Development of Oil Combating in the Gulf of Bothnia

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Development of Oil

Combating in the Gulf of

Bothnia

BRISK Final Seminar

Marina Congress Centre, Helsinki

8 December 2011

Jorma Rytkönen

Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) / Marine Pollution Response

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Contents

•

Background

•

Target area

•

Goals of the work

•

Accidents

•

BRISK tool

•

IALA tools

•

Discussion

•

Risk Control….

•

More information

7 Jo rm a Rytkö n e n

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the Baltic Sea “BRISK”

Routeing Proposal for Norra Kvarken

Risks defined by BRISK

RISK assessment made Routeing started 2010 & BRISK

National Risk Assessment & BRISK

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Traffic

analysis

for FSA

based on

AIS-surveillan

ce

Passenger ships Tankers Tugs Other vessel types BOGSKÄR LÅGSKÄR UTBÅDAN SIMPNÄSS-KLUBB SÖDERARM MÄRKET UNDERSTEN

BaSSY - Baltic Sea Safety

Case Sea of Åland FSA

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Bay of Bothnia Oil Combating

Prepareddness (Finland) -

Working Groups:

1. Risk analyses

2. Current Prepareddness and

Resources

3. Areas to be Protected

4. Shore Line Classification

5. Logistics

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●

Assessment on the existing marine

traffic of the area and future prognoses.

●

Transported amounts of oil to ports

●

Accidents in 2005 – 2011

●

Risky fairways

●

Vulnerable areas in relation of oil spills

or transport routes

●

Places of refugees

Goals of the Work

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Collisions in 2010 (left) and 2001-2010

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HELCOM: Report on shipping accidents in the Baltic Sea area during 2010

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Groundings in 2010 (left) and 2001-2010

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HELCOM: Report on shipping accidents in the Baltic Sea area during 2010

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Area in Focus

7 Jo rm a Rytkö n e n Luleå Kalix Billerud Karslborg Piteå Skellefteå Umeå Rundvik Husum Örnsköldsvik

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BRISK-risk analyses

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Scenario Results

All spills

• Existing Ship Traffic

• Existing Response Capacities • Existing Navigational Aid

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Risk evaluation /BRISK

Risk of collisions during winter season (left) and remaining seasons (right), Bothnian Bay:

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1.

Means to determine the

minimum safe channel

width for vessels taking into account aids to

navigation; and the effects of wind and current.

2.

Probability equations

based on vessel track

information and its distribution

3.

Under Keel Clearance

assessment based on

depth of channel, ships draught, speed and squat.

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Safety Assessment) by IALA

●

Steps Build on Each Other

○

Expertise Evaluation

○

Baseline Risk

○

Mitigation Effectiveness

○

Additional Interventions

●

Transparent Calculations

●

Results Traceable to Participant

Input

Participants (up to 30) Expertise Evaluation Baseline Risk Discussion Calculate Risk Scales (as needed) Calculate Baseline Risk Mitigation Effecti veness Discussion Calculate Mitigation Effecti veness Additional Intervention Discussion Select Interventions & Estimate Effecti veness Workshop Report Generated - PAWSA Completed Process Flowchart

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PAWSA - Risk Categories and Factors

Vessel Conditions Traffic Conditions Navigational Conditions Waterway Conditions Immediate Consequences Subsequent Consequences Deep Draft Vessel Quality Volume of Commercial Traffic Winds Visibility Impediments Personnel Injuries Health and Safety Shallow Draft Vessel Quality Volume of Small Craft Traffic Water Movement Dimensions Petroleum Discharge Environmental Commercial Fishing Vessel Quality Traffic Mix Visibility Restrictions Bottom Type Hazardous Material Release Aquatic Resources Small Craft

Quality Congestion Obstructions Configuration Mobility Economic

Waterway Risk Model

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Example PAWSA assessment –

identification of risks

•

ship

•

traffic

•

navigation

•

fairway

•

consequences

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3 Project status: Risk

Risk of collisions during winter season (left) and remaining seasons (right), Bothnian Bay.

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18 7.12.

IBPlott - main

symbols

DirWay Port Icebreakers Ships

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Ice conditions in mild(left) and severe(right) winter

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resources required in national Bay of

Bothnia Project

● Identifying Risks:

○ Check traffic data 2010 (2020); with oil spill probablilities

○ AIS analyses

○ Brainstorms: open water and winter navigation

○ Approaching channels to ports

● Risk analyses

○ SPILLMOD ja SEATRACK WEBB runs

○ Comparison to BRISK results

○ Working groups& public review

● Risk Control Measures

○ Links to other goals

○ Prepareddess & Logistics

7 .1 Jo rm a Rytkö n e n

Example of oil spill trajectory in Kymenlaakso area(source: SÖKÖ manual)

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●

Risk reduction options:

○ Mandatory pilotage – no measurable effect

○ VTS – already exists - no effect

○ TSS – no effect

○ ECDIS – mandatory ECDIS minor effect

○ DB hull at cargo tanks < 5000 BRT - unchanged situation

○ DB hull at bunker tanks – minor effect

○ Escort towing for tankers – no effect

○ Reallocation of response capacities –no effect, but !!

○ Additional response capacities – shallow water response capacity ?

○ Night vision capability – no effect – need to be investigated

○ Recovery from ice – need to be investigated

Preliminary findings for Sub-Region 1

(analysed from BRISK by Sweden and

Finland)

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Brush bucket in full scale operations 7 Jo rm a Rytkö n e n

More Information:

[email protected]