regime shifts
The causes of flow regime shifts in the semi arid Hailiutu River, Northwest China
... occurrence of a single change point in the time series, while multiple change points can be detected by CUSUM and RSI methods. In this study, these three methods were used to de- tect the regime shifts. A ...
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Abrupt Climate Regime Shifts, Their Potential Forcing and Fisheries Impacts
... abrupt regime shifts should be relatively direct and sim- ple, similar in the different regions, and likely linked with large-scale atmospheric and oceanic ...
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Regime Shifts in a Phage-Bacterium Ecosystem and Strategies for Its Control
... abrupt regime shifts. Our model predicts these regime shifts in the competition between bacterial strains protected by two different phage defense mechanisms: abortive infection/ CRISPR and ...
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Evaluation of the effect of policy regime shifts in Iranian Distributional changes using a Micro Simulation Framework
... policy regime shifts is obtained by comparing the actual distribution and the hypothetical distribution obtained by simulating on the population observed at the same time and the remuneration structure ...
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Warning Signals of Regime Shifts as Intrinsic Properties of Endogenous Dynamics
... These regime shifts are often associated with loss of biodiversity and ecosystem ...for regime shifts are hard to determine with precision, some recent stud- ies have focused on deriving ...
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Marine regime shifts in ocean biogeochemical models: a case study in the Gulf of Alaska
... simulate regime shifts in the Gulf of Alaska by examining the presence of abrupt changes in time series of physical variables (sea surface temperature and mixed layer depth), nutrients and biological ...
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A New Bismarckian Regime? Path Dependence and Possible Regime Shifts in Korea’s Evolving Pension System
... Germany’s shift from the Bismarckian to the quasi-NDC system. Since political constraints can lead to regime shifts, an analysis of their causes and of possible ways either to delay or to avoid them is ...
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The impact of biomass, geothermal and hydroelectric energy consumption on industrial production: A threshold cointegration model with regime shifts
... through regime shifts in the related ...two-regime shifts considering causality from biomass, geothermal, hydroelectric and total renewables consumption to economic ...one regime to ...
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Detecting ecological regime shifts from transect data
... different regime that has the same emergent spatial ...detecting regime shifts in that it is only when there is a clear change in the CLS that we can assert strong evidence of a change in the ...of ...
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Trends and regime shifts in climatic conditions and river runoff in Estonia during 1951–2015
... of regime shifts in the North Atlantic and European region in late ...a regime shift on this period was reported from the Mediter- ranean Sea based on ecological, hydrological and climatic variables ...
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Exchange Rate Dynamics, Intervention and Regime Shifts in China: A Market Microstructure Analysis
... rate regime across the ...the regime changes and its ...rate regime shifts and the currency weights in the reference basket of currencies, this research adopts two different regime ...
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Modeling and Forecasting Stock Returns: Exploiting the Futures Market, Regime Shifts and International Spillovers
... the regime shifts affect only the intercept term of the VECM was found to be ...of regime-conditional heteroskedasticity and regime- conditional autoregressive ...no regime dependence ...
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Late Holocene regime shifts in moorland ecosystems : high resolution data from the Pennines, UK
... Quantitative approaches are increasingly used to assess regime shifts (Scheffer et al. 2009) and are also being applied to palaeoenvironmental data (Seddon et al. 2014; Streeter and Dugmore 2014). However, ...
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Monetary Policy, Regime Shifts, and Inflation Uncertainty in Peru (1949-2006)
... The goal of this paper is, thus, to assess empirically the link between in‡ation and in‡ation uncertainty for the Peruvian economy and to assess what role monetary policy plays in it. A set of relative long-span in‡ation ...
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Dynamic analysis of regime shifts under uncertainty: Applications to hyperinflation and privatization
... 00001 jpg Dynamic Analysis of Regime Shifts under Uncertainty Applications to Hyperinflation and Privatization Submitted to the faculty o f the University o f London in partial fulfillm ent of the req[.] ...
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Testing for the Fisher Hypothesis under Regime Shifts in Turkey: New Evidence from Time-Varying Parameters
... or regime shifts on the Fisher effect, this study employs TVP approach as it permits parameter estimates to respond differently under alternative policy regimes (see, Hatemi-j and Irandoust, 2008; Hall et ...
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Ecosystem regime shifts disrupt trophic structure
... Key words: coral reef fish; coral bleaching; functional group; habitat degradation; mesopredator; trophic level; trophic pyramid; coral reef ecology.. Regime shifts have been documented [r] ...
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Resilience and regime shifts: Assessing cascading effects
... In each case, some understanding of the ways in which thresholds interact will be essential. There is not yet a systematic approach to dealing with threshold interactions. Our main purpose in this paper was to highlight ...
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Ecosystem regime shifts disrupt trophic structure
... fundamental shifts in the benthos are anticipated to impact associated fish communities that are reliant on the reef for food and shelter, yet there is limited understanding of how regime shifts ...
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Non-linear regime shifts in Holocene Asian monsoon variability: potential impacts on cultural change and migratory patterns
... Figure 11 provides a regionally resolved overview of the timing of inferred non-linear monsoonal regime shifts rel- ative to known pre-historic societal events. As is addition- ally discussed in more detail ...
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