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Double exponential smoothing of the NSM Index, a = 0.6249

Exponential Smoothing Methods in Forecasting Nigeria Consumer Price Index

Exponential Smoothing Methods in Forecasting Nigeria Consumer Price Index

... price index (CPI) measure the average change over a time in price of goods and services consumed by people, this study is focus to determine the best smoothing technique, to remove the irregularity in the ...

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Aplikasi Peramalan Stok Barang Menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing

Aplikasi Peramalan Stok Barang Menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing

... Many businesses are already computerized in data processing today, Therefore Electrical Stores Aryono King makes an information system to facilitate their business. A PHP-based application for programming language and ...

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Identification COVID-19 cases in Indonesia with the double

exponential smoothing method

Identification COVID-19 cases in Indonesia with the double exponential smoothing method

... the Double Exponential Smoothing Method. The Double Exponential Smoothing method is one method that can be used to optimize the estimation of the ARIMA model with ...

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3. Regression & Exponential Smoothing

3. Regression & Exponential Smoothing

... Example: Weekly Thermostat Sales As an example for double exponential smoothing, we analyze a sequence of 52 weekly sales observations. The data are listed in Table and plotted in Figure. The data ...

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Explicit Formulation of Double Exponential Smoothing and its Consequences in the Memory of the Linear Homoscedastic Signals

Explicit Formulation of Double Exponential Smoothing and its Consequences in the Memory of the Linear Homoscedastic Signals

... Abstract. Double exponential smoothing is an effective tool of denoising used in ...of double exponential smoothing in the form of matrix equation from which some important ...

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Exponential Smoothing and the Akaike Information Criterion

Exponential Smoothing and the Akaike Information Criterion

... of exponential smoothing encompass approaches such as simple exponential smoothing ( Brown 1959 ) which implicitly involves a unit root and trend corrected exponential smooth- ing ( ...

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COMPARISON OF TREND ANALYSIS AND DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHODS FOR PRICE ESTIMATION OF MAJOR PULSES IN PAKISTAN

COMPARISON OF TREND ANALYSIS AND DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHODS FOR PRICE ESTIMATION OF MAJOR PULSES IN PAKISTAN

... and double exponential ...2009-10. Double exponential smoothing method was found to be pertinent for price estimation of major pulses in Pakistan because of smaller values of accuracy ...

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Peramalan Persediaan Barang Menggunakan Metode Weighted Moving Average dan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing

Peramalan Persediaan Barang Menggunakan Metode Weighted Moving Average dan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing

... and Double Exponential Smoothing method, data used for research is sales data for one year ...the Double Exponential Smoothing method is a method that has a smoothing ...

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CRYTICAL ANALYSIS OF EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHODS FOR FORECASTING

CRYTICAL ANALYSIS OF EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHODS FOR FORECASTING

... Single exponential smoothing method of Time Series analysis for forecasting, How trend and seasonality factor influences the Time Series data in forecasting, How these factor smoothed by double ...

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Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction

Exponential Smoothing, Long Memory and Volatility Prediction

... and double exponential smoothing, and introduce a low- pass real time filter arising in the long memory ...generalized exponential smoothing predictor improves significantly upon ...

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Exponential Smoothing Models for Prediction of Solar Irradiance

Exponential Smoothing Models for Prediction of Solar Irradiance

... triple exponential model fits the data better than both double and single exponential ...triple exponential model is better suited for prediction of solar irradiance than the other ...

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Robust Forecasting with Exponential and Holt-Winters Smoothing

Robust Forecasting with Exponential and Holt-Winters Smoothing

... Exponential smoothing is a simple technique used to smooth and forecast a time series without the necessity of fitting a parametric ...tial smoothing is sometimes considered as a naive prediction ...

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Robust forecasting with exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing

Robust forecasting with exponential and Holt-Winters smoothing

... Holt-Winters Smoothing, Robust Methods 1. Introduction Exponential smoothing is a simple technique used to smooth and forecast a time series without the necessity of fitting a parametric ...

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THE APPLICATION OF HOLT EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING MODEL ON 2014 AIR  QUALITY INDEX IN MIYUN COUNTY, BEIJING, CHINA

THE APPLICATION OF HOLT EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING MODEL ON 2014 AIR QUALITY INDEX IN MIYUN COUNTY, BEIJING, CHINA

... quality index (AQI) in Miyun County, Beijing, China and predict the trend of AQI value, this paper constructed a time-series analysis.The non-stationary trend is found in the AQI data and it is difficult to match ...

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Perbandingan Prediksi Tinggi Muka Air Bendungan Wonogiri dengan Single Exponential Smoothing dan Brown’s Exponential Smoothing

Perbandingan Prediksi Tinggi Muka Air Bendungan Wonogiri dengan Single Exponential Smoothing dan Brown’s Exponential Smoothing

... The annual rainfall intensity in the Bengawan Solo watershed results in large river flow discharge in several tributaries. The large flow of the river flow has increased the water level in some monitoring posts. The ...

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A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality

A state space model for exponential smoothing with group seasonality

... by exponential smoothing methods. Since exponential smoothing characterizes seasonality by a set of seasonal indices, we refer to this as the group seasonal indices (GSI) ...seasonal ...

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Complex exponential smoothing

Complex exponential smoothing

... different exponential smoothing models rather than choosing the best one among them (using similar principles as in Burnham and Anderson ...(either exponential smoothing or autoregressive ...

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Complex Exponential Smoothing

Complex Exponential Smoothing

... Abstract Exponential smoothing has been one of the most popular forecasting methods for business and ...“Complex exponential smoothing” (CES), based on the new notion of “information ...

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Bayesian Exponential Smoothing.

Bayesian Exponential Smoothing.

... 7. CONCLUSION Bayesian methods applied to MSOE state space models have provided a useful approach to analysing and responding to unanticipated structural change in business. However, these methods rely on the use of the ...

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Peramalan Kurs IDR Terhadap USD Menggunakan Double Moving Averages Dan Double Exponential Smoothing

Peramalan Kurs IDR Terhadap USD Menggunakan Double Moving Averages Dan Double Exponential Smoothing

... Kata Kunci: IDR, USD, Double Moving Averages, Double Exponential Smoothing. 1. PENDAHULUAN Fenomena lemahnya kurs rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat pada pertengahan Agustus sampai awal ...

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