Early-warning indicators and control variables
"Early Warning Indicators for Latin America"
... reliable early warning indicators of future situations of risk-taking and financial ...these indicators perform in emerging economies whose cycle, while retaining an endogenous nature, is ...
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Procyclicality and the Search for Early Warning Indicators
... conduct a cross-country panel probit study and find that the ratio of non-core to core liabilities (especially the non-core liabilities to foreign creditors) emerges consistently the most robust predictor of a currency ...
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HIV DRUG RESISTANCE EARLY WARNING INDICATORS
... RESISTANCE EARLY WARNING INDICATORS It is not necessary for countries to monitor all ...format. Indicators should not be selected if the appropriate data are not ...
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Early Warning Indicators for Systemic Banking Crises
... 2.2.Financial liberalization The view that financial liberalization can lead to greater financial fragility has often been criticized. Demirguc -Kunt and Detragiache (1998) shows that financial liberalization leads to ...
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Composite Leading Indicators for Ukraine: An Early Warning Model
... First of all, the economies with high concentration of substantial market power demonstrate a different kind of macroeconomic behavior than the predominantly competitive ones. In a competitive market economy the windfall ...
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Early warning indicators for banking crises: a conditional moments approach
... leading indicators and associated thresholds signalling excessive developments that may lead to systemic ...leading indicators and associated thresholds, with the aim of extracting signals useful to predict ...
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Early warning indicators for banking crises: a conditional moments approach
... leading indicators and associated thresholds signalling excessive developments that may lead to systemic ...leading indicators and associated thresholds, with the aim of extracting signals useful to predict ...
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Systemic risk diagnostics: coincident indicators and early warning signals
... looking indicators for financial distress based on the empirical output of our ...risk indicators that, metaphorically, a policy maker can plug into the financial system to read off its ...looking early ...
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Beyond Bubbles: The role of asset prices in early-warning indicators
... However, the same is not true for the housing gap which does not show a high gap for the year before or during the crisis, but rather 3 years earlier (i.e. 1995). This could mean one of two things. Either that housing ...
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Key Indicators: An Early Warning System for Multichannel Campaign Management
... performance indicators (KPIs) is not an ...lagging indicators, evident in reviews of channel and promotion ...Lagging indicators tell what happened in the past, with limited correlation to what will ...
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Strategies for dengue early warning, surveillance and control
... ! al.! 2013).! However,! such! designs! cannot! control! for! the! movement! of! people.! To! overcome!this,!tracking!human!movement!has!been!the!subject!of!recent!research! ...
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Impact Analysis of Financial Early Warning Indicators Based on Random Forest
... Financial early warning, Random Forest, Financial ...financial early warning, this paper combines the idea of K-fold cross-validation to improve the sampling method of Random Forest (RF) and ...
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Banking, Debt, and Currency Crises: Early Warning Indicators for Developed Countries*
... the early warning literature and evaluate the performance of this single indicator by minimizing policy makers’ loss function with respect to Type I errors (missed crises) and Type II errors (false alarms) ...
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EARLY WARNING INDICATORS STUDY OF BANK RUNS IN INDONESIA : MARKOV-SWITCHING APPROACH
... EARLY WARNING INDICATORS STUDY OF BANK RUNS IN INDONESIA : MARKOV-SWITCHING APPROACH Iskandar Simorangkir 1 A run on a particular bank can lead to a banking crisis if it spreads to other banks ...
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Evaluating early warning and coincident indicators of business cycles using smooth trends
... Table 4: Turning Points Dating of CLI and CF indexes 5 Real-time business cycle forecasting The full-sample estimation results discussed in the previous section demonstrate two facts. The first one is that using the CCI ...
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An Early Warning Model with Technical Indicators: The Case of Ise (Istanbul Stock Exchange)
... The computation of the CCI is in the chapter “technical indicators” is represented. A CCI value of over +100 shows a strong purchase behavior and a value of under −100 shows a strong sales behavior. As describes ...
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Early warning indicators of banking crises: exploring new data and tools 1
... on Early Warning Tools and Tools for Supporting Macroprudential Policies the former defi nition was considered, in this paper we use the broader crisis defi ...
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An Early Warning System based on Reputation for Energy Control Systems
... 4.3 The Gateway and its Components The next step of our model is to analyze any type of alert received from CHs. The analysis must be managed by the ARO class which is configured in the gateway and uses an organized ...
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Indicators of financial crises do work! An early-warning system for six Asian countries
... Seven variables are grouped as external sector indicators, five of which are related to the current account and two to the capital ...These variables are certainly affected not only by domestic ...
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Early Warning Indicators of Economic Crises: Evidence from a Panel of 40 Developed Countries
... leading indicators described in Section ...to control for persistence of crises in ...the variables are chosen according to the results of the PVAR discussed in the previous ...of variables ...
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