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Time-variant reliability and failure probability estimation

Properties of some time dependent probability failure functions in reliability theory

Properties of some time dependent probability failure functions in reliability theory

... non-identical failure distributions. A time dependent measure is proposed which evaluate the probability that a failure of the system occurred at a specified component under the condition that ...

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Efficient Aging-aware Failure Probability Estimation Using Augmented Reliability and Subset Simulation

Efficient Aging-aware Failure Probability Estimation Using Augmented Reliability and Subset Simulation

... the failure probability in the ...averaged failure probability over the first 1 ...the failure probability at the exact time point, ...the failure ...

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A time variant fault detection software reliability model

A time variant fault detection software reliability model

... software failure intensity and un-removed error in the ...software reliability model. This novel work is carried out, ensuring time-varying fault detection, measured by con- sidering response count, ...

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Prediction of Reliability Index and Probability of Failure for Reinforced Concrete Beam Subjected To Flexure

Prediction of Reliability Index and Probability of Failure for Reinforced Concrete Beam Subjected To Flexure

... the estimation of the structural safety, the random variations of the basic parameters are to be taken into ...establishing reliability index using Monte Carlo ...

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Augmented line sampling for approximation of failure probability function in reliability-based analysis

Augmented line sampling for approximation of failure probability function in reliability-based analysis

... the failure probability function (FPF) in structural reliability-based design by using only one reliability analysis run of line ...FPF estimation, repeated evaluations of the ...

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Statistical Classification Based Modelling and Estimation of Analog Circuits Failure Probability

Statistical Classification Based Modelling and Estimation of Analog Circuits Failure Probability

... low failure probability like 10 −6 , millions of samples should be simulated to capture one single ...cell failure causes the overall memory chip failure and a yield rate of 99% is required, ...

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Research Article Estimation of Failure Probability and Its Applications in Lifetime Data Analysis

Research Article Estimation of Failure Probability and Its Applications in Lifetime Data Analysis

... the reliability of industrial products, engineers often deal with the truncated data in life testing of products, where the data sometimes have small sample size or have been censored, and the products of interest ...

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A stochastic surrogate model for time-variant reliability analysis of flexible multibody system

A stochastic surrogate model for time-variant reliability analysis of flexible multibody system

... As an emerging the surrogate model technique, PCE belongs to stochastic mathematical models. Compared with other surrogate models, PCE, with high approximation accuracy, is not affected by the fitting point and can ...

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A calculation method for estimation of the 
		mean time to first failure of the technical systems on basis
		of the topological conversion of the Markov reliability model

A calculation method for estimation of the mean time to first failure of the technical systems on basis of the topological conversion of the Markov reliability model

... the reliability models of technical systems on basis of continuous-time Markov chains ...mean time to first failure (MTTFF), based on the reduction of Markov chain and solving the system of ...

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Estimation of accelerated failure time models with random effects

Estimation of accelerated failure time models with random effects

... Cox model, which does not estimate the baseline hazard function, AFT models provide a completely specified probability distribution for the observations. Assuming mutually independent outcomes, Chapman et al. ...

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Time-dependent reliability analysis for deteriorating structures using imprecise probability theory

Time-dependent reliability analysis for deteriorating structures using imprecise probability theory

... the probability distribution and statistical parameters of the limit state function can be ...the probability of failure, P f , when the simulated limit state, g, is less than ...the ...

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Estimation of Failure Probability Using Fault Tree Analysis and Fuzzy Logic for CO2 Transmission

Estimation of Failure Probability Using Fault Tree Analysis and Fuzzy Logic for CO2 Transmission

... Manuscript received July 19, 2013; revised September 3, 2013. The authors are with Chemical Engineering Department Universiti II. FTA OF P IPELINE Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) is commonly used for the estimation of ...

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Estimation of failure probability in braced excavation using Bayesian networks with integrated model updating

Estimation of failure probability in braced excavation using Bayesian networks with integrated model updating

... The primary objective of this study is to present a real-time probabilistic model that will use updated infor- mation to predict the possibility of collapse during the excavation process. To accomplish this, we ...

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Time varying probability of failure of steel floor beams subjected to real fire

Time varying probability of failure of steel floor beams subjected to real fire

... To apply classical reliability analysis to estimate the probability of failure of a steel beam it is necessary to know the distribution function of the resistance (R) and load (S) affe[r] ...

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Study of failure probability by deterministic method reliability-strength applied to metal cables intended for off shoring

Study of failure probability by deterministic method reliability-strength applied to metal cables intended for off shoring

... 2. Failure of wire ropes Cables suffer from continued aggression of environment (urban, industrial, ...over time, which can sometimes lead to partial ...

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Probability Models and Statistical Methods in Reliability

Probability Models and Statistical Methods in Reliability

... all ∫ θ f (t| θ ) p( θ )d θ where θ is called the mix parameter and p( θ ) indicates the distribution of the mix parameter. Example 5.4 If m = 2 facilities produce items with exponential(1) and exponential(2) lifetimes, ...

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Confidence Interval Estimation of the Conditional Reliability Function for Time Domain Data

Confidence Interval Estimation of the Conditional Reliability Function for Time Domain Data

... conditional reliability gives the probability of successfully implementing another operation following the successful implementation of a previous ...Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method is used to ...

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Electrochemical characterization and time-variant structural reliability assessment  of post-tensioned, segmental concrete bridges

Electrochemical characterization and time-variant structural reliability assessment of post-tensioned, segmental concrete bridges

... of failure are significant, it is important to maintain high levels of safety and serviceability for these ...bridges. Time-variant structural reliability models can be useful tools to ...

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TIME-VARIANT TRAVEL TIME DISTRIBUTIONS AND RELIABILITY METRICS AND THEIR UTILITY IN RELIABILITY ASSESSMENTS

TIME-VARIANT TRAVEL TIME DISTRIBUTIONS AND RELIABILITY METRICS AND THEIR UTILITY IN RELIABILITY ASSESSMENTS

... though reliability metrics have been explored and compared as discussed above, most of the work in the literature have focused on using these measures for relatively coarse levels of aggregation of travel ...

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Research on Time-Variant Wear Reliability of Gear Rack

Research on Time-Variant Wear Reliability of Gear Rack

... the reliability of gear and rack movement under the influence of time-varying ...the time dependent reliability equation of kinematic pair is established with the consideration of the original ...

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