Estimated data from experts or “expert elicitation”
Expert elicitation : using the classical model to validate experts' judgments
... on expert elicitation, 2 examines the classical model of structured expert ...combining experts’ ...conducted from 2006 through March 2015 and an analysis of the performance of the ...
21
Expert elicitation : using the classical model to validate experts' judgments
... on expert elicitation, 2 examines the classical model of structured expert ...combining experts’ ...conducted from 2006 through March 2015 and an analysis of the performance of the ...
22
Expert Elicitation of Directional Metocean Parameters
... When data are insufficient to estimate these distributions an alternative is expert elicitation – a collection of techniques that translate personal qualitative knowledge into subjective probability ...
17
Vulnerability of bridges to scour: insights from an international expert elicitation workshop
... findings from an in- ternational expert workshop on bridge scour risk assessment that explores uncertainties about the vulnerability of bridges to ...structured elicitation methods were applied to ...
17
Policy relevant results from an expert elicitation on the health risks of phthalates
... the experts, the lack of knowledge on the two priority issues, intrauterine expo- sure and reproductive toxicity, justifies obtaining more and better data to improved ...the experts, suitable ...
10
LOCA Frequency Evaluation Using Expert Elicitation
... estimates from the panelists’ opinions in a manner consistent with the elicitation ...the expert panel is a random sample from the population of all experts and that the goal is to ...
13
Elicitator: An expert elicitation tool for regression in ecology
... for elicitation of expert opinion suitable for input into Bayesian ...train experts, elicit particular quantiles and provide feedback; see for example O’Hagan (1997) for asset management in the water ...
57
Keywords: Black Swan; Expert elicitation; Technological accidents;
... discarded from the risk analysis ...obtaining from experts the distribution of belief for the real probability of each ...elicited from experts showed large disagreement among them, and ...
29
Developing a reference protocol for expert elicitation in healthcare decision making
... than expert judgement, is beyond the scope of this targeted ...of experts based on their performance on seed questions, as is the case in Cooke’s Classic ...question from which the level of ...
199
icarus Icarus expert elicitation reports Electric drive vehicles
... materials. Experts were also asked to discuss what innovations they believed would be developed in the transport sector in the ...several experts, the successful deployment of electric transportation is ...
14
A comparison of two methods for expert elicitation in health technology assessments
... derived from four different ...participating experts would be represented in the aggregate ...the expert by exploring multiple seed questions at the same time as multiple elicitation methods, ...
11
Exploring the use of seasonal climate forecasts in Europe through expert elicitation
... Some of our findings are consistent with other experiences outside Europe where the uptake of SCF for decision-making has a longer history. For example, the interaction between actors, the usability of the information ...
9
Informing research priorities for immature sea turtles through expert elicitation
... turtle experts through an online survey which gathered their opinions on the current state of affairs on immature sea turtle research, including species and regions in need of further study, priority research ...
22
Lean Mining, Productivity and Occupational Health and Safety: An Expert Elicitation Study
... an expert-elicitation study with 7 Canadian experts, a preliminary road-map was created to show the possible links between lean mining and productivity and workers’ safety in Ca- nadian underground ...
16
Expert elicitation on ultrafine particles: likelihood of health effects and causal pathways
... European expert team rated the likeli- hood of causal relationships between ambient UFP expo- sure and selected health endpoints, including all-cause mortality and cardiovascular and respiratory hospital ...The ...
16
EXPLICIT: a feasibility study of remote expert elicitation in health technology assessment
... the experts. How- ever, EXPLICIT does not prevent the expert from building a highly skewed distribution, even when common sense might suggest a normal ...the experts, leading to a more ...
10
Chlorpyrifos and neurodevelopmental effects: a literature review and expert elicitation on research and policy
... attention from scientists and ...action experts consider to be justifiable based on the identified state of scientific knowledge; the societal impacts and aspects were not initi- ally addressed in depth, ...
11
Incremental cost and health gains of the 2016 WHO antenatal care recommendations for Rwanda: results from expert elicitation
... available data are not relevant. Current limi- tations to using expert elicitation include limited guidance on how to successfully conduct expert elicitation [50], and how to deal with ...
10
Policy relevant Results from an Expert Elicitation on the Human Health Risks of Decabromodiphenyl ether (decaBDE) and Hexabromocyclododecane (HBCD)
... The expert elicitation procedure has been much ques- tioned, but until now it is still considered a valuable com- plement to science for supporting policy making before sufficient scientific data is ...
12
Building narratives to characterise uncertainty in regional climate change through expert elicitation
... The experts agreed on the sign of mean precipitation change expected for each narrative, but highlighted the potential importance of uncertainties in precipita- tion variability, rate of precipitation change, ...
11