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Failure probabilities

On the robust estimation of small failure probabilities for strong non-linear models

On the robust estimation of small failure probabilities for strong non-linear models

... Kriging fails in all cases. Second, it can be noted that the Kriging prediction is conservative in the sense that the ±2 · σ alway encompass the true fail- ure probability. However, the lower bound prediction fails in ...

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An efficient method for estimating conditional failure probabilities

An efficient method for estimating conditional failure probabilities

... The proposed approach aims at computing conditional failure probabilities starting from a failure region mapping based on a multinomial logistic regression [12]. The training of the classification ...

6

A simplified procedure for assessing failure probabilities of reinforced concrete frame buildings under earthquake loading

A simplified procedure for assessing failure probabilities of reinforced concrete frame buildings under earthquake loading

... Introduction Inherent Uncertainty in Achieving a Balanced Code and Basic Requirements for Assessing Failure Probabilities A Failure Criterion Requirements for a Performance Function 5.4.[r] ...

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Modeling Finite-Time Failure Probabilities in Risk Analysis Applications

Modeling Finite-Time Failure Probabilities in Risk Analysis Applications

... There are several areas of risk analysis where system failure problems arise and can be seen to be covered by the generic risk model introduced above. However, more specifically, depending on the level of ...

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Application of Seismic PSA for Safety Reviews of German NPP - Regulatory Guidance and Methodological Improvements

Application of Seismic PSA for Safety Reviews of German NPP - Regulatory Guidance and Methodological Improvements

... The results of the plant walk-downs (completed form sheets) are used to constrain the list of components to be analyzed in detail. In particular, it is then defined and documented, for which components failure ...

5

Sample sizes for non-inferiority studies based on the difference between two proportions: a unified approach for difference, ratio and odds ratio models

Sample sizes for non-inferiority studies based on the difference between two proportions: a unified approach for difference, ratio and odds ratio models

... of failure probability, the conversion formula is based on the probability of the Experimental according to a not shareable approach, in our opinion, since the NIM depends on the probability of the ...for ...

29

Improved   Criteria for the Repair of Fabrication Flaws (O555)

Improved Criteria for the Repair of Fabrication Flaws (O555)

... Section III of the American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code for nuclear power plant components requires radiographic examinations (RT) of welds and requires repairs for RT ...

8

A Quantitative Method for RI-ISI Assessment

A Quantitative Method for RI-ISI Assessment

... pipe failure probabilities and also in analyzing the effectiveness of ...pipe failure probabilities can be assessed by two methods: statistical data and probabilistic fracture ...Pipe ...

8

Reliability Analysis of an Ignalina NPP Building Impacted by an Airliner

Reliability Analysis of an Ignalina NPP Building Impacted by an Airliner

... With failure defined as concrete cracking and rebar rupture, the failure probabilities of the impacted wall were calculated as a function of the peak impact ...bar failure will occur, and ...

8

Estimating Systemic Risk in the International Financial System

Estimating Systemic Risk in the International Financial System

... systemic failure in the global banking ...large probabilities of global financial system ...bank failure probabilities implied by equity prices suggests the Asian crisis induced less than a 1% ...

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Follow up after sample size re estimation in a breast cancer randomized trial for disease free survival

Follow up after sample size re estimation in a breast cancer randomized trial for disease free survival

... participants’ failure experience over time, we estimated the hazard functions in the initial and expansion cohorts and more finely, by major recruitment site, to describe changes throughout the follow up ...of ...

9

Share reacquisitions, surplus cash, and agency problems

Share reacquisitions, surplus cash, and agency problems

... and Failure Probabilities in the Postrepurchase Period This table reports coefficient estimates and model descriptive statistics for logistic regressions comparing the probability of takeover or outright ...

46

Cooperative Max Games and Agent Failures

Cooperative Max Games and Agent Failures

... In the above examples, redundancy compensates for un- certain agent failures, but highlights the difficulty of incen- tivizing agents to exert effort. Increasing the number of par- ticipating agents increases the overall ...

8

Multivariate reliability modelling with empirical Bayes inference

Multivariate reliability modelling with empirical Bayes inference

... As the engineering concerns that were elicited were mapped to only three root cause classes (1, 4 and 8), we shall develop the posteriors for these classes only. Figure 1 illustrates the means of the posterior ...

12

Cost Benefit Analysis of a System with Server Failure and Replacement of the Unit at Different Failure Modes Subject to Inspection

Cost Benefit Analysis of a System with Server Failure and Replacement of the Unit at Different Failure Modes Subject to Inspection

... The failure time of the unit and server follow negative exponential whereas the distributions of inspection and repair time of the unit as well as the distribution of treatment time of the server are taken as ...

7

Probabilities and health risks: a qualitative approach

Probabilities and health risks: a qualitative approach

... different probabilities of experiencing a future contingency, depending upon the classification scheme ...about probabilities, in a frequentist way, as a property of collectives, or by regarding them as ...

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The IUCL+ System: Word Level Language Identification via Extended Markov Models

The IUCL+ System: Word Level Language Identification via Extended Markov Models

... lexical probabilities, word label transition probabilities and existing named entity recog- nition tools within a Markov model framework that weights these components and assigns a ...

5

Software for the Computation of Markov Perfect Equilibria in a Dynamic Game of Store Location by Multi Store Firms

Software for the Computation of Markov Perfect Equilibria in a Dynamic Game of Store Location by Multi Store Firms

... choice probabilities (P alpha = P ) with the decision rule in probability space, the nums nums matrix of equilibrium transition matrix (tr_state) for the state, and the nums 1 vector of probabilistic steady-state ...

40

Numerically linguistic Anomalies of Gematria

Numerically linguistic Anomalies of Gematria

... Calculation of the probabilities coincidence On the basis of the existing methods of the probability theory the following estimations of the probabilities of coincidence under the condit[r] ...

6

Essays In Finance And Macroeconomics

Essays In Finance And Macroeconomics

... Equation (1.3) also reflects an important distinction between debt adjustment through restructurings and that via market operations. When shareholders buyback their debt in the market, each lender is able to hold out her ...

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