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Working Model for Projecting Mortality Levels

Projecting delay and compression of mortality

Projecting delay and compression of mortality

... 2.1 model against the LC model using in-sample projections of life expectancy at birth and modal ...of mortality trends that is used in life tables. But while future levels of life expectancy ...

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Does Selection of Mortality Model Make a Difference in Projecting Population Ageing?

Does Selection of Mortality Model Make a Difference in Projecting Population Ageing?

... shifting model, which explicitly assumes age shifts in old-age mortality, is most optimistic in projecting a strong decline of mortality rates at ages 80 years and older (in the case of ...

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Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing?

Does selection of mortality model make a difference in projecting population ageing?

... 2014) mortality scenarios for Italy in 2050 assume an uncertainty range (between the main and the high life-expectancy scenarios) in life expectancy at age 65 of ...our model-to-model variation of ...

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Projecting future mortality in the Netherlands taking into account mortality delay and smoking

Projecting future mortality in the Netherlands taking into account mortality delay and smoking

... 19. Figure 1 clearly shows that the fit of the CoDe model is excellent. In addition it can be observed, when focusing on the trend over time, that delay is much more important than compression in describing the ...

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Modelling and projecting mortality improvement rates using a cohort perspective

Modelling and projecting mortality improvement rates using a cohort perspective

... From Figs 3a&b, we note the following key features: the similarity in shape of the matching panels; the pronounced spike in the  x parameters, which coincides with the positioning of the characteristic „accident hump‟ ...

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Modelling and projecting mortality improvement rates using a cohort perspective

Modelling and projecting mortality improvement rates using a cohort perspective

... From Figs 3a&b, we note the following key features: the similarity in shape of the matching panels; the pronounced spike in the  parameters, which coincides with x the positioning of the characteristic „accident hump‟ ...

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Projecting UK mortality by using Bayesian generalized additive models

Projecting UK mortality by using Bayesian generalized additive models

... the mortality conditions in a given ...of mortality rates over the course of their whole ...based model with the equivalent quantity from the ...of mortality at ages 70–95 years un- der the ...

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Projecting extreme heat-related mortality in Europe under climate change

Projecting extreme heat-related mortality in Europe under climate change

... regression model. For example, Murphy (1999) used a multiple linear regression model to predict temperature and pre- cipitation for 976 European stations, using surface wind velocity, vorticity, upper-level ...

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Elevated calcitonin precursor levels are related to mortality in an animal model of sepsis

Elevated calcitonin precursor levels are related to mortality in an animal model of sepsis

... may result in a marked shift to the constitutive pathway of secretion, resulting in an incomplete processing of precur- sors. In this respect, a shift to constitutive secretion has been reported to occur by the ...

6

Projecting input-output tables for model baselines

Projecting input-output tables for model baselines

... GTAP model, which allows individual countries to export international transportation services to a global transport sector which subsequently satisfies demand for bilateral ...the levels of individual ...

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Projecting U.S. Household Changes with a New Household Model

Projecting U.S. Household Changes with a New Household Model

... in projecting the characteristics of population and ...projection model with moderate data requirements, manageable complexity, explicit representation of demographic trends and output that includes a ...

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Working Paper no.: 2014/7. Joop de Beer and Fanny Janssen. The NIDI mortality model. A new parametric model to describe the age pattern of mortality

Working Paper no.: 2014/7. Joop de Beer and Fanny Janssen. The NIDI mortality model. A new parametric model to describe the age pattern of mortality

... in mortality Changes in the estimated values of the four time-varying parameters of the NIDI mortality model (equation 3) explain changes in the age pattern of ...NIDI mortality model ...

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Continuous Mortality Investigation. High Age Mortality Working Party WORKING PAPER 85. Initial report on the features of high age mortality

Continuous Mortality Investigation. High Age Mortality Working Party WORKING PAPER 85. Initial report on the features of high age mortality

... population mortality to ‘fill this ...to model mortality at the oldest ...modelling mortality rates at the oldest ...resulting mortality rates derived using different models are ...

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Projecting the World Economy to 2050: Agriculture in the Economy-wide GTAP Model

Projecting the World Economy to 2050: Agriculture in the Economy-wide GTAP Model

... the levels of each region's employment of each of the productive factors is fixed in aggregate, and that the regional balance of trade is determined by the relationship between regional investment and savings, ...

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Testosterone Treatment and Mortality in Men with Low Testosterone Levels

Testosterone Treatment and Mortality in Men with Low Testosterone Levels

... regression model, which included covariates of age, overall medical morbidity, hospitalization, BMI, testos- terone level, osteoporosis, sleep apnea, sexual dysfunction, and ...testosterone levels, a ...

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Relationship of health care practices and social status of mothers with various levels of child mortality: An application of multinomial regression model

Relationship of health care practices and social status of mothers with various levels of child mortality: An application of multinomial regression model

... Childhood mortality constitutes as a major public health problems and one of the major challenges to the health system in ...child mortality for India was 116 in 1990 which dropped by 69 in India is in the ...

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The Future Mortality of High Mortality Countries: A Model Incorporating Expert Arguments

The Future Mortality of High Mortality Countries: A Model Incorporating Expert Arguments

... of mortality decline that is considered typical in most projections of mortality levels and therefore need to be taken into account while doing such an ...in mortality declines and researchers ...

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Fertility and child mortality levels among the Yoruba of Western Nigeria

Fertility and child mortality levels among the Yoruba of Western Nigeria

... when mortality is high and the proportion of children surviving to age 5 is low, the ratio of the child mortality rate (4^1) to the infant mortality rate (1^0) is quite high as expected in both the ...

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Serum Alkaline Phosphatase Levels and Mortality of Chronic Hemodialysis Patients

Serum Alkaline Phosphatase Levels and Mortality of Chronic Hemodialysis Patients

... and mortality in HD patients. In a multivariate time-dependent Cox model using base- line and follow-up values of serum ALP levels, adjusted for demographics, HEMO Study groups, comorbidity, bone ...

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Projecting mortality for all countries

Projecting mortality for all countries

... Using estimates of 1980.85 Hfe expectancies and education data drawn from World Bank files, rates of change in male and female life expectancies were estimated from the 'all periods [r] ...

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