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Predictions and forecasting

Using Weather Ensemble Predictions in Electricity Demand Forecasting

Using Weather Ensemble Predictions in Electricity Demand Forecasting

... ensemble predictions do enable a reasonably sophisticated estimate to be ...for forecasting weather-related demand using the mean of the 51 demand ...

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Skill forecasting from ensemble predictions of wind power

Skill forecasting from ensemble predictions of wind power

... the forecasting method employed. Since power predictions are derived from nonlinear transformations of wind forecasts, the level of uncertainty in meteorological predictions may be amplified or ...

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“i have a feeling trump will win                  ”: Forecasting Winners and Losers from User Predictions on Twitter

“i have a feeling trump will win ”: Forecasting Winners and Losers from User Predictions on Twitter

... To answer this question, we build a cor- pus of tweets annotated for veridicality on which we train a log-linear classifier that detects positive veridicality with high pre- cision. 1 We then forecast uncertain out- ...

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Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI)

Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI)

... This paper provides an assessment of the UTCI using probabilistic NWP forcing on a global scale, demonstrating that the UTCI can be readily combined with forecast data. The objectives of this paper are to analyze the ...

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A Comparison of HREF and HRRRE Predictions for Ensemble Flash Flood Forecasting

A Comparison of HREF and HRRRE Predictions for Ensemble Flash Flood Forecasting

... flood forecasting by looking at a comparison of streamflow discharge forecasts produced by the lumped Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting Model (SAC-SMA) using quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF) as ...

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Predictions for oil slicks detected from satellite images using MyOcean forecasting data

Predictions for oil slicks detected from satellite images using MyOcean forecasting data

... To conclude, it is worth mentioning that MEDSLIK ful- fils the eleven requirements set by EMSA-CSN regarding oil spill modelling and the coupling with the CleanSeaNet ASAR data, following the dedicated workshop organized ...

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A system of direct radiation forecasting based on numerical weather predictions, satellite image and machine learning.

A system of direct radiation forecasting based on numerical weather predictions, satellite image and machine learning.

...  When cloudy type is predicted a Global to Beam model is used to forecast the direct radiation. radiation[r] ...

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Forecasting short-term solar radiation for photovoltaic energy predictions

Forecasting short-term solar radiation for photovoltaic energy predictions

... at forecasting the short-term Global Horizontal Solar Irradiance (GHI) for photo- voltaic energy ...its predictions on i) past values of the series and ii) current and past values of the driving exogenous ...

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Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model

Forecasting and turning point predictions in a Bayesian panel VAR model

... T o illustrate the performance of the proposed approach, we apply the methodology to the problem ofpredictingoutputgrowth,offorecastingturningpoints inoutputgrowthandcomputing theprobabilityofarecessionintheG ...

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Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions

Forecasting the price of crude oil via convenience yield predictions

... by predictions of the proposed forecasting device, thus making the latter not worth ...proposed forecasting device should not be expected to differ much from random-walk ...

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How does inclusion of weather forecasting impact in-season crop model predictions?

How does inclusion of weather forecasting impact in-season crop model predictions?

... APSIM predictions to be too inaccurate to ...APSIM predictions would only become more accurate, providing an even better yield forecasting ...

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Space-time forecasting and evaluation of wind speed with statistical tests for comparing accuracy of spatial predictions

Space-time forecasting and evaluation of wind speed with statistical tests for comparing accuracy of spatial predictions

... the predictions from all of these models can be more realistically assessed with a loss measure that depends upon the power curve relating wind speed to power ...

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Making Detailed Predictions Makes (Some) Predictions Worse

Making Detailed Predictions Makes (Some) Predictions Worse

... This hypothesis stems from three well-established findings from the psychology of forecasting. First, people do not (and often cannot) consider all of the relevant information when making predictions. ...

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FORECASTING FORECASTING

FORECASTING FORECASTING

... The forecasting module creates accurate forecasting of sales based on previous sales. This will help reduce returns because of improved sales information leading to more accurate predictions. This ...

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Probabilistic forecasting of shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides using real-time numerical weather predictions

Probabilistic forecasting of shallow, rainfall-triggered landslides using real-time numerical weather predictions

... 2 Landcare Research, New Zealand * now at: Alchemy Group, New Zealand Received: 20 December 2007 – Revised: 6 March 2008 – Accepted: 26 March 2008 – Published: 14 April 2008 Abstract. A project established at the ...

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Predictions

Predictions

... During 2012 Uranus, will again transit through the early degrees of Aries to join the 1821 Greek Revolution horoscope Sun.. and highlight the radical Uranian energies.[r] ...

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Forecasting clinical dose response from pre clinical studies in tuberculosis research   translational predictions with rifampicin

Forecasting clinical dose response from pre clinical studies in tuberculosis research translational predictions with rifampicin

... Software, estimation, and simulation All modeling and simulation tasks were performed in “R” (v. 3.3.3). Dif- ferential equation systems were solved using the lsoda routine of the “deSolve” package (v. 1.14). The ...

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PREDICTIONS FOR 2016

PREDICTIONS FOR 2016

... O ver the next twelve months, cloud will alter the data and analytics landscape like never before.. With leviathans such as Amazon, Google, and Microsoft stepping up the battle for g[r] ...

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Structure and Predictions

Structure and Predictions

... Machine Learning: Jordan Boyd-Graber | UMD Structure and Predictions | 1 / 1.. How do we set the feature weights[r] ...

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7 Predictions for the

7 Predictions for the

... QuickMobile is the industry pioneer and recognized global leader, having launched more mobile event apps than any other vendor. We have had the privilege of watching this industry take shape and expand since its ...

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