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Back testing the Value at Risk approach

Extended analysis of back testing framework for value at risk

Extended analysis of back testing framework for value at risk

... new back testing tool will be different than the current ...added value to combine the tools in one program, since experts will use the tools at different ...

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From value at risk to stress testing: The extreme value approach

From value at risk to stress testing: The extreme value approach

... extreme value theory to compute the value at risk of a market ...Extreme value theory gives some interesting results about the distribution of extreme ...An approach based on extreme ...

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Prognostic value of quantitative sensory testing in low back pain: a systematic review of the literature

Prognostic value of quantitative sensory testing in low back pain: a systematic review of the literature

... sensory testing (QST) measures have recently been shown to predict outcomes in various musculoskeletal and pain ...prognostic value of QST measures in people with low back pain ...high risk of ...

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A Common-Feature Approach for Testing Present-Value Restrictions with Financial Data

A Common-Feature Approach for Testing Present-Value Restrictions with Financial Data

... in testing for PVMs, we advise to split the restrictions implied by PV relationships into orthogonality conditions (or reduced rank restrictions) before additional tests on the value of ...

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A Common-Feature Approach for Testing Present-Value Restrictions with Financial Data

A Common-Feature Approach for Testing Present-Value Restrictions with Financial Data

... in testing for PVMs, we advise to split the restrictions implied by PV relationships into orthogonality conditions (or reduced rank restrictions) before additional tests on the value of ...

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A common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data

A common-feature approach for testing present-value restrictions with financial data

... in testing for PVMs, we advise to split the restrictions implied by PV relationships into orthogonality conditions (or reduced rank restrictions) before additional tests on the value of ...

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Looking through systemic credit risk: determinants, stress testing and market value

Looking through systemic credit risk: determinants, stress testing and market value

... credit risk factor for stress testing exer- cises seems to be a research avenue that deserves further ...and risk management under current regulation asks for stress tests at medium-term ...a ...

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Refining Value-at-Risk estimates: An Extreme Value Theory Approach

Refining Value-at-Risk estimates: An Extreme Value Theory Approach

... underestimate risk, is assessed by performing back-testing for some desired observation periods and confidence ...of risk, and too few exceptions implies the model overestimates ...reliable ...

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Backtesting Value-at-Risk Models: A Multivariate Approach

Backtesting Value-at-Risk Models: A Multivariate Approach

... joint testing is consistent with the notion that spillovers are the impact of global news on each ...multivariate testing technique is easy applicable from the practitioners’ point of ...systemic ...

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Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach

Backtesting Value-at-Risk: A Duration-Based Approach

... Financial risk model evaluation or backtesting is a key part of the internal model's approach to market risk management as laid out by the Basle Commitee on Banking Supervision ...common risk ...

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Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian

Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

... superior risk management systems, amendments were made to modify the initial Basel ...A back-testing procedure, whereby actual returns are compared with the corresponding VaR forecasts, was ...

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Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

... superior risk management systems, amendments were made to modify the initial Basel ...A back-testing procedure, whereby actual returns are compared with the corresponding VaR forecasts, was ...

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Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

... superior risk management systems, amendments were made to modify the initial Basel ...A back-testing procedure, whereby actual returns are compared with the corresponding VaR forecasts, was ...

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Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

Risk Management of Risk Under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian Approach to Forecasting Value-at-Risk of VIX Futures

... superior risk management systems, amendments were made to modify the initial Basel ...A back-testing procedure, whereby actual returns are compared with the corresponding VaR forecasts, was ...

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Macroprudential stress testing of credit risk: A practical approach for policy makers

Macroprudential stress testing of credit risk: A practical approach for policy makers

... Number of countries 54 Chi2 ( 16 ) = 20.88; Prob > Chi2 ( 16 ) = 0.1830 Notes: The estimates were computed with the Arellano and Bond (1991) estimator where a maximum instrument lag length of two was used. itiveness, net ...

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Macroprudential Stress Testing of Credit Risk: A Practical Approach for Policy Makers

Macroprudential Stress Testing of Credit Risk: A Practical Approach for Policy Makers

... Number of countries 54 Chi2 ( 16 ) = 20.88; Prob > Chi2 ( 16 ) = 0.1830 Notes: The estimates were computed with the Arellano and Bond (1991) estimator where a maximum instrument lag length of two was used. itiveness, net ...

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Operational risk, uncertainty, and the economy: a smooth transition extreme value approach

Operational risk, uncertainty, and the economy: a smooth transition extreme value approach

... the returned Hessian is not the one of the log-likelihood function, but of the Lagrangian. Therefore, to obtain an approximation of the Hessian of the log-likelihood function, we perform one additional step with the help ...

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The risk of catastrophic terrorism: an extreme value approach

The risk of catastrophic terrorism: an extreme value approach

... The critical issue is whether we can characterize this instability. Unfortunately, capabilities of terrorists as well as counter-terrorist agencies are typically unobservable except in the terrorism-data themselves. But ...

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Measuring market risk: a copula and extreme value approach

Measuring market risk: a copula and extreme value approach

... Although a clear definition of VaR may be given, this measure of risk doesn’t have a unique method of estimation because its accuracy highly depends on the ability to identify the true portfolio loss distribution. ...

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New Approach to Density Estimation and Application to Value at Risk

New Approach to Density Estimation and Application to Value at Risk

... market risk is due to wrong specification of the underlying distribution such as normality or log- ...statistical approach to compute VaR with minimal specification error since the inputs we obtain are ...

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