions and intensities). These priors are better understood as boundary regions similar to the filtering process used in past work to remove non-physical parameter outcomes.

III. To prevent the reversal of components (i.e. the desired inner component profile switching to fit the outer and vice versa) we use a combination of priors. A Newton-Raphson algorithm

2.6. Summary

determines the crossing points in the total light profile and calculates the dominant component in the centre regions. This prior combination specifies that the bulges of galaxies are better modelled by a Sérsic profile and the discs are described by an exponential profile.

IV. Finally,

PHI

gives the full posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters. This is a powerful description of the model uncertainties that can be used in further analysis of galaxy structures.

For future studies a full Bayesian analysis of galaxy morphologies is essential in unlocking the re- maining unanswered questions about galaxy structures. With the addition of

PHI

into the array of 2D photometric decomposition toolbox we hope to improve our understanding of galaxy properties.

3

A Bayesian Approach to 2D Photometric

Decompositions: Applications to synthetic & real

galaxies

3.1

Introduction

In the previous chapter we introduced the new 2D photometric decompositions code,

PHI

. As previ- ously stated, a maximum-likelihood analysis can erroneously imply correlations owing to the com- plexity of the parameter space when dealing with multi-component fits of galaxy images. The me- chanics of the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC; more specifically the Metropolis-Hastings algo- rithm) allows for a more rigorous exploration of this complex parameter space so as to overcome lo- cal minima. However, this has yet to be tested for 2D galaxy images being fit with multi-components using an MCMC algorithm. In order to better quantify the systematic and random uncertainties we have performed two tests: i) tests using synthetic galaxies and ii) using real galaxies.

galaxies

vations as well as to assess biases in the estimated values. With a sample of computer generated galaxies one can gain information about systematic and random uncertainties in photometric de- compositions using various fitting procedures, while learning more about the fitting process as well. Previous studies have also utilised this idea for both single component (Häussler et al. 2007; van der Wel et al. 2012; Newman et al. 2012) and multi-component photometric decompositions (Méndez- Abreu et al. 2008a; Davari et al. 2014; Bruce et al. 2014).

Despite the advantages synthetic galaxies have, they still lack the complexity of real galaxies. Therefore before any scientific analyses can be done, we need to verify that the algorithm can repro- duce and match the parameter estimates given by other codes one the same images. Comparisons of this nature will help reveal differences between the codes as the images and systematics will be the same, and it will also highlight how different systematics will alter the fitting outcomes.

This section describes the use of a synthetic galaxy imager to test the robustness of

PHI

and limitations of the method. The imager simulates observations with higher complexity than has been done before. Section 3.2 outlines the detailed approach of simulating galaxy images; from the cosmological laws used describe the radial surface-brightness profiles, to the use of spectral energy distributions (SEDs) to obtain magnitudes in specific photometric bands as well as the inclusion of realistic CCD noise. Section 3.3 presents the results from fitting the synthetic galaxy sample. We then run

PHI

and a sample of SDSS galaxies. In Section 3.5 we show how we have used posterior predictive checks and Bayesian model comparisons to validate the final outputs. The chapter ends with a summary describing the results.