Predicting
Preschool
Behavior
Problems
From
Temperament
and
Other
PEDIATRICS Vol. 91 No. I January 1993 113
Variables
in
Infancy
Frank Oberklaid, MBBS, FRACP, DCH*; Ann Sanson, PhD, MAPsS; Robert Pedlow, MSc, MAP5S*; and
Margot Prior, PhD, MAPsS
ABSTRACT. There is uncertainty about the relationship
between difficult temperament in infancy and reported
problem behaviors later in childhood. In this study data
from a large, representative community cohort (total N
studied = 1583) were used to determine whether
pre-school behavior problems (at age 4 to 5 years) could be
predicted from difficult temperament and other variables
in infancy. Maternal ratings of difficult temperament on
the Revised Infant Temperament Questionnaire
pre-dicted only 17.5% of those with preschool behavior
prob-lems, a percentage not significantly greater than the 14%
of the total sample rated as having problems. There was
some improvement in prediction when difficult
temper-ament was added to other variables such as male sex
(28%). However, mothers’ overall rating of temperament
was a more powerful predictor of preschool behavior
problems, both alone (26.0%) and in combination with
other variables such as perinatal stress (36.8%), male sex (29.5%), and non-Australian parent (29.4%). Similarly,
maternal reports of infant behavior problems was a more
powerful predictor of preschool behavior problems both
alone (21.8%) and in combination with male sex (24.6%),
low socioeconomic status (26.1%), non-Australian parent
(21.8%), and nurse’s overall rating of temperament (21.
8%). The best consistent predictor of later problems was
the combination of mothers’ overall rating of
tempera-ment and maternal reports of infant behavior problems
(27.0%), especially when combined with other infant variables such as perinatal stress (35.3% ), male sex (31.
5%), and non-Australian parent (30.0%). It is concluded that difficult temperament in infancy, as traditionally
conceptualized and measured on the Revised Infant
Tem-perament Questionnaire, is not on its own significantly
associated with behavior problems at 4 to 5 years of age.
Of far greater importance for clinicians is the significant
relationship between preschool behavior problems and
maternal perceptions of difficult temperament and
be-havior in infancy. Pediatrics 1993;91:113-120;
tempera-ment, behavior problems, infant, preschool child.
ABBREVIATIONS. RITQ, Revised Infant Temperament
Question-name; SES, Socioeconomic status; PBQ, Preschool Behaviour
Ques-tionnaine.
While temperament in infants and young children
is seen increasingly by clinicians as both a useful way
From the *Department of Ambulatory Paediatnics, Royal Children’s
Hospi-tal, Melbourne; $fsychology Department, University of Melbourne; and
§Psychology Department, La Trobe University, Bundoora, Australia.
Received for publication Oct 17, 1991; accepted Jun 22, 1992.
Presented, in part, at the Plenary Session of the 31st Annual Meeting of the
Ambulatory Pediatric Association, April 1991, New Orleans, LA.
Reprint requests to (F.O.) Dept of Ambulatory Paediatrics, Royal Children’s
Hospital, Parkville, Victoria 3052, Australia.
PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1993 by the American
Acad-emy of Pediatrics. 1993
of conceptualizing individual differences and a
valu-able assessment tool for numerous clinical
situa-tions,1 researchers continue to debate many aspects
of the theory and measurement of temperament
in-cluding its conceptual framework,2 the validity of
maternal ratings of temperament,5-5 and the
psycho-metric properties of the questionnaires.6
Despite the unresolved questions in this debate,
the idea that infants and children have a set of
sty-listic attributes that influence the way they interact
with the environment, which in turn affects the way
they are perceived by care givers, is a compelling
one. Clinicians who work in pediatric settings are
involved frequently with common developmental
behavioral problems that are likely to be related to
temperament.7
The most widely used measure of infant
tempera-ment is the Revised Infant Temperament
Question-naire (RITQ),8 which has algorithms for categorizing
infants as exhibiting an easy, difficult, or
slow-to-warm-up temperament. Infants with a difficult
tern-perarnent have been described as those with
“irreg-ularity in biological functions, negative withdrawal
responses to new stimuli, non-adaptability or slow
adaptability to change, and intense mood
expres-sions which are frequently negative.”9
Difficult temperament in infancy has been shown
to have strong concurrent relationships with
com-mon behavioral problems such as colic and excessive
crying, sleep difficulties, and night waking.1#{176}12
Tern-perament concepts and profiles are frequently used
clinically to assist in developing practical advice
and guidance in the management of behavior
prob-lems.13’14 In addition, specific clinics and programs
have been established to provide guidance to
par-ents about problems that are believed to stem
pri-manly from their child’s temperament
character-istics7’15 with some reports of the efficacy of this
16,17
While the importance of considering the
contribu-tion of infant temperament to concurrent clinical
problems is widely accepted, far less clear is the
im-portance of infant temperament in the genesis of
problems later in life. How does a clinician answer
the commonly posed question as to whether a
tem-peramentally difficult infant will have behavior
problems later in childhood? Thomas and Chess9
as-serted that difficult temperament early in life was
associated with a significant subsequent risk of
be-havioral adjustment problems, and many years later
they wrote “. . . there is consistent evidence from a
number of samples for a significant relationship
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tween ratings of difficult temperament and later
be-havioral difficulties and pathology.”18
However, the results from other studies have been
more equivocal. Mclnerny and Chamberlai&9 found
that difficult infants had more subsequent problems,
but their follow-up period was only 18 months.
Carey et al2#{176}found that difficult temperament in
in-fancy was associated with poor school adjustment,
but some children who had an easy temperament
also had poor adjustment, so early difficult
temper-ament did not discriminate between the groups.
Cameron21 found that temperament in the first year
of life predicted mild behavior problems at 3 years of
age, but moderate to severe behavior problems were
found only when difficult temperament was
associ-ated with inappropriate parental handling of their
children. He concluded that “it appears . . .
insuffi-cient for predictive clinical purposes to determine
early the child’s initial temperament.”21 Wolkind and
DeSalis22 found an association between difficult
tern-perament in infancy and behavior problems at 42
months, but their results were difficult to interpret
because they defined difficult temperament on the
basis of a scale obtained from a semi-structured
in-terview using 40 of the items from the original Infant
Temperament Questionnaire.23 Lambert4 found that
early temperament patterns differentiated between
hyperactive and control children but data were
ob-tamed retrospectively and depended on parental
re-call. Wasserman et al25 showed in a recent study that
mothers’ ratings of temperament in infancy did not
predict mother- or teacher-rated behavior problems 6
years later.
Clinicians are also aware of the importance of
other variables in the transaction between the child
and environment in contributing to outcome.26 The
actual temperament of a child is said to be less
im-portant than the “goodness of fit” between the
child’s characteristics and parenting style.9’13’18’21’26
Furthermore, apart from temperament, there are
other child-related factors, such as gender and
pre-maturity, which can be considered to be risk factors
for the development of later problems, just as there
are risk factors related to the environmental context
in which the child is reared, such as socioeconomic
status.27’28
It has been argued that difficult temperament
might have as much to do with parental perceptions
as it does with actual characteristics of the child.29’30
While some studies suggest that ratings are affected
by maternal variables4’5’31 others claim that, to a
greater or lesser extent, they do reasonably
accu-rately assess characteristics of the child.32 The
par-ents’ global perception of the infant’s temperament,
as opposed to ratings on a detailed questionnaire, is
another important issue to consider. Several authors
have argued that maternal perceptions of difficulty
may be just as important in a clinical context as
actual ratings,13’35 and it has been suggested that
differences between ratings and perceptions of
tern-perament provide important clinical clues to a
dys-functional parent-child Furthermore,
parental overall perception that an infant has
behav-ior problems, such as colic or excessive crying, is
clinically significant, whether or not the infant fulfills
objective criteria for such behaviors.
The association between difficult temperament in
infancy and subsequent behavior problems is thus
far from clear, and it appears to be complicated by a
host of other factors. In this study we looked at the
relationship between difficult temperament and
other variables in infancy and parent-reported
be-havior problems in the preschool period. We
hypoth-esized that difficult temperament in infancy (as
cat-egorized from maternal ratings of temperament on
the RITQ) would not be more likely to lead to an
increased risk of preschool behavior problems but
that maternal perceptions of difficulty in infancy
would be more likely to give rise to subsequent
prob-lems and that combinations of risk factors in infancy
would be stronger predictors of subsequent
prob-lems than individual variables.
Subjects
METHODS
The study cohort were children from a longitudinal study of
temperament and behavior, the Australian Temperament
Pro-ject)2’5’-37 The initial sample was a stratified random sample of
2443 infants aged 4 to 8 months who came from families whose
sociodemognaphic characteristics closely resembled those of the
Australian population as a whole.36 The study design called for
yearly sampling of either the whole cohort or randomly selected
subsamples to control for the possible contaminating effect of
repeated administration of identical questionnaires in consecutive
years.3-37 The subjects for this study (N = 1583) were those for
whom complete data were available in infancy (4 to 8 months) and
preschool (4 to 5 years). This sample of 1583 children was not
significantly different from the full sample (N = 2443) on sex,
birth order, gestational age, or parental sociodemographic
chanac-tenistics.
The original cohort was recruited from maternal and child
health centers which are located throughout the state of Victoria,
in both urban and rural areas. They are staffed by maternal and
child health nurses, who achieve contact with more than 94% of
livebinths and who provide ongoing monitoring of growth and
development as well as providing counseling and advice to
par-ents about aspects of child health, development, and behavior.
Measures
At the time of enrollment, when the infants were aged 4 to 8
months, a parent (usually the mother) completed the following
measures:
. The Australian revision2 of the RITQ of Carey and McDevitt,8
consisting of 95 items rated by parents on a 6-point scale
rang-ing from “almost never” to “almost always.” Difficult
temper-ament was conceptualized according to the algorithm
devel-oped by Carey and McDevitt,8 which in turn was derived from
the original dimensions described by Thomas and Chess.9 This
algorithm was used to categorize difficult temperament from
ratings on the RITQ.
. A global temperament scale, in which infants were rated as
being either “much easier than average,” “easier than average,”
“average,” “more difficult than average,” or “much more
diffi-cult than average.” This was thought to reflect the mother’s
overall perception of the infant’s temperament, as opposed to
the detailed and specific ratings derived from the RITQ.
Moth-ens who scored their infant as “more difficult” or “much more
difficult” on this global temperament scale were considered to
perceive their infant as having a difficult temperament.
. A separate three-item questionnaire (colic, sleeping problems, excessive crying) in which parents globnlly rated their infant’s
behavior on a 4-point scale ranging from “none” to “severe.” Infants were classified as having behavior problems if their
score on a summed composite of ratings on these three items
placed them in the top quartile of total scores for the sample.
The parents also provided sociodemographic information, from
which was derived the following:
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ARTICLES 115
S Socioeconomic status (SES). A composite measure of SES was
developed by rating occupation and educational status for both
mothers and fathens.” Low SES was defined as falling into the
lowest quartile for this measure.
I Country of birth of mother and father. If either parent was not
Australian-born, this was considered a potential risk factor for
behavior problems as demonstrated by our previous research in
the Australian Temperament Pnoject.
The maternal and child health nurse, at the time of the
enroll-ment of the infant into the study, provided additional information:
I Peninatal stress. Maternal and child health nurses rated this as
being present or absent on the basis of hospital records, a
sum-many of which is passed onto them from the hospital where the
infant was born.
. Prematurity. This was defined as a gestational age of 36 weeks
or less and was also obtained from hospital records.
. Nurses’ overall perception of temperament of the infant
com-pared with that of the average infant, using the same 5-point
scale as used by the mother to nate maternal overall perception
of temperament. This was based on the nurse’s observation of
the infant’s temperament during center visits as well as from
maternal reports. A nurse’s overall perception of temperament
was categorized as difficult if she felt the infant’s temperament
was “more difficult” on “much more difficult.”
. Nurses’ rating of problems in the mother-baby dyad. The
ma-tennal and child health nurse rated this relationship, using a
5-point scale, on the basis of hen observations and impressions
derived from the frequent contacts she had with them. This
reflected both the infant’s behavior and an assessment of how
the mother was coping. Problems were considered to be present
if the nurse related the relationship as having “some” or
“seni-ous” problems.
Behavior in the preschool period was derived from parental
ratings on the Preschool Behaviour Questionnaire (PBQ).39 This
was completed when the children were 4 to 5 years old. The PBQ
is a widely used measure of behavior with 30 items rated on a
3-point scale from 1 (does not apply) to 3 (certainly applies) and
was developed as a parallel scale to the Childhood Behaviour
Questionnaire,40 with a similar factor structure. A total score,
ob-tamed by the sum of ratings on all 30 items, was obtained.
“Be-havion problems” for this study was defined as a score of greaten
than I SD above the mean for the total sample, providing a
prey-alence rate of behavior problems for this sample (approximately
14%) very similar to that reported in other community studies of
parent-rated behavior pnoblems.4
Analyses
Concordance between nurses’ and parents’ global rating of
temperament in infancy was calculated using the
x2
statistic. Foreach of the variables, a priori criteria were established as described
above. To assess whether the various infancy measures described
affected behavioral outcome in the preschool age, the following
procedure was followed. For each infancy measure, those infants
who met the defined criteria were compared with the total cohort
on the PBQ using a 2 x I
x2
statistic.42 For example, the percentageof infants with a difficult temperament who were subsequently
rated I SD above the mean on the PBQ was compared with the
percentage of the total cohort who scored greater than I SD above
the mean on the PBQ. Thus a significant
x2
value in the tablesindicates that the percentage of children in the specified group
exhibiting behavioral problems is significantly greaten than that of
our population as a whole. The same procedure was repeated for
each of the infancy variables individually, and then for
combina-tions of variables as indicated in the tables.
RESULTS
When the criterion of greater than 1 SD above the
mean on the PBQ is used to define behavior
prob-lems in the preschool period, 13.9% of our cohort
were rated by their parents as having problems. This
is then used as the comparison point for all other
results.
There was a significant correlation between the
mothers’ and nurses’ overall perception of the
in-fant’s temperament
(x2
= 805.1, df 16, P = .000). Therewas a significant correlation between temperament
category as derived from the RITQ and maternal
overall perception of her infant’s temperament
(x2
-289.41, df 16, P < .001).
Each of the individual infancy variables was
ex-amined to determine whether its existence in infancy
increased the risk of behavioral maladjustment in the
preschool period. The results are detailed in Table I.
As predicted, a difficult temperament in infancy did
not predict preschool behavioral problems. Although
the percentage of preschoolers with behavior
prob-lems was slightly higher in the difficult temperament
group compared with the total sample (17.5% vs 13.
9%), this difference was not significant. Male sex, low
SES, behavior problems in infancy, and maternal
overall perception of difficult temperament in
in-fancy were all significantly associated with an
in-creased risk of behavior problems. As predicted,
pa-rental perception of difficulties in infancy (behavior
problems and maternal perception of difficult
tern-perarnent) were each more powerful predictors of
preschool behavioral maladjustment than actual
rat-ings of temperament.
The second hypothesis, that risk factors in infancy
were cumulative, was tested by studying children
who had combinations of risk factors. Initially
tern-perament was added sequentially to other individual variables, ie, only those children who had a difficult
temperament in infancy in addition to another
van-able were studied. The results are portrayed in Table
2. It can be seen that while this combination
in-creased the predictive power with several variables
(eg, 28% of boys with a difficult temperament had
TABLE 1. Difficult Temperament and Other Risk Factors in Infancy as Predictors of Preschool Behavior Problems: Individual Variables
(Total N = 1583)
Infancy Variable No. No. (%) With t Significance*
Subsequent
Problems
Difficult tempenament 189 33 (17.5) 1 .84 NS
Behavior problems 358 78 (21.8) 16.56 P < .001
Prematurity 80 15 (18.8) 1.42 NS
Peninatal stress 249 37 (14.9) 0.20 NS
Male sex 833 141 (16.9) 5.90 P < .05
Low socioeconomic status 333 71 (21.3) 13.65 P < .001
Non-Australian parent 472 68 (14.4) 0.36 NS
Maternal overall perception of difficult temperament 100 26 (26.0) 10.78 P < .005
Nurse’s overall perception of difficult temperament 150 29 (19.3) 3.33 NS
Nurse’s rating of problems in the mother-baby dyad 158 26 (16.5) 0.87 NS
*NS, not significant.
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TABLE 2. Difficult Temperament in Combination With Other Individual Risk Factors as Predictors of Preschool Behavior Problems
(Total N = 1583)
Difficult Temperament Plus No. No. (%) With x Significance*
Subsequent Problems
Behavior problems 96 21 (21 .9) 4.53 P < .05
Prematurity 11 4 t
t-Peninatal stress 30 5 (16.7) 0.18 NS
Male sex 85 24 (28.2) 12.83 P < .001
Low socioeconomic status 41 10 (24.4) 3.35 NS
Non-Australian parent 63 11 (17.5) 0.61 NS
Maternal overall perception of difficult temperament 43 9 (20.9) 1 .59 NS
Nurse’s overall perception of difficult temperament 47 7 (14.9) 0.04 NS
Nurse’s rating of problems in the mother-baby dyad 44 8 (18.2) 0.61 NS
* NS, not significant.
t Numbers too small to include in analyses.
preschool behavior problems), overall it made little
significant difference.
Because maternal perception of difficult
tempera-ment and of behavior problems in infancy had each
been significantly associated with an increase in
pre-school behavior problems, it was decided to then
combine each of these respectively in combination
with other variables; the results are detailed in Tables
3 and 4. Maternal overall perception of difficult
tern-perarnent in combination with other variables
re-sulted in an impressive increase in prediction for
every single variable, with five of the nine
cornbina-tions being significant at P<.05 or better. Similarly,
the combination of maternal perception of behavior
problems plus other variables also increased the
pre-dictive power (Table 4), with six of the nine being
significant. In both instances, perception of difficult
temperament and of behavior problems in
combina-tion with other variables were far more powerful
than ratings of difficult temperament on the RITQ in
predicting subsequent behavioral maladjustment.
We then combined the two maternal perception
van-ables (temperament and behavioral problems) and
added them sequentially to other variables (Table 5).
It can be seen that these combinations were the most
powerful predictors of all. For example, 31.5% of
all boys whose mothers perceived them as having
both a difficult temperament and behavior problems
in infancy were considered to subsequently have
behavioral maladjustment in the preschool period
(P < .001).
Other combinations of infancy variables were
ex-amined to determine their value in predicting
pre-school behavior problems, but generally they were
not as powerful as those outlined in Tables 4 and 5.
Categorization of maternal ratings of difficult
tern-perament in combination with infant behavior
prob-lems, when added to other individual variables,
re-sulted in modest increases in prediction beyond each
of the variables in isolation, with percentages
rang-ing from 17.0 to 29.2 and 2 of the 8 combinations
being significant (Table 6).
DISCUSSION
The results of this study reject the suggestion that
difficult temperament in infancy, at least as
catego-nized from parental ratings on the RITQ, is per se a
risk factor for subsequent behavior problems. A
dif-ficult temperament in infancy resulted in only a 3%
to 4% increase in the proportion of children with
problems in preschool compared with the sample as
a whole, an increase not statistically significant.
Sim-ilarly, other individual biological and environmental
risk factors only marginally increased the risk of
pre-school problems, often contrary to expectations.
Prematurity on its own did not increase the
poten-tial risk for subsequent problems, a finding
consis-tent with our previous research35’43” but contrary to
earlier reports. Peninatal stress might be thought to
increase the vulnerability of a child to subsequent
problems,45 but this was not evidenced in our data, at
least not when peninatal stress was studied in
isola-tion. This may have been due to the insensitivity of
our measure (maternal and child health nurses
pro-viding a simple “yes” or “no” rating on the basis of
hospital records), but it is more likely to be due to the
TABLE 3. Maternal Overall Perception of Difficult Temperament in Combination With Individual Risk Factors as Predictors of
Preschool Behavior Problems
Maternal Perception of
Difficult Temperament Plus
No. No. (%) With
Subsequent
x Significance*
Difficult temperament 43
Problems
9 (20.9) 1.59 NS
Behavior problems 89 24 (27.0) 11.18 P < .001
Prematurity 3 1 t
Peninatal stress 19 7 (36.8) 7.32 P < .01
Male sex 61 18 (29.5) 10.93 P < .005
Low socioeconomic status 23 6 (26.0) 2.53 NS
Non-Australian parent 34 10 (29.4) 6.01 P < .05
Nurse’s overall perception of difficult temperament 60 14 (23.3) 3.95 P < .05
Nurse’s rating of problems in the mother-baby dyad 44 8 (18.2) 0.61 NS
* NS, not significant.
ARTICLES 117 TABLE 4. Maternal Perception of Behavior Problems in Combination With Other Individual Risk Factors as Predictors of Preschool
Behavior Problems (N = 1583)
Behavior Problems Plus No. No. (%) With Significancet
Subsequent Problems
4.53 P < .05
Difficult temperament 96 21 (21 .9)
Prematurity 17 5 (29.4) 3.02 NS
Peninatal stress 63 12 (19.0) 1.26 NS
Male sex 195 48 (24.6) 16.53 P < .001
Low socioeconomic status 92 24 (26.1) 12.67 P < .001
Non-Australian parent 110 24 (21.8) 5.12 P < .05
Maternal overall perception of difficult temperament 89 24 (27.0) 11.18 P < .001 Nurse’s overall perception of difficult temperament 96 21 (21.8) 4.53 P < .05
Nurse’s rating of problems in the mother-baby dyad 80 16 (20.0) 2.23 NS
* NS, not significant.
TABLE 5. Maternal Overall Perception of Difficult Temperament Plus Behavior Problems Plus Additional Risk Factors as Predictors
of Preschool Behavior Problems
Material Perception of Difficult
Plus Behavior Problems Plus
No. No. (%) With
Subsequent
Significance*
Problems
9 (26.4) 4.04 P < .05
Difficult temperament 34
Prematurity 2 1 -F
Peninatal stress 17 6 (35.3) 5.67 P < .05
Male sex 54 17 (31.5) 12.24 P < .001
Low socioeconomic status 22 6 (27.3) 2.89 NS
Non-Australian parent 30 9 (30.0) 5.70 P < .05
Nurse’s overall perception of difficult temperament 54 13 (24.1) 4.13 P < .05
Nurse’s rating of problems in the mother-baby dyad 43 8 (18.6) 0.83 NS
*NS, not significant.
-F Numbers too small to include in analyses.
TABLE 6. Difficult Temperament, Behavior Problems, Plus Additional Risk Factors as Predictors of
Preschool Behavior Problems
Difficult Temperament Plus
Behavior Problems Plus
No. No. (%) With
Subsequent
Significance*
5
Problems
... 1- F
Prematurity
Peninatal stress 18 4 F -F
Male sex 54 14 (26.0) 5.76 P < .05
Low socioeconomic status 24 7 (29.2) 4.11 P < .05
Non-Australian parent 27 6 (22.0) 1.38 NS
Maternal overall perception 41 9 (22.0) 1 .98 NS
Nurse’s overall perception of difficult temperament 41 7 (17.0) 0.32 NS
Nurse’s rating of problems in the mother-baby dyad 37 7 (18.9) 0.70 NS
*NS, not significant.
F Numbers too small to include in analyses.
fact that as a group these infants did not have
sig-nificant perinatal stress.35
It is not surprising that male sex emerges in
isola-tion as a risk factor for preschool behavior problems.
This is consistent with previously documented sex
differences in ratings of temperament and behavior
in toddlers and preschoolers.31’46 Similarly, low SES
has been shown consistently to increase the risk for
behavior problems.31 Although we had previously
demonstrated that having a non-Australian parent
was significantly associated with a higher incidence
of perceived behavior problems and ratings of
diffi-cult temperament in infancy,38 this influence had
washed out by the preschool period. This may have
been due to sampling bias, with fewer
non-Austra-han children being sampled at the later time period,
or to other environmental factors that cannot be as-certained from our data. However a non-Australian
parent did emerge as a risk factor in combination with other variables.
We might have expected a trained nurse’s
obser-vation of the infant’s temperament, and especially of
the adjustment of the mother-infant dyad, to be
pre-dictive of later problems, but this was not the case,
even though there was a significant correlation
be-tween nurses’ and mothers’ overall perception of
temperament. This may have been due to the rating
scale employed-each was a single question rated on
a simple scale and may not have been sensitive
enough to pick up problems. However, when nurses’
ratings were added to other risk factors, the
predic-tion of subsequent problems improved, indicating
that risk factors operate cumulatively.47
This then leads us to the not unexpected finding
that maternal perceptions of difficult temperament
and behavior were significantly more powerful
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dictors than categorization of difficult temperament
derived from actual ratings on the RITQ. Indeed,
even when difficult temperament was combined
with other variables (Table 2), there were only slight
increases in prediction. On the other hand, when
maternal perception variables-either overall
per-ception of temperament (Table 3) or perception of
behavior problems (Table 4)-were added to other
individual risk factors, this generally resulted in a
greatly increased risk of preschool behavior
prob-lems. Infancy variables which by themselves had
lit-tle predictive value became significant if, in addition,
there was maternal perception of a difficult infant.
These results indicate that if a mother perceives an
infant as being temperamentally difficult and having
behavior problems (colic, excessive crying, sleep
problems), then irrespective of the actual
tempera-ment category derived from the RITQ, that infant has
an almost doubling of the risk for preschool behavior
problems. Furthermore, if in addition the infant is a
boy, has experienced peninatal stress, or has a
non-Australian parent, then this risk is amplified further
(Table 5).
These results are consistent with the view that
tern-perament per se is “neutral” and that it is the
good-ness of fit between a child’s characteristics and
pa-rental and other variables that is important in
determining behavioral outcome.9 This transactional
model of development implies that any temperament
characteristic which is regarded as abrasive on
unde-sirable by the child’s caretakers is regarded as a risk
factor,48 so that child and environmental variables
must be considered together in the assessment of a
parent-child 49
Researchers continue to argue about the validity of
temperament rating scales in measuring exclusively
within-child characteristics, with a number of
au-thons suggesting that they also invariably reflect
characteristics of the rater.4’5’31 There is no doubt that
a difficult infant or child poses additional parenting
stresses, and it has been argued that if a mother
perceives her young child as being temperamentally
difficult, then she will exhibit less positive maternal
behavior toward him or her.5#{176}While this might affect
temperament ratings on the RITQ, it is more likely to
manifest itself as a global perception of difficult
tern-perament or of behavior problems in infancy. The
latter may be regarded as reflecting both real
within-child problematic behaviors but also maternal
char-actenistics.
Whether or not detailed temperament ratings are
affected by rater characteristics is of less concern in a
clinical context. The rating of an infant or child as
having a difficult temperament simply alerts the
cli-nician that there exists a possible risk factor that may
negatively influence the mother-infant transaction.5#{176}
More clinically relevant is the perception that the child
is difficult, especially if categorization derived from
the actual temperament rating does not concur with
the perception.13 If, as has been argued, maternal
ratings of temperament reflect solely, or mainly,
with-in-child characteristics, then the clinician will learn
little of the stresses and strains that the mother brings
to the relationship. Global impressions of difficulty,
on the other hand, may include maternal
psycholog-ical functioning51 as well as influences of
sociodemo-graphic and cultural factors.5’31
It is not surprising, therefore, that maternal
per-ceptions of a difficult infant are significantly more
predictive of preschool behavior problems than
categorization of temperament based on ratings. A
dysfunctional mother-infant relationship may
fore-shadow later problems either because of the
contin-uation of variables that make parenting stressful or
else because the dyssynchronous relationship
estab-lished in infancy persists as the child grows olden.
Non is it surprising that infancy variables that by
themselves do not increase the risk for subsequent
behavior problems (Table 1) do become additional
risk factors in the face of maternal perception of
in-fant difficulty (Tables 3 through 6). For example,
pen-natal stress became associated with a higher
mci-dence of preschool behavior problems only when
maternal perception of infant difficulty was present.
Similarly, having a non-Australian parent, by itself
not associated with an increased risk of behavior
problems, became significant when there was a
per-ception of infant difficulty. These results are in accord
with the notion that risk factors are cumulative47’52
and that these biological and environmental factors
are operating as vulnerability factors only when
other stresses are also present.53 We did not attempt
to specifically calculate the relative importance of
each of the infant variables in predicting subsequent
outcome, ie, constructing an index of risk for each
infant. In another paper we intend to use multiple
logistic regression techniques to study not only such
relative risk, but also to examine factors that predict
resiliency.
It could be argued that a limitation of this study is
that most of the data were derived from mothers,
whose rating of their preschoolers as having
prob-lems is simply a continuation of their perceiving their
infants as difficult. The results of this study may
well have been strengthened by confirmatory data
from another source (eg, teachers) that the
preschool-ens have behavior problems. However, it has been
argued that mothers’ reports of their children’s
behavior are the most reliable and valid source of
data.3’33’54 Furthermore, if the child is perceived to
have behavior problems by the mother, then this is
likely to have clinical significance irrespective of its
confirmation from another source.
Another issue is to what extent these results are
determined by the way temperament was measured
and difficult temperament categorized. Several
workers have criticized this conceptualization of
temperament after subsequent empirical work which
has not supported the original nine temperament
categories.2 Furthermore, there has been criticism of
the RITQ on empirical grounds,2’6 with doubt then
being cast on the validity of the clinical categories
derived from it. We have previously argued for
tern-perament measures that have stronger psychometric
properties.2 We have suggested that there are
signif-icant weaknesses in the categorical designation of
difficult temperament, which suggests (incorrectly)
that all infants with a difficult temperament are the
same, provided they fulfill the a priori and rather
ARTICLES 119
In another study, we conceptualized difficult
temper-ament from a continuous easy-difficult scale derived
from the Short Temperament Scale for Infants,2 and
we found that difficult temperament was a
signifi-cant but modest predictor of subsequent problems.47
The results from that study are consistent with the
data presented here, with the modest predictive
value of difficult temperament of doubtful clinical
significance.
The fact that mothers’ perceptions of difficult
tern-penarnent and behavior are more likely than ratings
on the RITQ to predict subsequent problems
sug-gests that they are measuring different things. The
RITQ provides a more “objective” assessment of the
infant’s actual temperament, while perception is
more subjective and may be affected more by
mater-nal variables.
There was a highly significant correlation between
temperament category (derived from the RITQ) and
mothers’ overall perception of temperament;
how-even, the relationship was not straightforward
clini-cally. For example, only 44% of those infants
per-ceived as more difficult or much more difficult were
categorized on the RITQ as being difficult, and
con-versely only 25% of infants categorized as difficult on
the RITQ were perceived as more difficult or much
more difficult than average. Thus despite the
signif-icant statistical correlation, the level of clinical
pre-diction from one to the other is low, reinforcing the
notion that the RITQ and maternal global perception
of temperament are measuring different things.
Behavior problems in the preschool period were
defined by a score of greater than 1 SD above the
mean, giving an arbitrary prevalence rate of 14%.
Some might argue that it may have been preferable to
use the PBQ as a continuum, rather than categorize
the group into those with problems and those
with-out. However, we were interested in a clinically
sig-nificant negative outcome and the prevalence rate of
behavior problems is consistent with other studies.41
Despite these reservations about the validity of
temperament measures and the conceptualization of
difficult temperament, pediatricians continue to use
the RITQ and the nine dimensions of temperament
originally conceptualized by Thomas and Chess and
have found profiles generated by this and related
questionnaires to be of considerable clinical utility.
These results are, therefore, particularly relevant
be-cause of the widespread clinical use of these
mea-sunes.
IMPLICATIONS
What are the implications for the clinician? These
results indicate that the measurement of
tempera-ment alone is unlikely to tell us much about whether
the infant is causing difficulties at the present time
and especially whether or not there are likely to be
behavioral problems in the future. Anticipatory
guid-ance programs based solely on temperament ratings
can be expected to be of little value and are not
warranted on the basis of these results. More valid is
the assessment of temperament in the context of
parenting styles and expectations, especially where
there is parental perception of a difficult infant.
The results of this study raise the issues of
preven-tion and early intervention. If, as we have shown,
maternal perception of a difficult infant significantly
increases the risk of subsequent behavior problems,
is it feasible to intervene to prevent or ameliorate
these problems? Clearly we cannot recommend such
intervention in a general way for all such situations,
especially because prediction is still modest and the
majority of children will not have problems.
How-ever, particularly where the risk of subsequent
prob-lems is increased further by biological or
environ-mental risk factors, and especially when these factors
act in a cumulative way, then one could argue that
there is a strong case for such intervention. More
problematic, of course, is to specify exactly what sort
of intervention is likely to be effective, and for which
children. It may be more pertinent to use the concept
of temperament in a more general way to assist
par-ents in understanding individual characteristics of
their children and thus encourage them to adopt
parenting styles to promote a goodness of fit.
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9. Thomas A, Chess S. Teinpt’ram:’nt and Dt’z’elop:nc’nt. New York, NY:
Brunner/Mazel; 1977
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Pc-diatr. 1 972;81 :823-828
11. Carey WB. Night waking and temperament in infancy. I Pt’diatr.
1974;84:756-758
12. Oberklaid F, Prior M, Golvan D, Clements A, Williamson A. Tempera-ment in Australian infants. Aust Pa:’diatr J.1984;20:181-184
13. Carey WB. Clinical use of temperament data in pediatrics. I Dci’ Be/ia:’
Pediatr. 1985;6:137-142
14. Earls F. Temperament characteristics and behaviour problems in three
year old children. INero M:’nt Dis. 1981;169:367-373
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17. Little DL. Parent acceptance of routine use of the Carey and McDevitt Infant Temperament Questionnaire. Pediatrics. 1983;71 :104-106 18. Thomas A, Chess S. Korn S. The reality of difficult temperament.
Merrill-Palmer Q.1982;28:1-20
19. Mclnerny T, Chamberlain RW. Is it feasible to identify infants who are at risk for later behaviour problems? Cliii Pediatr (Phi/a). 1975;17:233-238 20. Carey WB, Fox M, McDevitt SC. Temperament as a factor in early school
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22. Wolkind SN, DeSalis W. Infant temperament. maternal mental state and
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SCEVOLE DE STE MARTHE ON THE QUALITIES OF A GOOD
WET-NURSE
Among the writers on diseases of children in the sixteenth century was the
French poet Sc#{233}volede Ste Marthe (1536-1623). In his Paedotrophia, written in Latin
hexarneters, he outlined the physical qualities to be looked for in a wet-nurse as
follows’:
Choose one of middle age, non old on young,
Nor plump, non slim, her make, but firm and strong;
Upon her cheek, let health refulgent glow,
In vivid colours, that good humour show.
Long be her arms, and broad her ample chest,
Hen neck be finely tuned, and full her breast;
Let the twin hills be white as mountain snow,
Their swelling veins with circling juices flow;
Each in a well projecting nipple end,
And milk in copious streams from these descend,
Remember, too, the whitest milk you meet
Of grateful flavour, pleasing taste, and sweet,
Is always best; and if it strongly scent
The air, some latent ill the vessels vent.
REFERENCE
1. Dewees WP. A Treatise on the Physical and Medical Treatment of Children. 10th ed. Philadelphia: Blanchard and Lea;
1853:161.
Noted by T.E.C., Jr., MD
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1993;91;113
Pediatrics
Frank Oberklaid, Ann Sanson, Robert Pedlow and Margot Prior
Infancy
Predicting Preschool Behavior Problems From Temperament and Other Variables in
Services
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