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1.3 Background

1.3.2 Collision Avoidance Systems

Este trabajo se ha enfocado en la implementaci ´on de algoritmos de toma de decisi ´on en el marco de las Ciudades Inteligentes. Concretamente, se ha adaptado un algoritmo de toma de decisi ´on existente y ampliamente utilizado en diversos campos, denomi- nado Proceso Anal´ıtico Jer ´arquico (PAJ), en ingl ´es Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), al entorno de los Sistemas Inteligentes de Transporte. Para ello, se han fusionado dos variantes del algoritmo de toma de decisi ´on mencionado: el Proceso Anal´ıtico Jer ´arqui- co Difuso, en ingl ´es Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP), y el Proceso Anal´ıtico Jer ´arquico Din ´amico, en ingl ´es Dynamic Analytic Hierarchy Process (DAHP).

El algoritmo de toma de decisi ´on propuesto se beneficia del FAHP en el uso de in- tervalos difusos, en lugar de valores ´unicos, para la asignaci ´on de los pesos de las com- paraciones por pares. De esta forma, se modelan las incertidumbres que producen los fen ´omenos f´ısicos del entorno en el que est ´an situados los sistemas de las Ciudades Inteligentes, tales como ruidos reflexiones, difracciones o desvanecimientos, entre otros.

Por otro lado, se beneficia del algoritmo DAHP en el tratamiento de los pesos de los criterios y de las alternativas como variables con el tiempo. Esto proporciona al algoritmo propuesto la posibilidad de recalcular y actualizar los pesos de los criterios y de las alternativas cada cierto periodo de tiempo. Esto, adem ´as, permite que el algoritmo se adapte a los cambios de su entorno optimizando as´ı la respuesta del sistema que lo implementa en funci ´on de la situaci ´on en cada momento.

Para ver el funcionamiento y la idoneidad del algoritmo de toma de decisi ´on propues- to en el entorno de los Sistemas Inteligentes de Transporte, se ha aplicado el algoritmo a un escenario concreto consistente en un sistema inteligente de gesti ´on del tr ´afico. Con- cretamente, se trata de una aplicaci ´on de control del tr ´afico que recibe peri ´odicamente datos de flujo de tr ´afico, velocidad media y tasa de ocupaci ´on, obtenidos de la red de sensores de la DGT. En base a estos datos, se ejecuta el algoritmo de toma de decisi ´on y se obtiene para cada periodo, la mejor carretera en t ´erminos de congesti ´on, es decir, aquella que presente un menor nivel de congesti ´on de acuerdo a los par ´ametros de en- trada (criterios del algoritmo). Los resultado obtenidos en esta validaci ´on del algoritmo demuestran la idoneidad del algoritmo de toma de decisi ´on propuesto para el ´ambito de los Sistemas Inteligentes de Transporte.

Sin embargo, hay a ´un varias modificaciones que se pueden realizar en el algoritmo en un futuro:

• Posibilidad de a ˜nadir nuevos criterios al algoritmo para considerar m ´as factores en la toma de decisi ´on.

• Realizaci ´on de un an ´alisis de los datos hist ´oricos de los pesos finales de las alter- nativas para la observaci ´on y el c ´alculo de tendencias.

• Predicci ´on de congestiones de tr ´afico utilizando el an ´alisis de los pesos de las alter- nativas y las tendencias calculadas. Esto permitir ´a una toma de decisiones con una cierta antelaci ´on para evitar que se produzcan congestiones en una determinada carretera.

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