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The thesis is organised as follows:

Chapter two provides a review of the OR and simulation literature that has con- sidered learning from modelling. This is considered from three perspectives: learning

from model building, learning from model use and relationship between credibility

and learning. This review concludes that learning from models can be thought of

as a process of improving decision makers understanding of a.) the computer model

to changes in attitude about the course of action to take and a deeper understand-

ing about the underlying behaviour of a system that can be transferred elsewhere.

The review also illustrates that although some empirical studies explore learning

from quantitative modelling they are focussed on demonstrating that learning oc-

curs rather than how or where decision makers learn in the process. Moreover, little

learning research has been undertaken in the DES domain.

Chapter three frames the existing OR and simulation literature on learning in terms of Argyris and Sch¨on (1996) concepts of single-loop and double-loop learning.

The chapter links single-loop learning to attitude change and double-loop learning

to both attitude change and transfer of learning. Several simulation examples of

learning under this framework are provided. This is followed by a review of the

attitude change/persuasion and transfer of learning literature from psychology. The

chapter concludes with a discussion of a measurement approach for single-loop and

double-loop learning.

Chapter four details a psychology style laboratory experiment to measure single- loop and double-loop learning. The chapter firstly describes how participants in

the experiment, undergraduate business students, are either involved one of three

experimental conditions: the reuse or building (with high or low experimentation)

of a DES model of a case study A&E department in England. This is followed

by a description of the research hypotheses, the single (attitude) and double-loop

(attitude and transfer) dependent variables and the materials used for measurement.

The chapter ends with a detailed procedure for conducting the experiment.

A descriptive account of single-loop learning in the three experimental condi-

tions, described in chapter four, is presented inchapter five. The aim of this chapter is to familiarise readers with the results by condition without any formal testing of

hypotheses. Conclusions of the analysis serve as a basis for a detailed comparison

Chapter six provides a formal comparison of the single-loop learning results in respect to the research hypotheses. For clarity these are presented as both graphical

and inference tests. The chapter also details the issues in undertaking the analysis

and procedures used to help e.g. bootstrapping. The results are followed by a

discussion focussing on the possible learning mechanisms found in the experiment

inchapter seven.

A descriptive account of double-loop learning in the three experimental condi-

tions is presented in chapter eight. The aim of this chapter is to familiarise readers with the transfer of learning results and correlations with single-loop variables by

condition without any formal testing of hypotheses. Conclusions of the analysis

serve as a basis for a detailed comparison between conditions.

Chapter nine provides a formal comparison of the double-loop learning results in respect to the research hypotheses. For clarity these are presented as both graphical

and inference tests. The results from this chapter are discussed with respect to the

single-loop results (chapters five and six) inchapter ten.

The thesis is concluded with chapter eleven. In addition to a summary of the main findings this chapter provides a discussion of the contribution of the research

to the simulation literature on the value of modelling and model reuse as well as

the limitations. Further work is discussed under three headings: work to address

limitations, work to test the hypotheses generated by the research and work to refine

the experiment. The thesis ends with a brief discussion on how the simulation

community view model building and use and the potential for generic models to

Chapter 2

Simulation and Learning

2.1

Introduction

This chapter provides an overview of the simulation literature, DES or otherwise,

that is relevant for understanding learning that can occur in a modelling inter-

vention. As the aims of the research are to explore decision maker learning given

involvement in model building and model reuse, the chapter tackles these areas

separately.

The chapter starts with a review of the conceptual and empirical literature rel-

evant to model building. This argues that involvement of decision makers in model

building aids transparency of both the computer modeland their own mental mod- els of the problem. The learning outcomes frequently discussed are attitude change

towards action and development of a deep transferable knowledge, although there

is little empirical data available to support these claims.

This is followed by a review of DES and SD literature that explores learning

from a use perspective. In fact, much of the simulation learning research falls into

this category. Furthermore, although many authors are positive about the potential

In order to learn from a simulation model it seems necessary that decision makers

and users feel the model is credible. Thus the third section of this chapter focuses

on simulation study credibility and studies exploring it. Although much has been

written on methods to build credibility in a simulation study little has been done to

measure and test it. Thus a number of other fields that are interested in credibility

are briefly reviewed. The chapter concludes with a summary of the main points

covered in the review.