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Cloud Computing The Evolution of IT

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(1)

Cloud Computing

The Evolution of IT

17 March 2010

(2)

Agenda

Market Overview

What Is the State of Cloud Computing Today

Competitive Highlights

Vendor Comparison and SWOT Analysis

Future Outlook

(3)

Cloud Services

Definition

Consumer and business products, services, and solutions

delivered and consumed in real-time over the Internet

Cloud Services

Public -

open to a largely unrestricted universe of potential users; designed for a market, not a single enterprise

Private

- designed for, and access restricted to, a single enterprise (or

extended enterprise); an internal shared resource, not a commercial offering; IT Org is the “vendor” of the shared/std service to its users

Deployment

Models

[Note: large gray zones between these two broad categories]

Shared, standard service – built for a market (public), not a single customer

Solution-packaged

– a “turnkey” offering, integrates required resources

Self-service – admin, provisioning; may require some “on-boarding” support

Elastic scaling – dynamic and fine-grained

Use-based pricing

– supported by service metering

Accessible via the Internet/IP – ubiquitous (authorized) network access

Standard UI technologies

– browsers, RIA clients and underlying technologies

Published service interface/API

– e.g., web services APIs

Key

(4)

Three Core Principals of Cloud

Computing

Abstraction

CAPEX  OPEX

(5)
(6)

How Cloud Layers Map to Use Cases

Cloud

Applications

(Apps-as-a-Service)

Cloud

(Application)

Platforms

(Platform-as-a-Service)

Cloud

Infrastructure

(Infrastructure-as-a-Service)

Application Development Software Application Server Middleware Data Access, Analysis, and Delivery Information & Data Management

Integration & Process Automation Middleware Other Application Dev and Deployment

Quality & Life-Cycle Tools Enterprise Portals

Servers Storage Networks Clients

System and Network Management Software Security Software

Storage Software System Software

Collaborative Applications Content Applications

Enterprise Resource Management Applications Supply Chain Management Applications

Operations and Manufacturing Applications Engineering Applications

Customer Relationship Management Applications

(7)

Cloud Architecture

H

y

b

r

i

d

• Enterprise’s cloud services

portfolio includes both private

and public cloud services

• Some specific services are

delivered through a

combination of public and

private models (e.g., private

cloud “bursting to” a public

cloud service)

Public

• Designed for a

market, not a single

enterprise

• Open to a largely

unrestricted universe

of potential users

Private

• Designed for, and access

restricted to, a single

enterprise (or extended

enterprise)

• An internal shared

resource, not a commercial

offering

(8)

Cloud Services as a

% of IT

Worldwide IT Spending by Consumption Model

IT Cloud Services On-Premise IT

5%

10%

CAGR 26% 4% 44 17 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2009 2013 W orldw ide IT Spending ($ billion) 359 416

(9)

IT Cloud Services Forecast

Update

Applications

49%

App

Dev/Deploy

10%

Storage

9%

Servers

12%

Infra-structure

Software

20%

Applications

38%

App

Dev/Deploy

13%

Storage

14%

Servers

15%

Infra-structure

Software

20%

Worldwide IT Cloud Services Revenue* by Product/Service Type

* Includes revenue from delivery of Applications, Application Development & Deployment Software, Systems Infrastructure Software, Server capacity and Disk Storage capacity via the Cloud Services model; AD&D excludes online B2B messaging

providers/exchanges

2009

$17.4 billion

2013

$44.2 billion

(10)

Cloud Services

Growth

Impact

460.4 433.1 430 435 440 445 450 455 460 465 470 475 480 485

2012

2013

W orldw ide IT Spending ($ billion)

Net new IT growth = $27.3 billion

IT Cloud

IT Cloud Services growth Traditional IT product growth

27%

73%

Source: IDC, September 2009

(11)

Today an Optimally Run DC Beats

Cloud Costs in the Long Run, but…..

£0.00 £5,000,000.00 £10,000,000.00 £15,000,000.00 £20,000,000.00 £25,000,000.00 £30,000,000.00 Start up cost Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Data Centre Cloud

In H2 2009, IDC analyzed the costs of running 100% of a typical

large businesses IT infrastructure in a DC versus the cloud:

After year 3,

cloud costs

exceeded the

DC

Final Score

DC: £15M

Cloud: £26M

Even with 3 year

(12)

Poorly Run DCs Can Very Quickly

Dwarf Cloud Costs

£0.00 £5,000,000.00 £10,000,000.00 £15,000,000.00 £20,000,000.00 £25,000,000.00 £30,000,000.00 £35,000,000.00 £40,000,000.00 £45,000,000.00 £50,000,000.00 Start up cost Year 2 Year 4 Year 6 Year 8 Year 10 Data Centre Cloud

Most businesses’ DCs are a far cry from completely optimized.

A worst case scenario of the analysis shows a different picture:

DC reaches space

capacity in year 3.

50% refresh to

high-end servers required

Year 6 requires build

out for new facility +

expensive refresh due

to limited space

Cloud costs are

(13)

Summary: The State of Cloud Services

Today

Cloud services will be a key strategic technology that stands to

rapidly grow in importance over the next 3 years. Most

important points for planning include:

Today Cloud Applications (SaaS) remains the most mature

technology, but Cloud Infrastructure and Platforms will develop

rapidly

The price of cloud services will decline further as more vendors

launch offerings, and competition increases

(14)

Agenda

Market Overview

What Is the State of Cloud Computing Today

Competitive Highlights

Vendor Comparison and SWOT Analysis

Future Outlook

(15)

Cloud Landscape

Vendor Strategies & Backgrounds

Traditional IT Cloud IT Infrastructure Platform Software IaaS PaaS SaaS Cloud

Business Google Amazon

SalesForce.com IBM Microsoft VMware Azure vCloud App Engine Google Apps EC2 Force.com Computing On

(16)

IBM Compute On Demand Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

Compute on Demand

Infrastructure as a Service

2002

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Very strong global reach, and support for a wide range of platforms

Long experience and large degree of investment into service by IBM

Standards-based approach, but not agreed to by some key vendors

Offering made for large enterprises and government

Flexible variable cost model, with options for hourly, weekly, and annual rates

Wide range of security and management tools within the offering

IBM focus broadening to “Dynamic Infrastructure” offerings

(17)

Amazon Web Services Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

Amazon Web Services

Infrastructure as a Service

2006

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Utilizes Amazon’s IT infrastructure – 15 years of development and hundreds of millions invested

 Highly flexible, supports wide range of

programming models, OS’ and DBs

Persistent storage costs extra – must use Amazon EB3 or S3

 Support seems expensive versus alternatives

ranging from $100 USD to $400 USD per month

Great for applications that require heavy processing for short duration delivering big savings

 Continued build out of platform enabling

greater capabilities and easier usage

GoGrid, Google App Engine, and IBM offer competing services

 Amazon lacks customer relationship with

(18)

Rackspace CloudServers Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

Cloud Servers

Infrastructure as a Service

March 2006

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Allows combination of cloud and dedicated servers

Standards-based approach to API based on DMTF

Currently only available in US

Currently only supports Linux instances (Windows instances in beta)

Global expansion leveraging Rackspace’s DCs in UK and Asia

One of the most open and flexible APIs

Limited tools means lots of manual monitoring and optimization

(19)

GoGrid Cloud Hosting Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

Cloud Hosting

Infrastructure as a Service

April 2008

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Very high performance specs versus other platforms

Free support, and management tools

Majority of operation US-centric – not yet a global player

No dynamic scaling for workloads

Flexibility: allows pure cloud hosting and hybrid hosting

API supports Java, Python, PHP, and Ruby

Smaller vendor, means potentially uncertain future

(20)

Windows Azure Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

Windows Azure

Platform as a Service

Beta since July 2009 – launch Feb 2010

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Built to allow applications to run in cloud, or partly on premise and partly in cloud

Uses Visual Studio SDK. Extensive automation features built in

Limited support for non Microsoft OS’, programming languages, and DBs Current cost model problematic if only running small applications

Easy leap for businesses standardized on Microsoft

Automation features for load balancing, VM management, mean lower barrier for entry

Main competition at the moment coming from Amazon and Google

(21)

Force.com Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

Force.com

Platform as a Service

September 2007

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Developers can build on existing salesforce.com data objects, security models, user interfaces, etc.

Over 130,000 custom apps deployed

Less control over platform versus alternatives

No on-premise option – can only run in salesforce.com hosted environment

Integration with 800+ salesforce.com apps ISV partnerships with BMC, and CA allows more routes to market

Upper limit on growth??? Platform versus salesforce.com’s core business

(22)

Google App Engine Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

Google App Engine

Platform as a Service

Beta since April 2008

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Free to start: 500 MB storage, and 5 million page views per month

Automatic scaling and management. No VM tailoring required, just write your app

Python is main development language. Java is supported but not all classes No support for relational DB; must use Google Bigtables

Extremely low barrier for entry, ideal for pilots and testing

Still in Beta – expect development of new features

Strong lock in potential. Powerful but non standard APIs

(23)

VMware vCloud Overview

Product Name

Year of

Launch

Cloud Service

Type

vCloud

Platform as a Service

August 2009

Strengths

Weaknesses

Opportunities

Threats

Extension of VMware DC technology, potentially very good fit for VMware customers

Growing eco-system of partners

Still in very early stages of building out partner offerings

Some aspects of the technology still under development

Good fit for businesses wishing to develop hybrid cloud architecture

Compelling argument for portability given that eco-system of providers will all use same underlying platform and standards

Support for hypervisors outside of VMware at the moment is limited (and could remain so)

(24)

Agenda

Market Overview

What Is the State of Cloud Computing Today

Competitive Highlights

Vendor Comparison and SWOT Analysis

Future Outlook

(25)

Comparing the Two Key Aspects of Current

Cloud Offerings

Automation

Adaptability

STRENGTH

Lower Cost: Easier

migration &

management

Capable of running almost

any type of system,

regardless of development

platform or infrastructure

WEAKNESS

Inflexibility in

development and

infrastructure

environment

Significant effort required to

migrate, optimize and

manage system within cloud

environments

(26)

Cloud User Surveys -

Challenges

Q: Rate the

challenges/issues

of the 'cloud'/on-demand model

Source: IDC Enterprise Panel, 3Q09, n = 263, September 2009 (Scale: 1 = Not at all concerned 5 = Very concerned)

76.0% 76.8% 79.8% 80.2% 81.0% 82.9% 83.3% 87.5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%

Not enough ability to customize Hard to integrate with in-house IT Bringing back in-house may be difficult Lack of interoperability standards On-demand paym’t model may cost more Performance Availability

(27)

The Inhibitors Businesses Recognize

for Cloud Adoption

Security

Encryption and security protocols

Ensuring secure multi-tenant access to data

Resilience against virus attack

Availability

How do we measure availability in the cloud? What does up time

actually mean and how do we measure it?

Availability versus usability

– the users suppliers perspective versus

the users perspective

Bandwidth

Ensuring accessibility across the country / region / globe

(28)

The Real Problems on the Horizon That Will

Make or Break Cloud Services

Standards

Common standards on development, deployment, and

migration/transition

Ability for businesses to move a system from one cloud to

another – no lock In

Differentiation

Different providers with different value propositions – big vendors,

telcos, hosting providers….

Specialization and the emergence of best-of-breed providers in

specific areas

Competition

Price competition and eco system competition

(29)

The Fragmentation of Cloud Services

Multi Purpose

Clouds

High

Security

Cloud

High

Availability

Cloud

Test &

Dev

Cloud

HPC

Cloud

Comms

Cloud

Low Cost

Cloud

(30)

What Will the Future Look Like?

Assuming the vendors take the natural path towards open

standards and then are required to differentiate, businesses

should expect the following:

The costs of cloud services will drop even further as economies

of scale ramp up

No clear cut dominant winner. The era of cloud computing will

embody a more fractured landscape of technology providers

(31)

Contact

Thank You

Matthew McCormack

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