quantum probability theory and the Conjunction Fallacy
The conjunction fallacy, confirmation, and quantum theory: comment on Tentori, Crupi, & Russo
... The conjunction fallacy refers to situations when a person judges a con- junction to be more likely than one of the individual conjuncts, which is a violation of a key property of classical ...
15
The conjunction fallacy, confirmation, and quantum theory: comment on Tentori, Crupi, & Russo
... The conjunction fallacy refers to situations when a person judges a con- junction to be more likely than one of the individual conjuncts, which is a violation of a key property of classical ...
15
Is there a conjunction fallacy in legal probabilistic decision making?
... Quantum probability theory (QPT) is a third formal approach to the CF and, even though it is not without criticism (Busemeyer and Wang, 2015; Boyer-Kassem et ...from quantum mechanics, without ...
12
Quantum probability theory as a common framework for reasoning and similarity
... Overall, the decision-making model for the conjunction fallacy (Busemeyer et al., 2011) and the similarity model for Tversky’s (1977) findings have simi- lar forms. We think that this is a novel ...
5
Explaining High Conjunction Fallacy Rates: The Probability Theory Plus Noise Account
... in probability estimation (Hilbert, ...the probability theory plus noise account is to pro- duce a model of probabilistic reasoning that is simple enough to produce clear and testable predictions ...
18
Quantum-like models cannot account for the conjunction fallacy
... the conjunction fallacy can be accounted for in a quantum-like fashion, but that some instances ...a quantum-like ...of conjunction fallacies. But thus, the quantum-like account ...
32
Lüders conditionalization: Conditional probability, transition probability, and updating in quantum probability theory
... and quantum states serve only as representational de- vices to bookkeep the credences of QBian ...The quantum state changes, perforce, in accordance with the L/vN postulate; but this change does not require ...
21
The structure of classical extensions of quantum probability theory
... of quantum mechanics induced by the Misra-Bugajski map contains all ingredients of a hidden-variables, or onto- logical, model of quantum ...the quantum system. Next, there is the set of ...
37
Towards a quantum probability theory of similarity judgments
... 4 Conclusions So what are we to conclude about the current status of the QP approach to sim- ilarity judgments? In this contribution we have been particularly harsh on the approach, and we haven’t shirked from pointing ...
15
Irrationality Re Examined: A Few Comments on the Conjunction Fallacy
... classical probability, failed. People do not use probability calculus to make decisions; most do not even know what that ...use probability to make ...the probability of fuzzy data to be ac- ...
8
A quantum probability explanation for violations of "rational" decision theory
... using quantum mechanics (Hameroff & Penrose, 1996; Pribram, 1993), or developing new algorithms for quantum computation (Nielsen & Chuang, ...classic probability model for Tversky and Shafir’s ...
43
Betting on the Outcomes of Measurements: A Bayesian Theory of Quantum Probability
... Bohr, Quantum Logic and Structural Realism The line we have taken has some affinity with Bohr’s approach -or more precisely, with the view often attributed to Bohr 4 -in that we treat the outcomes of future ...
21
Bettingon the outcomes of measurements: a Bayesian theory of quantum probability
... understanding of what it means for two experiments to be incompatible, and yet for their possible outcomes to be related; to show how these relations imply the uncertainty principle; and[r] ...
20
A quantum theory account of order effects and conjunction fallacies in political judgments
... A popular model of order effects is the belief adjustment model due to Hogarth & Einhorn (1992). In this model belief in a proposition is updated on receiving new evidence in a way that depends on the strength of the ...
22
Levy processes - from probability theory to finance and quantum groups
... be embedded into a suitable noncommutative struc- ture. Stochastic processes are not only mathematically rich objects. They also have an extensive range of applications in, e.g., physics, engineering, ecology, and ...
13
Cold and hot cognition: quantum probability theory and realistic psychological modeling
... Classical probability (CP) theory has struggled to provide a comprehensive, sometimes even adequate, description and explanation of human decision ...
5
MoL 2008 10: How to solve the conjunction fallacy? A discussion of alternative approaches
... Chapter 3. Prototype Theory and Supervaluation Theory do not clearly show which c-function needs recalibration. They assume that if c p needs recalibration, only the positive extension needs to be ...
63
Locality, probability and quantum mechanics
... "special" characteristics of regular statistical theories (e.g., the order-determining property equation (2.3), and the "decomposition" properties noted in Theorems 4.2, 4.3 (§4.4)). Finally, going in the opposite ...
153
Probability in Everettian quantum mechanics
... which both outcomes of the measurement actually occur. The trick, then, is to reconcile the actual occurrence of every possible result of a given measurement with our experience of exactly one of the possible results. ...
30
BASIC PROBABILITY THEORY. theory of probability: Probability is composed partly of our ignorance, partly of our knowledge.
... BASIC PROBABILITY THEORY 1.1 INTRODUCTION Probability theory is the mathematics of ...complexity theory, and quantum physics, and still there would most likely be no completely ...
75