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NULL DISTRIBUTION OF MULTIPLE CORRELATION COEFFICIENT

UNDER MIXTURE NORMAL MODEL

HYDAR ALI and DAYA K. NAGAR

Received 14 April 2001

The multiple correlation coefficient is used in a large variety of statistical tests and regres-sion problems. In this article, we derive the null distribution of the square of the sample multiple correlation coefficient,R2, when a sample is drawn from a mixture of two multi-variate Gaussian populations. The moments of 1−R2and inverse Mellin transform have been used to derive the density ofR2.

2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 62H10, 62H15.

1. Introduction. Suppose thatx(p×1),µ(p×1), andΣ(p×p) >0 are partitioned as x=x1

x(2)

,µ1

µ(2)

, andΣ11σ21

σ21Σ22

, wherex(2)=(x

2, . . . , xp)andµ(2)=(µ2, . . . , µp) are(p−11 andΣ22is(p−1)×(p−1), so that Var(x1)=σ11, Cov(x(2))=Σ22, and σ12 is the (p−11 vector of covariances betweenx1 andx2, . . . , xp. The multiple correlation coefficient betweenx1andx(2), denoted by ¯R1·2···p, is defined as

¯ R1·2···p=

σ

21Σ221σ21 σ11

1/2

. (1.1)

LetAbe the sample sum of squares and products matrix formed fromN indepen-dent observations onx. PartitionAasA=a11 a21

a21 A22

, whereA22is(p−1)×(p−1). The sample multiple correlation coefficient betweenx1andx(2)is defined by

R=

a

21A−221a21 a11

1/2

. (1.2)

It is well known that, when the underlying population is normal, the random matrixA has Wishart distribution withn=N−1 degrees of freedom and parameter matrixΣ. Further, ¯R1·2···p=0 if and only ifx1is independent ofx(2)=(x2, . . . , xp). Furthermore, when the population multiple correlation coefficient ¯R1·2···pis zero, the distribution ofR2is beta with parameters(1/2)(p1)and(1/2)(Np).

In practice, it is often the case that the random variables are not normally dis-tributed. When such is the case, how would the departure from the normality affect the conventional inference procedure? Specifically, one may wonder what would be the sampling distributions of some commonly used statistics? For providing some answers to the above questions, Srivastava and Awan [9] and Tan [11] derived the distribution of the sample sum of squares and products matrix when sampling from a mixture of two multivariate normal distributions. The normal mixture is defined as follows:

f (x)=Npµ1,Σ;x

+(1−)Npµ2,Σ;x

(2)

where

Np(µ,Σ;x)

=(2π )−(1/2)pdet(Σ)−1/2exp

1 2(xµ)

Σ1( xµ)

, xRp,µRp,Σ>0, (1.4)

and 1 is known as the degree of contamination. This model is very common in medical, biological, and agricultural experiments (Titterington et al. [12]). For results on the distribution theory and robustness studies of certain test statistics when sam-pling from a mixture normal model, see Srivastava [8], Srivastava and Awan [9,10], Kabe and Gupta [5], Amey and Gupta [2], and Nagar and Castañeda [7].

Srivastava [8], using certain transformations, derived the null distribution of multi-ple correlation coefficient when sampling from a mixture of two multivariate normal distributions (see also Gupta and Kabe [3]). Amey [1] integrated the joint density of a11,a21, andA22suitably to derive the density ofR2and studied its robustness.

In this article, we derive the null distribution ofR2when sampling from a mixture of two multivariate normal distributions. First, we derive thehth null moment of 1−R2. Then, by using the inverse Mellin transform, the density of 1−R2is obtained from which the density ofR2is deduced.

Note thatR2is a function of the elements of sample sum of squares and products matrixA. Therefore, in our derivation, we use the distribution of Awhen sampling from the above model. Srivastava and Awan [9] and Tan [11] have shown that the density ofA, when sampling from (1.3), is a binomial sum of linear noncentral Wishart densities:

f (A)= N

γ=0

N γ

γ(1−)N−γWpn,Σ, c2γΣ1νν;A

, (1.5)

wheren=N−1,c2

γ=γ(N−γ)/N, andν=(µ1−µ2). HereWp(n,Σ, cγ1νν;A) rep-resents the noncentral Wishart density withndegrees of freedom and noncentrality parameter matrixc2

γΣ1ννdefined by

Kp(n,Σ,ν)etr

1 2Σ

1A

det(A)(1/2)(n−p−1) 0F1(p)

1

2n; 1 4c

2

γΣ1AΣ1νν

, (1.6)

where

Kp(n,Σ,ν)=

2(1/2)pnΓ p

1

2n

det(Σ)(1/2)n

1 etr

1 2c

2 γΣ1νν

(1.7)

andΓm(a)=π(1/4)m(m−1)m

j=(a−(1/2)(j−1)).

2. Null moments of 1−R2. In this section, we derive moments of 1R2 when ¯

R1·2···p=0 (or equivalently σ21=0). LetΣ0= σ11 0

0 Σ22

andU=1−R2. Sincea 11 is scalar, then

U=1−R2=1a21A−221a21 a11 =

det(A) a11detA22

(3)

Thehth null moment ofUis given by

EUh= N

γ=0

N γ

γ(1−)N−γEγUh, (2.2)

EγUh=Kpn,Σ0 A>0etr

1 2Σ 1 0 A

a−11hdet

A22−h

×det(A)(1/2)(n−p−1)+h 0F1(p)

1

2n; 1 4c

2

γΣ01AΣ01νν

dA. (2.3)

Replacinga−11hand det(A22)−hby their integral representations, namely

a−11h= 1 2hΓ(h)

0 exp

12a11y1

y1h−1dy1, Re(h) >0,

detA22 −h

=2(p−1)h1Γ p−1(h)

Y22>0

etr

12A22Y22

×detY22

h−(1/2)(p−1+1)

dY22, Re(h) > 1 2(p−2),

(2.4)

respectively, in (2.3) and integratingA, the moment expression is rewritten as

EγUh=2(1/2)npKp

n,Σ0,ν

Γp

(1/2)n+h

Γ(h)Γp−1(h)

×

0 y h−1 1

Y22>0

detY22

h−(1/2)p

detΣ1 0 +Y

−(1/2)n−h

×1F1(p) 1

2n+h; 1 2n;

1 2c

2 γΣ01

Σ1 0 +Y

1

Σ1 0 νν

dy1dY22,

(2.5)

whereY=y1 0

0 Y22

and1F (p)

1 is the confluent hypergeometric function of matrix argu-ment (Gupta and Nagar [4]). Since rank(Σ1

0 (Σ01+Y )−01νν)=1, the only nonzero characteristic root of the matrixΣ1

0 (Σ01+Y )−01ννis tr((Σ01+Y )−1Σ01ννΣ01) and therefore,

1F (p) 1

1

2n+h; 1 2n;

1 2c

2 γΣ01

Σ1 0 +Y

1

Σ1 0 νν

=1F1 1

2n+h; 1 2n;

1 2c

2 γtr

Σ1 0 +Y

1

Σ1 0 ννΣ01

,

(2.6)

where1F1is the confluent hypergeometric function of scalar argument (see [6]). Substi-tuting (2.6) in (2.5) and expanding1F1in series form, the moment expression simplifies to

EγUh=2

(1/2)npKpn,Σ 0,ν

Γp

(1/2)n+h

Γ(h)Γp−1(h)

t=0 c2

γ 2

t(1/2)n+h t

(1/2)ntt!

×

0 yh−1

1

Y22>0

detY22h−(1/2)pdetΣ01+Y

−(1/2)n−h

×νΣ1 0

Σ1 0 +Y

1

Σ1 0 ν

t

dy1dY22,

(4)

where(a)r=a(a+1)···(a+r−1)and(a)0=1. Noting thatΣ0is a block diagonal matrix, we obtain

νΣ1 0

Σ1 0 +Y

1

Σ1 0 ν

t

2 1σ111

111y11+ν221

Σ1

22+Y2221ν2t

= k+=t

t! k!!

ν2 1σ111

111y11kν221

Σ1

22+Y22221ν2,

detΣ1 0 +Y

111111y1detΣ221detIp−1+Σ22Y22.

(2.8)

Now substituting (2.8) in (2.7), we have

EγUh=2

(1/2)npKpn,Σ 0,ν

Γp((1/2)n+h) det(Σ0)(1/2)n+hΓ(h)Γp−1(h)

×

t=0 c2

γ 2

t(1/2)n+h t

(1/2)nt k+=t

1 k!!

ν2 1 σ11

k

×

0 y h−1 1

111y1−((1/2)n+h+k)dy1

×

Y22>0

detY22

h−(1/2)p

detIp−1+Σ22Y22

−(1/2)n−h

×ν

221

Σ1 22+Y22

1

Σ1 22ν2

dY22.

(2.9)

SubstitutingZ=(Ip1+Σ122/2Y22Σ122/2)−1, the integral involvingY22is evaluated as

Y22>0

detY22

h−(1/2)p

detIp−1+Σ22Y22

−(1/2)n−h ν

221

Σ1 22+Y22

1

Σ1 22ν2

dY22

=detΣ22−h

0<Z<Ip−1

det(Z)(1/2)(n−p)

×detIp1−Zh−(1/2)pν 1/2 22 ZΣ

1/2 22 ν2dZ

=detΣ22−h

∂η

η=0

0<Z<Ip−1

det(Z)(1/2)(n−p)detIp

1−Zh−(1/2)p

×etrην

1/2 22 ZΣ

1/2 22 ν2dZ

=detΣ22−hΓp−1

(1/2)nΓp−1(h)

Γp−1

(1/2)n+h

∂η

η=01F (p−1) 1

1

2n; 1

2n+h;ηΣ

1 22ν2ν2

=detΣ22 −hΓp−1

(1/2)nΓp−1(h)

Γp−1

(1/2)n+h

(1/2)n

(1/2)n+h

ν

221ν2

,

(2.10)

where1F (p−1)

(5)

Collecting terms containingy1and integrating, we obtain

0 y h−1 1

111y1

−((1/2)n+h+k)

dy111−hΓ

(1/2)nΓ(h)

Γ(1/2)n+h

(1/2)nk

(1/2)n+hk. (2.11) Substituting (2.10), (2.11), and (1.7) in (2.9) and simplifying the resulting expression using results on gamma function, we get

EγUh=exp

12cγν2 Σ1 0 ν

Γ

(1/2)n

Γ(1/2)(n−p+1)

t=0+k=t

c2 γ 2

t(1/2)n k

(1/2)n

(1/2)nt

×

ν1211 k

ν

221ν2

k!!

Γ(1/2)(n−p+1)+hΓ(1/2)n+t+h

Γ(1/2)n+k+hΓ(1/2)n++h

=exp

1 2c

2 γνΣ1

0 ν Γ

(1/2)nΓ(1/2)(n−p+1)+h

Γ(1/2)n+hΓ(1/2)(n−p+1)

k=0 c2

γ 2

k

×

ν2 111

k

k! 2F2 1

2n+h+k, 1 2n;

1 2n+k,

1 2n+h;

1 2c

2

γν221ν2

,

(2.12)

where2F2is the generalized hypergeometric function of scalar argument (see [6]).

3. Distribution ofR2under mixture normal model. The density functionf (u)of U=1−R2is obtained by taking the inverse Mellin transform ofE(Uh)as

f (u)= N

γ=0

N γ

γ(1−)N−γfγ(u) (3.1)

with

fγ(u)=(2π ι)−1

CEγ

Uhu−h−1dh, 0< u <1, (3.2)

whereι=√−1 andCis a suitable contour. Substituting (2.12) in (3.2), we obtain

fγ(u)=exp

12cγν2 Σ1 0 ν

Γ

(1/2)n

Γ(1/2)(p−1)Γ(1/2)(n−p+1)

t=0k+=t

c2 γ 2

t

×

(1/2)nk(1/2)n

(1/2)nt

ν1211

ν2Σ221ν2 k

k!! u

(1/2)n+k+−1(1u)(1/2)(p−3)

×2F1 1

2(p−1)+k, 1

2(p−1)+; 1

2(p−1); 1−u

, 0< u <1,

(3.3)

where2F1is the Gauss hypergeometric function (see [6]). To obtain (3.3) we have used the result

1

0

u(1/2)n+h+k+−1(1u)(1/2)(p−3) 2F1

1

2(p−1)+k, 1

2(p−1)+; 1

2(p−1); 1−u

du

=Γ

(1/2)(p−1)Γ(1/2)(n−p+1)+hΓ(1/2)n+t+h

Γ(1/2)n+k+hΓ(1/2)n++h .

(6)

The density ofR2=1Uis now derived from the density ofUas

gR2= N

γ=0

N γ

γ(1)N−γR2, (3.5)

where

gγR2=exp

12c2γνΣ1 0 ν

Γ

(1/2)n

Γ(1/2)(p−1)Γ(1/2)(n−p+1)

t=0k+=t

c2 γ 2

t

×

(1/2)nk

(1/2)n

(1/2)nt

ν2 111

ν

221ν2 k

k!!

×1−R2(1/2)n+k+−1R2(1/2)(p−3)

×2F1 1

2(p−1)+k, 1

2(p−1)+; 1

2(p−1);R 2

, 0< R2<1.

(3.6)

By using the result2F1(a, b;c;z)=(1−z)c−a−b2F1(c−a, c−b;c;z), the above density can be rewritten as

gγR2=exp1 2c

2 γνΣ1

0 ν

Γ

(1/2)n

Γ(1/2)(p−1)Γ(1/2)(n−p+1)

×R2(1/2)(p−3)1−R2(1/2)(n−p−1)

t=0k+=t

c2 γ 2

t(1/2)n k

(1/2)n

(1/2)nt

×

ν1211

ν

221ν2 k

k!! 2F1

−k,−;1

2(p−1);R

2, 0< R2<1.

(3.7)

It is interesting to note that ifν=0, then the densityg(R2)reduces to

gR2= Γ

(1/2)n

Γ(1/2)(p−1)Γ(1/2)(n−p+1)

×R2(1/2)(p−3)1R2(1/2)(n−p−1), 0< R2<1.

(3.8)

References

[1] A. K. A. Amey,Robustness of the multiple correlation coefficient when sampling from a mixture of two multivariate normal populations, Comm. Statist. Simulation Com-put.19(1990), no. 4, 1443–1457.

[2] A. K. A. Amey and A. K. Gupta,Testing sphericity under a mixture model, Austral. J. Statist. 34(1992), 451–460.

[3] A. K. Gupta and D. G. Kabe,On some noncentral distribution problems for the mixture of two normal populations, Metrika38(1991), 1–10.

[4] A. K. Gupta and D. K. Nagar,Matrix Variate Distributions, Chapman & Hall/CRC, Florida, 2000.

[5] D. G. Kabe and A. K. Gupta,Hotelling’sT2-distribution for a mixture of two normal

(7)

[6] Y. L. Luke,The Special Functions and Their Approximations, Vol. I, Academic Press, New York, 1969.

[7] D. K. Nagar and M. E. Castañeda,Distribution of correlation coefficient under mixture normal model, to appear in Metrika, 2002.

[8] M. S. Srivastava,On the distribution of Hotelling’sT2and multiple correlationR2when sampling from a mixture of two normals, Comm. Statist. A—Theory Methods12 (1983), no. 13, 1481–1497.

[9] M. S. Srivastava and H. M. Awan,On the robustness of Hotelling’sT2-test and distribution of

linear and quadratic forms in sampling from a mixture of two multivariate normal populations, Comm. Statist. A—Theory Methods11(1982), no. 1, 81–107. [10] ,On the robustness of the correlation coefficient in sampling from a mixture of two

bivariate normals, Comm. Statist. A—Theory Methods13(1984), 371–382. [11] W. Y. Tan,On the distribution of the sample covariance matrix from a mixture of normal

densities, South African Statist. J.12(1978), 47–55.

[12] D. M. Titterington, A. F. M. Smith, and U. E. Makov,Statistical Analysis of Finite Mixture Distributions, John Wiley, Chichester, 1985.

Hydar Ali: Department of Mathematics and Computer Science, the University of

the West Indies, St. Augustine, Trinidad and Tobago

Daya K. Nagar: Departamento de Matemáticas, Universidad de Antioquia, Medellín,

References

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