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Provide a credible and realiable and cost-effective estimate of land value as of given point in time

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LOGO

Automatic Land Parcel Valuation to Support

the Land and Buildings Tax Information

System by Developing the Open Source

Software

Automatic Land Parcel Valuation to Support

the Land and Buildings Tax Information

System by Developing the Open Source

Software

Bambang Edhi Leksono, Yuliana

Susilowati,

Andriyan Bayu Suksmono

Graduate Program for Land Administration, Bandung Institute of Technology. Labtek IX-C 3rdfloor, Jl. Ganesha 10,

Bandung, 40132, Indonesia. Tel. +62 22 2530701 Fax. +62 22 2530702 Email. [email protected] [email protected]

AUTOMATIC LAND PARCEL VALUATION

The purpose of Land Valuation:

Provide a credible and realiable and

cost-effective estimate

of land value as of given point in time

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BACKGROUND

Multicolinearity Uncertainty Variable Location Non Linearity

Land Value

Characteristic

Land Value

Characteristic

ANN Method ANN Method MRA Method

Problem Identification &

Conceptual Framework

Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA)

LAND VALUE

METHOD

Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

MRA is one of the most widely used method for land valuation models. MRA is

a statistically based analysis that evaluates linear relationship between a

dependent (response) variable and several independent (predictor variable),

and extracts parameter estimates for independent variables used collectively to

estimate value in a mathematical model.

ANN is Computation method applies approach of pattern recognition to solve problem. ANN

can calibrate models that consist of both linear and nonlinear term

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RESEARCH QUESTION

1

What is the most significant Variabel of the Land Value system?

3

How is the result of MRA method compare with

the ANN Method? 2

What is the most proper model of the Land Value

system?

OBJECTIVES

Objective

The aim of this study is to develop the automatic

land valuation method using spatial analysis

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METHOD

Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA)

LAND VALUE

METHOD

Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

Case Study analysis in using MRA Method

Case Study analysis in using ANN Method

Comparison between of the result of MRA Method and ANN Method

Artificial Neural Network Method

Computational process

Mathematical Model

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Architecture of Artificial Neural Network

Mathematical Model: Hj = f(X) = v1 X-1 + v2 X-2 + v3 X-3 + ... +v23 X-23 + bj Y = g(H) =g( f(X)) = w1 H-1 + w2 H-2 + w3 H3 + ... + w46 H-46 + bk JL. KH A DAHLAN 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 JARAK NI L A I T ANAH

LAND VALUE VARIABLES

Central Business District Higher Education Facility

Health Care Facility

Public School Facility Transportation Facility

Land

Land

Value

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SPATIAL DATA OF LAND VALUE

YEAR 2007

VARIABLES MEASUREMENT

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Characteristic of

Transportation Facility to the Land Value

Scatter Diagram Nilai T anah dan Jarak ke JL. KH A DAHLAN

0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 JARAK NI L A I T ANA H

Characteristic of

Central Business Distric to the Land Value

BANDUNG SUPERMALL 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 JARAK NI L A I T ANAH ALUN-ALUN 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 JARAK NI L A I T ANAH PASAR KOSAMBI 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 JARAK NI L A I T ANAH N n ila i T anah ( R p/m 2 ) N n ila i T a nah ( R p/m 2 ) N n ila i T anah ( R p/m 2 ) Jarak (m) Jarak (m) Jarak (m) JL. KH A DAHLAN 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 JARAK NIL A I T A NAH

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COMPARISON OF

MRA AND ANN METHOD

JL. KH A DAHLAN 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 JARAK N ILA I TA N A H JL. KH A DAHLAN 0 1,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 7,000,000 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 JARAK N ILA I TA N A H Jarak (meter) Jarak (meter) N ila i T ana h ( R p/ m 2) N ila i T ana h ( R p/ m 2)

Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA) Artificial Neural Network (ANN)

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LAND VALUE MODEL

Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA) Method

Contrast Land Value Variation

LAND VALUE MODEL

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Method

Smooth Land Value Variation

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COMAPRISON OF THE RESULT

SPATIAL INTERPOLATION OF

LAND VALUE DATA YEAR 2006

(11)

SPATIAL INTERPOLATION OF LAND VALUE MODEL

Multiple Regression Analysis (MRA) Method

SPATIAL INTERPOLATION OFLAND VALUE MODEL

Artificial Neural Network (ANN) Method

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COMAPRISON OF

THE RESULT

CONCLUSSION

™ Multiple regression analysis (MRA) is the most widely used method for calibrating model. The used of MRA has been the long standing choice for calibration of land value model. MRA is a statistically based analysis that evaluates linear relationship between a dependent (response)

variable and several independent (predictor variable), and extracts parameter estimates for independent variables used collectively to estimate value in a mathematical model.

™ Artificial neural network can calibrate models that consist of both linear and nonlinear term simultaneously.

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CONCLUSSION

™

LINEARITY ASSUMPTION CANNOT BE

SUPPORTED BY THE LAND VALUE VARIABLES

™

THE USE OF NONLINEAR METHOD IS

RECOMMENDED FOR THE LAND VALUE

MODELING

™

The land value modeling using spatial analysis

and artificial neural network is a promising

method for the automatic land valuation

activities.

References

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