Black Swans
Population, Behavioural and Physiological Responses of an Urban Population of Black Swans to an Intense Annual Noise Event
... of black swans Cygnus atratus before, during and after an annual disturbance event involving large crowds and intense noise, the Australian Formula One Grand ...Prix. Black swan population numbers ...
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Risk communication: against the gods or against all odds?: problems and prospects of accounting for black swans
... to Black Swan events as they arise (Aven 2013; ...to Black Swans less vulnerable to conflict, as well as help to meet and manage expectations for greater transparency and honesty (Coombs ...
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Variation at the DRD4 locus is associated with wariness and local site selection in urban black swans
... of black swans (Cygnus ...of swans at one urban and one non-urban wetland by estimating flight initiation distance [FID: the distance at which an escape response is initiated from an approaching ...
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On the Emergence of Cryptococcus gattii in the Pacific Northwest: Ballast Tanks, Tsunamis, and Black Swans
... A black swan event, popularized by American financial philosopher Nassim Taleb (52), is an unpredictable event of extreme consequence for which the human tendency is to find oversimplified explanations after the ...
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Black swans or dragon kings? A simple test for deviations from the power law
... We will now try to answer the question whether electricity price spikes should be classified as dragon kings or ‘only’ as black swans. Or perhaps they are so common that they cannot be even regarded as ...
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Catastrophic risk, rare events, and black swans : could there be a countably additive synthesis?
... “black swans”, like the species cygnus atratus was to Eu- ropeans before Dutch explorers reached Western ...“grey swans” in Taleb (2007). Indeed, Taleb dismisses true black swans as ...
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The Topology of Change: Foundations of Probability with Black Swans
... Abstract Classic probability theory treats rare events as ‘outliers’ that are often dis- regarded and underestimated. Yet in a moment of change rare events can become frequent and frequent events rare. We therefore ...
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Average case complexity without the black swans
... In situations where worst-case analysis is meaningless or overly pessimistic, an estab- lished practise in complexity theory is to endow the space of inputs with a probability measure and then analyze random variables of ...
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Status and management of black swans Cygnus atratus, Latham at Lake Ellesmere since the 'Wahine' storm, April 1968
... As nesting habitat, the Colony has deteriorated rapidly since the storm. Formerly, the large quantity of wind-driven Ruppia and other debris deposited along its shore-line was used extensively by early breeders to build ...
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Measuring Black Swans in Financial Markets
... DOI: 10.4236/jmf.2018.81016 228 Journal of Mathematical Finance There exists a well-developed theory predicting these extreme price variations called Extreme Value Theory (EVT) [1] [2] [3] [4] [5]. Different EVT ...
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Black Swans and Black Elephants in Plain Sight: An Empirical Review of Central Bank Independence
... 110 Eva Gutiérrez, Inflation Performance and Constitutional Central Bank Independence: Evidence from Latin America and the Caribbean 16 tbl.3 (IMF, Working Paper N[r] ...
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Of black swans and tossed coins : is the description experience gap in risky choice limited to rare events?
... How people evaluate risk and decide between risky alternatives is a fundamental problem in decision making—one that should perhaps take on renewed importance in light of the recent financial crisis [1–3]. Risk ...
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"Minsky Moments, Russell Chickens, and Gray Swans--The Methodological Puzzles of the Financial Instability Analysis"
... found black swans, this surprise started to be used as a criticism of induction from empirical regularities to universal laws such as “all swans are ...expression black swan has been used to ...
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Black box
... novice, Black Box’s videos provide a spectrum of images equivalent to the images collected by major news ...in Black Box to both frame and obscure the crow within a recognizable ...
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Black-Box Non-Black-Box Zero Knowledge
... As mentioned above, we know how to construct the black-box WIUARG that we can use to prove Theorem 1. Also, we know how to get a BB version of Theorem 1, by computing the commitment of M using our BB size-hiding ...
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Pediatricians and Antidepressant Medications: Black Box or Black Hole?
... The black-box commit- tee is revising this statement so that it is more ap- propriate for use in primary care ...the black-box committee in the next several ...
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The Black Atlantic as reversal: A reappraisal of African and black theology
... impoverished, black church in Johannesburg’s western ...the black church more than anything else (which of course at least in his own understanding is part of the total ...
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Black Americans and Interracial Marriage: A Focus on Black Women
... of black women failed to repel them ...of black and colored ...free black class prior to and after the Louisiana Purchase of ...their black mistresses while their white wives pretended to be ...
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White to Black: Efficient Distillation of Black Box Adversarial Attacks
... Adversarial examples are important for under- standing the behavior of neural models, and can improve their robustness through adver- sarial training. Recent work in natural lan- guage processing generated adversarial ...
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Apparent Horizons of N Black Holes and Black Hole Rings
... the black hole region and provides physical information about the black hole such as mass and angular ...the black holes so that black hole excision techniques can be ...
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