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climate sensitivity

Emergent scale invariance and climate sensitivity

Emergent scale invariance and climate sensitivity

... 5. von der Heydt, A.S.; Dijkstra, H.A.; van de Wal, R.S.W.; Caballero, R.; Crucifix, M.; Foster, G.L.; Huber, M.; Köhler, P.; Rohling, E.; Valdes, P.J.; Ashwin, P.; Bathiany, S.; Berends, T.; van Bree, L.G.J.; Ditlevsen, ...

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Climate sensitivity estimates – sensitivity to radiative forcing time series and observational data

Climate sensitivity estimates – sensitivity to radiative forcing time series and observational data

... a climate laboratory and the changes in atmospheric composition and land use over the historical record as a perturbation experiment, observation- ally based analyses of Earth’s energy budget have been used to ...

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Climate sensitivity uncertainty : When is good news bad?

Climate sensitivity uncertainty : When is good news bad?

... mean climate sensitivity alone then could once again lead us ...for climate sensitivity given in the previous ...of climate sensitivity, more mass in the left-hand tail, and the ...

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Bayesian Learning of Climate Sensitivity I: Synthetic Observations

Bayesian Learning of Climate Sensitivity I: Synthetic Observations

... the climate sciences [14], Bayesian estimation has become an in- creasingly popular tool for atmospheric scientists ...global climate parameters including equilibrium climate sensitivity, ...

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Another look at climate sensitivity

Another look at climate sensitivity

... study climate sensitivity in the vicinity of a given state; they can- not be applied to investigate climate evolution over tens of years, for example in response to large increases in green- house ...

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Could the Pliocene constrain the equilibrium climate sensitivity?

Could the Pliocene constrain the equilibrium climate sensitivity?

... Abstract. The mid-Pliocene Warm Period (mPWP) is the most recent interval in which atmospheric carbon dioxide was substantially higher than in modern pre-industrial times. It is, therefore, a potentially valuable target ...

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A global model of malaria climate sensitivity: comparing malaria response to historic climate data based on simulation and officially reported malaria incidence

A global model of malaria climate sensitivity: comparing malaria response to historic climate data based on simulation and officially reported malaria incidence

... little climate response in the centre of the country and greater sensi- tivity to fluctuations in temperature and precipitation in coastal regions in ...greater sensitivity in regions of the Amazonian ...no ...

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An Estimate of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity From Interannual Variability

An Estimate of Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity From Interannual Variability

... 40 41 Introduction The response of the climate system to the imposition of a climate forcing is frequently 42 described using the linearized energy balance equation: 43 R = F + l Ts 1 44[r] ...

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Global Temperature Trends Adjusted for Unforced Variability

Global Temperature Trends Adjusted for Unforced Variability

... the sensitivity lower bound used by IPCC would be ...internal climate variability could lead to 0.84°C average discrepancy in climate sensitivity estimates, based on ...

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Thermal Enhancement on Planetary Bodies and the Relevance of the Molar Mass Version of the Ideal Gas Law to the Null Hypothesis of Climate Change

Thermal Enhancement on Planetary Bodies and the Relevance of the Molar Mass Version of the Ideal Gas Law to the Null Hypothesis of Climate Change

... of climate is needed, and the above thought experiment should enable some probable implications of this work to be ...the climate sensitivity on Earth to, for example, a doubling of the atmospheric ...

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Perspectives from 2037 – Can Environmental Impact Assessment Be the Solution for an Early Consideration of Climate Change Related Impacts?

Perspectives from 2037 – Can Environmental Impact Assessment Be the Solution for an Early Consideration of Climate Change Related Impacts?

... or climate sensitivity of environmental issues (regarding the two example climate change impacts) – at which stages in the process is which information necessary ...

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Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels

Phenological sensitivity to climate across taxa and trophic levels

... Extended Data Figure 2 | Limits of phenological climate sensitivity for taxonomic.. groups top and trophic levels bottom, after Monte-Carlo resampling.[r] ...

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Climate Policy Under Fat Tailed Risk: An Application of Dice

Climate Policy Under Fat‐Tailed Risk: An Application of Dice ESRI WP403 August 2011

... Moreover, the MPS approach raises intractable technical difficulties. First of all, in case of fat‐tailed distributions, which we focus on, it is not possible to apply the method because fat‐tailed distributions, by ...

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A systems network approach for climate change vulnerability assessment

A systems network approach for climate change vulnerability assessment

... Among the 58 merged variables identified in the literature review, we coded the effects of theoretically changing the magnitude or quality of any given vari- able on other variables. Coding used a nominal and qualitative ...

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A prototype framework for models of socio hydrology: identification of key feedback loops and parameterisation approach

A prototype framework for models of socio hydrology: identification of key feedback loops and parameterisation approach

... The assumption of rational behaviour in this context per- tains to the likelihood that overarching community behaviour will tend towards the longer-term collective good, rather than the short-term individual good. One of ...

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Updated world map of the Köppen Geiger climate classification

Updated world map of the Köppen Geiger climate classification

... K¨oppen-Geiger climate map is to rely on observed data, rather than experience, wherever possible and minimise the number of subjective ...observed climate and the methodology used to interpolate the ...

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Tropical seaways played a more important role than high latitude seaways in Cenozoic cooling

Tropical seaways played a more important role than high latitude seaways in Cenozoic cooling

... Ma), climate deteriorated and gradually changed the earth from a greenhouse into an icehouse, with major cooling events at the Eocene-Oligocene boundary ( ∼ 34 Ma) and the Middle Miocene ( ∼ 15 ...the ...

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Sensitivity of potential evaporation estimates to 100 years of climate variability

Sensitivity of potential evaporation estimates to 100 years of climate variability

... Parallel to this development, the irrigation engineering community refined the traditional potential evaporation ap- proach (Shuttleworth, 2007). They developed the “two-step approach” (Doorenbos and Pruitt, 1977; ...

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Sensitivity of discharge characteristics to the spatial resolution of regional climate models

Sensitivity of discharge characteristics to the spatial resolution of regional climate models

... Regional Climate Models (RCMs) coupled with General Circulation Models (GCMs) are among the most important tools to generate future climate ...of climate change on discharge ...

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Vulnerability of London’s Economy to Climate Change: Sensitivity to Production Loss

Vulnerability of London’s Economy to Climate Change: Sensitivity to Production Loss

... The research described in this paper was developed as part of the ARCADIA project (Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision making using Integrated Assessment) which is developing new methodology for ...

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