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forward premium

The Common Component in the Forward Premium: Evidence from the Asia Pacific Region

The Common Component in the Forward Premium: Evidence from the Asia Pacific Region

... the forward spread is positively associated with exchange rate changes ...the forward premium puzzle; although these negative parameters are often statistically insigni…cant, this indicates the ...

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Carry Trade, Forward Premium Puzzle and Currency Crisis

Carry Trade, Forward Premium Puzzle and Currency Crisis

... The aim of this paper is to provide one potential theoretical explanation for questions how currency bubbles and crashes which describes above. We propose a new model of currency bubbles and crashes which are caused by ...

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The Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Approach to Investigating the Foreign Exchange Forward Premium Volatility

The Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle-Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic Approach to Investigating the Foreign Exchange Forward Premium Volatility

... the forward premium puzzle is in itself a formidable challenge for any economic model of rational ...the forward premium puzzle (Hodrick, 1989; Macklem, 1991; Canova and Marrinan, 1993; ...

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The Long Memory Behavior of the EUR/USD Forward Premium

The Long Memory Behavior of the EUR/USD Forward Premium

... the forward premium to explain the long memory behavior that can characterize the forward ...1-year forward premiums of the EUR/ USD over 17 years with a daily frequency from 08 January 1999 ...

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The Forward Premium Puzzle and the Euro

The Forward Premium Puzzle and the Euro

... the forward premium puzzle has become more signi…cant during the Lehman Shock and ...the forward premium ...risk premium, which will yield a downward bias on the parameter of the ...

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The Forward Premium Puzzle And Risk Premiums

The Forward Premium Puzzle And Risk Premiums

... the forward premium bias are more prominently observed during a crisis period when the risk premium ...this forward premium ...risk premium does not seem to provide the whole ...

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Rethinking the forward premium puzzle in a non linear framework

Rethinking the forward premium puzzle in a non linear framework

... Soosung Hwang and Stephen Satchell, Market Risk and the Concept of Fundamental Volatility: Measuring Volatility Across Asset and Derivative Markets and Testing for the Impact of Derivati[r] ...

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Currency Forecast Errors at Times of Low Interest Rates : Evidence From Survey Data on the Yen/dollar Exchange Rate

Currency Forecast Errors at Times of Low Interest Rates : Evidence From Survey Data on the Yen/dollar Exchange Rate

... While in the past the OLS has been the most frequently used estimation technique, it attempts to find optimal point estimates for parameters under a prior assumption that the model specification is congruent with data; ...

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Breakdown of covered interest parity: mystery or myth? 1

Breakdown of covered interest parity: mystery or myth? 1

... risk premium in the money market rates when pricing the ...the forward premium using the domestic and foreign OIS rates and IRS rates for seven currency pairs using the risk-adjusted CIP ...the ...

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A resolution of the forward discount puzzle

A resolution of the forward discount puzzle

... the forward discount puzzle is provided in the paper of Baillie and Bollerslev ...the forward premium hardly shows only minor departures from its expected ...the forward premium ...

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An economic evaluation of empirical exchange rate models

An economic evaluation of empirical exchange rate models

... Data on money supply and income are from the International Monetary Fund’s International Financial Statistics database. Speci…cally, we de…ne the money supply as the sum of money (line code 34) and quasi-money (line code ...

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Forward rate unbiased hypothesis, risk premium and exchange rate expectations: estimates on Pakistan Rupee US Dollar

Forward rate unbiased hypothesis, risk premium and exchange rate expectations: estimates on Pakistan Rupee US Dollar

... The hypothesis of no time varying risk premium is also tested (Table 1.10). To do this, we test the restrictions on equation (9): where is a vector of ones. As can be seen from the Table 2.11, this restriction ...

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A. Market Evolution

A. Market Evolution

... . In literature many studied financial options in energy markets. Aid, Campi and Langrene focused on pricing and hedging electricity derivatives [13]. To price and hedge derivatives a risk minimization approach is ...

5

The risk premium, exchange rate expectations, and the forward exchange rate: Estimates for the Yen Dollar rate

The risk premium, exchange rate expectations, and the forward exchange rate: Estimates for the Yen Dollar rate

... risk premium include money supplies, as in Dominguez and Frankel (1993), as well as other potentially important asset stocks such as bonds and ...the forward premium, the expected exchange rate ...

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The Spot Forward Exchange Rate Relation in Indian Foreign Exchange Market   An Analysis

The Spot Forward Exchange Rate Relation in Indian Foreign Exchange Market An Analysis

... The forward-bias puzzle is based on two assumptions: (1) forward exchange rates equal expected future spot rates; and (2) expectations are ...that forward rates equal expected future spot rates have ...

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Expectations and forecasting in the US dollar/British pound market

Expectations and forecasting in the US dollar/British pound market

... expected to vary directly with the current forward premium (i. futures rate less spot rate).. and negatively with the expected forward premium.[r] ...

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The threshold nonstationary panel data approach to forward premiums

The threshold nonstationary panel data approach to forward premiums

... We estimate it using a semi-parametric approach (Phillips 1999a and 1999b) which is a modi…ed version of Geweke and Porter-Hudak, GPH, (1983). Phillips pointed out statistical de…ciencies in the GPH method yielding an ...

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The Pupil Premium

The Pupil Premium

... Pupil Premium supplements is not distributed on the basis of ...Pupil Premium becomes clearer, the Department will need to review if it is investing the right amount in it, including whether spending more ...

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High-Volume Return Premium And Volume-Liquidity Premium

High-Volume Return Premium And Volume-Liquidity Premium

... An examination of prior literature reveals that trading volume norms and extremes have always been studied separately. However, both volume norms and volume extremes can significantly influence future returns, an ...

12

Time Varying Exchange Rate Risk Premium

Time Varying Exchange Rate Risk Premium

... We employ Time-Varying Parameters VAR (TVC-VAR) method to analyze the ex- change rate risk premium in Vietnam. As shown on Figure (2), the economic fun- damentals are changing over time. While the output growth ...

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