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(1)

2015 OUTLOOK

RAISED AGAIN

Q2 2015

20 August 2015 1 Copenhagen

(2)

CONTENTS

2 • Overview • Q2 2015 • Outlook 2015 • MGO transition • Channel

• Semi-annual dividends and stock split • Strategy, goals and priorities

• Appendix: EBIT per BU

The statements about the future in this announcement contain an element of risk and uncertainty, both in general and specific terms, and this means that actual developments may diverge considerably from the statements about the future. 2

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Q2 EARNINGS ABOVE EXPECTATIONS

3

Organic revenue growth of 6% in Q2

Operating profit (EBITDA) increased by 37% to DKK 551m

Shipping Division’s earnings increased by higher volumes of freight and

passengers, improved unit revenues and operational efficiency gains

Logistics Division’s earnings in line with expectations

ROIC LTM* increased to 10.3%

(LTM Q1 2015: 9.0%)

EBITDA outlook for 2015 raised to DKK 1.8-1.9bn (DKK 1.65-1.75bn)

Board of Directors propose semi-annual dividends, an interim dividend

of DKK 9 already this year, and a 1:5 stock split

(4)

47 58 373 517 -17 -24 -30 20 70 120 170 220 270 320 370 420 470 520 570 Q2 2014 Q2 2015

DKK m EBITDA before special items, Q2 2015

Non-allocated Shipping Division Logistics Division 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

DKK m DFDS Group - EBITDA before special items

2013 2014 2015

Q2 2015 – EBITDA UP

BY 37% TO DKK 551M

4 4 Margin: 12.2% Margin: 16.1%

Strong impact from operating

leverage in Shipping Division

following growth in revenue and

capacity utilization

Increased results in all shipping

business units – particularly strong

performance in the Passenger and

Channel business units

Logistics’ performance improved in

most areas and a positive impact

from acquisitions…

…but offset by challenging market

conditions in Baltics and N. Ireland

(5)

Q2 2015 IN NUMBERS

5

5

Group organic revenue growth of

6%, adjusted for route closures and

acquisitions

Shipping Division’s revenue up by

8%, adjusted for route closures,

volume growth in excess of 10%

when adjusting for Dover-Calais

Logistics Division’s revenue

increased by new major contract

and acquisitions

P/L associates: Variance of DKK

-29m due to one-off income 2014

ROIC of 10.3% - (8.0%)

DKK m1 Q2 15 Q2 14 Change vs LY Change % REVENUE 3.432 3.306 126 4% EBITDA BEFORE SI 551 403 149 37% margin, % 16,1 12,2 3,9 n.a. P/L associates -5 24 -29 n.a.

Gain/loss asset sales 0 2 -2 n.a.

Depreciations -201 -193 -9 5%

EBIT BEFORE SI 346 237 109 46%

margin, % 10,1 7,2 2,9 n.a.

Special Items -11 -14 3 n.a.

EBIT 335 223 111 50%

Finance -26 -6 -20 n.a.

PTP BEFORE SI 319 231 89 38%

PTP 308 217 91 42%

EMPLOYEES avg., no. 6.471 6.146 325 5%

INVESTED CAPITAL 8.617 8.578 39 0%

ROIC LTM ex. SI, % 10,3 8,0 2,3 n.a.

NIBD 2.219 2.334 -115 -5%

NIBD/EBITDA, times 1,3 1,7 -0,4 n.a.

SOLVENCY, % 49 50 -1,0 n.a.

(6)

EBITDA OUTLOOK 2015 RAISED TO DKK 1.8-1.9BN

6 6

NEW

OUTLOOK 2015

Revenue up by around 3%,

and up by around 5%

adjusted for route closures

and acquisitions,

unchanged

EBITDA of DKK 1.8-1.9bn

(DKK 1.65-1.75bn)

Investments of DKK 650m,

unchanged

Q2 EBITDA above expectations

Volume growth of freight and passengers set

to continue in most areas

Capacity utilisation in shipping increasing in

general - no major new capacity foreseen

Currency changes – GBP up, SEK & NOK down

– are starting to shift some production and

trade patterns in Europe…

…and the Logistics Division is consequently

impacted by balance issues in certain traffic

corridors

Customer focus and continuous improvement

(7)

2015: UPDATE ON MAJOR PERFORMANCE DRIVERS

7

7

Likely

Expected

Uncertain

Macro drivers

• Positive impact from closed routes as expected • Resolution of structural overcapacity in Channel more certainty • Level of competitive pressure no change • Russian market demand • Procurement efficiencies & impact from other projects as expected • Positive impact from Logistics acquisitions as expected • Volume growth, freight and passengers above outlook • Bunker cost savings above outlook • Changes in oil price and exchange rates • Norwegian market demand • ‘Grexit’

(8)

BUNKER Q2 2015

8

• Price spread between MGO

and HFO has dropped to around USD 195 (EUR 175) • Benefits from scrubbers and

savings on passenger routes

• Lower bunker costs passed

on to freight customers through bunker adjustment clauses

• Continued strong focus on fuel consumption reduction across the fleet

8 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 U SD and E U R

Oil prices and spread, Sep 2014 - Aug 2015

0,1% LSMGO, USD 3,5% IFO 380, USD 1% LS380, USD Variance MGOvsHFO, EUR

(9)

-70 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 70 90 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 DKK m Channel, EBIT 2.014 2015

CHANNEL: SITUATION PROGRESSING

9

• MyFerryLink stopped sailings on 29 June

• 7 ferries operated between Dover and Calais end Q2, compared to 10 at beginning of year

• Longterm bareboat charter agreements entered into for

ferries Rodin and Berlioz – Eurotunnel has put option with expiration mid-2017

• Planned delivery for 2 July delayed as ferries are still occupied by former employees of SCOP-SeaFrance • Disruption of Dover-Calais ferry services in July by

industrial actions – partly offset by transfer of one ferry to Dover-Dunkirk. Operations normalised end July

• Subject to certain conditions, DFDS is offering to employ 202 employees to operate a third ferry on Dover-Calais

9

(10)

SEMI-ANNUAL DIVIDENDS AND STOCK SPLIT

10

• Proposals from Board of Directors*:

• Introduction of semi-annual dividends

• Interim dividend of DKK 9 already this year

• Stock split 1:5

• Cancellation of 350,000 shares as part of share

buyback programme

• Faster return of capital, more flexibility and alignment to DFDS’ annual cash flow cycle

• Total distribution of capital now expected to exceed DKK 700m in 2015

• Stock split to enhance liquidity of share

• NIBD/EBITDA at 1.3 times end Q2

• Potential increase of leverage from exercise of put option related to Channel ferries and acquisitions in addition to the investments included in 2015 guidance

10 14 14 18 9 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2013 2014 2015

DKK Dividend paid per share

Interim dividend per share Ordinary dividend per share

*Pending approval by Extraordinary General Meeting 17 Sept, 2015

101 218 300 107 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

DKK m Capital distribution 2015 (expected)

Share buyback, Jan-Apr Ordinary dividend, Mar Share buyback, Apr-Dec Interim dividend, Sep

(11)

STRATEGY, GOALS AND PRIORITIES

11

11

Priorities 2015 -

UNCHANGED

1. Customer focus

2. Efficiency and improvement

projects

3. MGO transition

4. Employee

satisfaction/development

5. Market coverage

Best practice Performance culture

Continuous

improvement Leveraging scale

Customer driven

DFDS’ strategy drivers:

•The DFDS Way: Customer focus and continuous improvement

•Network strength: Expand to leverage operating model

•Integrated shipping and logistics operations: Utilisation of tonnage

•Financial strength and performance: Reliable partner

(12)

ROIC GOAL OF 10% ACHIEVED IN Q2 2015

12 12 4,5 4,4 4,5 4,7 5,8 5,8 7,1 7,9 8,0 9,0 10,3 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 %

(13)

20 August 2015

Q2 2015

(14)

North Sea: 10.1%* higher freight volumes. Growth on all

routes. Positive impact on port terminal earnings • Baltic Sea: 2.4%* higher freight volumes

Passenger: passengers up by 5.9%* and unit revenues

above expectations on both routes

Channel: 4.2% lower freight volumes, 3.9% lower pax

volumes following one-ship operation on Dover-Calais. Cost savings from one-ship operation and higher capacity utilisation on Dover-Dunkirk

France & Med: Higher activity and more efficient

operations

Logistics Division: Lower earnings in Nordic due to Baltic

and start-up costs for new contract. Rebalancing of traffics improved Continent earnings. UK & Ireland improved

earnings offset by lower result for Northern Ireland activities

APPENDIX - EBIT PER BU

14

14 * Adjusted for route closures

214 346 21 19 42 25 16 4 5 200 220 240 260 280 300 320 340 360 DKK m

DFDS Group EBIT development Q2 2015

(adjusted for route closures and one-off income from termination of port customer contract in 2014)

References

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